Article TVMR Inflation should rise in November and into 2016

Inflation should rise in November and into 2016

by
Larry Elliott Economics editor
from on (#TVMR)

Unlike headline inflation, the core measure of the cost of living actually rose in October

Inflation has reached a trough, at least for now. The government's preferred measure of the cost of living remained unchanged at -0.1% in the year to October, but will turn positive when the data for November is released next month.

The reason is that the consumer prices index (CPI) fell by 0.3% in November 2014 as a result of the plunging cost of crude oil. Unless that decline is repeated this November - which it won't be - the annual inflation rate will mechanically rise.

Related: UK inflation remained negative at -0.1% in October

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