NextBigFuture.com

Kelvin Mu, Translink Capital, estimates that OpenAI's $1.5 billion in revenue is split pretty evenly right now between B2C (GPT plus subscriptions) and B2B (API tokens). B2B will be the larger future revenue. For B2C: The total TAM is about $10-20B. Tech incumbents make more now. Google ($280B), Microsoft ($218B), and Meta ($117B). The breakeven ... Read more

China's HTR-PM (High Temperature) modular pebble bed reactor has finally started commmercial operation. It has two small reactors (each of 250 MWt) that drive a single 210 MWe steam turbine. It uses helium as coolant and graphite as the moderator. Each reactor is loaded with more than 400,000 spherical fuel elements (pebbles'), each 60 mm ... Read more

Ford has cut back its F150 Lightning electric truck sales target in 2024 from 160,000 to about 80,000. It is estimated that Ford loses $36,000 to 60,000 USD on every EV it sells. The scaled back plans would reduce annual losses in the EV division by $2.5 to 5 billion. Ford has also postponed about ... Read more

Tesla has introduced Optimus Gen 2. Tesla designed actuators and sensors 2-Dof actuated neck Actuators integrated electronics & harnessing 30% walk speed boost Foot force/torque sensing 22lb (10kg) weight reduction Better hands, able to handle eggs and other delicate work There's a new bot in town Check ... Read more

Computer coding genius George Hotz asks the Mistral 7B model to make the Q* algorithm in python and run it. This is near AGI level actions. He added in a human in the loop safety feature. It worthwhile to watch how George Hotz prompts the LLM.

X (aka Twitter) is making $600 million per quarter in ad revenue and this is 70% of total revenue. This is $3.4 billion annually. Elon Musk had said expenses were about $2 billion per year and another $1 billion per year for debt servicing. This was after cutting excess staff and other expenses. The total ... Read more

SpaceX and the US Air Force Research Lab will have a series of 2024 test flights and is testing systems with a mockup. The Military department will test and gather data for a decision in 2026 on whether to operationalize Rocket Cargo or move onto something else. Rocket Cargo is one of the lab's so-called ... Read more

Felix Schlang at What About It? and Ringwatchers have photos, diagrams and reporting that SpaceX has built and is ground testing the Starlink satellite pez dispenser system.

2023 was a huge year for AI and Large Language Models. What are the predictions for AI in 2024? Nvidia is making the main chips that power AI and has insight into what thousands of companies are doing with AI. Nvidia has its 2024 AI predictions. Hundreds of Customized AI For Each Company Customization is ... Read more

The DOE funding $42 million to support three hubs to develop inertial fusion. The hubs will be led by researchers at Colorado State University, the University of Rochester, and Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. Projects funded by the program-known as Inertial Fusion Energy Science and Technology Accelerated Research (IFE-STAR)-will bring together expertise and capabilities across DOE's ... Read more

- Helicity Space got $5 million in seed round funding from several new investors including Airbus Ventures, TRE Ventures, Voyager Space Holdings, E2MC Space, Urania Ventures and Gaingels. There is no need to wait for terrestrial fusion power to begin using fusion propulsion in space. Pushing a spacecraft with short bursts of fusion can be ... Read more

SpaceX and Space Systems Command USSF-52 mission with a space plane on Monday night was scrubbed. Space Force X-37B spaceplane is slated to launch its seventh mission overall and first on SpaceX's Falcon Heavy, headed to a unique orbit as soon as 8:14pm ET tonight. SpaceX has scrubbed tonight's launch of a Falcon Heavy rocket ... Read more

Quantum computers leverage some aspects of quantum physics to make computers. They can create huge amounts of quantum states but it is also difficult to make the actual algorithms to use the abundant states. A classical (regular) computer would need more atoms than are in the entire universe to match the number of quantum stats ... Read more

Joe Tegtmeyer has close up analysis of the Tesla. The Tesla Cybertruck can complete the interior other than the A,B and C pillars along with the front windshield. It is then just five major parts to complete the outside body including the bed of the cybertruck. This is far fewer parts and steps for the ... Read more

Joe Tegtmeyer has a youtube channel where he has extensive daily coverage of what is happening at the Tesla Austin Texas Gigafactory. Joe operates drone coverage of the entire site. Joe has determined that General Assembly line 3 is being built now and it will be used for the next generation car. A lot of ... Read more

Youtuber Pilot Photog has created 3D models of the Lockheed NGAD concept. Lockheed's Ultimate Secret Projects (Skunkworks) team has just unveiled the silhouette and concept drawing of their next generation air dominance fighter, the NGAD. Pilot Photog has a groundbreaking 3D model and explore the incredible capabilities of this game-changing fighter. There is detailed look ... Read more

The SpaceX Falcon Heavy launch for the US air force has been delayed to Monday, December 11. Now targeting Monday, December 11 for Falcon Heavy's launch of the USSF-52 mission, with weather conditions forecasted to improve to 70% favorable for liftoff on Monday night. The team will use the time to complete additional pre-launch check ... Read more

