by Graeme Wearden on (#FS1N)
The US Federal Reserve has resisted raising interest rates until it sees more signs of labor market improvement
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| Updated | 2026-02-08 02:15 |
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by Helena Smith in Athens and Heather Stewart on (#FV2X)
Delia Velculescu’s imminent arrival coincides with fears that Greece will be unable to wrap up discussions by 20 August, when €3.4bn payment is dueDiscussions between Greece and its creditors are set to step up a gear when the International Monetary Fund’s lead representative arrives in Athens for talks.However, the arrival of the Romanian-born Delia Velculescu on Thursday coincides with growing speculation that it will be impossible to wrap up negotiations for a third bailout by the 20 August deadline. This date is when the €3.4bn (£2.4bn) payment is due from the Greek government to the European Central Bank. Instead, officials and local politicians in Greece believe that eurozone creditors will ensure the country receives a bridging loan to prevent a default.Related: 'Iron lady' set to play central role in next act of Greek bailout dramaRelated: Yanis Varoufakis may face criminal charges over Greek currency plan Continue reading...
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by Nils Pratley on (#FV1E)
The board ousted Antony Jenkins despite one of the best half-year results in a while. And it’s not clear what will change. So why did the share price leap?It remains a mystery why Antony Jenkins received a “unanimous†vote of no confidence from Barclays’ non-executive directors. There were no nasties lurking in Wednesday’s interim figures beyond the usual parade of provisions, including another £600m for mis-selling payment protection insurance (PPI). This was Barclays’ best half-year for a while. Targets for capital and leverage ratios in 2016 have been reached already. The former chief executive will collect a payoff of at least £2.5m to ease the bruising to his ego but, by the standard of these things, he’s entitled to feel miffed.A need for greater dynamism was the semi-official explanation for his exit. But, if that’s the path Barclays wants to tread, John McFarlane, newly installed as executive chairman, needs to improve his own game. Continue reading...
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by Heather Stewart on (#FV08)
Stock markets breathe a sigh of relief but analysts warn of long-term consequences of government interventionChinese share prices have bounced back after the latest emergency measures by policymakers to underpin the country’s fragile stock markets appeared to have increased confidence.Investors in China’s markets have endured a white knuckle ride in recent weeks, with prices on the Shanghai Composite index plunging by 8.5% on Monday alone – the sharpest sell-off in eight years – as trading in many stocks was suspended. But following a second day of declines the index closed up 3.5% on Wednesday. Continue reading...
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by Kit Gillet and Heather Stewart on (#FTVM)
Romanian economist Delia Velculescu, who forged a steely reputation as lead IMF negotiator in Cyprus deal, heads for Athens to engineer new agreementDelia Velculescu, the Romanian economist chosen to lead the International Monetary Fund’s negotiating team in Greece, was dubbed the “iron lady†during the fraught talks over Cyprus’s bailout. Given the poor relationship between Athens and its creditors, her toughness will be tested anew in the coming days.Velculescu arrives in Athens on Thursday amid uncertainty over the IMF’s willingness to throw its weight behind a third bailout for the stricken eurozone state. Alexis Tsipras, the Greek prime minister, hopes to negotiate a deal before 20 August, but the IMF will subject any agreement to rigorous examination.Related: Yanis Varoufakis may face criminal charges over Greek currency plan Continue reading...
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by Peter Ammon on (#FS4Q)
Greece is going through difficult times. But proven economic reforms can create a Europe strong enough to meet challenges from Ukraine to Islamic StateJudging by the flood of comments that followed the recent European summit on Greece, a modern Greek drama is unfolding in which a small but proud nation, the motherland of democracy, is being subjected to senseless austerity by cold-hearted bureaucrats and penny-pinching foreign politicians. These comments have rather puzzled me.A few days ago, the German parliament gave its approval to negotiations on a new financial assistance package for Greece worth up to €86bn (£60bn). Germany’s share will be a bit more than a quarter, or the equivalent of roughly €500 per household. That is big money and it’s on top of the €215bn that Greece has already had under the first and second assistance packages in 2010 and 2012. Greece has received assistance equivalent to more than its entire annual GDP – which dwarfs, for example, the Marshall plan. All eurozone countries will contribute, despite some of them having per-capita incomes significantly below Greece’s. This is a broad act of European solidarity.What matters is to put Greece back on its feet and to restore trust Continue reading...
