NextBigFuture.com

There are reports that hacking caused pagers to explode. Exploding devices could have left 1200+ (and 1500-2000) Hezbollah terrorists hospitalized and some in critical condition. While there are multiple reports. Confirmation is needed of many of the factors (fog of war). We don't really know if it happened and do not know any possible death ... Read more

The economics for AI chips has to work for Chip builders System builders Data center operators Application builders Paying customer (end users). The bigger large language models are at 400 Gigabytes or more and mixture of experts is at 1.8 terabytes. TechTechPotato interviews AyarLabs and makes the case that optical connections between chiplets is needed ... Read more

SpaceX launched and returned commercial astronauts in the first crewed Polar mission and that mission included a space walk. Three countries (US, Russia and China) have performed Spacewalks on their own with their own rocket own facilities. The European Space Agency has not launched crewed mission or missions to the ISS. Astronauts from 12 countries ... Read more

SpaceX satellites built for the US Space Development Agency demonstrated direct satellite to satellite laser communications in space using optical terminals compliant with military standards. U.S. Space Development Agency (SDA) director Derek Tournear said Sept. 4. that two SpaceX-built satellites successfully exchanged data using optical communications terminals. The satellites, part of SDA's Tranche 0 experimental ... Read more

Boston, USA, 16th September 2024, CyberNewsWire

Barcelona is one of the most loved city break destinations in Europe. With its ingenious city design, there are many great neighbourhoods to stay in. Choosing the right area is important to get the most out of your stay, depending on what you're looking for. Gothic Quarter (Barri Gotic) The Gothic Quarter is what first ... Read more

United will add Starlink high speed internet to all of its passenger planes in 2025 and will offer free Wi-fi internet with streaming gaming to passengers. United will use high speed internet and entertainment as a competitive advantage. Starlink will make about $80-100 million per year providing this service. IF all other airlines need to ... Read more

OpenAI o1 is a new large language model trained with reinforcement learning to perform complex reasoning. o1 thinks before it answers-it can produce a long internal chain of thought before responding to the user. OpenAI o1 ranks in the 89th percentile on competitive programming questions (Codeforces), places among the top 500 students in the US ... Read more

Singapore, Singapore, 13th September 2024, CyberNewsWire

Jim Fan is one of Nvidia's senior AI researchers. The shift could be about many orders of magnitude more compute and energy needed for inference that can handle the improved reasoning in the OpenAI Strawberry (QStar) approach. This could mean far more powerful and energy intensive chips needed to run inference. Nextbigfuture had previously analyzed ... Read more

Hermeus is breaking ground on a new engine and flight test facility HEAT will accelerate US hypersonic development, offering increased testing cadence for not only Hermeus, but the DoD and larger defense industrial base. Hermeus has selected Cecil Airport in Jacksonville, Florida for its hypersonic engine test facility. Named HEAT (High Enthalpy Air-Breathing Test Facility), ... Read more

Polaris Dawn in polar orbit has the first successful commercial space walk. It is an altitude three times higher than the International Space Station. SpaceX, back at home we all have a lot of work to do, but from here, Earth sure looks like a perfect world." - Mission Commander @rookisaacman #PolarisDawn pic.twitter.com/F17Fq5ItQD - Polaris ... Read more

Silver Spring, United States, 12th September 2024, CyberNewsWire

Bloomberg reports OpenAI is in talks to raise a $6.5 billion round at over a $150 billion valuation. They are also talking to banks about a $5 billion credit line. The latest funding round, led by Thrive Capital, gives OpenAI a significantly higher valuation than its $86 billion appraisal earlier this year. Apple and Nvidia ... Read more

Torrance, United States / California, 12th September 2024, CyberNewsWire

Japan plans to spend about $761 million to build a Zettaflop supercomputer. It is called Fugaku Next. It will be built by Japanese companies RIKEN and Fujitsu, which were both involved in the construction of Fugaku. The AI training clusters with lots of GPUs can get to a peak of a Zettaflop but this is ... Read more

Survey observations using the Subaru Telescope's ultra-widefield prime focus camera have revealed that there may be a population of small bodies further out in the Kuiper Belt waiting to be discovered. The results, which are important for understanding the formation of the Solar System, were obtained through an international collaboration between the Subaru Telescope and ... Read more

Google Quantum AI has just proven, beyond any reasonable doubt, that Fault-Tolerant Quantum Computing is possible. For the first time ever, a logical qubit meets all criteria, demonstrating that Quantum Error Correction is effective. Here is the link to the research paper. Many challenges remain. Although Google might in principle achieve low logical error rates ... Read more

