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Updated 2024-11-24 02:45
Tesla Can Get to $14,000 Per Share Even Without Robotaxi
In February 2020, I wrote a Nextbigfuture newsletter about my bull case for Tesla. I have a variation on the high functioning EV company Ark Invest case which has a $3400 price target for 2024. The...
Tesla’s Run is Not Over
The fact that Nextbigfuture has been right on Tesla for years is less important than the fact that Tesla has several more years of crazy share price growth. The years of being correct is public...
Nanogaps Between Metals Create Light Ten Thousand Times Brighter Than Expected
Nanogaps between plasmonic electrodes produced 10,000 times more light than expected. Hot electrons were created by electrons driven to tunnel between gold electrodes, their recombination with holes...
Still Only One Coronavirus Strain and Progress to Treatments and Vaccines
The coronavirus is currently changing slowly. There are only about two dozen mutations. There have been many reports of multiple strains of SARS-CoV-2. Virologists use the world strain as a label to...
Apocalypse Never From Environmentalist Who Helped Get $90 Billion Funding for Renewables
Michael Shellenberger of the Breakthrough Institute has written Apocalypse Never: Why Environmental Alarmism Hurts Us All.” An article covering his book was published and then censored at...
Millions of Telescopes 4 Light Days From Earth Could Permanently Explore Other Solar Systems
If we send telescopes out to 4 light days we can use the gravity of the sun to amplify the power of telescopes by 100 billion times. Although we can build larger telescopes with higher resolution...
Patching Runways Versus Attacking Dirt and Cement
The US has runway repair teams that can repair holes in two hours or less. They use truckloads of dirt and rocks and then cover with a 45 by 60-foot fiberglass mat. Chinese suppliers sell fiberglass...
Fresh Water Reservoir Could Lead to Exclusion Zone in South China Sea
A large reservoir of freshwater was discovered beneath Fiery Cross Reef, one of the artificial islands China made in the South China Sea. The reservoir is growing at a rate of about 1 meter (3.3...
Nikola and Hydrogen Vehicles vs Tesla and Electric Vehicles
There is a company called Nikola which claims they will sell semi-trucks using hydrogen. Amazingly, with virtually no revenue and no vehicles made, Nikola is worth over $22 billion. They say they...
What Exponential Space Capabilities Can Look Like
People know that computers became a multi-trillion dollar industry because it rode the exponential growth in power of Moore’s Law. Aviation also experienced decades of exponential growth and...
Steven Howe Breakthroughs for Antimatter Production and Storage
Dr. Steven Howe identified an antimatter niche for the acceleration of small unmanned interstellar probes. Small amounts of antimatter can be used to initiate fission events whose daughters provided...
Ceramic Metamaterial Solar Sails Could Enable 300 Kilometers per Second
Extreme metamaterial solar sails as proposed here have the potential to shift the paradigm of space exploration enabling numerous low cost and high-speed missions to be launched anytime and anywhere....
Solar Energy Conversion Efficiency of 47% Demonstrated
A new six-junction solar cell, developed by NREL (National Renewable Energy Laboratory), converts 47.1% of incident light into electricity when combined with optical concentration. Indications thus...
China-India Firm Up Border Defences
RUSI provides an analysis of China and India military balance and the border war situation. Royal United Service Institute (RUSI) is the world’s oldest and the UK’s leading defense and security think...
Removing Harmful Factors in Old Blood Has Age Reversing Effect
Researchers have found that age-reversing effects can be achieved by simply diluting the blood plasma of old mice — no young blood needed. Above – Older mice grew significantly more new muscle...
Kohn Anomalies in New Material Could Lead to New Quantum Devices
Exotic states called Kohn anomalies been found for the first time in an unexpected type of material and this could lead to new quantum devices. The researchers induced a Kohn anomaly, which was...
Amazon Puts $2 Billion into Fund to Transition to Zero Carbon Economy
Amazon announced The Climate Pledge Fund to support the development of sustainable technologies and services that will enable Amazon and other companies to meet The Climate Pledge—a commitment to be...
