by Brian Wang on (#6T2VD)
OpenaI o3 sets new records in several key areas, particularly in reasoning, coding and mathematical problem-solving. It scores 75.7% on the semi-private eval in low-compute mode (for $20 per task in compute ) and 87.5% in high-compute mode (thousands of $ per task). It's very expensive. It is not just brute force. These capabilities are ... Read more
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NextBigFuture.com
Link | https://www.nextbigfuture.com/ |
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Updated | 2024-12-22 02:17 |
by Brian Wang on (#6T2SP)
Google's Veo 2 and OpenAI's Sora are both leaders in AI video generation. Here are some screenshots from Google Veo 2 generated video. Google Veo 2 Has More Resolution and Video Quality Google Veo 2 is capable of generating videos in up to 4K resolution, which is a significant advantage over OpenAI's Sora, which is ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6T2Q5)
Google Gemini 2 AI model (just released) were trained with over 100,000 Trillium chips have been deployed in a single network fabric, enabling massive-scale AI operations. xAI has already trained Grok 3 with 100,000 Nvidia H100s but has not released it yet. xAI has added 100,000 chips and will train Grok 4 with 200,000 Nvidia ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6T2Q6)
AI capabilities made progress in 2024 but there was a temporary slowdown in massive compute scaling for AI training or test time compute. 2025 will see massive AI training scaling. Dr. Alan Thompson is a trusted thought leader in AI, frequently cited by institutions like Microsoft, RAND Corporation, and the University of Oxford. He publishes ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6T2Q7)
Google Gemini 2 is now the top ranked large language model. Gemini 2.0 Experimental Advanced: Complex Task Handling: This version shows significantly improved performance on complex tasks such as coding, math, reasoning, and following instructions, positioning it as Google's best AI model yet in terms of these capabilities. Benchmark Performance: In benchmarks like Chatbot Arena, ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6T22A)
TrendForce projects that Nvidia GB200 Rack mass production and peak shipments are unlikely to occur until between Q2 and Q3 of 2025. This is largely due to the higher design specifications of the GB200 rack, including its requirements for high-speed interconnect interfaces and thermal design power (TDP), which significantly exceed market norms. The NVIDIA GB ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6T16Q)
Science Youtuber Sabine Hossenfelder and Neil deGrasse Tyson, Science communicator and astrophysicist claim there is no business case or economic reasons to go to Mars. They also claim there are technological reasons why it cannot happen. They claim Mars cannot be Terraformed for 100s of Years and this would be a show stopper. They claim ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6T0FE)
Elon Musk received assurances from TSMC Chairman CC Wei that they would be able to supply the volume of chips needed for the Teslabot. If this this is accurate then it is to ensure AI5 chips in quantities for Teslabot that are beyond the 5-10 million chips needed for new cars in the 2026-2028 timeframe. ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6T031)
Tesla continues its epic run. Tesla China released another good weekly of insurance registrations. This is mainly an indication that the fourth quarter volume production and delivery numbers on January 2, 2025 will be solid. The main driver to the end of the year is the need for institutions to get to equal weight or ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SZJD)
All indications are that the Tesla FSD (Full self driving) software stack is running on chinese cars to provide actually smart summon and dispatch. This feature needs the FSD software. Full activation of FSD in China will occur with regulatory approval. This approval seems very near. Tao Lin, Tesla's global vice president, said: All models ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SZJE)
Broadcom predicts serviceable market for AI XPU and networking could reach $60 billion to $90 billion by 2027 and company is a market leader. During Broadcom's Q4 2024 earnings call, CEO Hock Tan revealed that three major hyperscale clients are planning multi-generational AI XPU deployments, aiming for 1 million XPU clusters by 2027. Broadcom collaborates ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SZ9H)
Five weeks ago, I, Brian Wang, said that Tesla would reach $450 within 90 days. It is now at $455. Five days ago, I said it was not too late to buy Tesla and it increased another 10%. I have a two new video with new analysis and price targets. Old Videos Showing Accurate Analysis ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SYDJ)
Image generation for xAI is vastly improved. The objects are good . A cybercab looks like a Tesla cybercab. I can get it to modify by adjusting the prompt and it pretty much works. I said make Zuck and Elon look sweaty and tired and in a clinch in an MMA Octagon. Grok has a ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SYDK)
Elon Musk's net worth of $455 billion, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. This wealth is about $180 billion for SpaceX, $182 billion from Tesla, $60 billion for some form of option package, $30 billion Neuralink, xAI, X and Boring Company and $10 billion in other assets. Elon's SpaceX holding went down from 54% to ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SY9M)
The church of Notre Dame has been repaired after a fire in 2019. It has also been cleaned and restored. The art and murals inside had not been touched since 1850. The restoration has restored vibrant colors. Notre Dame re-opens this weekend after the April 2019 fire that almost destroyed the cathedral. In past 5 ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SY79)
Five weeks ago, I, Brian Wang, said that Tesla would reach $450 within 90 days. It is now at $436. Five days ago, I said it was not too late to buy Tesla and it increased another 10%. I have a two new video with new analysis and price targets. Old Videos Showing Accurate Analysis ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SXYF)
