Article 5WPS9 Putin’s invasion of Ukraine suggests the ‘peace dividend’ is fading | Kenneth Rogoff

Putin’s invasion of Ukraine suggests the ‘peace dividend’ is fading | Kenneth Rogoff

by
Kenneth Rogoff
from on (#5WPS9)

Russia's attack reminds western nations that they must leave sufficient finances to guard against external aggression

Russia's brutal invasion of Ukraine should be a wake-up call for western politicians, corporate leaders and economists who advocate a green and equitable future but lack any practical or strategic sense of how to get there. Regardless of what short-term tactics Europe and the US use in responding to the current crisis, their long-run strategy needs to put energy security on a par with environmental sustainability, and funding essential military deterrence on a par with financing social priorities.

The Soviet Union collapsed in 1991 in no small part because Russia's leaders, most of all President Boris Yeltsin and his economic advisers, recognised that the Soviet communist military-industrial complex could not afford to keep up with the west's superior economic might and technological prowess. Today, with Russia's economy less than a twentieth the combined size of the US and EU economies, the same strategy of vastly outspending Russia on defence should be much easier to execute. Unfortunately, there is a hesitancy in many western societies, particularly on the left, to admit that defence spending is sometimes a necessity, not a luxury.

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