Fresh from victory, a new government makes big fiscal changes as early as it can. What that means for Britain this time has already been spelled out all too clearlyThe first budget of a new parliament tends to be the most dramatic and influence the agenda for years ahead – even decades, in the case of Anthony Barber (chancellor 1970-74), Sir Geoffrey Howe (1979-83) and Nigel Lawson (1983-89). The impending July budget of the new chancellor – sorry, folks, but not really so new – will almost certainly fit the traditional pattern.On this occasion, however, it will be a true blue Conservative budget, not watered down by a coalition partner. And how those Liberals who deserted their own party in the recent election are going to regret it!It will be shameful if, as expected and indeed promised, he goes ahead with his attack on welfare and public services Continue reading...
Agreement appears to be close for the beleaguered country and its creditors – but recession and restructuring seem inevitable whatever happensAs Greek prime minister Alexis Tsipras and his finance minister Yanis Varoufakis have discovered the hard way, international financial deal-making is a world away from the thrill of a barnstorming election campaign.But with Varoufakis sidelined after a series of less-than-helpful public interventions, Tsipras and his colleagues appear to be in the final stages of agreeing a deal with the country’s eurozone creditors and the International Monetary Fund – renamed the “Brussels Group†to assuage the Greek public’s hatred of the “troikaâ€.With every day that passes, holidaymakers opt for Ibiza instead of Crete, for fear of being caught out by a Greccident Continue reading...
Why did Andrei Guriev, or early 20th-century industrialist Arthur Crosfield and his family of just three, want to buy Witanhurst house – London’s biggest residence, besides Buckingham Palace, with 25 bedrooms and 365 windows?Highgate these days is full of Russians,†my friend Diana Athill said recently as we drove past the steep lane that leads to the cemetery and the grave of Karl Marx. Diana is rather old – she was born only a few weeks after the Bolsheviks stormed the Winter Palace – so you might say that her life has spanned every jump in modern Russian history, from the last tsar to Lenin, from Lenin to Stalin, from Stalin to Gorbachev and from Gorbachev to Putin; though by “Russians†she meant the most recent, oligarchical kind rather than those who, down the hill 30 years ago, would queue in their badly made suits to lay their official bouquets beside Marx’s great bronze head. Of course, both kinds of Russians are often the same people in different guise: apparatchiks whom historical opportunity has turned into plutocrats.Diana said she’d once asked a taxi driver if he ever drove any Russians. “He replied, ‘No, but I often drive their cooks.â€â€™ She laughed at this. Despite their prominence in conversation, Highgate’s Russians are unobtrusive as pedestrians, pub goers and frequenters of the local shops, possibly because they are too rich for any of these ordinary activities. Theirs is the world of the bodyguard and the black-glass limousine. A few of the big names are known, including Alisher Usmanov, who is ranked third by Forbes in its list of Russian billionaires, and owns a regency villa on the edge of Hampstead Heath. But easily the most visible evidence of Russian wealth is an enormous house called Witanhurst, which stands only a few hundred yards from the high street, and for the past five years has been surrounded by scaffolding, shipping containers and Portakabins – evidence of its extravagant remodelling for an anonymous owner, of whom until this week nothing was known, other than the likelihood that he or she was Russian. Continue reading...
Freakonomics was fun and offered new insights. But its tone of certainty was misleadingIt began with a question: what do teachers and sumo wrestlers have in common? It ended in a phenomenon. When Freakonomics (and its all-important subtitle: A Rogue Economist Explores the Hidden Side of Everything) was published 10 years ago, it became much bigger than a bestseller – the book of quirky questions with answers drawn from economics signalled nothing less than a cultural change. It sold millions in the first year alone, was translated into more than 30 languages and got turned into a film. Its authors, economist Steven Levitt and journalist Stephen Dubner, have spent the following decade writing enough follow-ups to sustain a franchise: Superfreakonomics, Think Like a Freak… the latest, When To Rob a Bank, is out this month and surprises mainly by not having freak in its title. Not a bad harvest for a work of micro-economics, co-written by a university academic. And – here’s where a commercial triumph turns into a cultural turn – soon every publisher felt it needed a Freakonomics equivalent, or 17.Before Levitt and Dubner, the work in America of popularising big ideas had fallen almost solely on the slim shoulders of Malcolm Gladwell. After them, it became a boom industry. Readers have spent most of the past decade surfing a wave of titles proffering social-science research to help navigate life. The Why Axis: Hidden Motives and the Undiscovered Economics of Everyday Life; Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces that Shape our Decisions… further references are available on your nearest table of three-for-two offers. Continue reading...