Tesla and xAI have been to scale coherent GPU AI clusters beyond the 33,000 GPU limit by NOT synchronize all nodes simultaneously. Synchronizing all nodes becomes increasingly challenging at scale - the system implements a partition-based architecture with coordinated timing offsets. They communicate with an ethernet based network using a transport layer without software control ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SX9Z)
I, Brian Wang, interviewed Andrei Petrenko, Head of Product at Quantum Circuits and Neil Wu Becker, Head of Marketing for Quantum Circuits. Quantum Circuits presented at Q2B 2024 Silicon Valley at the Santa Clara Convention Center. Q2B was hosted by QCWare. This is the second interview and article on Quantum Circuits by Brian Wang of ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SX8R)
Tesla China has officially announced the launch of Actually Smart Summon (ASS) in China. The announcement says Actual Smart Summon is available with Enhanced Autopilot and FSD (Full Self Driving). Full Self Driving has not been authorized in China...yet. However, FSD will be available in China very soon. NEWS: Tesla China has officially announced the ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SX7H)
Today, Tesla has the V4 Cabinet which solves fast 500kW for cars and 1.2MW for Semi. This is HUGE. It solves getting Tesla Semi charging out to thousands of locations quickly. This is needed so that 50,000 Semi per year will be able charge and enable nationwide electric trucking. Tesla Supercharging first opening in 2012 ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SWYX)
The next NASA administrator Jared Isaacman talks about using Space to make the United States more economically competitive. Hiss vision and priorities for the space agency: Space Economy and Exploration: Isaacman emphasized the potential for a thriving space economy, suggesting that space holds significant potential for breakthroughs in manufacturing, biotechnology, mining, and new energy sources. ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SW0D)
IBM is using the largest quantum computers with the largest supercomputers. They have already use these hybrid systems to advance science like larger accurate quantum simulations. They are building even larger quantum systems and larger supercomputers.
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by Brian Wang on (#6SW0E)
IBM is using supercomputers together with quantum computers to advanced the frontier of science. They have pushed the quantum computers to beyond the level of chemistry simulation that supercomputers could do alone.
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by Brian Wang on (#6SW0F)
Preskill's has made major contributions to quantum computing including the concept of Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum" (NISQ) technology. This term describes the current state of quantum computers, which, despite not being fully error-corrected or fault-tolerant, can perform tasks beyond the capabilities of classical machines. The NISQ concept has revolutionized the approach to quantum computing, opening new ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SW0G)
Nvidia has a broad effort to use Artificial Intelligence for Quantum Computing. AI can play a role in everything from designing qubits, preparing efficient quantum algorithms, controlling and calibrating the device, correcting errors in realtime, and interpreting the output from QC. Most importantly, each aspect of QC needs to scale, and AI might be the ... Read more
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by cybernewswire on (#6SW0H)
Los Angeles, USA, 11th December 2024, CyberNewsWire
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by cybernewswire on (#6SVSQ)
Vienna, Austria, 11th December 2024, CyberNewsWire
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by Brian Wang on (#6SVA1)
Panel discussion: Yuval Boger, QuEra Computing (Chief Commercial Officer) Michael Newman, google Quantum AI (Research Scientist) Jeremy Stevens, Alice and Bob (Tech Dev Lead) Pshemek Bienias AWS research Scientist Jin-Sung Kim, Nvidia. Nvidia and Infleqtion have announced new breakthrough. Infleqtion, a world leader in neutral atom quantum computing, used the NVIDIA CUDA-Q platform to first ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SV7G)
Quantinuum, $5 B quantum computer company, announced its latest hardware milestone: the largest ever GHZ state created with logical qubits with a greater than 98% fidelity. Quantinuum is the world's largest integrated quantum company ($5B valuation), Quantinuum is leading the development of the most powerful quantum computers and the most advanced quantum software solutions. With ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SV7H)
Quantinuum, a quantum computing company, was valued at $5 billion after a $300 million equity funding round in January 2024. They are considering a $10 billion IPO. They have the only commercial quantum computer system in the quantum advantage domain.
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by Brian Wang on (#6SV4D)
Google quantum Willow system (105 qubits superconducting chip with 100 ms coherence times) is error mitigation and improved coherence times. They improved coherence times by 5X. There is random sampling improvement but the random sampling is not a useful problem. This shows that quantum computing can clearly beat classical systems for this not useful problem. ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SV4E)
The Air Force Research Lab has more funding than DARPA (the Defense Advance Research Programs.) AFRL thinks quantum sensing and timing are applying now. Better quantum clocks are here today. We are very close to useful quantum networking. They have made 5-10 kilometer length fiber quantum networks.
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by Brian Wang on (#6SV4F)
Oliver Dial, IBM Fellow, is giving the keynote for Q2B 2024. He describes what is needed for practical quantum computers. IBM achieved the minimum of more accurate answers than classical (regular computers). However, they are not yet to the scale needed for practically useful problems. How much scaling? Things start getting useful with about 100 ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SV4G)
I, Brian Wang, am attending the quantum technologies conference at the Q2B 2024 conference at the Santa Clara convention. There is a lot of emerging quantum technologies. These are sensors and other devices. There is a list of featured speakers. The Agenda is here. Funding for quantum technologies has grown into the billions.
