The first economic modelling of coronavirus scenarios is grim for the world | Warwick McKibbon and Roshen Fernando for the Conversation
Global expert Warwick McKibbon, who modelled Sars and Mers epidemics, says all countries likely to experience sharp hit to growth
The Covid-19 coronavirus is spreading across the world. Initially the epicentre was China, with reported cases either in China or in travellers from China. There are now at least four further epicentres: Iran, Italy, Japan and South Korea.
Although the World Health Organization believes the number of cases in China has peaked and should fall, case reports are climbing from countries previously thought to be resilient due to stronger medical standards and practices.
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This article was originally published in the Conversation
Warwick McKibbin is Chair in Public Policy at the ANU Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA), Crawford School of Public Policy at Australian National University
Roshen Fernando is a PhD Student in Economic Policy at Australian National University
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