Article 2Z7Y Will below-zero inflation lead the Bank to start tightening policy?

Will below-zero inflation lead the Bank to start tightening policy?

by
Larry Elliott
from on (#2Z7Y)

Prospect of quantitative easing or negative interest rates are remote, given the forecasts for earnings and growth

Inflation below zero. The biggest increase in real take-home pay in a decade. Falling unemployment. Borrowing costs at or close to record lows. The Bank of England forecasts suggest that the UK economy will hit a sweet spot in 2015.

Perhaps a bit too sweet. The last time there was a combination of crashing oil prices, easy monetary policy and a well-entrenched recovery was the mid-1980s and that ended with a colossal consumer and housing boom, followed by an equally colossal crash.

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