Flash Forest and Tree Planting With Drones
Flash Forest can plant trees at 10 times the normal rate and at 20% of the cost of traditional tree planting techniques. They want to plant one billion trees by 2028. Planting trees is currently the...
How Would We Get Over Forty Thousand SpaceX Starships
The SpaceX Starship will be fully reusable and could be used for point to point transportation of cargo and people on Earth, flights to space and as habitats in space. There are 25,000 passenger...
Late in 2020 or in 2021 Apple and Microsoft Should Pass Saudi Aramco
Saudi Aramco is currently the most valuable company in the world. They have a stock price of 32.9 riyal. The value of the Riyal is pegged to the US dollar at 0.27 dollars to one Riyal. Saudi Aramco...
Identifying Decades from the 1950s to the 2030s
There are iconic looks for different decades. There was changing fashion, cars and devices that we carried. The look of the 1950s was immortalized in the movie American Graffiti and the TV show Happy...
OpenAI Makes Progress on Its Text Generator
OpenAI is scaling up language models and this greatly improves task-agnostic, few-shot performance, sometimes even reaching competitiveness with prior state-of-the-art finetuning approaches. They...
Life Expectancy Improvement
Life expectancy by year from 1900 to 2000 in the US had the following changes. From 1900 to 1920 life expectancy went from 47 to 54. From 1918 to 1921 life expectancy went from 39 to 60 WW1 and...
Population Projections Out to 2100 and Adjusting for Longevity
The UB population projection of 11.2 billion for 2100 is only the middle of the medium scenario for the UN. The UN has been revising its population projections upward from 9.5 billion to 11.2 billion...
South Korea Makes Progress to Lithium-Oxygen Batteries With Ten Times Higher Energy Densities
Researchers have presented a novel electrode material for advanced energy storage device that is directly charged with oxygen from the air. Professor Jeung Ku Kang’s team synthesized and preserved...
September 15 Tentative Date for Tesla Battery Day
Tesla Battery is September 15. Tesla will show off its own battery cell production line. Tesla will likely announce: * longer life-cycle the million-mile batteries * lower-cost batteries and probably...
Can 21st Century Progress Surpass 20th Century Progress
Can the technological, scientific, medical and economic progress of the 21st century surpass the 20th century? The richest countries in the world increased per capita income by 10 times from 1900 to...
Tesla’s in Process to Make $1.1 billion 4-5 Million Square Foot Tesla Terafactory
The Travis County Commissioners Court is meeting June 23 agenda about deliberations to decide if they would provide Tesla with an economic development performance agreement for a new 5 million square...
Apple TV+ Teaser for Isaac Asimov’s Foundation
Isaac Asimov’s Foundation chronicles a band of exiles on their monumental journey to save humanity and rebuild civilization amid the fall of the Galactic Empire. Foundation stars SAG...
NVIDIA Selene Supercomputer Delivers 1 exaFLOPs for AI and 27 petaFLOPs Regular Computing
NVIDIA made the supercomputing cluster called Selene in less than a month. The cluster was built in the month since the announcement of Nvidia’s new Ampere architecture and A100 artificial...
How China and India Matchup Militarily if the Border War Escalates
China and India had a border skirmish which resulted in 20 deaths on the India side and maybe 43 on the China side. The Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) has various maps and analysis of...
Coronavirus Antibody Immunity Fades by 70% Within 2-3 Months
Antibody levels found in recovered COVID-19 patients fell sharply in 2-3 months after infection for both symptomatic and asymptomatic patients, according to a Chinese study published in Nature...
Quantum Volume is Not Over 9000 Yet
Honeywell has released access to its trapped ion quantum computer with a quantum volume of 64. The previous best quantum computers were IBM and Google at a quantum volume of 32. Honeywell claims to...
Google Takes Us Closer to Star Trek Holodecks with Light Field Video
Google is taking immersive media technology to the next level, showing a practical system for light field video. Wide field of view scenes can be recorded and played back with the ability to move...
