NextBigFuture.com

The Orion spacecraft and the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket lift off for the first time from NASA’s modernized Kennedy Space Center in Florida. NASA is targeting an SLS launch for August 29, 2022. It has cost over $40 billion to get to this point and many years of delays. Hopefully it will be a ... Read more

Compute, data, and algorithmic advances are the three fundamental factors that guide the progress of modern Machine Learning (ML). Researchers studied trends in the most readily quantified factor – compute. They show : before 2010 training compute grew in line with Moore’s law, doubling roughly every 20 months. Deep Learning started in the early 2010s ... Read more

31 minutes into Tesla Herbert interview, Robert Scoble says Tesla has the largest sample of human walking data to train Teslabots. All Tesla cars have video of people walking around parked and moving cars. There are over 3 million Tesla cars and each driven car sends 2-4 gigabytes of data every day to the Tesla ... Read more

Those with Tesla Solar Power and Tesla Powerwalls who have opted into Tesla’s Virtual Power Plant program get $2 per kwh when their power utility uses the Tesla Virtual Power plant. CORRECTION: Matt Smith has indicating that these VPP power emergencies will not be that frequent and Tesla does not take a cut of the ... Read more

This coming decade will be seen as THE decade of CHANGE that defines and shapes the next 100 and even next thousand years. This new decade will be even more important than any developments in the past 2000 years. It will transition us from the world similar to the 20th century to a science fiction ... Read more

Arrays of lasers can be used to push light weight solar sails to other stars. This has been funded with over $100 millon and it builds upon the technology of the $600 billion laser and photonics industry. A recent paper looks at how different technological improvements will make it more feasible and improve the costs. ... Read more

Record conversion efficiencies have been reached with thin film photovoltaic cells by the AMOLF Group. AMOLF group leader Esther Alarcon Llado says: “based on the strong light trapping performance of our patterns, we estimate that PV efficiencies above 20% could be achieved for a 1 μm-thick c-Si cell, which would represent an absolute breakthrough toward ... Read more

The way technology has currently shaped the automotive industry is huge. Technological advancements have changed the way cars are built, the features within vehicles have changed and the competitiveness of the market has increased. Where there used to be a number of manufacturers who supply cars, vans and trucks, that list has increased a lot ... Read more

There were two Teslabot videos. The first has a discussion with James Douma. James describes his perspective of the advances in neural nets. He described how GPT-3 created a foundational capability by cracking language. He believes the Teslabot will leverage neural nets to crack robotic methods for bipedal movement and mastering identifying and picking up ... Read more

The coming decade will likely see the biggest changes of our lives. These will be bigger than the internet and the smartphone. Brian Wang gave a talk on the future to the Technology Universe Conference. All of the biggest developments for the future will be mostly arriving in a major way over the next decade. ... Read more

Dr. Scott Walter, factory and robotics expert, and Dr. Know-it-all Knows it all break down the picture Elon Musk showed promoting Tesla’s AI Day Part 2. There’s a lot that we can see in the image–and a ton that’s still unknown. The belief is that the new picture for Tesla AI Day 2 is the ... Read more

The USC Buzzcraft concept was presented at the recent Lunar Development Conference. The case for Buzzcraft is that it would ensure higher reliability transportation and communication from Earth orbit to the area of the moon. If things go wrong with moon missions then having Buzzcraft means resources and help can be closer and could be ... Read more

BYD is supplying iron LFP blade batteries for Tesla Model Y’s made in Tesla’s Berlin factory. It is reported that the batteries are already being supplied and the first Model Ys with those batteries will be produced this month. There were earlier reports that BYD would supply about 10 GWh per year. This would be ... Read more

The U.S. Defense Department estimates 80,000 Russian troops have been killed or wounded since the Kremlin’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine less than six months ago according to a top Pentagon official. The Russia-Ukraine War is the most intense conventional conflict in Europe since World War II. “The Russians are taking a tremendous number of casualties ... Read more

A Cislunar Cycler, called Buzzcraft, would continually cycle in an orbit between the Earth and Moon, passing close to both Moon & Earth at regular intervals. Cyclers are among the most efficient cislunar transportation methods. The Buzzcraft concept was developed by Brad Manucha for the USC ASTE 527 course taught by Madhu Thangevalu. Buzz Aldrin, ... Read more

Twitter likely has 25% bots and not 5%. There might even be as many as 50% bots. Twitter had reported nearly flat daily active user counts from 2014 to 2022. If there were growing Twitterbots, then fake users and fake activity hid a drop in real users and real activity. I also cover how Elon ... Read more

The Government of France is offering to buyout minority shareholders in the heavily indebted EDF (France’s) nuclear company. The offer to minority shareholders will be priced at 12 euros per share, meaning the operation to fully nationalize the group will cost 9.7 billion euros ($9.9 billion). The electricity provider is currently 84-percent owned by the ... Read more

