Top Kalshi-sponsored Futurist and Top 0.1% Predictor on Metaculus
by Brian Wang from NextBigFuture.com on (#79GTT)
I am a top ranked predictor on Metaculus. 90+% accuracy rate and 0.07 Brier score. Brier score of 0.25 is 50-50. This is top-tier for human forecasters and competitive with very good professional or market forecasts. Democrats swept the house and senate. Florida was an outlier where the Governorship and Senate were barely held. Guam ...