US Intel Officials “Concerned” China Will Soon Master Reusable Launch
upstart writes:
"They have to have on-orbit refueling because they don't access space as frequently as we do."
SpaceX scored its 500th landing of a Falcon 9 first stage booster on an otherwise routine flight earlier this month, sending 28 Starlink communications satellites into orbit. Barring any unforeseen problems, SpaceX will mark the 500th re-flight of a Falcon first stage later this year.
A handful of other US companies, including Blue Origin, Rocket Lab, Relativity Space, and Stoke Space, are on the way to replicating or building on SpaceX's achievements in recycling rocket parts. These launch providers are racing a medley of Chinese rocket builders to become the second company to land and reuse a first stage booster.
But it will be many years-perhaps a decade or longer-until anyone else matches the kinds of numbers SpaceX is racking up in the realm of reusable rockets. SpaceX's dominance in this field is one of the most important advantages the United States has over China as competition between the two nations extends into space, US Space Force officials said Monday.
"It's concerning how fast they're going," said Brig. Gen. Brian Sidari, the Space Force's deputy chief of space operations for intelligence. "I'm concerned about when the Chinese figure out how to do reusable lift that allows them to put more capability on orbit at a quicker cadence than currently exists."
[...] "They've put more satellites on orbit," Sidari said, referring to China. "They still do not compare to the US, but it is concerning once they figure out that reusable lift. The other one is the megaconstellations. They've seen how the megaconstellations provide capability to the US joint force and the West, and they're mimicking it. So, that does concern me, how fast they're going, but we'll see. It's easier said than done. They do have to figure it out, and they do have some challenges that we haven't dealt with."
One of those challenges is China's continued reliance on expendable rockets. This has made it more important for China to make "game-changing" advancements in other areas, according to Chief Master Sgt. Ron Lerch, the Space Force's senior enlisted advisor for intelligence.
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