NextBigFuture.com

More views of the SpaceX Super Heavy Starship launch from the launch tower cameras and via a telescope.

Tesla has started the rollout of FSD 12 to Tesla employees. FSD v12 is the update that is expected to remove beta" from the title. The initial rollout to employees appears more limited in scale than previous updates. Considering the magnitude of the changes in this version, it makes sense to start slow. The internal ... Read more

Dr Alan Thompson has been closely tracking all AI and large language models at lifearchitect.ai. Alan believes the Q Star rumors are a red herring but he has been saying the critical next steps to go to 60-80% AGI are humanoid robotics. Humanoid robotics that are could pass Steve Wozniak's test of AGI: walk into ... Read more

Elon Musk says the next-generation Raptor engine that is robust enough not to require a heat shield. It will also have more thrust, higher Isp and many other improvements. Could make them faster, but engine production is not the limiting factor. I'm very excited about the next-gen Raptor engine that is robust enough not to ... Read more

Toyota has published an advanced battery roadmap in September, 2023 which has new iron phosphate batteries and solid state batteries in 2026. Toyota's strategy includes three new liquid electrolyte battery technologies to achieve higher power, longer driving range, faster charging and lower cost and mass production of solid-state batteries. They will have next generation batteries. ... Read more

Combining the Arm-based NVIDIA Grace CPU and Hopper GPU architectures using NVIDIA NVLink-C2C interconnect technology is the Nvidia GH200. The Nvidia GH200 is the engine behind AI and scientific supercomputing centers across the globe. GH200-powered centers represent some 200 exaflops of AI performance to drive scientific innovation. HPE Cray Supercomputers Integrate NVIDIA Grace Hopper HPE ... Read more

Tesla is expected to make an initial investment of USD 2 billion to set up an assembly factory in India. Tesla will increase purchases of auto parts from the nation to as much as USD 15 billion. Tesla would set up a factory in India in 2024. Most of the car would be made in ... Read more

In benchmarks against LLaMA 2 and PaLM 2, Inflection-2 beat them on most counts, @inflectionAI said. It trails GPT-4 on several that OpenAI has published, but notes it's a much bigger model. Inflection started training its next model today, which it says will be 100x larger. The Inflection mission is to create a personal AI ... Read more

OpenAI Q* has likely solved planning/agentic behavior for small models. Scale this up to a very large model and you can start planning for increasingly abstract goals. It is a fundamental breakthrough that is the crux of agentic behavior. With Q*, OpenAI have likely solved planning/agentic behavior for small models Scale this up to a ... Read more

The Duxion eJet motor, an electric jet engine will enable electric aviation by using permanent magnet technology to deliver unprecedented power-to-weight ratios within a compact design. Rim Driven Fan Technology attaches the blades directly to the rim, creating a complete rotor, and moves the electro-mechanical elements to the periphery. The result is a system that ... Read more

The UK has announced five major quantum computing missions. The UK Quantum Computing Missions Mission 1 By 2035, there will be accessible, UK-based quantum computers capable of running 1 trillion operations and supporting applications that provide benefits well in excess of classical supercomputers across key sectors of the economy. Mission 2 By 2035, the UK ... Read more

Canada has added 1.23 million in less than 11 months (over 3%) and over 2 million people in less than 23 months. Canada was at 30.7 million people in 2000 and now surpassing 40.5 million. Canada's per capita nominal GDP was $24k in 2000 and the US was at $36k. Now Canada is at $55k ... Read more

The battle at OpenAI was possibly due to a massive breakthrough dubbed Q* (Q-learning). Q* is a precursor to AGI. What Q* might have done is bridged a big gap between Q-learning and pre-determined heuristics. This could be revolutionary, as it could give a machine future sight" into the optimal next step, saving it a ... Read more

there are reports from Reuters that OpenAI has a new large language model called Q* (Q Star) that is capable of solving simple math problems. The researchers involved believe it is a major step toward creating artificial general intelligence (AGI) and possibly artificial superintellence (ASI). Some at OpenAI believe Q* (pronounced Q-Star) could be a ... Read more

BYD has signed a deal with local conglomerate Huaihai Holding Group to jointly build a sodium battery manufacturing base with an annual capacity of tens of GWh. FinDreams, BYD's battery making unit, and Huaihai signed a deal on November 18 in Shenzhen, where BYD is headquartered, to build the sodium battery site in Xuzhou, Jiangsu ... Read more

Northvolt announced a state-of-the-art sodium-ion battery, developed for the expansion of cost-efficient and sustainable energy storage systems worldwide. The cell has been validated for a best-in-class energy density of over 160 watt-hours per kilogram at the company's R&D and industrialization campus, Northvolt Labs, in Vasteras, Sweden. Northvolt's validated cell is more safe, cost-effective, and sustainable ... Read more

Guided by machine learning, chemists at the Department of Energy's Oak Ridge National Laboratory designed a record-setting carbonaceous supercapacitor material that stores four times more energy than the best commercial material. A supercapacitor made with the new material could store more energy - improving regenerative brakes, power electronics and auxiliary power supplies. This research has ... Read more

