by Sally Weale, education correspondent on (#37Y8)
IT skills should be treated as being as important as numeracy and literacy in British schools, says House of Lords committeeThe teaching of digital skills in schools should be regarded as equally important as lessons in numeracy and literacy, according to a report published on Tuesday.
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by Phillip Inman, economics correspondent on (#37H8)
Naivety of Alexis Tsipras’ anti-austerity request hammered home by a no-nonsense response leaving Syriza with few establishment friendsRarely have European finance ministers given such a clear statement. To the request from Greece to scrap its toxic austerity programme, the answer was no.Jeroen Dijsselbloem, the Dutch finance minister, is not the worst when it comes to convoluted euro-speak. Still, he has rarely delivered such a pithy response. Continue reading...
by Graeme Wearden (now) and Nick Fletcher on (#366Z)
Rolling coverage as the high-stakes negotiations over Greece’s financial programme hit problems, with eurogroup insisting Athens must ask for a bailout extension
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by Frances O'Grady on (#3750)
Average wages have decreased in real terms under the present government. Expect more of the same – and worse – if the Tories are re-electedWhich party is most trusted to be on the side of working people? This is set to be a defining question of the general election campaign. Even the Conservatives want to pose as the worker’s new best friend. David Cameron’s recent appeal to business leaders to play nicely and give their staff a pre-election wage boost is their latest bid to shake off a reputation as the party of the rich.But Cameron’s imitation of the TUC’s slogan “Britain needs a pay rise†was more theft than flattery. After all, the prime minister has presided over the longest squeeze on real earnings since the 1850s. And as nurses, firefighters and other public workers suffering real pay cuts can testify, this government has failed to practise what the prime minister preached.Related: Yes, David Cameron, Britain needs a pay rise – so cough up | Simon JenkinsRelated: Low-pay Britain, where working families have to rent a fridge Continue reading...
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by Phillip Inman, economics correspondent on (#371V)
Annualised 2.2% GDP increase is much smaller than forecast, which underlines country’s struggle to shake off decades of stagnation
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by Larry Elliott on (#36TM)
Sluggish growth, lack of expansion and failing ‘three-arrow strategy’ in the world’s third largest economy may prompt a currency warJapan is out of recession. After two quarters in which the economy contracted, growth resumed in the final three months of 2014.However, that was the end of the good news for the prime minister, Shinzo Abe. Growth remains sluggish. There was no expansion at all in 2014. The much-vaunted “three-arrow strategy†is proving a bit of a flop. Continue reading...
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by Larry Elliott, economics editor on (#36N5)
German finance minister Wolfgang Schäuble blames Syriza-led coalition for impasse and ‘acting irresponsibly’The chances of an early end to Greece’s standoff with its eurozone partners appeared to be fading as Germany adopted a hardline approach to easing the debt burden on Athens ahead of crisis talks in Brussels.Wolfgang Schäuble, Germany’s finance minister, said the Syriza-led coalition government headed by Alexis Tsipras was “acting irresponsibly†and that he felt sorry for the Greek people.“I feel sorry for the Greeks at the moment. They’ve elected a government which is currently acting irresponsibly,†Schäuble said.“Kicking cans down roads is the EU’s forte and the most likely outcome of negotiations with Greece is still that a temporary deal is reached so that talks can continue and funding be maintained for now.â€â€œIt appears unlikely that there will be even a short-term ‘bridge’ agreement between Greece and the euro group at today’s meeting, but it is to be hoped that some further common ground can be found.†Continue reading...
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by Barry Eichengreen, Beatrice Weder di Mauro and Pro on (#36HH)
From the Swiss National Bank to the Federal Reserve and the ECB, concerns are mounting over central bank liabilities. But should we really be worried?Around the world, central banks’ balance sheets are becoming an increasingly serious concern – most notably for monetary policymakers themselves. When the Swiss National Bank (SNB) abandoned its exchange-rate peg last month, causing the franc to soar by a nosebleed-inducing 20%, it seemed to be acting out of fear that it would suffer balance-sheet losses if it kept purchasing euros and other foreign currencies.Similarly, critics of the decision to embark on quantitative easing in the eurozone worry that the European Central Bank is dangerously exposed to losses on the southern eurozone members’ government bonds. This prompted the ECB Council to leave 80% of those bond purchases on the balance sheets of national central banks, where they will be the responsibility of national governments. Continue reading...
