‘A pollster’s nightmare’: stakes are high in three-way fight for Gorton and Denton

Labour faces a battle to hold on to its 13,000 majority, with the Greens the bookies' favourite and Reform hoping to gain from split vote on left

As Nigel Farage cut the ribbon on Reform UK's byelection headquarters in Greater Manchester this week, Labour's candidate, Angeliki Stogia, sat tearfully in a cafe nearby.

Politicians do not often show their emotion but for Stogia, who arrived in Britain as a student from Greece in 1995, this is personal. I am angry," she said of Farage's party. I am very, very angry. How dare they come here and spread this division?"