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by Helena Smith in Athens on (#FQMF)
Allegations of covert scheme described as ‘simply not true’ by European commission as Alexis Tsipras looks to conclude third bailout deal with creditorsThe European commission has denounced as “false and unfounded†claims by Greece’s former finance minister Yanis Varoufakis that international creditors had exclusive control over the country’s tax system.Brussels slammed the suggestion that external supervision of the Greek tax revenue agency forced Varoufakis to consider hacking the ministry’s computers as part of a secret plan to devise a parallel payment system for the nation.Related: Greece crisis: Yanis Varoufakis admits 'contingency plan' for euro exitRelated: Greek debt crisis demonstrates perils of lending to your euro friends Continue reading...
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by Letters on (#FQK7)
Larry Elliott, in his recommendation to merge income tax and national insurance contributions (Analysis, 27 July), makes only a brief reference to any potential impact on the structure of the social security system. But this could be significant.A merger on the paying-in side may seem technically tidier. But to remove any connection between contributions and benefits runs counter to the new single-tier pension, which deliberately kept such a link. Continue reading...
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by Jill Treanor on (#FQG9)
Sir John Cunliffe tells City that regulations imposed since 2008 crisis should not be relaxed to drive economic growthA senior policymaker at the Bank of England has said that regulations imposed on the banking sector since the 2008 crisis should not be scaled back in any effort to fuel economic growth.Sir Jon Cunliffe, deputy governor for financial stability, told a City audience that while banks had a key role to play in fuelling economic growth, this should not come at the expense of increasing risks to financial stability.Related: Banks face 'uphill battle' to ringfence high street operations, expert warns Continue reading...
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by Tom Phillips in Beijing and Katie Allen on (#FNKV)
Indices in China avoid huge falls of Monday, but second day of declines, coupled with bets on US rates rise, put emerging markets’ currencies under pressureGlobal markets have steadied despite a second successive day of declines in Chinese shares, as Beijing battled to rein in the stock market turmoil that has returned to haunt the world’s second-largest economy.However, the sharp moves in China, coupled with bets on the first US interest rate hike since the financial crash, continued on Tuesday to send shockwaves through emerging markets – where currencies in particular came under pressure.
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by Hans-Werner Sinn on (#FPNF)
Eurozone must develop insolvency procedures that prevent other member states – and their taxpayers – becoming creditors through debt mutualisationAfter months of games and brinkmanship, and only a week after Greek voters rejected the conditions for a €7.5bn (£5.3bn) rescue package, the end came swiftly. The eurozone’s political leaders agreed to start negotiations on a much larger package, worth €86bn , almost half of Greece’s GDP. Unfortunately, the deal reveals Europe’s apparent determination to reenact the same tragedy in the future.Over the past five years, a whopping €344bn has flowed from official creditors such as the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund into the coffers of the Greek government and the country’s commercial banks. But after six months of near-futile negotiations, exhaustion had set in and holidays were beckoning; so the actual conditions for a new Greek rescue were given short shrift. Although the European Financial Stability Facility (EDSF) had officially declared Greece bankrupt on 3 July, the eurozone’s leaders kicked the insolvency can down the road yet again. Continue reading...
