Poland election: opposition claims win after strong exit poll result – as it happened

Polls put ruling PiS in first place but suggest route to government for opposition coalition led by Donald Tusk's party. This blog is now closed

Eyes on smaller groups

The final outcome could depend on how well three smaller groupings do. The leftwing Lewica and centre-right Third Way are expected to form a coalition with Tusk's Civic Coalition if between them they can muster the 231 seats required to claim a majority in the lower house of parliament.