Article 31T8S Donald Trump's 3% growth plan is only for the 1% | Kenneth Rogoff

Donald Trump's 3% growth plan is only for the 1% | Kenneth Rogoff

by
Kenneth Rogoff
from on (#31T8S)

The stock market may care only about the growth rate, but most Americans should worry about how growth is achieved

Donald Trump has boasted that his policies will produce sustained 3%-4% growth for many years to come. His prediction flies in the face of the judgment of many professional forecasters, including on Wall Street and at the Federal Reserve, who expect that the US will be lucky to achieve even 2% growth.

But is there any chance Trump might be right? And if he is, to what extent will his policies be responsible, and will faster growth entail grave long-term costs to the environment and income inequality? The stock market may care only about the growth rate, but most Americans should be very concerned about how growth is achieved.

Related: Why Trumponomics cannot make America great again

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