The 2020 US election hinges on the economy – it's time to start talking about it

Be it donald Trump or Elizabeth Warren, America urgently needs to start talking about candidates' sharply diverging economic policies

A year from now, the US will elect its next president. The stakes are high and the outcome will reverberate across the world in a number of spheres, not least the economy. Yet, thus far, most discussions of candidates' economic policy proposals have been based more on feelings or ideology than rigorous analysis.

Barring a major unforeseen catastrophe, US economic performance will play a decisive role in the election. If the economy remains strong - unemployment is at a 50-year low for all workers, and its lowest-ever level for African-Americans and Hispanics - President Donald Trump stands a good chance of a second term.

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