Article 10H1D The perils of China's currency devaluation

The perils of China's currency devaluation

by
Mohamed El-Erian
from on (#10H1D)

In pursuing its domestic objectives, China risks inadvertently amplifying global financial instability

The recent decline in China's currency, the renminbi, which has fuelled turmoil in Chinese stock markets and drove the government to suspend trading twice last week, highlights a major challenge facing the country: how to balance its domestic and international economic obligations. The approach the authorities take will have a major impact on the wellbeing of the global economy.

The 2008 global financial crisis, coupled with the disappointing recovery in the advanced economies that followed, injected a new urgency into China's efforts to shift its growth model from one based on investment and external demand to one underpinned by domestic consumption. Navigating such a structural transition without causing a sharp decline in economic growth would be difficult for any country. The challenge is even greater for a country as large and complex as China, especially given today's environment of sluggish global growth.

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