Future Living or Camping in a Tesla Cybertruck Without Compromises
The Tesla Cybertruck might implement a midgate. This is rolling down the rear window and rear wall and dropping the seats to allow carrying things 8 feet long or have extended sleeping, camping...
Clear Paths to $3 Trillion in Market Value for Apple, Amazon and Microsoft
Apple and Microsoft are both worth about $1.5 trillion. Amazon is worth $1.3 trillion. Google will also double in value before 2025. Microsoft and Amazon are both rapidly growing their cloud...
Apple Will Start Selling Macs Using Apple Made ARM Chips Starting in 2020Q4
Reports from Bloomberg and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo is Apple will announce the first ARM processor at WWDC, and that the first Mac models to feature ARM CPUs will be a next-generation 13.3-inch MacBook...
Lab Mice Telomeres Do Not Break Them as Disease Models
Bret Weinstein was interviewed on the Joe Rogan show and Bret claimed that the breeding protocols and telomeres of lab mice are broken. Bret claims that this problem is so severe that it calls into...
SpaceX Racing to Qualify for $16 Billion to Provide Low Latency Rural Internet
Marc Handley has a technical analysis of how ground stations and idle user terminals can be used to relay Starlink and can eventually halve the latency across the United States. However, even the...
SpaceX Will Use Its Own Steel Alloy in 6 Months and Will Build Spaceports Over the Coming Years
SpaceX has a fleet of three prototype Starships (SN5, SN6, and SN7). The SN5 and SN6 bodies are fully stacked. The SN7 has survived a 7.6 bar pressure test. Elon indicates that the 304L steel alloy...
The Singularity Will Not Be a Problem
There are concerns that a Technological Singularity and Artificial General Super Intelligence (AGSI) will change the rate of progress goes beyond human comprehension. There are concerns that humans...
Discovery of Dark Matter or Tritium Contamination
Xenon Experiments have detected a bunch of energy events in the 1-7 kilovolt data, which could be an indication of dark matter or contamination of their experiments. There are three possibilities for...
Intel Screwed Up at 10 Nanometers and Must Catch Up at 7 and 5 Nanometers
Intel is still mostly on 14 nanometer while TSMC and AMD are at 7 nanometer chips. Intel will continue to advance its fabrication technologies iteratively, so we are going to see 10nm+ and 10nm++ as...
Six Billion Earth-Like Planets Around G Type Stars But Red Dwarf Systems Are Not Counted
There may be as many as one Earth-like planet for every five Sun-like stars in the Milky way Galaxy, according to new estimates by University of British Columbia astronomers using data from NASA’s...
Artificial Intelligence is Able to Code Python
OpenAI created a language generator. They trained it on Github code. It used unsupervisored learning to learn to generate python code. Software code generators have been around for over fifty years....
SpaceX Should Go Commercial With Starlink in September
The eleventh launch of Starlink is scheduled for early July. Gwynn Shotwell says that after 12-14 launches, SpaceX will begin selling commercial service. This means that SpaceX should be going...
SpaceX Starship Will Have Hundreds of Improvements Over 50+ Prototypes
Elon Musk says SpaceX has to improve 1000% to 10000% over Falcon 9 to get to what Starship needs to be. $10 million is the cost of the Falcon 9 upper stage. Using helium and jet fuel makes Falcon 9...
Limitations of Current AI and the Data Problem
The Economist magazine recent Technology Quarterly had a set of articles that described the limitations and disappointment that big businesses are having with current AI. Managers are finding AI...
-20% World GDP in Second Quarter Forces 500 Million Back into Extreme Poverty
The number of people living in poverty in the world could increase, in comparison to the status quo in 2018, by between 85–135 million under a 5 percent contraction, by between 180–280 million under...
Why Were the Germans Winning from 1939-1942?
Youtuber TIK explains why the Germans had the tactical advantage and were winning from 1939 to 1942. The reason is simple. They had a lot more guns (artillery and anti-tank guns) and knew how to use...
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