As talks between Greece and its creditors continue in Brussels on Friday, ECB confirms that savers pulled €5.6bn out of their accounts last monthEuropean shares fell on Friday after Greek bank deposits slumped to a decade low, raising fears that the country is heading towards a disorderly exit from the eurozone.Following a warning on Thursday from Christine Lagarde, head of the International Monetary Fund, that Greece could potentially leave the euro, investors remained sceptical of a debt deal this weekend. Athens’s benchmark share index fell 1.4%, having been down almost 2%. The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index was also down more than 1%.Related: Christine Lagarde's strong stance reveals weakness of Greek positionEuropean markets continued to feel the ongoing effects of the situation in Greece, with fresh fears that the country will be unable to make yet another repayment due to the IMF. The Greek government has still not made it clear how it intends to make the €1.6bn repayment, the first tranche of which falls due next Friday. Continue reading...
The prospect of five more years of cuts is daunting, but from joining a protest to being kind, there are many grassroots ways to reduce its impactAs the Conservatives were sworn into government this week, it was hard not to feel daunted by five more years of cuts to public services, further privatisation of the NHS and the demonising of the poorest in our society. For all of us who live and work at the sharp end of cuts – minimum-wage employees surviving on diminishing benefits, disabled people, tenants facing eviction, NHS employees – the destructive impact of austerity is clear.At UK Uncut, we’ve been taking action for the past five years to highlight the fact that austerity damages society. It is a smokescreen for the ideologically driven destruction of the welfare state and all the evidence shows that it’s bad for economic growth, too. And yet, somehow, we’ve failed to convince the rest of the English electorate to vote against the Tories’ economic plan. We must face up to this failure, and reflect on where we’ve gone wrong. Continue reading...
Falling oil prices and harsh winter also blamed for weak first quarter which had been predicted by economists and is expected to be temporaryA harsh winter, a strong dollar and falling oil prices took their toll on the US economy in the first quarter, the Commerce Department revealed on Friday.
The logic of Ukip’s only MP when he dismisses anti-austerity protests is that the whole population must submit to an ‘elected dictatorship’Confession time: I like Douglas Carswell. Sure, I abhor everything Ukip stand for: they’re a millionaire-funded party advocating privatisation and tax cuts for a thriving wealthy elite, encouraging struggling Britons to direct their fire at immigrants rather than financiers, poverty-paying employers or tax avoiders. But Carswell is a charming and thoughtful bloke more interested in technology-based libertarianism than kneejerk rightwing populism.The son of a doctor who helped pioneer the treatment of HIV, he was clearly upset at Nigel Farage’s contemptible pre-election attempt to tap into resentment of foreign-born HIV-positive patients. His libertarianism, if implemented, would be nothing short of a social and economic disaster; but his critique of crony capitalism – of the fusion between corporate interests and the state – is one many on the left could easily identify with.Related: Ukip MP Douglas Carswell surrounded by anti-austerity protesters in London Continue reading...
Dick Fuld defended the bank’s culture, pointing the finger instead at government failings and hedge funds aggressively short-selling its stockDick Fuld, the chief executive who led Lehman Brothers to the largest corporate collapse in modern times, has defended the failed investment bank’s culture, insisting that it was a victim of wider market excesses and regulatory failings in his first public speech since the banking crash of 2008.“It was all about team,†he told a conference in New York. “My people were in it together – and our clients knew it. There was no ... ‘It’s my account,’ no ‘I’m a star, so pay me.’†Continue reading...
