Kim Jong-un’s bellicose stance could signal conflict, or his preference for a President Trump

North Korea's leader has increased his displays of military aggression but analysts are split on whether it's a sign of electoral interference or a war footing

When a highly militarised dictatorship fires artillery shells in the direction of its neighbour, which it has just denounced as its greatest enemy", then tests cruise missiles and underwater nuclear attack drones, it is reasonable to believe that armed conflict could follow.

But when that country is North Korea, conventional geopolitical punditry is often left wanting.