NextBigFuture.com

Dubai, UAE, 15th July 2024, CyberNewsWire

I make the case for large Tesla profits from very good FSD (Full Self Driving) in an interview on Brighter With Herbert (youtuber Herbert Ong). Full Self Driving is the name of Tesla software for its driving assistance system. My case is that Tesla FSD is vastly improving and as good version of 12.4.X and ... Read more

Donald Trump pumps his fist as blood covers his face after pops' ring out. There were nine shots and three were before Trump ducked. Trump got up afterward but with blood on his face. They did not move Trump until the Secret Service said Shooter down, which is after about ten seconds. BREAKING: Donald Trump ... Read more

OpenAI's rumored project Strawberry is focused on enhancing the reasoning capabilities of its AI models. Strawberry is rumored to be based upon the QStar AI advance. QStar was a reasoning advance that supposedly triggered the power struggle inside OpenAI and temporary firing of CEO Sam Altman. Strawberry supposedly enables AI to perform long-horizon tasks (LHT), ... Read more

Youtuber Connecting the Dots makes the case for Tesla to use Robotaxi to replace Uber. The BG2 podcast (VCs that own Uber and Tesla) suggest that it would be better for Tesla to partner with Uber. He believes Tesla could use the X (aka Twitter) user base to seed a critical mass of ridehail users ... Read more

An MIT Professor of labor and productivity analysis, Daron Acemoglu, makes a case that AI progress to boosting world GDP growth will be less and transformative change will take longer. His case is not from a deep understanding or analysis of AI. He is looking at the comparative case of the internet. How long did ... Read more

The FAA grounded the SpaceX Falcon 9 after an in space failure of the Falcon 9 upper stage. There was a liquid oxygen leak. SpaceX had a good first burn and deployed the satellites but did not get them to the right orbital altitude. The satellites will be de-orbited. The Falcon 9 had the longest ... Read more

OpenAI reportedly internally introduced a new five-tier system to track its progress toward AGI. The classification system ranges from Level 1 (current conversational AI) to Level 5 (AI capable of running entire organizations) OpenAI reportedly internally introduced a new five-tier system to track its progress toward AGI. The classification system ranges from Level 1 (current ... Read more

Quantum computing researchers are exploring whether quantum computational advantage might be obtainable without quantum error correction. The larger one can make a quantum computer while continuing to push down error rates the more likely it is that we will find tasks at which non-error-corrected quantum computers dramatically outperform the best classical algorithms. The high gate ... Read more

The reason that Bloomberg gave to for delaying the Tesla Robotaxi event from August 8, 2024 does not make sense. There would be no reason to delay until October to show more robotaxi prototype cars. Tesla can have another event where they show cars. Also, the robotaxi vehicles need to be mass produced. Prototypes are ... Read more

There is a report from Bloomberg that the August 8, 2024 Tesla robotaxi event was delayed to October, 2024. This has caused about a 10% selloff in Tesla stock.

Ark Invest has observed that Baidu robotaxi is several times bigger than Waymo. They also report that the robotaxi and Tesla FSD systems are already safer than human driving. These are observations that Nextbigfuture has already reported over the past few weeks in more detail. China Robotaxi Companies are Giving More Rides than Waymo The ... Read more

Elon Musk described how XAI used 24,000 Nvidia H100s to create Grok 2, an AI model that is better than OpenAI GPT 4. XAI Grok 2 will release in August. Elon is pushing the rapid 100k data center build to catch up for GPT 5 or 5.5. XAI set up the 100,000 Nvidia H100 themselves ... Read more

Neuralink will double the bandwidth of its devices with more accurate placement of the threads into the brain. The next generation device will have 3000 channels. The company's first system, called Telepathy, centers around 64 threads that are inserted directly into the brain. The threads are thinner than a human hair and record neural signals ... Read more

Jordan at the Limiting Factor projects magapack energy demand. He does his usual excellent job but he does not factor in increased energy demand from AI data centers. AI data centers could more double the amount of overall world energy needed by 2040. The overall energy demand used in Tesla Master Plan part 3 did ... Read more

Dr Charles Buhler takes people through his lab in a new video. He explains more about how they developed and detected a new force from large electrostatic pressure differences. They claim this force can test theories of physics related to gravity and a macroscale casimr effects. This is highly controversial but if this proves out ... Read more

Hi Nextbigfuture readers. There was a few hours of outage for Nextbigfuture.com due to Stackpath going out of business. They were providing DNS nameserver access. Stackpath DNS servers were shutdown. I have now switched and corrected the new DNS records. This will propogate globally. Apologies for the inconvenience.