The government’s decision to omit from the Queen’s speech the Conservative election pledge to scrap the Human Rights Act and to replace it with a British bill of rights, should be welcomed (Report, 28 May). A single message should emerge loud and clear from the consultation process which will take place instead. While the Human Rights Act may not be perfect, there is no credible case for its repeal. To do so would create significantly greater problems than would be solved, for the people of the UK, the British constitution, the devolution arrangements for Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, and for the UK’s reputation as a leading nation in the free world.
Coalition of charities says Conservatives’ planned cuts to social security, public sector and legal aid risk widening gender inequalityThe UK risks widening gender inequality because of austerity policies that disproportionately affect women, a coalition of charities has warned.Cuts to social security, the public sector and legal aid will only worsen women’s position in British society, the charities say, while proposals for a five-year lock on tax rises will benefit men over women. Those factors in combination mean that women will bear the brunt of measures to pay off the deficit, they argue.Related: These children of Thatcher are free to cut, cut, cut – and they’re loving every minute | Polly Toynbee Continue reading...
by Helena Smith in Athens and Heather Stewart on (#9Y1X)
Christine Lagarde says deal with Athens is unlikely in next few days, after Greece’s lead negotiator claimed high-level intervention was needed in talksThe head of the International Monetary Fund has warned that a Greek exit from the eurozone is a “possibility†as debt talks reach a critical stage.Christine Lagarde said a deal with Athens was unlikely to be reached over the next few days, as the indebted country strives to meet a 5 June deadline for a €305m (£218m) payment to the IMF. In an interview with the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, the IMF managing director said: “A Greek exit is a possibility.â€Related: Creditors doubtful as Greece predicts bailout deal by Sunday - live updates Continue reading...
With 20% of bank accounts going unused in developing countries according to the World Bank, financial inclusion must take centre stage in poverty reduction
City experts’ belief that GDP figures would be revised up has proved unfounded, raising fears the recovery is stallingThe first thing to remark about this morning’s GDP figure from the Office for National Statistics – its second take on economic growth in the first three months of the year – is that it has not changed. Or in the words of one analyst, it remains “disappointingly unrevised†from the initial 0.3% estimate.When that weak number was announced in the thick of the general election campaign, City experts said it was too pessimistic and would be wiped away when the ONS had had more time to collect data. Continue reading...
by Phillip Inman Economics correspondent on (#9XR7)
Second estimate of GDP by the Office for National Statistics was expected to see an upwards revision to growthOfficial figures have confirmed that Britain’s growth rate slowed to 0.3% in the first three months of the year after an improvement in construction output was offset by a slowdown in the services sector.The second estimate of GDP by the Office for National Statistics was expected to show that the halving of the UK’s quarterly growth rate had been exaggerated and would be revised upwards. Continue reading...
Analysis suggests that Poland is the best country at turning economic growth into the wellbeing of its citizensPoland is outperforming the UK when it comes to education as well as being the world leader in converting economic growth into the well-being of its citizens, according to a new report.The Sustainable economic development assessment (Seda) by The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) measures wellbeing across 149 countries. Continue reading...
George Osborne said in 2010 that he would eliminate the structural deficit by 2015; it now stands at £92bn. His latest yarn (Let the cuts begin, 21 May) is that he will eliminate it by 2017-18. Fat chance. According to the Treasury red book accompanying his April 2015 budget (p22), the deficit reduced from £97.3bn in 2013-14 by just £7bn to an expected £90.2bn in 2014-15. According to the same table, Osborne now expects/hopes/wishes the deficit to reduce by £15bn this year, £36bn the next year, £27bn the year after that, and a further £17bn in the year after that. Is that remotely credible or just another yarn to keep people quiescent while the deficit threshing machine cranks up into top gear?Osborne has kicked off with an immediate £30bn cuts target. Maybe he can get away with £13bn cuts to policing, the courts, the military and prisons, but there is a serious and rising risk of explosive consequences all round. His proposed £12bn welfare cuts to carers’ allowances, disability benefits, child benefit, industrial injury benefits and tax credits will hit some of the most sensitive sections of British society, including millions in in-work poverty, and like Thatcher’s poll tax will eventually trigger a grassroots rebellion. His £5bn savings on tax avoidance is fantasy: he’s never achieved that in five years of telling us he’s been cracking down on this.Before the second world war there was an orthodoxy of balanced budgets, sound money, the gold standard and free tradeProductivity growth is the big issue, but quality of the workforce is a symptom not a cause Continue reading...
