Article 705EK Everything to know for betting Week 3 NFL: Sharp action, public betting splits and big bets

Everything to know for betting Week 3 NFL: Sharp action, public betting splits and big bets

by
Ben Fawkes
from NFL News, Scores, Fantasy Games and Highlights 2020 | Yahoo Sports on (#705EK)

Week 3 of the NFL season has arrived, and it's time to get those bets in.

We've compiled where the public is betting at BetMGM sportsbooks, along with some notable wagers and asked around at sportsbooks to find out where the sharp action has come in on Sunday (and Monday's) games.

For all of our NFL betting content, be sure to check out our new betting hub right here.

Trends| Week 3 NFL best bets| Survivor picksWeek 3 odds

Sunday, Sept. 21

1 p.m. ET games

Indianapolis Colts (-4, 43.5) at Tennessee Titans

Green Bay Packers (-8, 41.5) at Cleveland Browns

Cincinnati Bengals at Minnesota Vikings (-3, 42.5)

Pittsburgh Steelers (-1.5, 44.5) at New England Patriots

Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5. 44.5)

New York Jets at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6.5, 43.5)

Las Vegas Raiders at Washington Commanders (-3, 44)

Atlanta Falcons (-5.5, 43.5) at Carolina Panthers

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars (-1.5, 44)

4 p.m. ET games

Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers (-3, 46)

New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks (-7.5, 41.5)

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (-2.5, 45.5)

Dallas Cowboys (-1, 50) at Chicago Bears

Sunday Night Football

Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5, 45) at New York Giants

Monday, Sept. 22

Detroit Lions at Baltimore Ravens (-4.5, 53.5)

Public betting splits

Here is where the betting public has landed on Week 3 games at BetMGM sportsbooks.

Five most-bet games (by total number of wagers)

  1. Green Bay Packers -8

  2. Dallas Cowboys -1

  3. Indianapolis Colts -4

  4. Kansas City Chiefs -6.5

  5. Los Angeles Chargers -3

Five most-bet games (by total dollars wagered)

  1. Indianapolis Colts -4

  2. Kansas City Chiefs -6.5

  3. Dallas Cowboys -1

  4. Green Bay Packers -8

  5. Los Angeles Chargers -3

Most bet totals (by total number of wagers)

  1. Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears Over 50.5

  2. Detroit Lions at Baltimore Ravens Over 53.5

  3. Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars Under 44

  4. Kansas City Chiefs at New York Giants Under 45

  5. Cincinnati Bengals at Minnesota Vikings Over 42.5

Most bet underdogs to win (by total number of wagers)

  1. Detroit Lions +195

  2. Cincinnati Bengals +125

  3. Arizona Cardinals +135

  4. Houston Texans +105

  5. New England Patriots +110

Bookmaker quotes

Popular action in Week 3 is on the Chiefs seeking their first win, the Cowboys their second, and Colts and Packers for their third. Each of these teams covering would be great outcomes for bettors, and the book is hoping for an upset or at least an underdog to cover." - Christian Cipollini, BetMGM trading manager

Packers-Browns

Thomas Gable, sportsbook director at The Borgata: "This game could be pretty lopsided in terms of money-line parlays that'll include the Packers. This potentially could be a one-sided affair in terms of the betting as well, we'll see. We opened Green Bay -8.5, sitting -8. Total has come down half a point, 42 to 41.5. It's been mostly Packers money here. By far, Packers ML has been included in most parlays of any game."

Rams-Eagles

Joey Feazel, NFL trader at Caesars Sportsbook: "A lot of action coming in on the Rams at the moment, we've seen that as the sharp side as well. We opened up on Sunday afternoon at Eagles -4, we've seen it go to a hard -3.5. Not sure if it gets to 3. Right now, one-way traffic on Rams. Eagles offense hasn't shown out and Matthew Stafford had injury concerns before the season, but he looks fine. Rams gave the Eagles the toughest time in the playoffs last year."

Ethan Useloff, Fanatics Sportsbook trader: "Opened at Eagles -4, we're down to -3.5. We're getting two-way action on 3.5, slightly more Eagles wagers - 56% of tickets and 53% of money. Folks expect the Eagles to win this game, but I think this is going to be a very competitive game."

[Check out all of Yahoo's sports betting content here in our new betting hub]

Chiefs-NY Giants

Feazel: "A lot of Chiefs action coming in. How many times do you get to bet against the Chiefs going 0-3? We've seen the Giants defense be competitive, but not last game. Even Russell Wilson looked much improved from Week 1 to Week 2. We're anticipating one-way action on Chiefs going into this game, and money on the over."

Useloff: "This money line is the fourth-most popular selection in parlays so far, a ton of money coming through that selection. Over 93% of bets, and 99% of handle on Chiefs ML. Bettors fully believe Chiefs will get their season back. At 0-3, you have to hit the panic button. In terms of the spread, at 6 flat, 61% of tickets and 50-50 split in terms of money. This is going to be one that customers will be pretty devastated if the Chiefs lost, given how many parlays are running through it."

Lions-Ravens

Feazel: "Ravens got a bump in their power rating, even losing late against Buffalo in Week 1. Last week doesn't tell you that much since it was Browns. In terms of action, a little bit of sharp action on Lions, but probably what we're going to need is the game to stay under. Probably going to need the Ravens to win but not cover."

Sharp action

It's always notable where the respected bettors have landed on this week's games. While these prices may not be available at all sportsbooks, knowing where sharps have wagered can also be instructive for in-game wagering.

Yahoo Sports conversed with several bookmakers over the course of the week, and here is where some sharp action has been (and the numbers it came in at):

  • Dolphins +12.5 WON

  • Colts -3

  • Vikings -2.5

  • Rams +4.5

  • Saints +7.5

  • Falcons -3.5, -4.5

  • 49ers PK

  • Browns +9, +8.5

  • Lions +6, +5.5

Big bets

We'll be keeping track of six-figure (and larger) Week 3 NFL bets from sportsbooks below, as well as if they end up cashing.

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