OpenAI has reached an agreement in principle for Sam Altman to return as CEO. OpenAi will have a new board. Microsoft, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella and Sam Altman are the big winners. They have gotten complete control. Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella has made bold moves to get control of the leading artificial intelligence effort. Nadella ... Read more

Aurora Flight Sciences, a Boeing Company, has been selected for phase 1 of the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) SPeed and Runway INdependent Technologies (SPRINT) X-Plane Demonstration Project. This project aims to design, build, and fly an X-Plane to demonstrate technologies and integrated concepts necessary for a transformational combination of aircraft speed and runway ... Read more

Binance, the world's largest crypto exchange, was criminally charged with breaking sanctions and money-transmitting laws and agreed to pay $4.3 billion to settle case. Founder Changpeng CZ" Zhao pled guilty to charges he personally faced and agreed to pay a $50 million fine. CZ is resigning as CEO. Richard Teng, a former Abu Dhabi regulator ... Read more

Layer 3 blockchain Orbs has generated plenty of press of late, a result of its native token surging in value. While the positive $ORBS price action was largely credited to an expansion in its market accessibility, a series of notable developments within the Orbs ecosystem cannot be overlooked. Another aspect which should be discounted is ... Read more

The Israeli army said Tuesday that its forces have completed the encirclement of the city of Jabaliya, and are ready to deepen the fighting as they sought to take control of one of the last major Hamas strongholds in the northern Gaza Strip. The northern city of Jabaliya is considered to be a Hamas stronghold ... Read more

Lockheed Martin has a video ad for 80 years of Skunkwork projects which includes a drawing of a tailless fighter design. The tailless fighter is being used for the NGAD (next generation air dominance) 6th generation fighter. The new ad has the tailless manned tactical jet concept. It look like the design of the Next ... Read more

There are reports of the IDF entering the tunnels in Gaza. They are using the LANIUS drones and other weapons. The LANIUS weapons systems moves close in tunnels and buildings. It can scout and map and also engage with explosive payloads. It can operate under a soldiers control or autonomously.

Arxiv - A survey of applications and end-to-end complexities. (337 pages. Oct 2023) by Researchers at AWS Center for Quantum Computing, Institute for Quantum Information, RWTH Aachen University (Germany), Caltech, Imperial College of London, Harvard, Alfred Renyi Institute of Mathematics, Budapest, Hungary, IT University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark, Amazon Quantum Solutions Lab. Abstract The anticipated ... Read more

I spoke at a Twitter space on SpaceX Investment. SpaceX is already well on its way to a monopoly in Space launch and with satellite production. 80% of all the space launch payload is by SpaceX. Over half of all orbital space launches is by SpaceX. SpaceX is making and launching about 200 Starlink satellites ... Read more

The public competitive futurist prediction site, Metaculus, has a new leaderboard system. I was top 1% forecaster in 2022, coming in 40th out of 4940 predictors. In 2023, I am 28th out of 4950 predictors for 1 year baseline accuracy (almost to 0.5%). In 2023, I am 21st out of 2000 predictors for 2 year ... Read more

It seems like Sam Altman and Satya Nadella, CEO of Microsoft will have won completely. Sam and Microsoft will do whatever they want for almost the entire OpenAI team. It could be with the old OpenAI or in the new Microsoft entity. Microsoft will fund the Sam AI team with all the resources needed. They ... Read more

The previous Microsoft deal would have ended when OpenAI reaches AGI. Microsoft paid $10 billion for 49% of only one part of the complex OpenAI structure would have ended when OpenAI reached AGI. Other AI teams like Google and Grok will be able to catch up with the disarray and raiding of 20-40% of the ... Read more

Starship Flight 3 hardware should be ready to fly in 3 to 4 weeks. There are three ships in final production in the high bay (as can be seen from the highway). There will need to be a new FAA license but there is no launch pad issue for the next flight. SpaceX needs to ... Read more

Sam Altman and Greg Brockman are at a new AI subsidiary of Microsoft. Microsoft will spend over $50 billion on AI data centers. Dave Lee analysis: 1. Sam/Greg form new AI Research" group in Microsoft. The group has the option to spin off as new company whenever they want. Agreement is that if company is ... Read more

I will be joining a twitter space today on SpaceX from an Investors perspective. We're talking SpaceX from investors perspective tomorrow evening. - what does Starship OFT-2 mean for investors ? - who in their right mind is paying $150B+ for company that fails" so much? - business stuff about Starlink, Starshield, and more ... Read more

A superintelligence is a hypothetical agent that possesses intelligence far surpassing that of the brightest and most gifted human minds. Superintelligence" may also refer to a property of problem-solving systems (e.g., superintelligent language translators or engineering assistants) whether or not these high-level intellectual competencies are embodied in agents that act in the world. A superintelligence ... Read more