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by Reuters on (#3696)
Analysts say lower-than-forecast growth of 2.2% highlights a fragile recovery and underscores challenges facing TokyoJapan’s economy rebounded from recession in the final quarter of last year but growth was weaker than expected as household and corporate spending disappointed, underlining the challenge the prime minister, Shinzo Abe, faces in shaking off decades of stagnation.The annualised 2.2% expansion in October-December was smaller than a 3.7% increase forecast in a Reuters poll, suggesting a fragile recovery as the hangover from last year’s sales tax hike lingered. Continue reading...
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by Agence France-Presse in Tokyo on (#35TG)
Economy grew 0.6% in the fourth quarter of 2014, meaning world’s third largest economy had 0% growth for the year
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by Katie Allen on (#35QS)
Business group raises forecast for 2015 to 2.7%, citing falling costs for households and firms, but warns political uncertainty is hurting confidenceLow oil prices and inflation will help Britain record its fastest growth since the financial crisis, according to the CBI.The employers’ lobby group has upgraded its outlook for 2015 on the back of falling costs for households and businesses, echoing comments by the Bank of England governor, Mark Carney, last week that the slump in crude oil prices was “unambiguously positive†for the global economy and for the UK.Falling unemployment, improving wage growth and rock bottom inflation should mean people see more money in their pockets Continue reading...
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by Nicholas Watt, chief political correspondent on (#35M0)
The former business secretary applauds Labour leader’s industrial policy which focuses attention beyond ‘a handful of people at the top’Peter Mandelson has offered his support for a new initiative by Ed Miliband to recalibrate Britain’s industrial policy to focus attention beyond “a handful of people at the top†to all sections of the economy, including low-paid workers.The former business secretary makes his intervention in a Guardian article on the eve of a speech by the Labour leader in the West Midlands which is inspired by Barack Obama’s campaign to grow the economy “from the middle out, not from the top downâ€.Related: Labour's plans would unlock the potential of the UK economy Continue reading...
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by Peter Mandelson on (#35KY)
We did not have the chance to prove our credentials and demonstrate that we had the right plan for recoveryLabour is making two arguments about the economy: the shorter term costs of living addressed by its policies for energy prices, housing rents, a higher national minimum wage and the extension of the living wage. And the bigger economic goals – a good job and secure income wherever you live; vocational training or a modern apprenticeship and skills that enable an individual to adapt to changes in the economy. Also good quality infrastructure and higher education.But the Plan for Britain’s Prosperity that Labour is publishing shows that these two elements are part of a bigger whole, the aim of which is not only to ensure a fairer distribution of wealth, but significantly to expand the productive potential of the British economy. When Labour left office in 2010, Britain was on the way to recovery from the banking crisis that had hit us two years before. Of course we borrowed more to keep the economy from free fall and we were right to do so. We needed to accelerate out of the storm and we burned up a lot of costly financial fuel to do so. Equally, we were right to set out clearly how, over the approaching parliament, we would pay down the debt and progressively re-balance the nation’s finances just as now government needs to cut where we have to but invest where we need to.Related: Mandelson backs Miliband's 'middle-out' economic plan Continue reading...
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by Helena Smith and Katie Allen on (#35DP)
Alexis Tsipras says he is confident Greece can secure a deal, but faces growing criticism at home for softening anti-austerity stanceGreece’s new prime minister Alexis Tsipras is “full of confidence†his country can secure a deal to ditch strict austerity measures while still satisfying Athens’ international creditors, despite warning that crunch talks in Brussels today would be “difficultâ€.
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by Nicholas Watt, chief political correspondent on (#357J)
Former chancellor, who referred to Syriza MPs as ‘latterday Trotskyites’, says it is wrong to blame Germany for plight of GreeceThe “latterday Trotskyites†from Syriza who won the Greek general election have set out on a course that risks a Greek exit from the eurozone, the former chancellor Kenneth Clarke has said.In some of the starkest comments about Greece by a senior British politician, Clarke said he hoped that a “very great deal of work†was being carried out to minimise the impact on financial markets and to relieve poverty in Greece. Continue reading...