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by Graeme Wearden on (#FNAX)
Britain’s GDP-per-head is finally back to its pre-crisis levels, but factories are struggling to grow
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by Katie Allen on (#FP2E)
Senior economist at hedge fund returns to Bank of England, replacing David Miles on rate-setting committeeChancellor George Osborne has announced that Gertjan Vlieghe, a senior economist at hedge fund Brevan Howard, will replace David Miles on the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee.The move marks a return to the Bank for the dual British-Belgian national Vlieghe, who was economic assistant to the previous governor Lord Mervyn King. He left that post to work as a bond strategist at Deutsche Bank in London before moving to Brevan Howard, where he is a partner.Related: Why Mark Carney shouldn’t rush to play the rate-rise cardDelighted to appoint Dr Gertjan Vlieghe to Bank's MPC - an economist of outstanding ability with public + private sector experience Continue reading...
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by Katie Allen on (#FNS9)
Services fuel accelerating GDP pace in third-longest spell of growth since 1955 but there are signs that the spoils are not being shared equallyAfter a sluggish first quarter, the UK economy got going again in the second quarter, with signs even that the long-awaited recovery in living standards is taking root. Chancellor George Osborne says Britain is “motoring aheadâ€, which is an interesting choice of words given manufacturing shrank.However, he is right that the headlines from Tuesday’s growth figures tell a generally happy tale.We’ve rarely had it so good. Today’s GDP data will confirm UK is enjoying its 3rd-longest spell of growth since 1955. pic.twitter.com/TSlRedG47Z Continue reading...
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by Melanie Walker on (#FNKX)
My medical background has given me the skills to prioritise, troubleshoot and use data to track outcomes – all excellent training for my role at the bankI am writing this at my desk on the 12th floor of the World Bank headquarters in Washington DC. It feels a long way from the hospitals where I began my career. I’m a doctor by training and I often get asked how I ended up running the World Bank president’s delivery unit (PDU).In fact, my medical background prepared me for this role in three big ways: understanding the nature of triage means I can prioritise; formulating a diagnosis means I can troubleshoot; and I have always used data to track prognosis and outcomes. All three are fundamental to my role at the bank, as well as the new approach to development under the leadership of World Bank president Jim Yong Kim.Related: Millions more have a bank account, but what is the impact on global poverty?Related: Open government: a chance to revolutionise the relationship between citizens and their leaders Continue reading...
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by Jill Treanor on (#FNHR)
Accelerating GDP growth rate fans talk of interest rate rise but a 0.3% dip in manufacturing prompts warnings of two-speed economy
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by Tom Phillips in Beijing on (#FMRH)
Beijing vows to buy stocks to prop up stock market, regulator says, as shares slump then rise after Monday’s frenzied sellingBeijing has vowed to step up its interventions in China’s volatile stock market following a traumatic day on Monday when stocks suffered their greatest losses since 2007.A government-controlled stock-buying agency would “continue to buy stocks to stabilise the marketâ€, said Zhang Xiaojun, a spokesperson with China’s security’s regulator, the CSRC.Related: Stock market advice for China: when in a hole, stop digging Continue reading...
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by Ben Jennings on (#FKYB)
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by Nils Pratley on (#FKW3)
With ham-fisted interventions, Beijing has turned the stock market into a giant game of guessing how long its props will last. But it is unlikely to change tackEven by recent Chinese standards, the latest stock market plunge was spectacular. Nearly 1,800 stocks – or more than 60% of shares on the main markets in Shanghai and Shenzhen – fell by the daily limit of 10%, thereby triggering a trading suspension. If such a limit had not been in operation, who knows where prices might have settled. An 8.5% overall fall in the Shanghai Composite might have been 18.5% or 28.5%. Almost any guess is credible.Related: Beijing's desperate attempts to control the stock market will end badlyRelated: Greece crisis: Yanis Varoufakis admits 'contingency plan' for euro exit Continue reading...
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by Angelique Chrisafis in Paris on (#FKKC)
Demonstrations against falling prices prevent over 400 trucks from bringing in goods from Germany and Spain as president insists government is ‘by their side’French farmers have blockaded roads from Germany and Spain and stopped hundreds of trucks bringing in foreign meat, vegetables and dairy produce in renewed protests against falling prices and cheap imports, despite the French government’s attempts to contain what could soon become a summer of agricultural discontent.
