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Updated 2026-01-12 22:03
Typical Diesel Truck Loads in the US, China and Europe
FreightWaves claims to be the most trusted provider of global supply chain market intelligence. They provide data on Semi truck load capacity. Big rigs are limited by federal regulation to a maximum loaded weight of 80,000 pounds including cargo. The type and weight of the truck when empty changes how much can be carried. Generally ... Read more
Bloomberg Writer Admits He Was Wrong and Tesla Semi Could Win
Bloomberg journalist, David Fickling, said the Tesla Semi would fail in 2017 but in 2022 David Fickling admits that the Tesla Semi will succeed. David Fickling has covered energy and commodities for Bloomberg News, Wall Street Journal and the Financial Times. Here are the key points from David Fickling: * The Volvo Semi has 3 ... Read more
Munro Associate Fundraiser for Tesla Semi Teardown
Sandy Munro is selling Sandy Wants You Stickers for $15 each to offset the $210k purchase price of a Tesla Semi and the $1-2 million in work to perform a teardown and analysis of the Tesla Semi. Munro and Associates is a 34 year old company formed in 1988. Kona Equity estimates that Munro has ... Read more
Nextbigfuture Twitter Space
I had twitter space. I discussed Tesla share price crash and debate my theories on Master Plan 3 where the Tesla will dominate Semi and pickup trucks and use that to massively scale battery storage. Here is the recording. Recording of twitter space https://t.co/AqJiTo8080 — nextbigfuture (@nextbigfuture) December 21, 2022
SpaceX Heading for 61 Launches in 2022 and Over 200 Total
The Dec 16, 2022 SpaceX launch of O3b mPOWER internet satellites was the 200th launch of SpaceX Falcon rockets. SpaceX has had a record 59 launches in 2022 and still has two more launches scheduled for Dec 28, 2022. SpaceX has bookings and plans to launch over 100 times in 2023. There have been 191 ... Read more
5 Ways to Automate Your Small Business
Being a small business owner is difficult. Many believe money, resources, and knowledge will be their biggest obstacle, but usually it’s simply that we do not have enough time. The number one way to become more productive and free up more time is through automation. With that in mind, below are 5 of the top ... Read more
UK Progress to Space Plane
Reaction Engines in the UK have been developing a space plane for two decades and they made progress on the core technology. The Foreign Comparative Testing campaign was a success. Reaction Engine’s joint U.S. and UK team achieved over 10 megawatts of transferred thermal energy using the same style of precooler tested under the HTX ... Read more
Electric Cars are Far More Efficient Than Hydrogen
Decarbonizing energy and other industries globally using hydrogen will require investment of almost $15 trillion between now and 2050 according to European Transitions Commission. More than $2 trillion of investment would be required in equipment and infrastructure to sustain the accelerating global momentum towards establishing hydrogen as a competitive element of a net-zero carbon emissions ... Read more
Global Large and Semi Truck Market is 4 Million Per Year
The Global Large and Semi truck market is 4 million trucks per year. From 2016 to 2020, China’s heavy truck sales surged from 728,000 units to 1,617,000 units, hitting new records for the consecutive four years. In 2021, a combination of factors such as sluggish freight market and demand overdraft led to an annualized 14.1% ... Read more
How Big Was Tesla Semi Payload?
There have been various controversies over the length and weight of the concrete barriers carried by the Tesla Semi for its 500-mile demonstration. There are various certain dimensions. The standard height of a shipping container on a regular trailer is 13.5 feet. The Tesla Semi passes a regular Semi truck with a shipping container. The ... Read more
Where Do Battery Materials Come From?
There are many common materials in batteries like iron, those materials are sourced locally from where the batteries are made. Most of the world’s batteries are made in China. Therefore, most of the materials would be sourced in China. China also has quite a bit of lithium which is one of the primary more scarce ... Read more
SpaceX Starlink Has 1 Million Active Subscribers
SpaceX had 1 million Starlink dishes manufactured in September, 2022 but has just announced 1 million active Starlink customers about 2.5 months later. The primary drivers of SpaceX revenue is the rate that they can produce Starlink dishes and then sell the dishes and services to customers. They are at 150k per month now in ... Read more
Is Binance the Next Crypto Collapse?