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by Larry Elliott, economics editor on (#34XZ)
Charge sheet brought by the Tories may not stand up, but party still needs show how its tax and spending policy can help re-shape and modernise the economyIn less than three months’ time, Ed Miliband could be prime minister. Admit it, conjuring up the mental image of the Labour leader coming in and out of No 10 is tough, even though opinion polls suggest that is the likeliest outcome of the election.As far as his political opponents are concerned, Miliband should be a dead man walking. The economy is growing and unemployment is falling. Courtesy of falling oil prices, living standards are rising. Labour trail the Conservatives on economic competence. Miliband is seen as a less impressive leader than David Cameron.Labour understood that the way to get the deficit down ​was to get the economy growing first Continue reading...
by Heather Stewart, economics editor on (#34G6)
Falling oil prices driving inflation down to 0.5% in January, forced Martin Weale and Ian McCafferty to back downFears that Britain could sink into a damaging “deflationary spiral†have stayed the hands of Bank of England policymakers who had pushed for an early interest rate rise, monetary policy committee member Martin Weale has revealed.Weale was one of two MPC members who had consistently voted for higher borrowing costs from August last year, as the economy recovered. But after falling oil prices drove inflation down to 0.5% in January, Weale and his fellow anti-inflation “hawkâ€, Ian McCafferty, backed down and agreed that rates should remain at their record low of 0.5%. Continue reading...
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by Guardian Staff on (#34G8)
To many, Greece seems unimportant – just as the collapsed US bank once did. Would letting it go trigger a global crisis?It’s mid-September 2008. The seventh anniversary of the 9/11 terrorist attacks has just been marked. And an American investment bank called Lehman Brothers is in trouble.Lehman is not a particularly big bank. It is not thought to be systemically important for the rest of the global financial system. So when the US authorities are unable to find a private-sector buyer for the stricken bank, they allow it go to the wall. Continue reading...
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by Heather Stewart on (#34GA)
‘Deprivation poverty’ – not being able afford to buy things most would regard as essential - is on the rise: and more than half of those affected have jobsThere’s a minor domestic crisis in any family when the fridge-freezer breaks down. Wasted food; no fresh milk; pools of water on the kitchen floor. But for some households, the demise of the washing machine, the tumble dryer or the telly is more than a hiccup – it throws up a major financial challenge.That’s where firms like BrightHouse come in: pop into one of its 291 stores, and instead of having to find several hundred pounds up front, you can replace a busted appliance for a much more manageable £10-£15 a week.Many rent-to-own customers – who have on average £19 a week spare for one-off costs – have little or no alternative Continue reading...
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by Martin Weale on (#34GC)
I was one of those voting for an interest rate rise last year. Now the risks have changed – but the resolve of the MPC has notMark Carney, the governor of the Bank of England, wrote to the chancellor last week to explain why inflation fell to 0.5% in December, significantly below the monetary policy committee’s target of 2%. As one of the nine policymakers on the monetary policy committee (MPC) at the bank, I had been voting for a rate rise since August but the news about December’s inflation led me to change my vote in January.As the governor explained – and not surprisingly – the single biggest explanation of very low inflation is the decline in the price of oil. Since the inflation rate is measured by looking at the change in prices over 12 months, inflation is likely to stay very low until the sharp fall in oil prices lies more than a year in the past. In fact, because not all prices adjust as rapidly as does petrol, the impact is likely to linger for longer than this.It is suggested central banks have run out of means of returning inflation to target. That is certainly not the case Continue reading...
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by Jennifer Rankin on (#321Q)
Founders of LoveFilm and Ecotricity give public backing to Miliband and co, dismissing idea that party is anti-business
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by Jonathan Freedland on (#31W3)
The sale of broadcast rights reflects a wider shift: from property to finance, the UK has become the turf on which others playMy first mistake, he told me, was that I still thought of it as a game. Wrong. The best way to think of football was as a TV property, comparable to, say, Downton Abbey.My conversations with senior figures in the Premier League are sufficiently rare that this one stayed with me. It was last autumn, a chance encounter on the fringes of the party conference season. As a relatively new convert to the game, I found each insider nugget fascinating.The problem is that top flight football has soared far beyond the people who were once its anchorsWhat were once modest middle-class ambitions – owning a decent home, perhaps with a garden – are now out of reach Continue reading...
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by Heather Stewart and Graeme Wearden on (#31V2)
Export powerhouse poised to ‘surf wave of economic wellbeing’ as GDP figures reveal mixed fortunes across eurozone statesStronger-than-expected German growth has signalled a winter recovery for the eurozone economies – though some members, including crisis-hit Greece, were left trailing behind.Official figures showed that GDP across the 19 members of the single currency expanded by 0.3% in the last three months of 2014, led by the export powerhouse Germany, which expanded 0.7%. Germany’s statistics office, Destatis, said domestic demand and exports were strong, helping the economy gather momentum at the end of 2014.Related: Eurozone economy grew by 0.3% in the last quarter Continue reading...
