D66 has shown the world populists can be beaten, says Jetten, as party is projected to win Dutch election – as it happened

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The ANP news agency offered a bit more colour on how they reached their conclusion, via De Telegraaf.

The agency looked at various scenarios of what could happen with the outstanding votes - in Venray and from overseas postal voters - and concluded that, accounting for historical patterns, the PVV could no longer catch up D66, which currently leads by just over 15,000 votes.