Nextbigfuture Kalshi Question Review #2
by Brian Wang from NextBigFuture.com on (#79774)
Every day I review 2-3 Kalshi energy, science and tech markets where I think the outcome is clearer than the odds suggest. I've forecast on Metaculus and Manifold since 2019: 6,596 predictions, a best-ever #8 of 34,617 Baseline Accuracy rank on Metaculus, and a Brier score of 0.071 vs the Metaculus site's 0.080 (Oct 2023). ...