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by Katie Allen on (#31SK)
Markets buoyed by possibility of end to standoff as new government in Athens vows to reach dealGreek stock markets have rallied on growing confidence that Athens will reach a deal with its international creditors next week.In the runup to a meeting of eurozone finance ministers on Monday, the new Greek prime minister’s office vowed to do “whatever we can†to come to an agreement over a new support programme for the bailed-out country.The possibilities, given the state of the Greek economy, are limited Continue reading...
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by Graeme Wearden (until 1.30) and Nick Fletcher on (#30PH)
Rolling coverage as the latest GDP figures show the state of the eurozone, as Greece bailout talks continues
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by Helena Smith on (#31MY)
With the world’s gazed fixed on Athens, a former academic with a penchant for leather jackets has taken centre stage. With no plan B and nothing to lose, he’s ready for battle — and if it all goes wrong, he says, he’ll just get back to his bookYanis Varoufakis, it is fair to say, was barely known not that long ago. True, he was a bit of a celebrity in the arcane world of austerity economics. His vivid views, conveyed through blogs, books, tweets and talks, were the focus of some animation whenever Greece careered in and out of its seemingly endless debt crisis. In Athens, the town where he was born and bred, the economics professor enjoyed a cult following among austerity’s opponents in Syriza, the far-left party that recently surged to power.When the crisis broke – and before he departed for the ivory towers of the University of Texas at Austin – he was a regular in the boisterous talk shows that dominate Greek television. But beyond that, Yanis Varoufakis was just … Yanis Varoufakis. In a wider arena, he was not a name to conjure with. So my first question when we meet in his office on the sixth floor of the finance ministry, which every finance minister has inhabited since Europe’s great Greek debt drama began, is: how does he feel? Is Yanis Varoufakis, the academic turned neophyte politician, entirely comfortable with his new star status?Related: Greece calls for bridging loan; anti-austerity protests in Athens - as it happenedRelated: Profile: Greece’s new finance minister Yanis Varoufakis Continue reading...
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by Phillip Inman, economics correspondent on (#31EK)
Growth figures are healthier than expected, but beneath the surface unemployment and low wages depress living standardsFrankfurt’s stock market has reached a new high, topping 11,000 for the first time. According to the latest eurozone GDP figures, Germany enjoyed strong GDP growth in the last three months of the year and helped push expansion across the currency bloc to 0.3% for the quarter and 0.9% for the year. In Portugal and Spain, the headline growth figures improved. Even Italy beat analysts’ expectations after it avoided a decline.So the recovery is real. In fact, say the eurozone’s top policymakers, it’s all going so well the new Greek government should open its eyes and see the warm, golden glow of sunshine appearing on the horizon. Continue reading...
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by Oliver James on (#3194)
These billionaires get rich on the back of our taxes but they give nothing in returnThe news this week that a bank helped wealthy customers to dodge taxes should not come as a surprise to many. The super-rich have long held some profoundly distorted ideas about the world. They are more than averagely likely to believe their achievements are the product of their superior brains and hard work. They may believe the Selfish Gene rhetoric that those with the best genes rise to the top of the pond, and at the bottom is genetic sludge. They are oblivious to any evidence to the contrary. They have no idea that had they been born on a sink estate they too would have sunk.This is partly because the super-rich are no longer exposed to data and experiences that contradict their worldview. Flitting between their various homes around the world, they know nothing of our lives. They have never, ever had to sit on the phone waiting for the next available customer support agent – “your call really matters to us†– to not fix their phone/internet/energy bill issue.Related: How to make the wealthy pay tax | Jolyon MaughamThe super-rich have no idea that had they been born on a sink estate they too would have sunk Continue reading...
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by Angela Monaghan on (#316X)
Brent crude oil prices hit highest level so far this year after collapsing to $45 last month from high of $115 last summer.Oil prices have risen above $60 a barrel for the first time this year amid signs that industry spending cuts might curb supply.Brent crude collapsed 60% from a high of $115 a barrel last summer to $45.19 in January, the lowest in almost six years, as a result of oversupply. Continue reading...
