The question for the NSW Liberals after the Kiama drubbing is: can anyone do better than Mark Speakman?

Kellie Sloane has ruled out moving a spill and James Griffin isn't eager. Alister Henskens is thought to lack the numbers. So, for now, the leader might be safe

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Byelections are usually a referendum on the government. But Saturday's Kiama byelection - and the poor performance of the New South Wales Liberals - has deepened angst within the opposition party regarding Mark Speakman's leadership.

In Kiama, Labor increased its primary vote - a feat in itself in a byelection - and looks set to achieve an impressive swing on a two-party-preferred basis. Labor's Katelin McInerney is on track for a thumping 60% to 40% 2PP victory over the Liberal candidate Serena Copley.

Anne Davies is Guardian Australia's NSW state correspondent