California and Germany could both act to save their remaining nuclear power plants. California could save one nuclear reactor that provides 15% of its clean power and Germany could save reactors that would prevent adding about 60% more natural gas. Germany has been short natural gas that it imports from Russia. The California Diablo Canyon ... Read more

Youtuber Felix Schlang at What About It? describes how the SpaceX Florida Starbase will triple in size. He also has aerial photos of all of the SpaceX facilities in Florida. SpaceX has submitted an application to expand the florida Starfactory area by 100 acres. It is currently 50 acres. The 150 acres would match the ... Read more

Lucid Group Inc. LCID, fell more than 11% in after-hours trading after they dropped 2022 production volume to be 6,000 vehicles or half of the 2022 expectation in May. “Our revised production guidance reflects the extraordinary supply chain and logistics challenges we encountered,” Chief Executive Peter Rawlinson said in a statement. “We’ve identified the primary ... Read more

The Toyota Corolla has been the best-selling car (nameplate) since 1974. There have been over 50 million sold in the past 48 years. The Tesla Model Y is already the best-selling car in terms of sales revenue in the first half of 2022. Here I go over the details of Corolla sales in 2021 and ... Read more

The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission will certify NuScale’s small modular nuclear reactor design for use in the United States. The NuScale is a smaller version of the approved pressure water reactor design which is the primary NRC design that has gotten new design variation approval over the 48-year existence of the NRC. The NRC (from ... Read more

The fictional Jetsons are in a world set in the 2060’s. The main character was born in our time of 2022. Any fiction set in the 2060’s with characters who are in their forties are starting to overlap our current time. Any fictional character in a world set in 2100, would be born this year ... Read more

George Jetson was a character created in the 1960s but is the family man of the future. He has robot servants, flying cars, and moving sidewalks. All the apartment buildings are set on giant poles In Jetsons: The Movie, they revealed that they live in the sky due to excess of smog. I don't mean ... Read more

There are many scientists who are pessmistic about how much life extension we can get from new antiaging medicine. The new treatments will be powerful enough to change what all of our DNA is doing. It will be powerful enough to clear out 90-99% of known aging damage. We should be to detect all disease ... Read more

Tesla 4680 structural packs has eliminated threaded fasteners which is the cause of 75% of failures in cars. Sandy Munro believe there are 816 or 828 battery cells in the pack. There is four sections of 204 battery cells (6X34) but there could be a section with 12 extra cells hidden under the foam. They ... Read more

Aubrey de Grey has been leading the charge to fix damage from aging for over twenty years. He has been interviewed on Joe Rogan, 60 Minutes and many other shows. He has developed and championed the concept of repairing the seven known categories of aging damage as the way to get to comprehensive aging reversal. ... Read more

Rejuvenate Bio CEO Daniel Oliver is interviewed on how he co-founded with Harvard Biotech Serial Entrepreneur and biotech giant George Church. They have over $30 million in funding. They have antiaging and disease treatments that they have testing with different dog breeds for the past two years. They have applied for initial human trials. The ... Read more

It was billed as the “Mona Lisa” of the emerging world of digital art and it came with a price tag to match that label – with the Iranian-born crypto entrepreneur Sina Estavi paying a stunning $2.9 million to acquire an NFT of the first tweet by Twitter co-founder Jack Dorsey. That was in March ... Read more

SpaceX has successfully launched six Falcon 9 over a 17 day period. SpaceX has launched 33 missions in 2022 and is almost on pace for nearly 60 Falcon 9 launches this year. This would nearly double the 31 Falcon 9 flights accomplished in 2021. If SpaceX could sustain a launch rate of one every three ... Read more

Increasingly, people are relying on tablets and e-readers for all their reading needs, populating them with books, magazines, comics, and everything in between. Does that mean that someday printed books will become obsolete? The short answer is: not necessarily. The Case for Indefinitely Printed Books There are some good arguments to make for the future ... Read more

There are three main types of nuclear fusion and PB11 (hydrogen-boron) is the most desired. PB11 nuclear fusion would have almost no neutron radiation but it takes 1 billion degree temperatures instead of 100 million for deuterium tritium or about 500 million for deuteriurm-deuterium. The PALS laser facility in Prague has reported a major advance ... Read more

Aubrey de Grey has a longevity, antiaging summit in Dublin, Ireland. There is still early bird registration. Speakers at the Dublin antiaging summit include: Aubrey de Grey George Church Maria Blasco Michael West Jim Mellon and many others. I will shortly be getting out two antiaging youtube videos. I spoke at length with Aubrey de ... Read more