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by Brian Wang on (#6STFA)
Jeremy Barton is creating an institute to create basic molecular machines. A primary focus is to create basic motors. We need design tools, motors and more. He previously created an group that combined chemistry, physics, surface science to work on positional chemistry. $150 million was not enough. Here are patents related to mechanosynthesis and direct ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6STCR)
Up until late 2024, no one has been able to massively increase the amount of compute dedicated to a single model beyond the OpenAI GPT 4 model level. This information is from semianalysis and EIA. Google's Gemini Ultra, Nvidia Nemotron 340B, and Meta LLAMA 3 405B had similar or slightly more compute than GPT-4, but ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6STA1)
There is progress to precisely placing silicon atoms to create qubits for quantum computers. The Kane quantum computer is a proposal for a scalable quantum computer proposed by Bruce Kane in 1998 who was then at the University of New South Wales. Often thought of as a hybrid between quantum dot and nuclear magnetic resonance ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6STA2)
Tesla's humanoid robot is able to walk up and down hills and mostly maintain balance. Daily walks help clear your mind pic.twitter.com/dUsW58trS6 - Tesla Optimus (@Tesla_Optimus) December 9, 2024
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by Brian Wang on (#6SSM0)
I updated my Tesla Share Price Predictions. Tesla has hit $394 per share. In October, Brian predicted that Tesla will reach $1000 by the end of 2025 and would reach $2500 by the end of 2027. In November, Brian predicted that Tesla will reach $450 by Feb 8, 2025. This is not and was not ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SSJ8)
Neil DeGrasse Tyson compared gender to weight classes in wrestling and suggested sports should be divided by hormone levels. The records for strength, speed and jumping are clear. Men are about 50% stronger, 10% faster and jump 15-20% higher in the same weight class. A women's lifting record is about 70% of men. Men also ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SRVW)
Gavin Baker, an xAI investor and hedge fund manager, explains the main problems that OpenAI and the others has was they believed they could not make more than 32000 h100s share the same memory and work coherently using current networking.Elon and then xAI team went to first principles and figured out scaling to 100k chips ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SRRH)
Tesla has hit $390 per share. In October, I predicted that Tesla will reach $1000 by the end of 2025 and would reach $2500 by the end of 2027. In November, I predicted that Tesla will reach $450 by Feb 8, 2025. This is not and was not financial advice. I wrote on October 23, ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SRRJ)
Researcher Jiang Biao of the Green Chemical Engineering Technology Research and Development Center of the Shanghai Advanced Institute of the Chinese Academy of Sciences and his team developed a nanofiber functional membrane, which successfully extracted kilogram-level uranium from seawater and reduced the cost from US$560 per kilogram It reaches US$150 per kilogram, which is very ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SRMY)
Intel was the leader with computer chips but lost the elad by failing to move from 10nm to nm. The Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger returned to Intel in 2021, he outlined an ambitious plan to restore Intel's manufacturing leadership with a goal to achieve five nodes in four years, aiming to catch up with TSMC ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SRMZ)
Tesla is achieving huge success with cars, trucks, megapacks and soon robotaxi and teslabot. All of the products are made by Gigafactories. NO matter how successful robotaxi and teslabot become they will be made by the factories. The Teslabots are and will work in the factories. The unboxed process of building cars like giant legos ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SR3Z)
OpenAI o1 Pro and OpenAI o1 are much better at math. OpenAI o1 Pro mode seems to be using OpenAI o1 but running questions multiple times to get better answers. OpenAI GPT 5 training has not gone smoothly according to Kai-fu Lee. Dr Kai-Fu Lee, founder of 01.AI, co-founder of Microsoft Research Asia, former VP ... Read more
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by cybernewswire on (#6SQS9)
Alisa Viejo, California, 5th December 2024, CyberNewsWire
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by Brian Wang on (#6SQ9M)
EUV roadmap updated with up to 250wph and 280 wph (wafers per hour) throughput and better overlay (alignment accuracy); probably higher ASPs as productivity improves with each version. Chips will get to 0.5 Nanometer features in 2030-2032. - EUV roadmap updated with up to 250wph and 280 wph throughput and better overlay (alignment accuracy); probably ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SQ9N)
xAI, is expanding the Colossus supercomputer in Memphis, Tennessee from 100,000 to over 1 million GPUs. This expansion, which has already started, involves a substantial financial commitment, potentially in the tens of billions, and includes collaborations with Nvidia, Dell, and Supermicro for GPU supply and server assembly. xAI's strategy is to lead in the AI ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6SQ9P)
SpaceX has completed 24 planes of 13 sats per plane at a 53 deg inclination for the Direct to Cell constellation. Once raised to 360 km, it will be plugged in to service. Direct to Cell is open for business for any telco in the world that wants to eliminate dead zones for text and ... Read more
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