China's Navy researchers have claimed to have solved issues to make military relevant and useful railguns. China has mounted a single test railgun on a ship since about 2018-2019. China has talked about 32 megajoule power range tests and plans and future 100 megajoule systems. The US is now working with Japan to develop and ... Read more

IF SpaceX can launch all of the planned Falcon Heavy and Falcon 9 launches planned in December, then they can hit their goal of 100 launches in 2023. This would include two failed Starship Super Heavy orbital launch attempts. It will go down to the wire to see if the SpaceX can reach 100 launches ... Read more

The SpaceX Super Heavy Starship is made from stainless steel just like the new Tesla Cybertruck. The Tesla Cybertruck has a cold rolled process that converts the stainless steel to corrosion resistant Martensitic steel. The Tesla Cybertruck will be mass produced with 250,000 to a million units per year. The conversion of the austenitic stainless ... Read more

The Tesla Cybertruck is the first car with a 48 volt lower power system and this will save about 70% of the copper used in the vehicle. The Cybertruck is running gigabit ethernet cabling for data along with the 48-volt power on the same cable. This uses 4 times lower amperage and replaces the device ... Read more

US Air Force mission USSF-52 (OTV-7) is targeting a 5:14 PM PST launch tomorrow December 10, 2023. SpaceX won a competitive bid for the Air Force mission with a Falcon Heavy over a Delta IV. SpaceX's 92 launch of 2023 took place on Thursday, December 7 when a Falcon 9 successfully launched 23 Starlink v2 ... Read more

A group of Chinese navy engineers claim to have built an electromagnetic rail gun that can swiftly fire a multitude of projectiles without sustaining damage. There were older photos that China had mounted a full-sized railgun onto a navy ship. IF the China's navy railgun breakthrough claims are true then China has a massive lead ... Read more

Despite steady improvements in quantum computers, they are still noisy and error prone, which leads to questionable or wrong answers. In June, 2023, scientists predicted that Quantum Computers won't truly outcompete todays classical supercomputers for at least five or 10 years, until researchers can adequately correct the errors that bedevil entangled quantum bits, or qubits. ... Read more

DNA nanostructures can perform some of the complex robotic fabrication process for manufacturing and self-replication. Building things and performing work with nanorobots has been a major technical and scientific goal. This has been done and published in the peer reviewed journal Science. Nadrian C. Ned" Seeman (December 16, 1945 - November 16, 2021) was an ... Read more

Julia Roberts faces a mysterious apocalypse in Netflix's Leave the World Behind. Mahershala Ali and Ethan Hawke are also in the movie. The fictional movie shows Tesla FSD going crazy and Julia Roberts and Ethan Hawke trying to escape. Real world robotaxi problems were multiple GM Cruise cars blocking traffic for hours in San Francisco ... Read more

PsiQuantum has raised about $665 million and has a valuation of over $3 billion. PsiQuantum is developing a photonic quantum computer that will have millions of physical qubits and eventually millions of error corrected qubits. Their belief is that small scale quantum systems will not be useful and only large scale systems will be able ... Read more

Ramat Gan, Israel, December 7th, 2023, Cyberwire Reflectiz, a cybersecurity company specializing in continuous web threat management, proudly introduces a new AI-powered capability enhancing its Smart Alerting system. The new AI-powered insights enhances the Reflectiz Smart Alerting system by integrating AI LLM technology on top of its traditional alerting tool for cross-checking the validity of ... Read more

Google Gemini breaks 90% mark for MMLU, which is beyond expert human level for this set of tests. For the first time, a large language model has breached the 90% mark on MMLU, designed to be very difficult for AI. Gemini Ultra scored 90.04%; average humans are at 34.5% (AGI) while expert humans are at ... Read more

Vladan Vuletic (MIT professor and QuEra Co-founder) had a scientific and technical presentation at the 2023 Q2B conference today. The main part of the talk came on the last slide where Vladan laid out his projection for how QuEra and its research partners will be able to advance their breakthrough Quantum Error Correction work. Vladan ... Read more

At the end of 2022, China had 280.0 million people aged 60 and over and this was 19.8% of the national population. 210 million people are aged 65 and over which were accounting for 14.9% of the national population). The 80-year-old and over age group accounted for 13.5% of the elderly population in 2020. The ... Read more

Lakiesha Hawkins, deputy associate administrator for NASA's Moon to Mars program office, one of her slides (at a Congressional Committee presentation) said SpaceX is moving quickly toward the third Super Heavy/Starship launch and that this flight will include a propellant transfer demonstration. SpaceX Has a $52 million cryogenic fluid management NASA Tipping point award. This ... Read more

Q-CTRL has raised a total of over $70 million. They provide quantum error suppression and quantum error mitigation to improve the performance of quantum computers (superconducting, trapped ion, neutral atom). They leave quantum error correction to the hardware makers. They are working with customers and a shipping parcel loading optimization problem is economically useful. The ... Read more

the Global Quantum Computer market is $848 million in 2023 and is growing to about $1.5 billion in 2026. The main algorithms are for Modeling/Simulation, Optimization, AI and cybersecurity. There is growing amount of mixed purpose. The end markets are Research and Development (science investigation) Chemicals (excluding pharma) Financial cybersecurity About 15 other areas.