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by Katie Allen on (#FJYM)
Reforms and action needed urgently as fears over Greece, high unemployment, structural flaws and a still-shaken bank sector slow growthThe International Monetary Fund has warned the eurozone faces a gloomy economic outlook thanks to lingering worries over Greece, high unemployment and a banking sector still battling to shake off the financial crisis.The IMF’s latest healthcheck on the eurozone found it was “susceptible to negative shocks†as growth continues to falter and monetary policymakers run out of ways to help. It called for an urgent “collective push†from the currency union to speed up reforms or else risk years of lost growth.
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by Katie Allen on (#FJPH)
Strong pound and eurozone crisis mean more companies expect overseas orders to fall rather than rise, according to CBI pollA strong pound and turmoil in the eurozone have left British manufacturers feeling gloomiest for almost four years on demand for exports, according to a business survey.In the latest evidence that exporters are facing a number of challenges, the CBI’s latest quarterly snapshot of manufacturers suggested new overseas orders picked up in the three months to July but that the outlook is gloomier. It highlighted the rise in sterling, which continues to make UK goods more expensive to overseas buyers. Continue reading...
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by Katie Allen on (#FJFR)
Commodity prices from gold to oil and aluminium to iron ore are tumbling – here are the big fallersJust when investors thought it might be time for a summer lull, financial markets have shifted their focus from the eurozone and its Greek woes to tumbling commodity prices.Related: Anglo American and Lonmin cut jobs amid commodity slump Continue reading...
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by Katie Allen on (#FH2F)
GDP estimate from the ONS is expected to show the economy expanded by 0.7% in the second quarter of this yearThe latest snapshot of economic growth this week will heat up the debate about when the Bank of England will raise UK interest rates for the first time since the depths of financial crisis.Economists predict official figures on Tuesday will show GDP growth bounced back in the second quarter after a new-year slowdown. Alongside fading worries about the Greek debt crisis and signs of rising living standards, any such recovery in headline growth could fan expectations that the Bank’s policymakers are readying to raise interest rates, perhaps even before the end of the year. Continue reading...
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by Staff and agencies on (#FGKA)
Opposition demands answers after covert proposals attributed to Yanis Varoufakis and fellow ex-minister highlight deep split in Syriza partySome members of Greece’s leftist-led government wanted to raid central bank reserves and hack taxpayer accounts to prepare a return to the drachma, according to reports that highlighted the chaos in the ruling Syriza party.It is not clear how seriously the government considered the plans, attributed to former energy minister Panagiotis Lafazanis and ex-finance minister Yanis Varoufakis. Lafazanis was sacked from his post and Varoufakis resigned earlier this month. However, the revelations have been seized on by opposition parties who are demanding an explanation.Related: Who’d be young and Greek? Searching for a future after the debt crisis Continue reading...
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by Terry Macalister on (#FG9J)
Anti-austerity figures have emerged because young people feel badly let down by centre-left governments such as Blair’s, says Nobel economics laureateA Nobel prize-winning economist has said it is unsurprising that an anti-austerity figure such as Jeremy Corbyn has emerged as a contender for the Labour leadership.Speaking in London on Sunday, Joseph Stiglitz warned that policies from centre-left governments such as Tony Blair’s had undermined the middle-ground message, partly by entrenching wealth for the very few.Membership Event: Guardian Live | The future of Labour: meet the next leaderRelated: Jeremy Corbyn might just be able to unite Britain’s progressive parties | LettersRelated: Joseph Stiglitz: how I would vote in the Greek referendum Continue reading...
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by Bruce Douglas in Nova Friburgo on (#FFPE)
The hillside town of Nova Friburgo is home to 1,300 registered underwear retailers and manufacturers but small producers are suffering in the downturnIn an empty shop, on a deserted street, under the shadow of a billboard bearing the image of a 50ft woman in bra and knickers, Fátima Vieira is reconsidering her choice of career.The 54-year old owner of the underwear shop Switch Women moved from Rio de Janeiro to the hillside town of Nova Friburgo five years ago to start her business in the so-called lingerie capital of Brazil.
