Article 78S2J Mathematicians Harness Randomness To Crack A 55-Year-Old Conjecture

Mathematicians Harness Randomness To Crack A 55-Year-Old Conjecture

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"Arthur T Knackerbracket" writes:

https://www.quantamagazine.org/mathematicians-harness-randomness-to-crack-a-55-year-old-conjecture-20260928/

The late Ronald Graham wore two hats. He was a renowned mathematician, at one time president of the American Mathematical Society. He was also a serious juggler, and president of the International Jugglers' Association. "He loved tricks," said Fan Chung, a mathematician at the University of California, San Diego, who was married to Graham. "You know, spinning a ball, spinning a coat hanger, spinning several balls together, throwing pens against the wall."

Sometimes Graham wore both hats at once. "It's interesting, in fact, that many mathematicians and computer scientists have an interest in juggling," he said in a 1980 television interview. "I think it's the search for patterns and structure that is responsible for this."

He would go on to write numerous papers, some with Chung, on the mathematics of juggling. But back in 1971, decades before he made that connection explicit, he posed a question that some mathematicians now say might have been inspired by juggling, too.

Start with a random set of different integers, not including zero. Can you always rearrange them so that if you add up the first two numbers, then the first three, then the first four, and so on, every "partial sum" turns out different? In the language of juggling, this would mean that if each ball stays in the air for a different amount of time, you can always find an order to throw them in such that two balls won't come crashing down on the same beat - which would ruin the act.

If the numbers are all positive, then the answer to Graham's question is obviously yes: The sums will always grow larger as you add more numbers. Similarly, if there are both positive and negative numbers in the mix, the answer is also known to be yes. But what if the numbers live in a finite world - like numbers wrapped around a clock, which repeat after a certain count?

That's what Graham wanted to know. He conjectured that the answer should still be yes. It often happens, he figured, that even when dealing with rigid constraints, you can still find enough flexibility to construct special patterns or structures - just as it's usually possible to find a valid sudoku board or Latin square (another kind of puzzle) despite their many rules. "It fits nicely in all these questions about designs and about very symmetric structures," said Noga Alon, a mathematician at Princeton University. But for decades, no one could prove Graham's intuition to be true.

That changed recently, when several young mathematicians picked up the balls. In a proof that spanned four papers and various fields of mathematics, they finally resolved Graham's rearrangement conjecture. The final paper, by Lisa Sauermann of the University of Bonn and Huy Tuan Pham of the University of Chicago, appeared in February 2026, officially closing the problem.

Across the papers, one theme prevailed: the power of randomness to draw out patterns. As Alon put it, "It's the power of collaboration, the power of the young generation, the power of probabilistic methods" that solved the problem.

Alp Muyesser, a mathematician at the University of Oxford, often finds himself drawn to problems whose solutions need two ingredients: a random process, and something extra as well. After solving one such problem in 2022 while he was still a graduate student, he encountered Graham's conjecture and realized that his just-finished proof could help there, too.

Alp Muyesser enjoys thinking about problems that require him to combine randomness with something else.

The conjecture is set in the world of clock arithmetic. You start by placing the whole numbers on a number line, then you wrap the line around the face of a clock so that the numbers repeat after some prime number, p. Say p is 7, for instance. In this setting, 0, 7, 14, and all other multiples of 7 are equivalent - meaning that you can add two positive numbers (like 3 and 4) and get zero.

Graham asked the following: If you pick any set of nonzero numbers off this number line (for any p), can you always rearrange them so that the partial sums you get are all different?

The challenge depends on how big your set is compared to p. The more numbers you pick, the more sums there are to manage. But if you choose fewer numbers, there will be fewer ways to rearrange them. These different cases inspire different approaches.

Muyesser, along with his former adviser, Alexey Pokrovskiy of University College London, tackled the case where your set includes almost every possible number up to p. With sets this large, it can be extremely hard to construct a valid ordering. But it turned out that starting with a random ordering can bring you most of the way there.

It's embarrassing for humanity that we don't know this. This situation just had to be rectified.

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