As of November 22 at 23:59 UTC, Binance users collectively held 575742.4228 BTC — that’s around $9.5 billion at today’s exchange rate. The Binance proof of reserves site is still showing that BTC figure despite reports of billions of dollars in withdrawals from Binance. This dashboard is quickly becoming the most popular on @nansen_ai Recommend ... Read more
Tesla Semi Long Haul Trucking Problems
Many commenters who have issues with the Tesla Semi complain that it is not suitable for Long Haul trucking. How big a market is short haul trucking? What are the problems and issues to address long haul trucking. The following are currently Tesla Semi problems: * current 500 mile range is less than the 800+ ... Read more
Elon Musk Stepping Down As CEO of Twitter
Elon Musk is stepping down as CEO of Twitter. He is running a poll on Twitter for this topic and it is about 57% in favor of stepping down. Elon Musk will still own Twitter and retain ultimate control of the company. However, he will get some head of operations much like he has Gwynn ... Read more
Pepsi has 36 Tesla Semi Already and Installing Megacharging
PepsiCo is deploying 36 electric Semi trucks from Tesla, with 15 in Modesto and 21 in Sacramento, so far and will deploy 100 Semi Trucks in 2023. PepsiCo is purchasing the big trucks “outright” and is upgrading its plants, including installing four 750-kilowatt Tesla charging stalls at both its Modesto and Sacramento locations, PepsiCo Vice ... Read more
China Median Age Increasing and Halving Population by 2100
I had previously said that China’s purchasing power parity GDP was likely 30% higher than official numbers. However, purchasing power parity strength does not mean the country would or should do better with a stronger currency. The country has to import 10 million barrels per day in oil. The previous article notes the exchange rate ... Read more
Rising and Falling Countries in World GDP Rankings
Truck Driver Reviews of Tesla Semi
I include youtube videos with various feedback and reviews of the Tesla Semi from Truck drivers (direct and indirect). The first review is that Tesla has over 500 orders for Semi Trucks. The US has 4 million Semis and there are about 270,000 sales each year in the US. There are 4 million global large ... Read more
Tesla Master Plan 3 is Global Domination and Tesla Semi is the Key
There has been great concern for Tesla shareholders that there are problems with Tesla’s future growth. There has also been a large drop in share price from the peak share value early this year. The whole stock market is down. Technology and growth stocks have been sold off more than other stocks. In a global ... Read more
Battery Expert Agrees With My Tesla Semi, Megapack Analysis
I had a talk on a Tesla Twitter Space with a few hundred people including battery expert Jordan of the Limiting Factor. Jordan agreed my conclusion that the Tesla Semi is a stealth way to sell many megapacks. It could be even a three Semi trucks to one Megapack ratio. Jordan spoke with people who ... Read more
First Light Fusion Technical Talks on Projectile Fusion
This animation shows a close up of the projectile/target interaction inside the reaction vessel for First Light Fusion. They electromagnetically launch a projectile to create inertial fusion. They do not use a laser. the target implodes faster than the projectile. They were getting velocity multipliers by 10X back in 2019. They think the onward path ... Read more
First Light Fusion, General Fusion Highlight Technical and Funding Progress
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Panel Discussion of the Nuclear Fusion Net Gain of Energy In and Out of the Target
LLNL’s experiment surpassed the fusion threshold by delivering 2.05 megajoules (MJ) of energy to the target, resulting in 3.15 MJ of fusion energy output, demonstrating for the first time a most fundamental science basis for inertial fusion energy (IFE). Many advanced science and technology developments are still needed to achieve simple, affordable IFE to power ... Read more
Twitter Space Starting at 10:30 PST
I will have a Twitter Space at 10:30 AM PST. Hopefully no technical issues like yesterday. I can have a dedicated Nextbigfuture Twitter space if readers are interested. Topics can be suggested. Set a reminder for my upcoming Space! https://t.co/KwMHqxwMPj. Sorry twitter technical issues today. $TSLA @ValueAnalyst1 @DrKnowItAll16 @TeslaBest @SawyerMerritt — nextbigfuture (@nextbigfuture) December 12, ... Read more
Busting Thunderfoot Attack on Tesla Semi
Thunderfoot, Phil Mason, is a popular youtuber despite putting out wrong information. He likes to try to “bust” Elon Musk for Tesla, Boring Company and SpaceX. This is obviously because Elon Musk is the most successful businessman in the world who has the largest following on Twitter. Attack videos against Elon Musk can get 250,000 ... Read more
Tesla Semi and Torque Technology is Killer for Entire $2 Trillion Truck Industry
The Tesla Semi is a category killer for the entire trucking category. Tesla has exclusively solved the issue of efficient torque when towing heavy leads. Large pickup trucks like the diesel F150 drop from 20 mpg down to 9 mpg when they are towing over 3 tons. The diesel Semi weighs about 24000 pounds and ... Read more
Sorry This Net Energy Gain Does NOT Mean Fusion is Close
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Researchers were able to produce 2.5 megajoules of energy, 120 per cent of the 2.1 megajoules used to power the experiment. This means more energy out versus the energy deposited on the fuel pellet. The laboratory recently conducted a “successful” experiment at the National Ignition Facility. The National Ignition Facility is ... Read more
State of the Art Quantum Chemistry in 2022
Quantum chemistry is very hard. The best quantum computing chemistry seems to be at the level of 12 qubits / 12 atoms. Supercomputer simulations can handle 20 qubits and 20 atoms simulation. There are early papers that suggest classical supercomputers can get to 100 atoms and 1000 qubit for some types of simulation. Quantum computers ... Read more
What is Really Happening with Quantum Computers?