I appreciate the time and effort that commenters and supporters of nextbigfuture.com make. It is more time consuming for me to manage comments. There is a LOT more spam. I also do not want to manage comments with insults and aggression. Do not just make comments just trashing countries (like China) or people or individuals. ... Read more

Today, there is a new video interview of the lead researcher at Exodus Technologies who are making a radical new propellantless propulsion system. They claim they can produce over 1G of thrust for a lightweight device. IF this claim is true then they could make spaceships that could go to Mars in 5 days and ... Read more

With cryptocurrency becoming a widely accepted and developing trend in the financial world, various industries and professions have emerged due to its relevance. These range from crypto marketing agencies that promote crypto projects to software and programs that make these marketing campaigns much easier and more effective and have also become prevalent. To discover how ... Read more

China's room temperature superconductor research continues. Here is the latest published work from the team from multiple universities and labs. This is the same teams that found stronger magnetic indications of Meissner effect in LK99 variant materials. Through heavily doping sulfur into an apatite framework, chinese researchers synthesized a new blend mainly comprising variant apatite ... Read more

Three months ago, Nextbigfuture covered Exodus Propulsion's claim of a huge space propulsion breakthrough. They claim they can produce over 1G of thrust for a lightweight device. IF this claim is true then they could make spaceships that could go to Mars in 5 days and reach near light lightspeed in a year. They would ... Read more

SpaceX Starlink now has over 100 Starlink satellites with direct to cellphone capability in orbit. Each satellite can provide about 17 mbps direct to cellphone communication. This would enable about 10,000 simultaneous voice or low bandwidth data connections. It can also support millions of text messages and other short communications every few seconds. >

David Shapiro is an AI youtuber who was predicting AGI would arrive in September 2024. His expectations have massively dropped for the speed of AI progress. He has made a few videos talking about AI progress slowing down. Shapiro is over correcting because he hyped it up with an AGI by Sept 2024 prediction. He ... Read more

Tesla SVP Tom Zhu briefed Chinese Premier Li Qiang on Tesla FSD, the latest tech developments, and Tesla China at the World AI Conference. This is positive for Tesla FSD getting rolled out broadly in China and getting licensing with China robotaxi companies and China carmakers. Tesla SVP Tom Zhu briefed Chinese Premier Li Qiang ... Read more

Here is my analysis of human versus automated driving today and the level to be much safer than human in the future and why failed disengagements would have a low percentage being fatal. A truly much safer autonomous driving system would eventually cross over where interventions would be more dangerous than non-intervention. Think of the ... Read more

Torrance, United States / California, 8th July 2024, CyberNewsWire

Elon has said that : All that matters is improving Tesla self-driving AI such that miles between interventions is >> human All that matters is improving Tesla self-driving AI such that miles between interventions is >> human - Elon Musk (@elonmusk) July 7, 2024 Elon and Nextbigfuture agree that all that matters is more self ... Read more

Elon Musk said the rumors he hired Uber founder Travis Kalanick to lead Tesla's Robotaxi division is false. Elon on rumors he hired Uber founder Travis Kalanick to lead Tesla's Robotaxi division: https://t.co/SA10AhIemd - Sawyer Merritt (@SawyerMerritt) July 7, 2024

Michael Dunne, Dunne Insights, delivers world class intelligence and advisory services to investors, automakers, suppliers and technology companies on the global electric car and battery businesses. Michael Dunne gives insights on China, electric cars, autonomous driving and the world. He says that China's EV supply chain gives China companies about a 30% cost advantage versus ... Read more

SpaceX Starship will have its fifth orbital launch mission in 4 weeks and it will have the first actual booster catch attempt. If the booster catch is successful, then SpaceX Starship becomes about 80% reusable. Starship will become as reusable as the Falcon 9 when the booster is reliably recovered and reused. The Falcon 9 ... Read more

Nextbigfuture has calculated and projected the contribution of Tesla Energy to Tesla financials and approximated share price contribution. I have a video that explains the impact and why it will happen. There is also an overview of how this and the FSD and AI is taking Tesla into more than a car company.

