Artificial General Intelligence is Happening, Just a Question of How Much
by Brian Wang from NextBigFuture.com on (#6A3A5)
Stephen McAleese, at Less Wrong, used scaling rules and formulas to try to predict the performance of GPT-4. He underpredicted the capabilities of GPT-4. However, he was not widely wrong. GPT-4 came out earlier than he expected and had better performance than expected. Multi-task Language Understanding on MMLU was better than expected. GPT-4 can work ...