I have been following quantum computers closely for over two decades and I spent the last few days meeting with many of the major quantum computer companies, listening to talks and presentations and hearing from representatives of several governmental agencies and groups at the Q2B conference (Quantum to Business) . UPDATE : This article has ... Read more
Everyday Astronaut Will Become a Real Astronaut
Tim Dodd, the Everyday Astronaut, will really go to the moon. He will be on the Dear Moon SpaceX mission to go around the moon. The Dear Moon mission is a SpaceX Superheavy Starship flight purchased by billionaire, Yusaku Maezawa(MZ). The mission profile will be similar to the Apollo 8 mission. I am beyond excited ... Read more
Interview With Quantum Machines CTO
Yonatan Cohen is the CTO of Quantum Machines. I, Brian Wang of Nextbigfuture, interviewed Yonatan at the Q2B quantum computer conference yesterday, December 6, 2022. Quantum Machines makes a comprehensive hardware and software platform for performing the most complex quantum algorithms and experiments and advancing the world of quantum computing. The heart of their technology ... Read more
Twitter Space – Semi Most Important Tesla Product After Bot and Robotaxi
A Twitter Space with Brian Wang, Bradford Fergeson, Randy Kirk, Gary Carson, Larry Goldberg, Lars Strandridder (Best in Tesla), John Gibb (Dr Know it All). Key insights – Tesla Semi could match the Tesla Car business in revenue if there is an accelerated shift to electric trucks by China and other nations in Asia. The ... Read more
CATL will Mix Cheaper Sodium Ion Batteries With Lithium for Acceptable Range EVs
CATL has achieved a mix of sodium ion and lithium ion which allows them to complement each other and thus increase the energy density of the battery system. This will help the transition to sodium ion batteries by using them at scale for suitable range electric cars and energy storage. Sodium-ion batteries will definitely become ... Read more
Tesla Semi Will Drive Tesla Energy to Terawatt Scale By 2030
As I watched the delivery of the Tesla Semi to Pepsico, there was a critical moment. The critical moment was when Elon said that Tesla could charge a one-megawatt-hour battery in 30 minutes. This would take nearly a week using a regular charger installed at your house. By deduction, this meant that Tesla megachargers will have ... Read more
Tesla Semi Delivery Event
Tesla drove its Semi truck with a 81,000 pound payload up a 6% incline. They drove 500 miles with a full load. The Tesla Semi has a 1000 volt powertrain versus the 400 volt powertrain in other vehicles. Tesla will use the 1000 volt powertrain in other vehicles. They will have version 4 superchargers that ... Read more
Solar Sail First Stage and Then Impact Fusion to Get Towards Lightspeed
The Bussard Ramjet drive has been proven not to work, but laying out a runway of fuel could work. This has been examined in more detail. Fuel is deliberately emplaced in the path of the spacecraft before the flight. Kare proposed that, at the velocities proposed for interstellar flight, nuclear fusion can be accomplished at ... Read more
Plasma Magnets Using Dynamic Soaring to Go 2% of Speed of Light
A number of concepts exist for exploiting the solar wind as a means of propulsion: the MagSail, the e-sail, and the plasma magnet. All of these concepts work predominately as drag devices and thus are limited to velocities equal to the solar wind (~700 km/s), with only limited ability to generate force transverse to the ... Read more
Tesla Goes Next Level in Profits in 2023
In 2023, it will be a big mistake to ignore profits from Tesla energy, new tax credits and full self-driving software. Analysts could safely ignore energy because while it was 10% in revenue it had almost no profits. Similarly, full self driving made a lot of headlines but was only used bought by less than ... Read more
Neuralink Day Highlights a Brain Implant With Over 4000 Channels
