Article 2E8YG China now fears underpopulation and is considering baby bonuses for second child

China now fears underpopulation and is considering baby bonuses for second child

by
noreply@blogger.com (brian wang)
from NextBigFuture.com on (#2E8YG)
China is considering introducing birth rewards and subsidies to encourage people to have a second child, after surveys showed that economic constraints were making many reluctant to expand families, the state-owned China Daily newspaper reported.

The potential move was revealed by Wang Peian, vice-minister of the National Health and Family Planning Commission at a social welfare conference on Saturday, the newspaper said on Tuesday.

Birth rates rose to 17.86 million in 2016, the highest level since 2000, after the country issued new guidelines in late 2015 allowing all parents to have two children amid growing concerns over the costs of supporting an aging population. It was an increase of more than 1.3 million compared with the previous year and the biggest annual increase in 20 years.

"That fully met the expectations, but barriers still exist and must be addressed," Wang was quoted as saying.

"To have a second child is the right of each family in China but affordability has become a bottleneck that undermines the decision."

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Various countries offer baby bonuses and other child friendly policies. Singapore is a leader in the area of baby bonuses. By having two children, a middle-income Singaporean household may receive various incentives which are equivalent to S$166,000.For third and subsequent child, the household will get an additional S$8,000 as Baby Bonus and S$20,000 as Parenthood Tax Rebate.

Almost half of the world has the demographic problem of not enough babies are being born to keep up with an aging population. Japan is spending about 3 billion ($29.3 million) on matchmaking events and robot babies that might inspire couples to want one of their own. Saucy ad campaigns in Denmark and Singapore remind couples that they have a civic duty inside as well as outside of the bedroom.

Demography - The Impact of Family Policy Expenditure on Fertility in Western Europe Results show that increased expenditure on family policy programs that help women to combine family and employment- and thus reduce the opportunity cost of children-generates positive fertility responses.

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A 10% increase in maternity- and parental-leave benefits results in about a 3.2% reduction in childlessness at ages 36-40 but has no significant effect on completed fertility. Conversely, a 10% increase in childcare subsidies has no significant effect on the proportion of women who have children but results in about a 0.4% increase in completed fertility.

Empirical findings suggest that increased expenditure on family policy programs aimed at empowering women through opportunities to combine family and employment-thereby reducing the opportunity cost of children-generate positive fertility responses. More specifically, extending maternity and parental leave and childcare provisions causes women to have children earlier in life and to have more children. Even though the quantitative fertility responses to changes in family-friendly labor-market policy expenditure identified here are small, the relatively large changes in expenditure on family policy programs over recent decades in western Europe have generated considerable fertility responses.

The increased family policy expenditure in western Europe during 1980-2003 had significant effects on the timing of maternity and completed fertility. Childlessness at age 36-40 declined by about 19%, and completed fertility increased by about 8.3%.

An 8.3% boost in fertility in China would translate to about 1.5 million more births per year.

Nextbigfuture has predicted for several years that China will end up removing all child birth limitations and flip to incentives and child friendly policies. China will need to do this to recover total workforce levels around 2040-2050 and to not lose to much working age population.

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