Every Tesla car with Hardware 3 has a 144 trillion op computer and Hardware 4 cars have about 400 trillion ops. Elon Musk has said he will be able to generate revenue for Tesla and Tesla car owners by selling that compute for inference AI. The compute is there for $400 for Tesla and $400 ... Read more

Twitter data is a key part of training Grok. X Corp (Twitter) investors will own 25% of xAI. Corp investors will own 25% of xAI - Elon Musk (@elonmusk) November 19, 2023

Tesla is already dominating electric car charging. All of the car companies selling in North America have agreed to use Tesla superchargers. The Tesla superchargers are the only reliable chargers out there. The Tesla version 4 superchargers can charge at 350 kilowatts. This can add about 200 miles of range to a Semi truck in ... Read more

There are comments from some OpenAI insiders that the OpenAI executive and board battle will be resolved by the end of today. However, it looks like many key OpenAI will leave for new or other companies. There will be the winning group that stays at OpenAI and then the losing side will go to its ... Read more

Sam Altman could return as the CEO of OpenAI. The Board that fired Sam could all step down. The Board does not have the support of the investors or the employees. This just keeps getting wilder and wilder? OpenAI's board is in talks with Sam Altman to bring him BACK as CEO?!?https://t.co/zNG4AuWiMs - Matt Wolfe ... Read more

The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) has taken control of significantly more area in northern and southern Gaza. Senior Hamas member Ahmed Bahr has been killed by an Israeli airstrike, according to a statement made by Hamas. There is continued Understanding War report: 1. Israeli forces continued advancing eastwards from the al Shifa Hospital, which is ... Read more

Tesla has FSD (full self driving) mainly in North America. About 10-20% of Tesla buyers in the US and Canada buy FSD. If Tesla can successfully grow FSD in China and Europe to match the levels of adoption in the USA then this would triple FSD sales. Tesla has begun including Full Self-Driving (FSD) beta ... Read more

I met the manager and promoter for a successful new music artist. The successful artist is Keshi and the manager/promoter is JamesDai. James is with Soka Talent Group. Keshi is a musician with millions of views for each of his songs on Youtube and who plays at large stadiums in China. This is becoming very ... Read more

China's Mars sample return mission, Tianwen-3, is scheduled to launch in late 2028. The mission will consist of two launches, with a lander and ascent vehicle on a Long March 5 and an orbiter and return module on a Long March 3B. The samples are expected to return to Earth in July 2031. New details ... Read more

Spacex flight termination (destruction of the booster) was at 3:20. This was after the stage separation. The second stage (Starship) reached roughly 148km altitude before it was also destroyed. Upper stage now at 148km altitude pic.twitter.com/3LdPSkLJrL - JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets) November 18, 2023 Based on the last altitude/velocity numbers on SpaceX's webcast, I estimate a Starship ... Read more

SpaceX had a mostly successful launch and the launchpad is undamaged so a third launch can go within about 28 days. 1. Launch pad appears to be fully intact, indicating low likelihood of delay for next IFT due to pad damage, ground safety or environmental concerns at Boca 2. All 33 R2 engines were fully ... Read more

The SpaceX Super Heavy had a mostly successful launch. This will increase mass to orbit by ten times over falcon 9 and enable a completely reorbital rocket. The booster and stage were lost later in the flight and it lost telemetry. The loss of telemetry triggered self-destruct. Starship successfully lifted off under the power of ... Read more

Bradford Ferguson reports that the Tesla Megapack factory will expand to 80 GWH per year of capacity. The original megapack factory capacity was 40 GWH. Bradford also reports that the limitations on Tesla megapack production will be lifting. The Tesla factory only had one of two lines running and has been producing 4 GWH per ... Read more

The Board of directors of OpenAI, Inc., the 501(c)(3) that acts as the overall governing body for all OpenAI activities, today announced that Sam Altman will depart as CEO and leave the board of directors. Mira Murati, the company's chief technology officer, will serve as interim CEO, effective immediately. The reporting is that Sam Altman ... Read more

Nuclear Thermal Propulsion (NTP) is the preferred propulsion technology for manned missions throughout the solar system. The state-of-the-art NTP cycle is based on solid core Nuclear Engine for Rocket Vehicle Application (NERVA) class technology that is envisioned to provide a specific impulse (Isp) of 900 seconds doubling chemical rocket performance (450 seconds). Even with this ... Read more

Meta Emu Video is a simple factorized method for high-quality video generation. Emu Video leverages Meta's Emu model. It is a simple method for text-to-video generation based on diffusion models. This is a unified architecture for video generation tasks that can respond to a variety of inputs: text only, image only, and both text and ... Read more

Dr. Alan Thompson has an Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) percentage tracker. Thompson's tracker indicates that we have 56% of the capabilities for AGI now. He has fit his percentage tracker to an exponential curve and this indicates we will reach AGI July 2025. Alan Thompson Definitions for AGI and ASI AGI = artificial general intelligence ... Read more