Various first impressions of Tesla FSD v12.4.3 are positive. Tesla FSD 12.4.3 drives like a professional chauffeur. It executes many maneuvers more smoothly than a human could, and can often react to road hazards before the human driver even notices them - Whole Mars Catalog (@WholeMarsBlog) July 6, 2024 esla FSD 12.4.3 drives like a ... Read more

Nextbigfuture has calculated and projected the contribution of Tesla Energy to Tesla financials and approximated share price contribution. Until earlier this week there was no contribution to the share price. Energy has been profitable but the $300-400 million of gross profit was less than 10% of the $3-4 billion of gross profits. However, Tesla Energy ... Read more

Shield AI, building the world's best AI pilot, was awarded $198 million by the U.S. Coast Guard to implement the V-BAT unmanned aircraft system (UAS). The V-BAT series aircraft is the only operationally deployed single-engine ducted fan vertical takeoff and land (VTOL) UAS that can launch and recover from a hover and fly on wing ... Read more

Shield AI, building the world's best AI pilot, and Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (Nasdaq: KTOS), making a high-performance, jet-powered unmanned aerial systems (UAS aka drone), completion of the first phase of Shield's AI-piloted flight-testing on-board Kratos platforms as the two companies move toward productizing Shield AI's pilot for the XQ-58 Valkyrie. Having successfully ... Read more

The China Renewable Energy Engineering Institute (CREEI) reports that by the end of 2024, China is set to add 190GW of solar capacity and 70GW of wind. The NEA reports China added added 217GW of solar power and 76GW of wind power in 2023 - to reach a total capacity of 1,050GW. China needs 15 ... Read more

Chinese solar module manufacturers are ramping to more than 750 GW of modules in 2024. This will be over 50% annual growth over the 499 GW they delivered in 2023, according to the China Photovoltaic Industry Association (CPIA). China solar manufacturing industry should produce 820 GW of solar cells, up from the 545 GW in ... Read more

The ITER (International Tokomak) fusion reactor currently being built in France will not achieve first operation until 2034 - almost a decade later than previously planned and some 50 years after the project was first conceived in 1985. The decision by ITER management to take another 10 years constructing the machine means that the first ... Read more

Finally, Tesla Energy has arrived. Tesla installed 9.4 GWh of energy this is over double the 4.0 GWH last quarter. This should be about $3.8 billion in quarterly energy revenue alone and nearly $1.0 billion in gross profits. Tesla is officially more than a car company with Tesla energy a major thing. Tesla car deliveries ... Read more

The Anhui Quantum Computing Engineering Research Center announced that Chinese scientists have successfully developed a high-performance anti-interference ruthenium oxide thermometer. The thermometer developed by QuantumCTek boasts a starting temperature close to 6 millikelvin (mK). Ruthenium oxide thermometers for accurate monitoring of a quantum chip's operating temperature is essential for guaranteeing the stable operation of quantum ... Read more

China has created the HH70 device, the world's first fully high-temperature superconducting tokamak device, named HH70, in its eastern Municipality of Shanghai. By 2027, Energy Singularity aims to build a next-generation tokamak, a steady-state, high-magnetic-field, high-temperature superconducting model. This project will lay the groundwork for commercially viable fusion energy acquisition, with an ultimate goal of ... Read more

Miami, United States, 1st July 2024, CyberNewsWire

Elon Musk indicates that the new Tesla FSD model has 5 times the number of parameters. This was done while still being able to run the hardware 3 version of the FSD chip. Hardware 3 has been in the fleet of Tesla cars since March 2019. The simple takeaway is that the AI model being ... Read more

Bill Gates talks about the inevitability that AI will become more intelligent than humans. Bill Gates has insider access and insight into what OpenAI and Microsoft are doing in AI. He believes the next level is to get to human-like metacognition. We need to go beyond the more trivial reasoning of LLM today. Metacognition is ... Read more

Tesla's FSD (Supervised) v12.4.2 is started to roll out to some normal Tesla owners (non-employees) in North America. Tesla FSD having possible rapid improvement is critical for increased attachment rate (the percentages of old and new Tesla owners that adopt FSD worldwide.) Tesla FSD rapid improvement is critical for licensing deals with robotaxi companies and ... Read more

Discovery of natural few-layer graphene on the Moon They report the discovery and direct microscopy visualization of natural few-layer graphene in the CE-5 lunar soil samples, by utilizing a variety of characterization techniques. Graphene is embedded as individual flakes or formed as part of a carbon shell enclosing the mineral particles. The result reveals one ... Read more

The Chinese Tianlong-3 rocket ripped off parts of the rocket when it broke free of the test stand. It was supposed to be held in place in the test. The rocket was not complete without grid fins. There were pieces falling off when it broke free and the engines did not sound correct and there ... Read more

Amateur footage captured by Gongyi citizens and posted on Chinese social media shows Tianong-3, nine-engine test stage igniting and taking off. Hold-down clamps and other structures usually prevent takeoff during a firing test. The stage is seen climbing into the sky before halting, apparently with its engines shutting off, and falling to Earth. The stage ... Read more

Applied Physics unveils a new type of warp drive-a theoretical method of space travel that complies with general relativity and operates at a constant subluminal speed without requiring unphysical forms of matter. They have created the Warp Factory which is open source software for testing out Warp drive designs. Warp Factory is one of the ... Read more