American Treasury secretary, Jack Lew, vows to use upcoming event to press Greece and European ministers to forge a rescue dealThe US Treasury secretary has said he will use the G7 finance ministers’ meeting on Thursday and Friday to press Greece and its European creditors to end their brinkmanship and forge a rescue deal.With the Syriza-led coalition scrambling to secure an agreement, which will release the final €7.2bn (£5.1bn) tranche of bailout cash and prevent it defaulting on a looming payment to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Jack Lew urged both sides in the ongoing Greek debt crisis to “treat every deadline as the lastâ€. Continue reading...
Critics of the controversial Trans-Pacific Partnership are unlikely to be silenced by an analysis of the flood of money it took to push the pact over its latest hurdleA decade in the making, the controversial Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) is reaching its climax and as Congress hotly debates the biggest trade deal in a generation, its backers have turned on the cash spigot in the hopes of getting it passed.“We’re very much in the endgame,†US trade representative Michael Froman told reporters over the weekend at a meeting of the 21-member Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum on the resort island of Boracay. His comments came days after TPP passed another crucial vote in the Senate. Continue reading...
Many investors are putting plans in the UK on ice until the referendum on EU membership is out the wayThe government’s plan to hold an EU referendum will dent foreign investment in the UK and threatens its position as Europe’s top destination for overseas investors, according to a new report. Continue reading...
Upbeat tone of the Nielsen survey underpinned by improving job prospects and low inflationUK consumers are at their most upbeat for nine years on the back of improving job prospects and low inflation, according to the latest report to suggest spending power is recovering.Consumer confidence rose for the fifth successive quarter in the opening months of this year to hit its highest level since the pre-crisis days of 2006, according to market research company Nielsen. The proportion of people feeling now was a good time to spend was also up; at 45%, it was the highest since comparable records began in late 2006.Retailers will be encouraged to see growth in sales and orders on the high street bounding ahead. Low inflation, which we expect to remain below 1% for the rest of the year, has given household incomes a much-needed boost and greater spending power. Continue reading...
Most people will accept inequality if it comes about through creativity, innate ability or pure chance. Then there’s the other type of inequality ...Inequality has reached the point where even billionaires are worried about it. In an open letter to “my fellow zillionairesâ€, American dot-com entrepreneur Nick Hanauer warns that rising inequality is making his country “less a capitalist society and more a feudal societyâ€. Hong Kong billionaire Li Ka-shing, the 15th richest person in the world, says that his concerns about widening polarisation are keeping him awake at night: “… why am I sleepless in Hong Kong? I fear that widening inequality in wealth and opportunities, if left unaddressed could fast become ‘the new normal’.â€Related: Don’t blame rising inequality on technological change | Owen JonesRelated: Why is Thomas Piketty's 700-page book a bestseller?Related: Joseph Stiglitz: ‘GDP per capita in the UK is lower than it was before the crisis. That is not a success’Related: Inequality harms all of us | Lesley Riddoch Continue reading...
Demands for more austerity in Greece are as inhumane as economically crass but Greeks would likely prefer more such ‘medicine’ if it meant keeping the euroPaddy Power is quoting 11/10 on Greece leaving the euro – and after recent events it’s hardly a surprise that the bookmaker is offering the shortest odds ever on a Grexit. After months of wrangling, Greece still can’t reach an agreement with its creditors to secure fresh financial assistance and doesn’t have the ready cash to make a payment due to the International Monetary Fund at the end of next week.The economic argument for Greece staying in the euro is weak. National output is down by a quarter in five years. The debt-to-GDP ratio is heading rapidly towards 200%. One in four people are unemployed and there is widespread poverty.Greece’s PM has to decide whether to accept more austerity as the price of remaining in the single currency Continue reading...