Neuralink showed off its implantable device which is slightly larger than a quarter. They showed the device working in several monkeys and they showed the surgical robot that will be used to implant the device. They are working to repair spinal damage. The current experiments are to monitor and activate spinal activity in a pig. ... Read more
Lengthy Academic Talk on Quantum Computing Reality and Hype
Here is a three-hour talk on quantum computing and quantum theory reality and hype. Scott Aaronson is a professor of computer science at University of Texas at Austin and director of its Quantum Information Center. Previously he received his PhD at UC Berkeley and was a faculty member at MIT in Electrical Engineering and Computer ... Read more
Dawning of the Quantum Computer Age
Huge announcements in Quantum Computer Technology have been recently made and there is a clear and active path to 4000 by 2025 and 16000+ qubits by 2027. 70 error-mitigated qubits with over 50 step layers of algorithmic capability is believed to be the point where quantum computers will surpass exaflop supercomputers for cracking big problems. ... Read more
Recording of My Twitter Space on Tesla for 2023
Here is a link to my Twitter space on Tesla for 2023. The main presentation and discussion starts 10 minutes after the Twitter space starts. Yes, Tesla and markets are way down but Tesla is setting up for a very strong 2023. There are large boosts to Tesla profits from full self driving sofware, inflation ... Read more
Orion Flying Over the Moon
An uncrewed Orion spacecraft on a six-week mission around the Moon and back to Earth. It is currently orbiting the mon and there is live feeds from it.
IBMs 433 Qubit Quantum Processor and Beyond
IBM has a 433 qubit quantum processor called Osprey and has a roadmap for 4000 qubits in 2025 and 100,000 qubits by 2030. These are more powerful qubits than the 5000+ adiabatic qubits from DWave Systems. Most other quantum computer companies are at about 50-100 qubits. The number of usable error-mitigated qubits is being improved. ... Read more
New World Order
China has been the factory for the world for the past two to three decades but President Xi has made China too risky for business. There is potential for societal unrest in China with mass protests over Covid Zero and other policies. If you are maintaining a factory in China, you would want that factory ... Read more
VFR CEO Helps Monetize Channels on Roku, Samsung and Smart TVs
How do you start and monetize a channel on Roku, Samsung and Apple TV? Eldar Buchris, CEO of VFR, describes how VFR helps content creators to monetize on Roku and other connected TV systems. Your Youtube content can be reused. The CPM (payment per thousand views) can be higher on connected television like Roku, Samsung, ... Read more
Easier and Safer to Use Carbon Nanotubes in Polymer Nanocomposite
A research team from Skoltech, Aalto University, and Kurnakov Institute has recently developed a new, versatile and simple approach to using carbon nanotubes for manufacturing carbon nanotube-polymer nanocomposites. The method is reported in Carbon and involves making briquettes — dense packages of carbon nanotube powders. Nanocomposites made with briquettes perform equally well as those made ... Read more
Tesla FSD Version 11 Available to All
Elon Musk confirmed that Tesla FSD Beta version 11 is available to all FSD customers. About 200,000 people who purchased FSD can activate FSD version 11 if they request it. UPDATE: Tesla Full Self-Driving Beta is now available to anyone in North America who requests it from the car screen, assuming you have bought this ... Read more
13 Wafer Scale Chips for an Exaflop AI Supercomputer
Cerebras Systems, the pioneer in accelerating artificial intelligence (AI) compute, today unveiled Andromeda, a 13.5 million core AI supercomputer, now available and being used for commercial and academic work. Built with a cluster of 16 Cerebras CS-2 systems and leveraging Cerebras MemoryX and SwarmX technologies, Andromeda delivers more than 1 Exaflop of AI compute and ... Read more
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