by Brian Wang on (#6VBKW)
xAI revealing Grok 3. Elon Musk claims it will be the smartest AI in the world. https://t.co/HTK4u2aYRu - Elon Musk (@elonmusk) February 18, 2025 X broadcast of the Grok 3 reveal and demo.
NextBigFuture.com
| Link | https://www.nextbigfuture.com/ |
| Feed | http://feeds.feedburner.com/blogspot/advancednano |
| Updated | 2026-03-09 20:04 |
by Brian Wang on (#6VBH1)
All Tesla watchers are eagerly waiting to see the new smaller and lower cost vehicles from Tesla. These new vehicle models are expected to be seen in and built in the next 120 days. However, it is actually tough to spot a compact car with one photo without a full sized vehicle like a Model ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#6VATF)
The Ukraine-Russia war is perfecting the killing of anyone and anything with 6 miles or so of the front. This has been an expansion of no man's land by 100 times since world war 1. US military planners are talking about massive layers of combat. They are basically saying that the first layers tens of ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#6VATG)
The US, China and Japan are working on research and development in gallium oxide crystal growth and productionizing gallium oxide chips. The Gallium oxide chips can have a voltage resistance value 3 times higher and power consumption reduced by 60%. The power semiconductor market, sometimes called power electronics, is a large and important business that ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#6VAKQ)
xAI Grok 3 release with live demo on Monday night at 8pm PT. Elon has said xAI Grok 3 will lead on all of the AI metrics when it is released. Grok 3 has been trained on over 100,000 Nvidia H100 chips. Grok 4 will be released later this year. The rapid pace of xAI ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#6VAG0)
China's DeepSeek has made innovations in the cost of AI and innovations like mixture of experts (MoE) and fine-grain expert segmentation which significantly improve efficiency in large language models. The DeepSeek model activates only about 37 billion parameters out of its total 600+ billion parameters during inference, compared to models like Llama that activate all ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#6VACQ)
There is massive cost cutting with DOGE. 200,000 jobs eliminated by firing all probationary employees. 77,000 taking the 8 month offer to quit. Soon $100 billion in savings out of $500 billion in known waste. Proposal to halve the US, Russian and China military budgets would save $440 billion for the USA. USA would still ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#6VAB9)
In 2023, the Climate Policy Initiative's Global Landscape of Climate Finance 2023 report, annual climate finance flows surpassed USD 1 trillion for the first time in 2021, reaching almost USD 1.3 trillion in 2021/2022. This represents a doubling compared to 2019/2020 levels. Paris Accords came into effect in 2016. U.S. CO2 emissions fell 14% between ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#6VA2X)
President Trump is proposing cutting the military budgets of the USA, China and Russia in half. Cutting the military in half for USA, Russia and China is also doable and makes sense. China and Russia have rapidly shrinking populations. Maintaining 2 million people in the military will not be an option soon. Russia lost 800,000 ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#6VA2Y)
In 2025, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg has become the second richest in the world. Jeff Bezos has rarely not been richest or second richest in the world for the past 8 years. Meta announced its move into AI-powered humanoid robots. There is excitement around AI and robotics for Meta. Meta's stock has been on a ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#6V9Z6)
As I have posted, I am a top 8 predictor on Metaculus out of 34617 people according to Metaculus for baseline accuracy. I was asked by a commenter what my public prediction is for will humans land on Mars by 2030? Yes, I believe humans will land on Mars by 2030. I am superconfident SpaceX ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#6V99Z)
Aubrey de Grey had a large mouse study of combinations of antiaging treatments. They did show that combination treatments did have additive benefits. Combination treatments worked together to improve the lengthening of lifespans. Rapamycin is the strongest main confirmed antiaging treatment. His group is setting up a second experiment with new combination treatments but will ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#6V8YX)
The Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Harry S. Truman (CVN 75) collided with the bulk carrier Besiktas-M off the coast of Egypt yesterday. The Pentagon reports that the collision did not endanger the Harry S. Truman. There have been previous rare collisions with a Navy ship and another ship. It was the result of gross incompetence ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#6V8VH)
Elon announced a deal for a Boring Company Dubai Loop at the end of video presentation interview. I think it has something to do with countries wanting to get on Elon's good side. Las Vegas is building out a 68 mile Boring company system with 104 stations connecting everything along the Vegas strip to the ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#6V8FV)
SpaceX Starship had by far the longest static fire ever of about 1 minute. SpaceX upgraded the flame trench and other systems. This enables longer static fires. They can now test more conditions and stress systems in different ways. The extended firing tested new hardware and cycled the six Raptor engines through multiple thrust levels ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#6V8DX)
UBER only made $2.8 billion in operating profit in 2024. They had some tax revaluation net income but those were one off financial effects. The $2.8 billion was less than 1.5% of gross revenue and 7% of UBER share of revenue. This means that UBER is far more vulnerable to any price competition. Tesla robotaxi ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#6V88F)
The ULA (United Launch Alliance) rocket is not fully authorized for the US Space Force. The first Vulcan launch by about four years before ULA successfully completed the rocket's first demonstration flight in January 2024. ULA expected to be ready to launch the first military mission on the Vulcan rocket in mid-2024, plus two more ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#6V866)
I have made several thousand public predictions at Metaculus. I , Brian Wang, ranked 8th in Baseline Accuracy out of 34617 forecasters. This is a 99.98 percentile ranking. Apparently, some people do not understand a description converted into a mathematical term. Percentile is a mathematical term that is not saying there was X% correct. I ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#6V83M)
