Brexit economy: outlook positive but rocky negotiations could bring instability

The latest monthly Guardian analysis finds better news after a volatile start to the year, but potential hazards in the EU exit talks

Ministers are preparing for crucial Brexit talks this autumn against a backdrop of better news on jobs, inflation and the public finances as the UK economy displays signs of stability after a volatile start to the year, a Guardian analysis shows.

The Guardian's monthly tracker of economic news shows inflation coming close to its peak and the lowest levels of unemployment since the mid-1970s. However, the ever-present threat that rocky negotiations could knock business confidence, derailing the economy, remains.

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