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Updated 2026-01-12 09:48
Ukrainian Troops Have Retaken Full Control of Kyiv Region
Ukrainian troops have retaken control of the entire territory of Kyiv region, Ukraine’s Deputy Defence Minister Hanna Malyar said on Saturday on Facebook. “The whole Kyiv region is...
Why Tesla Can Produce 4+ Million Cars per Year in 2023
Farzad Mesbahi, who used to work at Tesla, has some rough calculations of how the supply chain and Shanghai shutdown constrained impacted Tesla. He roughly estimates that Tesla could have produced...
Electric Viking Inspired and Convinced by Nextbigfuture
Sam Evans was inspired and convinced by my Nextbigfuture Tesla and the Perfect EV Storm video. Sam obviously saw my Perfect EV Storm video. He uses my thumbnail in his tweeted video announcement and...
4000 Times Fewer Gene Editing Errors Without Sacrificing Speed
Scientists at The University of Texas at Austin have redesigned a key component of a widely used CRISPR-based gene-editing tool, called Cas9, to be thousands of times less likely to target the wrong...
Tesla Gets 40-50% Market Share in Competing EV Categories
There were about 2.5 million EVs out of 4.6 million are in a similar category as Tesla. EVs that are over $25k in price. Traditional ICE cars are segmented into various size, truck and price...
Long term Powering of Tiny Devices Using Graphene Energy Harvesting
Arkansas physicists have successfully developed a circuit capable of capturing graphene’s thermal motion and converting it into an electrical current. This lab curiousity only needs to be...
Russia Will Be Forced to Make Peace and Retreat Out of Ukraine
Russia has not created a stable front that can be held with sustainable losses. Russia cannot sustain 5000-10000 killed and wounded each week. Ukraine’s military is making efficient counter...
World Electric Car Market in 2021
Global Plug-in car sales in 2021: BEVs: about 4.6 million (up about 115% year-over-year) and 6.1% share PHEVs: about 1.9 million (up about 93% year-over-year) and 2.9% share Total: 6,495,388 (up 108%...
SpaceX Starship Launch Costs Will Be Twenty Times Less Than Delta Rockets
SpaceX has made launch costs per kilogram over three times lower with the Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy but will make costs another 5 times lower with the SpaceX Super Heavy Starship. SOURCES- Visual...
SpaceX Orbital Starship Will Launch With New Raptor 2 Engines
The delays in the FCC approval for the first SpaceX Super Heavy Starship orbital flight will give SpaceX the time to replace all of the old Raptor rocket engines with new 15% more powerful Raptor 2...
2022 Ford US EV Sales Down and Tesla Should Pass Ford by 2024
Ford Mustang Mach-E sales in February, 2022 were 2,001, which is little over half (46.5% less than) than the same month in 2021. Ford has been averaging 2000-3000 mach-e each month. Ford halted...
BYD Versus Tesla in 2021 $BYD $TSLA
BYD published their 314 page 2021 annual report and it shows lower net profits and still about 40% revenue from mobile phones and not electric cars or batteries. The mobile phone business increased...
CATL Third Generation Battery Pack
CATL claims that a new ‘Kirin battery’ with Cell to Pack (CTP) technology will deliver 13% more power than Tesla 4680 batteries with the same cell chemistry and battery pack size. The market launch...
Tesla Preparing for a Stock Split
Tesla is preparing to split its stock again. $TSLA hasn’t announced a stock split yet but by seeking approval to increase the authorized shares at the upcoming AGM, the Board is signaling its intent....
ASML Says Chip Shortage Will Last At Least Two Years
ASML is the only producer of critical EUV (extreme ultraviolet) lithography machines which are needed for the most advanced chips. ASML predicts the chip shortages will persist for at least the next...
Tesla Shanghai Will Have Another COVID Shutdown
Tesla plans to suspend production at its Shanghai plant for at least one day (starting Monday) as the local government intensifies Covid restrictions after a surge in cases in the city. Earlier in...