Scotland’s first minister says cuts will hit economic growth and deficit reduction and says the Scottish government will campaign to stay in the EUNicola Sturgeon has attacked the “scale and speed†of government spending cuts, while pledging that the Scottish government will campaign for the UK to stay in the EU.In her first major speech on the economy since the general election, Scotland’s first minister argued that the proposed cuts would hamper the economic recovery and make reducing the deficit harder.During the runup to the referendum the Scottish ​government will make a strong and positive case for staying in the EU Continue reading...
Tsipras says technical talks with Greece’s creditors would resume amid fears Athens is close to running out of money as €1.6bn IMF debt repayment loomsThe high-stakes game of brinkmanship between Greece and its creditors intensified on Monday after prime minister Alexis Tsipras convened an emergency meeting of his political negotiation team following a stark warning from Athens that default was looming.Amid mounting fears of financial collapse, Tsipras instructed officials to act speedily as his government sought to defuse tensions saying it would do its best to honour its debts – even if it failed to reveal how, exactly, it would find the money to pay €1.6bn in loans to the International Monetary Fund next month. Technical teams are set to resume talks in Brussels on Tuesday.Related: Greece warns it is set to default on debt repayment loans Continue reading...
Sir Michael Graydon says David Cameron must repair damage to UK security and commit to Nato minimum of 2% of GDPDavid Cameron must repair the damage to UK security by guaranteeing a minimum level of defence spending, the former head of the RAF has said.
Conservative prime minister actually increased state regulation of financial sector, according to Institute for Economic AffairsThe free-market thinktank that inspired many of Margaret Thatcher’s reforms has now turned critic of the Iron Lady’s shakeup of the City in the 1980s, suggesting it increased state regulation of the financial sector, making it too burdensome.While the left has blamed the liberalisation of finance under Thatcher for the crisis that paralysed the banking system and led to the deepest UK recession of the post-war era, the Institute for Economic Affairs says the 1980s involved private regulation being replaced by less effective statutory regulation. Continue reading...
The candidates have a duty to rethink their party’s failed election platform. But they cannot credibly talk to the future by wishing Britain’s inequality problem awayAspiration, opportunity and empowerment. Britain’s half-forgotten pre-crisis political buzzwords are back with a vengeance in the Labour leadership contest. Tony Blair himself was too good a communicator to rely much on such abstractions, but his favoured thinktanks never stopped pamphleteering on “enablingâ€, “contestable†and “consumer-orientated†policies. And those who hope to lead Labour now seem to be agreed on one thing: that the path back to power will be paved with talk about aspiration.Even in New Labour’s heyday such chatter was rarely heard beyond the shadow of Big Ben, and yet the likes of Liz Kendall and Andy Burnham can be forgiven a little linguistic nostalgia. Although there are multiple and contradictory lessons to absorb and reconcile after Ed Miliband’s drubbing, including how to deal with angry northern deserters to Ukip and dispossessed Scottish Nationalists, the single most urgent requirement in altering the dismal electoral arithmetic in 2020 is more familiar: persuading Middle Englanders who sided with the Conservatives this time that they would do better next time to take a chance on change. Through the frenzy of jargon, you can pick out a justified howl of mourning for the lost days when Labour was seen as helping people get ahead. Continue reading...
by Phillip Inman Economics correspondent on (#9NXW)
Interior minister says Athens simply cannot satisfy IMF deadline next month unless it works out a deal with eurozone creditorsGreece has threatened to default on €1.6bn (£1.14bn) of debt repayment due on international bailout loans next month, claiming it does not have the funds to satisfy creditors at the same time as paying wages and pensions.