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by Guardian Staff on (#FFCF)
Sweden and Canada have both suffered the consequences of raising rates too early. No matter how good GDP figures are this week, the Bank should take careBritain’s growth rate returned to Mach 2 speed in the spring and early summer. That’s the consensus among City analysts ahead of official figures out this week, handing George Osborne another golden arrow with which to shoot down his critics.It is the re-emergence of the big-spending consumer (who snaps up a new bed and sofa while ordering a case of wine) that is likely to have prevented the UK economy from repeating the lacklustre growth rate of 0.4% seen in the first three months of the year.If rates go up in November or possibly next February, the betting must be that they will soon come down again Continue reading...
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by William Keegan on (#FFCH)
The rhetoric about ‘scroungers’ plays well, but the size of Osborne’s assault on services is so large that he may end up facing a widespread public backlashThe Conservatives are riding high at the moment and Labour are laid flat on the floor. Seldom has a serving chancellor of the exchequer appeared as triumphalist as George Osborne – although memories are evoked of the high points in my old friend Nigel Lawson’s chancellorship during the boom of 1988.However: history demonstrates that Labour is capable of coming back from the dead – eventually. And to my mind, with his naked experiment in social engineering and drastically reducing the size of the state, George Osborne could well be riding for a fall. I for one would not risk too much money backing him to become prime minister.Let’s face it. All this stuff about “one nation†and “compassionate Conservatism†is so much guff Continue reading...
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by Will Hutton on (#FEN9)
Shareholders must stop sucking companies dry at the expense of innovation, investment and the wellbeing of the workforceIt has been obvious for years that British capitalism is profoundly dysfunctional. In 1970, £10 of every £100 of profit was distributed to shareholders: today, under intense pressure from short-term owners, companies pay out £70. Investment, innovation and productivity have slumped. Few new companies grow to any significant size before they are taken over.Exports have stagnated. The current account deficit is at record proportions. The purpose of companies now is not to do great things, solve great problems or scale up great solutions –why capitalism is potentially the best economic system – it is to become payolas for their disengaged owners and pawns in the next big deal or takeover. Not only the British economy suffers – this process has become the major driver of rising inequality, low pay and insecurity in the workplace as management teams are forced to treat workers as costly commodities rather than allies in business building. Continue reading...
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by Staff and agencies on (#FDFW)
Meetings with European commission, ECB and IMF were supposed to start on Friday but were delayed by organisational issuesTalks between Greece and its international creditors over a new bailout package should go ahead after logistical issues that delayed meetings this week are resolved, a Greek official has said.
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by Helena Smith in Athens on (#FBEN)
Talks on third bailout deal get off to a poor start as troika mission chiefs and Athens fail to agree on where visitors will stay over security concernsIn an inauspicious start to talks over awarding Greece a third bailout, international officials have postponed the negotiations after failing to agree with their hosts where they will stay and how they will operate when in Athens.
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by Nils Pratley Financial editor on (#FBDR)
Weaker demand from China has caused commodity prices to fall to levels not seen since 2009, and mining groups are feeling the painThe party is over in the mining industry – again. There is a strong whiff of 2009, the year after the great financial crisis. Almost every commodity is falling in price. Assumptions for demand, investment, jobs and shareholders’ dividends are being ripped up.The share price of once-mighty Anglo American illustrates the industry’s feast-or-famine characteristics. Between 2003 and 2009, Anglo’s shares travelled from 900p to £33 and then back to 900p; after 2009, they rose again to £33 but are now 778p.Related: Anglo American and Lonmin cut jobs amid commodity slumpRelated: North York Moors mineral mine set to get go-ahead Continue reading...
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by Jennifer Rankin in Brussels and Helena Smith in At on (#FBAV)
Greece needs to sell off €50bn worth of state assets such as airports and marinas quickly as part of its third bailout deal. But is such a plan realistic?In the early days of the Greek debt crisis, two German politicians came up with a radical solution: Greece should sell off some of its uninhabited islands and property to pay back its creditors. “Sell your islands you bankrupt Greeks! And sell the Acropolis too!†was how the German tabloid Bild summed up their idea.