Ukraine will soon cutoff Russian troops in Kherson on the Northern side of the Dnipro River from resupply. They are destroying bridges and have already rendered certain bridges mostly unusable. This will enable Ukraine’s larger number of troops to outnumber and overwhelm Russian troops without resupply. This retaking of significant territory currently held by Russian ... Read more

Ford’s late 2023 electric vehicles production runrate target is half of Tesla Q4 2021 production runrate. Tesla built 305,000 vehicles in Q4 of 2021. Annually at that rate of production Tesla would make 1.22 million cars. Ford hopes to be about three years behind Tesla in EV production. Tesla ended 2020 with 179,757 produced in ... Read more

Kevin Feige announced Marvel Phase 5 movies and shows. The Black Panther sequel Wakanda Forever is final installment of the MCU Phase 4. The third Ant-Man and the Wasp movie, Quantumania, will begin Phase 5. Kang the Conqueror will be in Quantumania. Nick Fury (Samuel L. Jackson) will be dealing with a Skrull invasion in ... Read more

SpaceX has confirmed that they will try to catch the Super Heavy Booster on the landing of its first test flight. The Mechazilla launch tower in a 480 foot tall stationary robot with massive moving chopstick arms. the arms present a landing target about the size of the drone ships that SpaceX has been using ... Read more

China 7 nanometer bitcoin miner chip is low-volume production product that is a chip to learn to make true 7nm process according to TechInsitghts. The MinerVa Bitcoin mining chip is basic, simple and small measures only 4.6 x 4.2 mm, implying that SMIC is still in the early stages of chip development. they also appear ... Read more

China leading chip company SMIC and Intel are both making 7-nanometer chips. China was always behind TSMC, Samsung and the leading semiconductor chip companies. Intel was the long chip technology leader for decades with the smallest dimensions in the most advanced chips but Intel fell behind badly in the last five to ten years. Semiconductors ... Read more

In an older discussion with Lex Fridman about Artificial Intelligence, Gary Kasparov says he believes humans must be flexible to see how to add value as we increasingly work with AI. Humans need to recognize when AI becomes superior in particular areas and then find ways to continue to contribute and add value.

Tesla quarterly earnings have been released and Tesla beat expectations. Tesla has given its mile driven with over 100,000 testers with FSD beta. Tesla has more self-driving miles in the last 6 months than other companies have ever had driven. The chart is for cumulative miles driven. They are adding Tesla has sold most of ... Read more

Munro and Associates have finally been able to safely remove the top cover of the Tesla 4680 battery pack from a Texas produced Model Y. It reveals a cement like foam. The structural strength of the battery pack is very high. The 4680 structural batteries and pack reduce weight of the vehicle by having the ... Read more

Here is some historical information about how long it might take for the fog of war to lift to get more accurate estimates of deahs in the current War in Ukraine. It took until 1990-2006 to get better estimates for Russian deaths in World War 2. The Soviet Union had to fall for records to ... Read more

Weill Cornell Medicine and New York Genome Center researchers, in collaboration with Oxford Nanopore Technologies, have developed a new method to assess on a large scale the three-dimensional structure of the human genome, or how the genome folds. The genome is the complete set of genetic instructions, DNA or RNA, enabling an organism to function. ... Read more

Panasonic Energy is building a pipeline of 2 terawatt-hours (TWh) of battery and raw material supplies for Tesla as part of a new mandate from the Elon Musk-led company, according to Chief Technology Officer Shoichiro Watanabe. 2 Terawatt-hours per year is enough for about 26 million electric cars per year. Panasonic will need to build ... Read more

The James Webb Space Telescope is sending back pictures of space that are amazing this past week. Imagine we could have thousands of space telescopes that can see billions of times better. I’d like to share how in my video in three steps. NOTE – I was talking about how the $10 billion was spent ... Read more

Demis Hassabis is the CEO and co-founder of DeepMind and he had a great talk with Lex Fridman about AI. DeepMind beat the best human players with Go and they also made the best AI for chess. DeepMind also created AlphaFold 2 which has solved protein folding. As advanced mathematics and Calculus were critical to ... Read more

DALL·E 2 is a new AI system from OpenAI that can create realistic images and art from a description in natural language. You can sign up to get on the waitlist to access DALL-E 2. They create pictures based on descriptions like Dinosaur birthday party or Cats playing chess on Mars.

China GDP was negative 2.6% in the April-June period on a quarter-over-quarter basis but was +0.4% expansion compared to the second quarter of 2021. It was China’s worst quarterly performance since a 6.9% contraction in the first three months of 2020 as the country locked down the city of Wuhan, where the new coronavirus was ... Read more

Jordon at the Limiting Factor is a battery expert and he has had a detailed analysis of a six month old 4680 Tesla battery. It is a world class battery with an extra 10 watt hours per kilogram of energy density. It achieved with a 15% disadvantage of using a thicker shell around the battery ... Read more