When anti-capitalist protesters set up camp on the steps of St Paul’s in London, its canon chancellor found himself at the heart of a crisis that shook the church even more than the City. As a new play, Temple, explores the affair, he questions the very existence of the cathedral itselfOn the afternoon of 26 October 2011, the cathedral chapter of St Paul’s came together for a hastily convened meeting. Some were absent, but there were enough of us to make a decision. And there was only one item on the agenda: the eviction of Occupy. Everyone was tired. Everyone was emotional. The previous weeks had taken their toll. And we all dealt with it differently. During the meeting, I felt almost unable to speak, perhaps overwhelmed by the gravity of the moment. The dean reached across the baize table to hold my hand and break my silence. It was a simple act of kindness in an impossible situation. He, too, was tired and angry. I don’t remember what I said, but it wasn’t enough. The vote was close but it didn’t go my way. A few hours later, I rang the dean’s doorbell and handed him the letter. I couldn’t just pop it through his letterbox. He knew what it was.I'm played by Paul Higgins, the other ferocious spin doctor in The Thick of It. Some might call this typecastingOccupy reflects a deep-seated sense that there is something wrong … Of course they were right. AbsolutelyThe Romans stole Jesus's religion … Christians swapped the rags of the oppressed for the ermine of high officeThe poor, vulnerable God of Bethlehem was more clearly articulated in the camp [than in the cathedral] Continue reading...
‘It would make economic sense if people like us got laid more’Ten years ago, as we were about to publish a book called Freakonomics, we decided to start a companion website. At the time, we thought it was a bit of a waste of time, a marketing tool through which readers could submit their own dumb-ass ideas and where we could dump some of our dreariest and most futile observations that had no chance of making it into any of our subsequent books. But guess what? It turns out there is nothing you cannot monetise, if the brand is big enough.PS: As economists, perhaps we should have foreseen that possibility. PPS: Some of our readers reached that conclusion a while ago, with the publication of our third book. Continue reading...
Jonathan Hoffman is seeking $83m in unpaid bonuses from his days at Lehman BrothersBarclays paid a “lone wolf†star trader £170m in the five years following the financial crisis, a payout which dwarfed those of Bob Diamond, the bank’s former boss.Jonathan Hoffman’s earnings included an $83m (£52m) payment to the trader who previously worked for Lehman Brothers, the US bank that collapsed in 2008 kicking off the global financial crisis. Continue reading...
The UK oil and gas industry receives huge government subsidy, while support for renewable energy is cut. Is Treasury control of Whitehall fuelling a shortsighted economic agenda?There are no oil rigs visible from Aberdeen itself, but evidence of the foundations of Europe’s oil capital is easy to see: plaques for the head offices of major fossil fuel companies, helicopters ferrying workers to and from offshore platforms, designer shops for a city that has more millionaires than any other in the UK.It is not far from the centre of the granite city to the poorer wards, though, where like so many places, people struggling to pay ever-increasing energy bills are still forced to live in cold, damp, poorly insulated homes.
Interior minister Nikos Voutsis makes most explicit remarks yet that if talks with creditors fail, Greece will default next monthGreece cannot make debt repayments to the International Monetary Fund next month unless it achieves a deal with creditors, its interior minister said on Sunday, the most explicit remarks yet from Athens about the likelihood of default if talks fail.Shut out of the bond markets and with bailout aid locked, cash-strapped Athens has been scraping state coffers to meet debt obligations and to pay wages and pensions. Continue reading...
When chancellor says he wants economy to find another gear, it’s not so much speed at which UK is expanding that concerns him, it is quality of that growthIt’s Monday morning and you arrive at the station to find that your train has been cancelled due to a points failure. You miss an important meeting.On Tuesday your desktop computer crashes yet again. IT says the problem is simple: the computer is old and needs to be replaced.Related: Joseph Stiglitz: ‘GDP per capita in the UK is lower than it was before the crisis. That is not a success’ Continue reading...
