A surprise election victory is the last thing the economy needs | Torsten Bell
by Torsten Bell from on (#6DD2B)
New research reveals that lower growth follows general elections that confound the pollsters
The economy affects election results - it's the economy, stupid". The financial crisis did for Labour in 2010, and Rishi Sunak well knows what the highest inflation in four decades is doing to UK politics today. But can election results affect the economy?
Obviously, who gets elected matters - as this column discussed last year, a change of government tends to be followed by more policy change and faster economic growth - but specifically do the results - and how surprising they are - matter? Yes, concludes new Warwick University research examining 13,600 opinion polls before 233 elections in 51 countries.
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