Article 4WZ9E Trump's lack of strategic vision is going to make China great again | Nouriel Roubini

Trump's lack of strategic vision is going to make China great again | Nouriel Roubini

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Nouriel Roubini
from on (#4WZ9E)

The US needs to work closely with allies to bring its model of society and economy into the 21st century

Financial markets were cheered recently by the news that the US and China have reached a "phase one" deal to prevent further escalation of their bilateral trade war. But there is actually very little to cheer about. In exchange for China's tentative commitment to buy more US agricultural (and some other) goods, and modest concessions on intellectual property rights and the yuan, the US agreed to withhold tariffs on another $160bn (124bn) worth of Chinese exports, and to roll back some of the tariffs introduced on 1 September.

The good news for investors is that the deal averted a new round of tariffs that could have tipped the US and the global economy into recession and crashed global stock markets. The bad news is that it represents just another temporary truce amid a much larger strategic rivalry encompassing trade, technology, investment, currency and geopolitical issues. Large-scale tariffs will remain in place and escalation may well resume if either side shirks its commitments.

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