Tesla in 2019 and 2020 had a runup from less than $15 per share in 2019 to over $60 by February 21 2020 and then it dropped in half to less than $28. Tesla was in the process of getting Tesla Model Y up to mass production and then get Tesla Shanghai into ramped production. ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#6V7MH)
Federal Government employment records are all in paper records stored in a former limestone mine that looks like the warehouse at the end of Raiders of the Lost Ark. The Limestone mine vital records storage was built in the 1950s and the manual procedures have not been updated for about 70 years. The Iron Mountain's ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#6V7K9)
At an announcement for a new federal agency tasked with declassifying information for the American public on multiple assassinations and also unidentified flying objects, Florida Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, heads the New Declassification Task Force, says that her review of the new material supports two shooters in the JFK assassination in Dallas in 1963. We ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#6V7F1)
Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) V14 will use auto-regressive transformers. This technology will help FSD predict the plans and paths of the surrounding environment, allowing it to more accurately anticipate the actions of other vehicles, pedestrians, etc., and make human-like decisions. FSD V14 will also increase the model size and context size, and will enable more ... Read more
by cybernewswire on (#6V748)
Austin, Texas, 11th February 2025, CyberNewsWire
by cybernewswire on (#6V6VW)
Luxembourg, Luxembourg, 11th February 2025, CyberNewsWire
by Brian Wang on (#6V6R2)
The $97.4 billion bid by Elon Musk and his consortium to acquire OpenAI is likely a move to delay and complicate OpenAI's growth and conversion to for profit. Sam and his board won't take the offer but they will have to explain why in court. Other owners in the nonprofit will want a piece of ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#6V6GY)
All 1500+ new Tesla cars drive from the Fremony factory to the loading docks every day. This is about 2000 miles per day of driving without a human driver. They could also drive from truck offloads to shipping lots in Austin, Shanghai, Berlin. It will move up from 2000 miles per day to 6000-20000 miles ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6V5QK)
SpaceX performed a static fire of Booster 15 for the eighth flight of Starship. SpaceX has applied for a communications license from the FCC for Starship Flight 8 with a start date of February 24, 2025. Starship Flight 8 is expected to launch no earlier than February 24, 2025. However, the exact launch date could ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6V5EF)
The Department of Government Efficiency has the objective of cutting government spending by $2 trillion per year out of $6.8 trillion in spending. This is nearly as large as the $2.43 trillion/year in individual income tax. Tariffs were $80B/year last year. Increasing it to $500B combined with cuts in waste, fraud and adding tariffs would ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6V5C3)
Cursor has no marketing and a team of fewer than 20 people. Cursor is a Software as a Service (SaaS) for an AI code editor. AI-Powered Coding: Cursor offers an AI-enhanced code editor that integrates with Visual Studio Code (VS Code), providing real-time AI assistance for coding tasks. This includes writing, editing, and automating code, ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6V58K)
Amazon AWS will invest $100 billion in 2025 to take the lead in AI spending. Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said recent efficiency innovations by China's DeepSeek should increase overall customer spending on generative AI, rather than reduce it. $320 billion in spending from the top four companies in 2025 CapEx projections: - Amazon - $100 ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6V4XA)
The NASA Artemis 2 mission would be a manned lunar flyby. It will cost about $5-10 billion with the SLS and Orion systems. A SpaceX Falcon Heavy option with modified Dragon would cost about $2-3 billion. Alternative vehicle costs: Falcon Heavy: Approximately $90-150 million per launch New Glenn: Exact pricing not publicly available, but estimated ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6V4XB)
Boeing is preparing for the cancellation of the Space Launch System rocket. Some are arguing for the cancellation after the Artemis 2 and Artemis 3 flight. However, there are months of fixes needed for the human rated Orion. The heat shield is not safe. Rushing to get off two more flights will likely cost over ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6V4WC)
Astronomers looked more closely at one of seven stars that looked like possible Dyson sphere candidates from earlier observations. They used high-resolution e-MERLIN and EVN (e-VLBI) observations of a radio source associated with Dyson Sphere candidate G, identified as part of Project Hephaistos. The radio source, VLASS J233532.86-000424.9, is resolved into three compact components and ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6V4PP)
Google had fallen far behind in the AI race but has gotten into the lead with Gemini 2.0. Google Gemini 2 is powerful, fast and very low cost. It is better than Claude, faster than O3-mini and cheaper than Deepseek. It will cost $1 per 1 million tokens per hour. Theo reviewed it and he ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6V3Y6)
Tesla is starting production at its new 80 GWh/year Shanghai Megapack factory on Feb 11, 2025 and they have started construction on a third megapack factory that will likely be 80-160 GWh/year. There were 200 GWH/year of fixed energy storage installed in 2024 and Tesla installed bout 30 GWH of it. Tesla will install about ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6V3VD)
Advertisers all returned to X (previously Twitter) a few months before the November 2024 election. 2024 X profits were $1.25 billion which was about double the highest adjusted EBITDA of Twitter which was in 2021 at $682 million. This means just holding onto the 2024 advertisers would give X a full year of around $2.5 ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6V3BM)
Lex Fridman talked to two AI hardware and LLM experts about Deepseek and the state of AI. Dylan Patel is a chip expert and the founder of SemiAnalysis and Nathan Lambert is a research scientist at the Allen Institute for AI (Ai2) and the author of a blog on AI called Interconnects. - The conversation ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6V3BN)
Tesla is now officially hiring engineers to prepare for mass production of Optimus (Tesla Bot) in their Fremont factory in California. Tesla plans to produce 5,000 to 10,000 Teslabots in 2025 and 50,000 to 100,000 in 2026 and 500,000 to 1 million in 2027.
