Article 6W314 US-EU trade war could cost Ireland more than €18bn, says report

US-EU trade war could cost Ireland more than €18bn, says report

by
Lisa O'Carroll in Dublin
from Economics | The Guardian on (#6W314)

Report co-authored by Irish government also finds tariffs could cause job losses and relocation of US multinationals

A trade war between the US and the EU could cost Ireland more than 18bn (15bn), trigger waves of job losses and cause US multinationals to relocate, according to a report co-authored by the Irish government.

Ireland's GDP could shrink by 3.7% over the next five to seven years under the worst-case scenario, in which Donald Trump imposed 25% tariffs on all exports on the EU and the EU retaliated with counter-tariffs, the study carried by the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) found.

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