With an increasing number of fancy fast food restaurants opening across the UK, we look at the businesses that are spoiling diners for choiceBritain’s taste for burgers – especially its love of gourmet versions – continues to grow.Once the choice was limited to McDonalds and Burger King. But now, British burger lovers are presented with a multitude of “premium†burgers from the likes of Byron, Honest Burger, Five Guys and Shake Shack.The growth in ‘better burger’ concepts in particular is largely reflective of higher consumer expectations, with ongoing demands for fresh, ‘real’ food. The success of this can be seen in the rise of established ‘better burger’ players such as Gourmet Burger Kitchen and Byron Burgers over recent years. The emergence of new US players such as Smashburger and Five Guys is arguably leveraging this proven demand for ‘better burgers’ in the UK whilst further tapping into consumers’ ongoing demand for fast service concepts. Continue reading...
Argentina defaulted in 2001, and is still not free of its creditors. There needs to be a clear resolution to the blight of vulture funds and neverending austerityAlexis Tsipras, Greece’s combative prime minister, is facing yet another week of fraught negotiations as he and his team struggle to agree a shopping list of economic reforms stringent enough to appease the country’s creditors, but different enough from the grinding austerity of the past five years to satisfy the Greek electorate.And all the while, bank deposits will leach out of the country, investment plans will remain on hold and consumers hammered by years of austerity will continue living hand to mouth.The aim would be to impose a debt write-off significant enough to make future repayments manageable Continue reading...
Nobel prize-winner Joseph Stiglitz is the world’s foremost critic of economic and political inequality. He thinks the lessons of the global crash are being ignored, and he’s not much taken with the UK’s recovery either…Think back to 2008. There was an inquest into Princess Diana’s death, Portsmouth won the FA Cup and Jonathan Ross and Russell Brand got in trouble for making a prank call to Andrew Sachs. Oh yeah, and the global economy almost collapsed.To prevent the disintegration of international banking, and capitalism as we know it, governments were forced to pour trillions of dollars into rescue packages. In Britain alone, government loans to and investment in the banks amounted to hundreds of billions of pounds, which in turn presaged a debt crisis and years of austerity measures. Continue reading...
In the days before the Great Recession, the liberalisation of world trade seemed a certainty: now fears over ‘hot money’ and migration have changed the moodGlobalisation is under attack. It was meant to be the unstoppable economic force bringing prosperity to rich and poor alike, but that was before the financial crisis ripped up the rulebook.For the past four years, international trade flows have increased more slowly than global GDP – “an outcome unprecedented in postwar historyâ€, as analyst Michael Pearce of Capital Economics put it in a recent note.I have always thought that the greatest threat to globalisation is the USObama's been a little bit subdued, but he’s not going to want a protectionist legacy Continue reading...
Federal Reserve chair issues caution to US markets that the increase is ‘likely to be gradual’ over lingering concerns about ‘slack’ in the jobs marketFederal Reserve chairwoman Janet Yellen has said she expects interest rates to rise this year, in what would be the first rate hike from near zero since the 2008 economic crisis.Yellen said that if the US economy continues to strengthen, “it will be appropriate at some point this year to take the initial step to raise the federal funds rateâ€.Related: Federal Reserve says June too early to begin raising interest rates Continue reading...
Instead of focusing on just creating jobs, the impact fund invests in companies that offer good jobs – with health care benefits and growth opportunities – in underserved communitiesAt the heart of the American Dream – the idea that anyone in the US, by dint of hard work and determination, can climb the economic ladder – is the American dream job. This is, the kind of job that can become a career, the sort of work that provides employees with decent wages, benefits, training and opportunities to better themselves. It’s the type of job that underlays a thriving economy.
From the banlieues of Paris to the northern quarters of Marseille, a black-market auto repair industry is boomingUnder the trees, just down the road from the Dourdin housing estate, the signs are unmistakable, with a couple of cars jacked up and a litter of oily rags and toolboxes spilling all over the pavement. By Thursday evening the open-air mechanics have set up shop in this district of St Denis, north-east of Paris.Sporting a singlet and a (fake) diamond stud in his ear, Eddie (name changed) has plenty on his hands. Customers are waiting in their cars. At the end of the day he pulls out a flask of bourbon and some plastic cups, and turns up the sound system. The scene turns into a boozy picnic. Continue reading...