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by Phillip Inman on (#F83K)
Job heading up merged Ladbrokes-Coral business increases pressure on City regulators to report on Hornby’s role in lender’s demiseAndy Hornby, the former boss of failed bank HBOS, will secure a senior role in the gambling business formed from the merger of Ladbrokes and Gala Coral, putting pressure on City regulators to publish a long-awaited report on his role in the mortgage lender’s implosion.Hornby is to be appointed chief operating officer of the whole group and will pick up a large bonus following the merger, which is expected to be announced on Friday after more than a month of talks. Continue reading...
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by Helena Smith in Athens on (#F80V)
Officials from EU, ECB and IMF creditors prepare to return to capital for talks on third bailout despite Alexis Tsipras’ personal pledge against itGreece is bracing for the return to Athens of officials representing the reviled “troika†of creditors as the debt-stricken country prepares to start negotiations for a third bailout.Mission chiefs with the EU, European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund fly into the Greek capital on Friday for talks on a proposed €86bn (£60bn) bailout, the third emergency funding programme for Athens since 2010. Continue reading...
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by Graeme Wearden on (#F5XE)
Rolling coverage of the Greek debt crisis, the world economy and the financial markets, after Athens takes another step towards a third bailout
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by Anatole Kaletsky on (#F6VH)
The deal between Brussels and Athens is actually a good one for both sidesNow that Greek banks have reopened and the government has made scheduled payments to the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund, does Greece’s near-death experience mark the end of the eurozone crisis? The conventional answer is a clear no.According to most economists and political commentators, the latest Greek bailout was little more than an analgesic. It will dull the pain for a short period, but the euro’s deep-seated problems will metastasize, with a dismal prognosis for the single currency and perhaps even the European Union as a whole.Related: Greece bailout agreement: key points Continue reading...
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by Paul Mason, Douglas Murray, Zoe Williams, Julia Po on (#F6VN)
In the wake of the financial crisis and with the rapid rise of new technologies, award-winning economist and journalist, Paul Mason, believes we're on the cusp of a seismic economic shift, of a kind yet to be seen in human history. So has capitalism had its day? Watch him argue his case with Douglas Murray, Zoe Williams, Julia Powles and Pat Kane.
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by Alberto Nardelli, Jennifer Rankin and George Arnet on (#F6RN)
Almost nine out of 10 Russians approve of their president, according to survey that also highlights support for Ukraine strategyVladimir Putin’s approval rating is at record levels, with nine out of 10 Russians saying they have a positive view of their president. Putin had an approval of 87% in July, and an all-time high of 89% in June, according to Levada Centre polling.
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by Larry Elliott Economics editor on (#F689)
Falls in sales in June were reported by petrol stations, food stores and shops selling household goodsFalling prices failed to tempt consumers to part with their money last month as shops and online traders reported a surprise drop in business.The Office for National Statistics said the volume of retail sales in June fell 0.2% compared with May, confounding City expectations of a 0.4% post-election boost to spending. Continue reading...
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by Helena Smith in Athens and Graeme Wearden on (#F4DR)
Large majority of MPs including Yanis Varoufakis, the renegade former finance minister, approves further measures required to qualify for €86bn in loansGreece’s prime minister easily won a crucial vote on a third bailout programme for the debt-stricken nation early on Thursday, hours after the European Central Bank infused cash-starved Greek banks with further emergency liquidity.A total of 230 MPs backed the economic reforms programme demanded by Greece’s creditors, while 63 voted against the plan at the late-night vote.Related: Business live: Anti-austerity protest in Athens ahead of bailout voteRelated: Chances of Greek bailout rest on MPs' vote Continue reading...
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by Graeme Wearden on (#F2C5)
MPs in Athens have voted to accept a second package of economic measures tonight, despite another Syriza rebellion
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