Elon Says FSD, Fully Reusable SpaceX Starship this Year and Teslabot Next Year
Elon expects a pretty good prototype Teslabot this year and a low volume production for Teslabot will start next year. Elon also says Full self-driving safer than human driving and the fully rapidly...
Adjusting the US Electrical Grid for 100% Electric Cars
The DOE has information about adjusting the energy grid for mass EV adoption. The problem is the DOE assumes it will take until 2050 when mass EV adoption will occur 2025-2030. Natural gas...
Tesla and a Perfect EV Superstorm
Three extremely powerful change forces will drive combine to switch the global car market from 6% EV to 60-80% EV for new cars by 2025. This sudden and rapid transformation will more than 10X Tesla...
The Far Future and Using Atomic Precision for the Next Level of Technology
Adam Brown (Stanford) and Robin Hanson (George Mason University) talk about some interesting intellectual concepts for the distant futures in the conference video below. Christine Peterson, Foresight...
Longevity and Rejuvenation Technology Overview
The Foresight Institute is tracking longevity and rejuvenation science and technology. There are already over 130 funded companies working on aging damage repair and aging reversal. A few of the...
Elon Musk on Getting the Impossible Done
Lex Friedman asked Elon Musk: What is your source of belief in situations like this when the engineering problem is so difficult there’s a lot of experts many of whom you admire who have failed...
When Will Russia Run Out of Soldiers? Tanks?
There are estimates that Russia has lost 40,000 soldiers (killed or wounded) out of 190,000 after the first three weeks of the Russia-Ukraine war. Russia has 900,000 in the military but this includes...
MRNA Cocktail Can Make Old Tissue Specific Cells Young
Stanford University researcher has de-aged mouse cells with different tissue types and the cells kept the same tissue type but were just younger. They also de-aged stem cells. They did with a...
TSMC 2 Nanometer Chip Mass Production 2025
TSMC Dr. Wei said TSMC does not comment on their technology roadmap but he remains confident that the TSMC fab’s 2nm technology will enter mass production in 2025. He also shared optimism about...
Passed 1 Million US COVID Cases Today According to Worldometers
Worldometers is reporting cumulative US COVID deaths at 1,000,355 as of today for yesterdays data. The CDC reports that as of Monday, March 21 the US has had a total of 971,422 and will add the...
Russian Planes Are Second Rate and China Copied Them
Russian fighter jets are being shot down in Ukraine by US Stinger missiles and Ukraine’s soviet era air defences. The Ukrainian defense ministry claims its forces have destroyed about 100...
Elon and Tesla Opens Berlin and Tesla Over $980
Elon Musk speaks at the opening of the Tesla Berlin Gigafactory. Thirty cars were delivered at the event. The opening was delayed for many months. The first phase of the factory will produce 500,000...
SpaceX Will Launch OneWeb Communication Satellites
SpaceX will launch the remaining OneWeb satellites. OneWeb is not directly competing with SpaceX Starlink for providing satellite communications. The satellites in the OneWeb constellation are...
Combining Heat Shield and Propulsion for a Fast Solar Slingshot
NASA Advanced Innovations Concepts has funded research to combine a heat shield and solar thermal propulsion system to perform a solar Oberth maneuver in order to achieve the highest possible escape...
ISW Says Russia Failing to Take Kyiv and Shifting to a Long Bloody Stalemate
ISW has determined that Ukrainian forces have defeated the initial Russian campaign of this war. That campaign aimed to conduct airborne and mechanized operations to seize Kyiv, Kharkiv, Odesa, and...
Car Chip Shortage to 2024 and Tesla Mostly Immune
I, Brian Wang, have researched the car chip shortage. Many people have said that the car chip shortage will clear up by the second half of 2022 but they are wrong. The car chip shortage will last...
Mars Spacesuits 3D Printed from Digital Body Scans
NASA Advanced Concepts has funded research for a high performance spacesuit for future Mars Astronauts. Dr. Bonnie Dunbar is a former NASA astronaut and is now a professor of Aerospace Engineering at...
