Article 4NDAJ Forget a 2008 Lehman Bros-style crash – this is how a ‘normal’ recession could start | Dan Davies

Forget a 2008 Lehman Bros-style crash – this is how a ‘normal’ recession could start | Dan Davies

by
Dan Davies
from on (#4NDAJ)
Current political uncertainty or trade restrictions could shock business confidence, but policymakers are fixated on finance

There's a hoary old proverb in the financial markets that a crisis happens precisely when the institutional memory of the last crisis has faded: when all the key chairs are occupied by people who aren't scared any more, the same mistakes get repeated.

On that basis, in the face of grim economic news around the world, we ought to be reasonably safe from another Lehman Brothers-type meltdown, or even a repeat of the eurozone crisis. But what might be a little bit more worrying is that there are surprisingly few people left who remember how the normal kind of recession happens.

In order to have felt the fear in the 80s, you'd need to be quite a bit older than most of today's key policy advisors

Related: Is a recession coming to the US? Here's what to watch for

Continue reading...
External Content
Source RSS or Atom Feed
Feed Location http://feeds.theguardian.com/theguardian/business/economics/rss
Feed Title
Feed Link http://feeds.theguardian.com/
Reply 0 comments