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by Nick Fletcher on (#31HC)
Hopes of a Greek deal and a recovery in oil and metal prices lifts UK marketLeading shares are heading towards their highest level since the dotcom boom in 1999. The FTSE 100 is now at 6872, up 44 points on the day and within 60 points of the closing peak of 6930 hit on 30 December 1999. The move follows a couple of attempts to reach new heights in 2014, but what has driven this latest tilt at the record? Continue reading...
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by Katie Allen on (#3157)
Overall housebuilding experiences sharp drop in output, suggesting slowdown in housing market – but economists urged not to read too much into latest figures
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by Graeme Wearden on (#312N)
Improvement on 0.2% growth in previous quarter raises hopes that Europe’s weak economic recovery is picking up pace
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by Stephen Koukoulas on (#30A9)
As the Asian powerhouse cools its extraordinary rate of expansion, Australia must hope that service industries pick up the export baton from the minersFor the first time in almost a quarter of a century, China begins its new year celebrations with a question mark over how the country will maintain its extraordinary growth. The economy is maturing and breakneck expansion is being supplanted by a shift towards services and away from manufacturing, construction and agriculture.For Australia, the implications of these changes are significant. Already, the growth in demand for iron ore and coal from China is slowing, driving the price of these two huge export earners for Australia to levels that are seeing the high-cost producers close down.Related: Hard times return as China bids to bring its economic miracle to an end Continue reading...
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by Graeme Wearden on (#2Y9C)
Rolling coverage of the deadlock over Greece’s bailout programme, as European leaders gather in Brussels for a summit meeting
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by Guardian Staff on (#2ZV0)
Will Hutton’s brave and visionary ideas for reforming British capitalism should be condensed into a terse popular narrative and incorporated into a widely disseminated pre-election “manifesto†(British capitalism is broken. Here’s how to fix it, 11 February). As he says: “The current national conversation is hardly conducive to these ideasâ€. What about crowd-funded one-page presentations in the national press and social media? It would surely be signed by a long list of respected national figures – not only economists.The distorted imperative of deficit reduction has imposed a straitjacket of negativity around the national conversation Continue reading...
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by Phillip Inman on (#2ZRM)
Extension of emergency lending facility to Greek finance sector lifts euro and gives PM Alexis Tsipras stronger hand before leaders’ summitThe European Central Bank has thrown Greece a lifeline to prevent Athens running out of money before crunch talks with European leaders.The extension of emergency funding to the Greek finance sector by the eurozone’s central bankers lifted the euro and gave Greece’s prime minister, Alexis Tsipras, a stronger hand before meetings with senior officials at the leaders summit in Brussels.Related: David Cameron urges end to Greek debt standoff -- live updates Continue reading...
by Larry Elliott Elliott, economics editor on (#2ZQP)
Alexis Tsipra’s Syriza government continues to aspire to a lesser debt burden and a ditching of policies forced on Athens for the bailoutIt’s easy to see why Angela Merkel and François Hollande were so keen to get an agreement with Vladimir Putin over Ukraine. The eurozone is not really in good enough shape to cope with the aftershocks of one crisis let alone two.So, Germany and France wanted at least a temporary respite from the problems on Europe’s eastern borders before turning to the more pressing issue of Greece. Continue reading...
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by Phillip Inman, economics correspondent on (#307T)
Year-on-year rises in income tax threshold, which cost the Treasury billions in lost revenue, unable to protect households from the economic downturnBritish household spending power fell in the first three years of the coalition government despite millions of people being taken out of the lowest income tax band, according to a report by the Office for National Statistics.
by Larry Elliott on (#2Z7Y)
Prospect of quantitative easing or negative interest rates are remote, given the forecasts for earnings and growth
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by Angela Monaghan and Larry Elliott on (#2YQ6)
Bank of England governor says strong growth should avert threat of deflationary spiral, but public should prepare for interest rate rise earlier than expectedBritain is sliding towards its first bout of negative inflation in more than half a century, the Bank of England has said, but strong economic growth should stave off the threat of a deflationary spiral.The slump in oil prices and falling food prices is likely to push inflation to zero in the second and third quarters of 2015, probably dipping into negative territory for one or two months this spring, the Bank said in its February inflation report.Related: Will below-zero inflation lead the Bank to start tightening policy? Continue reading...