Simple Counting Shows China Cannot Successfully Invade Taiwan
China can transport about 40,000 troops in the first day for an invasion of Taiwan. IF none of the ships and helicopters and planes are shot down while crossing 100 miles of open water. If 40,000...
Six Million Official Global and 18 Million Excess COVID Deaths
The CDC will report that the US will pass 1 million cumulative COVID deaths in the next 25-40 days. The CDC reports the cumulative total at 946,000 as of March 15, 2022 and the seven day moving...
End of the Tank Era?
Will cheap anti-tank missiles mark the end of the Tank era? Raytheon and Lockheed Martin make the Javelin missile. The Javelin costs $178,000, including the launch system and missile and each...
Russia’s Military Would Fail Against Poland or Turkey
Russia is still slowly taking some smaller cities in the southeast of Ukraine but the Kyiv offensive is bogged down. What we have clearly learned is that Russia’s military and its equipment...
Twitter Suppresses Published Results of a Peer Reviewed Study
Citing the results of a peer reviewed study in a scientific journal locks up your account on Twitter. Nextbigfuture received a notice that twitter was locking the Nextbigfuture twitter account. The...
EV Companies Not Using Iron LFP Batteries Are Doomed
Volkswagen, Ford and GM are making nickel batteries. Nickel batteries are currently about twice as expensive as iron LFP batteries. LFP battery volume will be about 80% of the total battery market in...
Tracking China’s EV Battery Tsunami
China is tracking to more than double its EV battery installations in 2022. China installed 160 GWh of batteries in 2021 and should install 400 GWh of EV batteries in 2022. 63% of the China EV...
China Battery Maker CALB IPO to Raise $1.5 Billion
CALB, China Aviation Lithium Battery company, has filed for an IPO on the Hong Kong stock exchange. In January 2022, Chinese battery manufacturer CALB (China Lithium Battery Technology) signed...
Tesla Improves FSD Software by Using Vector Space Lanes
Andrej Karpathy, Director of artificial intelligence and Autopilot Vision at Tesla, describes the improvements to Tesla FSD Beta 10.11 Tesla FSD 10.11 is using vecotr spaces lanes to reduce errors...
PI Planetary Asteroid Defense
Philip Lubin has been funded by NASA NIAC to study a practical and effective method of planetary asteroid defense that allows for extremely short mitigation time scales if required. The method...
Space Based Starshades Will Make Large Ground Telescopes the Most Powerful Exoplanet Finders
Hybrid observatories will combine a 100 meter diameter starshade in space with a telescope on the ground. The Hybrid Observatory for Earth-like Exoplanets (HOEE) would convert the largest...
Epigenetic Antiaging Progress in Mice Studies
Epigenetic modification has been used to create antiaging effects in mice. Long-term partial reprogramming leads to rejuvenating effects in different tissues of mice and at the organismal level. In...
James Webb Space Telescope Aligning Its Mirrors
In recent weeks, the James Webb Space Telescope team successfully captured starlight through each of Webb’s 18 mirror segments. They refined and stacked those 18 individual dots of light on top of...
Arrays of Antennas Deployed From Cubesats for Massive Sensing Improvement
Accurate storm predictions not only save resources and money, but also lives. To build the next generation of predictive weather models, we need to measure a storm from space across time over its...
Integrating Quantum Dot Instruments on Solar Sails For Breakthrough Distant Exploration
Missions to the outer planets are an important and exciting part of NASA’s goals because these scarcely visited worlds, particularly the ice giants Neptune and Uranus, undoubtedly hold secrets about...
Partial COVID Lockdowns in Shenzhen and Shanghai
China has imposed partial lockdowns in Shanghai and Shenzhen as it grapples with a surge in COVID-19 cases, raising concerns of new global supply chain disruptions and threatening the country’s...
Large City-Wide Brazilian Ivermectin Study Finds 44% Lower Infection
A study of Ivermectin invited the entire population of Itajaí, Brazil. In the absence of contrain indications, ivermectin was offered as an optional treatment to be taken for two consecutive days...
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