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by Brian Wang on (#6V2XD)
Fubon Research has a $1000 Tesla (TSLA US) **2026 - (Basic Assumptions for 2026)** - Revenue growth rate: 15% - Gross profit margin: 20% - Operating profit margin: 15% - Tax rate: 20% - Investment in capital expenditure: 6% of revenue - 2026Q4 EPS (Earnings Per Share): $2.19, YoY (Year over Year) +21.2% - ... Read more
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by cybernewswire on (#6V2Q5)
Silver Spring, Maryland, 5th February 2025, CyberNewsWire
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by Brian Wang on (#6V2A6)
Tesla said they have a goal of making 10,000 Teslabots in 2025 and increase to 50,000 to 100,000 in 2026 and 500,000 to 1 million in 2027. How will there usage impact Tesla factories and profits? Tesla is in the process of converting factory operations to the unboxed process. This is creating more large lego ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6V282)
China has the second largest sovereign wealth fund in the world at $1.3 trillion and it has over $16 trillion in debt. Singapore also has both a large national debt and a large sovereign wealth fund. The Federal Reserve holds about $4.4 trillion in T-bills and bonds. The US already holds a lot of financial ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6V266)
In 2014, the US Navy installed its first prototype SSL (solid state laser) capable of countering surface craft and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) on a Navy ship. The Navy since then has been developing and installing additional SSL prototypes with improved capability for countering surface craft and UAVs. Higher-power SSLs being developed by the Navy ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6V233)
The US is creating a national sovereign wealth fund. There have been several states that have made wealth funds. Alaska has a $64 billion fund. The U.S. sovereign wealth fund could approach or exceed $2 trillion. The largest sovereign wealth funds is $1.7 trillion. At the time of the executive order's signing, no specific initial ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6V234)
Concentrated Solar Energy plant would generate thousands of degrees of heat and caused the death of 6000 birds per year. The plant uses 5 square miles (12.9 square kilometres) of giant mirrors that focus beams of concentrated sunlight onto three different 40-storey-tall towers. The plant sits along the Pacific Flyway - a popular migratory route ... Read more
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by cybernewswire on (#6V1SP)
Austin, TX, USA, 4th February 2025, CyberNewsWire
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by Brian Wang on (#6V1BF)
Canada is implementing a $1.3 billion border plan - reinforcing the border with new choppers, technology and personnel, enhanced coordination with our American partners, and increased resources to stop the flow of fentanyl. Nearly 10,000 frontline personnel are and will be working on protecting the border. In addition, Canada is making new commitments to appoint ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6V0N7)
The US Navy released a new photo of USS Preble (DDG-88) firing her HELIOS laser weapon. It is a 60 kilowatt combat laser. badass pic.twitter.com/i3thc0dH6H - CommonSenseOnMars (@CommonSenseMars) February 3, 2025 The USS Preble is the first U.S. Navy vessel equipped with HELIOS, a 60-kilowatt-class directed energy laser weapon developed by Lockheed Martin. It is ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6V0N8)
SpaceX Starship V3 will be 20-30 meters taller with a proposed height of 140 to 150 meters. This increase in height is aimed at accommodating more propellant, thus increasing payload capacity. SpaceX could upgrade to Starship version 3 by November, 2025. It is projected that Starship V3 could have a payload capacity of approximately 200 ... Read more
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by Brian Wang on (#6V046)
There are now 25% tariffs on everything made in Canada and Mexico and this could increase to 50%. Trump promised to double the tariffs if Canada and Mexico retaliated and they did. There was a 2018 study of proposed tariffs in the 10-25% range. However, cars are now 34% more expensive than in 2018. The ... Read more
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