We have entered the start of new era of error corrected quantum computers. There has been a journal Nature paper on the work of a 48 logical qubit error corrected system by researchers from Harvard, MIT, QuEra and NIST/Maryland Usher. There is another article that gives the state of quantum error correction today. There is ... Read more

Google just revealed Gemini and will directly integrate the AI into Google apps. The GPT-4 competitor comes in 3 models - Ultra, Pro, and Nano. Gemini is multimodal and can recognize images and speak in real-time. With a score of 90%, Gemini Ultra is the FIRST AI model to outperform human experts on the MMLU ... Read more

Quantum Computer science legend, Dr John Preskill, just delivered a Q2B Quantum computer 2023 keynote talk on the state of Quantum Error correction with quantum computers. Preskill reported that Rydberg Atom and movable atom approaches are making the fastest progress to quantum error correction. There is a Harvard/MIT paper being released today that describes some ... Read more

I was at the Q2B quantum Computer conference today and there was a talk about NSM-10 and the change of the encryption that underlies global finance and data protection. In 2024, the US government will start adopting new encryption rules and a phase out of existing encryption. There is a study being released next year ... Read more

Kim Jong-un has been filmed crying while appealing to North Korea's women to have more children. North Korea's leader was spotted dabbing his eyes with a white handkerchief while addressing thousands of women. Many in the audience also wept. Nextbigfuture has been writing extensively about the massive economic problems and risks to the world from ... Read more

Edwards AirForce Base is and will be testing the most weapons since the 1960s. There are upgrades to most of the old planes, new versions and new weapons. The B-21 Raider bomber. Five dedicated T-7A test aircraft that will be put through its paces over the next two years. Eight or more B-52 aircraft will ... Read more

JP Morgan is working to apply all kinds of quantum systems with all kinds of quantum hardware. They have proved different clear academic examples of speedup over classical systems with quantum systems. However, it is currently has not been done on major financially valuable problems. The proofs are done on problems which are easy to ... Read more

I am at the Q2B (Quantum to Business) conference this week. Scott Aaronson is presenting the keynote today and talking about Quantum Supremacy. There are specific examples of speedup quadratic and polynomial speedups on specific problems. There is no general speedup proven yet. It is easier to measure the speedup on weird problems and specific ... Read more

On 4 December, IBMs new Quantum Chip called Condo with 1,121 superconducting qubits arranged in a honeycomb pattern was revealed. It follows on from its other record-setting, bird-named machines, including a 127-qubit chip in 2021 and a 433-qubit one last year. IBM also unveiled a chip called Heron that has 133 qubits, but with a ... Read more

New high-performance ultrafast lasers are being made on nanophotonic chips. The new work centers on miniaturizing mode-lock lasers - a unique laser that emits a train of ultrashort, coherent light pulses in femtosecond intervals, which is an astonishing quadrillionth of a second. Ultrafast mode-locked lasers are indispensable to unlocking the secrets of the fastest timescales ... Read more

Grok is rolling out now and this week to X Premium+ Users. It has realtime access to the X feed. Grok can be very useful at improving and increasing your followers and engagement on X. Good summary! Note, Grok access is being opened up slowly to premium+ users over the coming week or so, prioritized ... Read more

IBM has a new quantum computing roadmap out to 2033 but the critical turning point is around 2029 when IBM goes from error mitigation to error correction. Quantum error suppression and error mitigation is making a substantial difference now as is shown by peer reviewed work by Q-CTRL. The IBM projections seem to be guiding ... Read more

Government Accounting Office (GAO) projects the HLS (Human Landing System - AKA SpaceX Lunar Starship) development takes as many months as NASA major projects do, on average, the Artemis III mission (first moon manned landing) would likely occur in early 2027. This would be a delay from the current 2025 target. GAO analysis of past ... Read more

IBM Quantum System Two is the building block of quantum-centric supercomputing. IBM Quantum System Two is the bedrock for scalable quantum computation. It is now operational at IBMs lab in Yorktown Heights, NY. It is 22 feet wide, 12 feet high, and today features three IBM Quantum Heron processors. It combines cryogenic infrastructure with third-generation ... Read more

ETH Zurich researchers taught an autonomous excavator to construct dry stone walls itself using boulders weighing several tonnes and demolition debris. * dry stone wall construction has involved vast amounts of manual labor. * A multidisciplinary team of ETH Zurich researchers developed a method of using an autonomous excavator to construct a dry-stone wall that ... Read more

Chemical production using solid processes is energy intensive and causes over 10% of greenhouse emissions by requiring temperatures of up to a thousand degrees centigrade. A new process instead uses liquid metals, in this case dissolving tin and nickel which gives them unique mobility, enabling them to migrate to the surface of liquid metals and ... Read more