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by Guardian Staff on (#2YPF)
Thousands of people in Athens gather on Wednesday for a rally in support of Greece's new government as the finance minister, Yanis Varoufakis, attends bailout talks in Brussels. After seven hours of negotiations, eurozone finance ministers failed to make any progress or sign a joint statement Continue reading...
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by Alec Luhn in Kiev on (#2YJY)
Deal, under which Kiev will have to cut spending, restructure banks and fight corruption, comes as leaders meeting in Minsk agree ceasefire for east of countryThe International Monetary Fund has announced a $17.5bn (£11.5bn) loan to war-stricken Ukraine, extending the lifeline keeping the country from bankruptcy.
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by Angela Monaghan on (#2YFF)
Inflation, which fell to 0.5% in December, expected to turn negative in coming months, as Bank prepares to cut forecasts in quarterly report
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by Tom Clark on (#2Y7B)
Those in work are finding their pay and conditions squeezed because employers know they can be replacedDuring the recession, John McArthur put himself forward to work for LAMH Recycle Ltd in Motherwell, a social enterprise that reconditions computers. An electronics specialist, McArthur, now 59, had previously worked on factory floors, then retrained, moved into product development, and even started his own company. But like many in Lanarkshire, he found that a rich CV counted for little when facing a slump. Frustrated by unemployment, he seized on the chance “to sit at the end of line†at LAMH, “doing the final quality check, signing things off as good to go. It was minimum-wage work,†he tells me, “but I was more than happy to do it. I had experience to share.â€John was prepared for the fact that this placement, which was backed by a Labour government programme, would not last forever: it ended in 2011. Nothing, however, could prepare him for what happened next. Last summer, under a new coalition make-work scheme, he was informed that there was, once again, a post for him at LAMH. But the new “offer†came with a twist: this time John would be working without a wage. There would be no reward for 30 hours graft, only the threat of subsistence-level benefits being withdrawn if it wasn’t done.Related: Unemployment causes 45,000 suicides a year worldwide, finds studyThe creep of zero-hour working continues, and there are still twice as many unwilling part-timers as before the slump Continue reading...
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by Ian Traynor in Brussels on (#2X7G)
First serious negotiations between country and EU finance ministers fail even to build framework for future talks
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by Severin Carrell Scotland correspondent on (#2XFQ)
Economists say methodology that helped forecast Scottish referendum result could be used to predict general elections
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by Sean Farrell on (#2XFR)
Ratings agency says benefits of reduced energy costs will be offset by weakness in the eurozone and elsewhere
by Mohamed El-Erian on (#2XFS)
Even the most stability obsessed countries have made unexpected economic moves, but barriers to growth remain largely unaddressed – and central banks cannot tackle them alone
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by Will Hutton on (#2XFT)
The country is heading towards a social and economic crisis marked by desperately high levels of inequality. But it’s not too late to create a fairer society in which most people flourishWe live in a country whose banking system seven years ago was only saved by a £1tn intervention, and that remains crippled by the legacy of private debt and stunning losses. Months ago, the secession of Scotland, which threatened to break up the foundations of the state, was narrowly avoided; it remains an ongoing threat. Our share of world markets continues to shrink, and our trade deficit has climbed to unthinkable levels. Wages have fallen, in real terms, by the greatest degree in more than a century. Inequality of income and wealth have risen to desperately high levels that may soon metastasise into a serious economic and social cancer.Yet what is most extraordinary about the present moment is that all this now seems unexceptional; our political and economic order is so thoroughly broken that many no longer find that fact worthy of notice.Smart societies are impossible to create without fairness, justice and enfranchisementAt best, companies are organisations of genius, solving problems, innovating and delivering great goods and servicesThe task is to move the financial system away from its fixation with property lending and onto supporting innovation Continue reading...
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by Warwick Smith on (#2XFV)
Surpluses effectively ‘privatise the deficit’ by making the public rack up debt. Is this worse than public debt? It depends if you’re a bankerJoe Hockey, the treasurer, now concedes he may not be able to deliver his promised budget surplus any time in the foreseeable future. This news is good for private savings because, when the government runs a surplus, the non-government sector must run a deficit.This is a simple reality of macro-economic accounting. There are only so many Australian dollars. If the government taxes more than it spends (a surplus), it is taking more dollars out of the private sector than it is putting in. Assuming exports equal imports those dollars can come from only one place – private domestic savings. Everyone’s surplus is somebody else’s deficit.