Article 5V5TJ UK inflation jumps to 30-year high of 5.4% as cost of living crisis deepens – as it happened

UK inflation jumps to 30-year high of 5.4% as cost of living crisis deepens – as it happened

by
Julia Kollewe
from on (#5V5TJ)

Paul Dales, chief UK economist at Capital Economics, noted:

After rising from 5.1% in November to 5.4% in December, CPI inflation is now further above the Bank of England's target than at any point since the UK first adopted an inflation target in October 1992. What's more, our forecast is that CPI inflation will shoot up to just above 7.0% in April.

That's why we think the Bank will raise interest rates faster than most expect this year, from 0.25% to 1.25%, with the next hike to 0.50% coming on 3rd February.

Intensifying cost of living pressures, combined with relatively positive GDP and labour market data this month, make it more likely that the Bank of England will consider another modest rise in interest rates in their next MPC meeting in February.

However, given it takes around 12-18 months for the full impact of an increase in rates to be realised in the economy, inflation is expected to continue to rise in the short-term. This will provide no respite to households being squeezed by rising prices and falling real wages.

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