The FAA and Fish and Wildlife are forcing SpaceX to undergo a redundant environmental review. There has been no changes since flight 4. There is no need for another environmental review. The 60+ day delay pushes it to November 10, 2024 or later. The US election is November 5, 2024. Elon Musk is now a ... Read more

A theory I have is that eventually stock markets and company value will inflate after a run of inflation. If prices double then eventually all inputs and outputs are repriced at double. In 1972, the price of an average car like the Chevy Vega or Pinto was about $2000. The Nasdaq was trading at about ... Read more

The Limiting Factor describes how battery design improvements, assymetric lamination and adding silicon doping can increase the energy density of Tesla 4680 batteries by about 20% over the next two years. Tesla is not competitive with the best high lithium nickel batteries in the world. If Panasonic and other competitors cannot implement the improvements at ... Read more

Canada added about 5 million people in 5 years and will pass 42 million people shortly. The pace of Canada's immigration and acceptance of new people is running at 1.4 to 1.5 million people each year for the past 2 years. The new people are not yet contributing fully to the economy. For 2025, Canada ... Read more

Palo Alto, USA/California, 11th September 2024, CyberNewsWire

More and more people are starting to decry the lack of progress from AI-driven companies that promised large numbers of drugs would come to market by now. And what they've produced is neither novel nor performing well in clinical trials. Major Failures The largest players in the space have seen several drug candidates shelved or ... Read more

The SpaceX Starship and Super Heavy vehicles for Flight 5 have been ready to launch since the first week of August. The flight test will include our most ambitious objective yet: attempt to return the Super Heavy booster to the launch site and catch it in mid-air. SpaceX recently received a launch license date estimate ... Read more

SpaceX and Elon Musk will need to get to about $200 billion per year in profits to sustain spending $40-50 billion per year for the major Mars colonization goals. SpaceX and Elon need to make $5-8+ trillion to spend $1-2 Trillion for the Mars City Program. NASA and others cannot be counted on for more ... Read more

Canada is about ten weeks from passing 42 million. Nextbigfuture predicted that Canada would pass 42 million in February 12, 2024 when Canada was within 3 weeks of passing 41 million. The US has about 337 million people. On June 16, 2023, Statistics Canada announced that Canada's population had reached 40 million people. In 17 ... Read more

Regulators such as the FDA do not consider aging to be a disease, and they only approve treatments for specific diseases, largely using the World Health Organization's International Classification of Diseases as the basis for what is and is not a disease. The TAME (Targeting Aging with Metformin) trial came into being as a way ... Read more

Cary, North Carolina, 10th September 2024, CyberNewsWire

Singapore, SG, 10th September 2024, CyberNewsWire

Facebook has ~10x the proprietary language data on database as was used to train the LLaMa models. In images Facebook have 20x more than that. Instagram and Youtube have 2x more that in uploaded video. Tesla's data capture-ability dwarfs all (at 20x more again) than Youtube. Size matters Facebook has ~10x the proprietary language data ... Read more

Nearly an hour into the All in Summit talk, Elon Musk discussed the Teslabot. Elon says that three major iterations into Teslabot will see the Teslabot majorly perfected. This should be in 4 to 6 years. The bots will be $10,000 to $20,000 cost. Humans are humanoid meatbots. There should be at least a three ... Read more

Elon says Dojo 2 (AI training chip and systems) out late in 2025 in high volume and it will be competitive with the Nvidia B200. Elon says we will need to see Tesla Dojo 3 (in late 2026) to see if Dojo will be really good and an ongoing success. Elon Musk LIVE at ... Read more

Elon Musk said the government is the DMV (Department of Motor Vehicles) at scale. Elon talks about the Mars goals. Elon says Starship will be able to launch repeatedly at scale. The key development for multi-planetary humanity is for a reliably, rapidly, reusable rocket. Elon Musk LIVE at the All-In Summit https://t.co/i5A70kvWElhttps://t.co/i5A70kvWEl - Tesla ... Read more

SpaceX financial strength and success is as critical as a working Super Heavy Starship. There is a lot of valid and competent talk about the technical milestones on the critical path to meeting Musk goals for Mars. SpaceX will need to get to about $200 billion per year in profits to sustain spending $40-50 billion ... Read more

James Earl Jones was the voice of Darth Vader and also acted in Field of Dreams, Red October and other Jack Ryan Movies. He was also the villain Thulsa Doom in Conan, opposite Arnold Schwarzenegger. His was the deep voice of Star Wars villain Darth Vader and Mufasa, the benevolent leader in The Lion King. ... Read more

Billionaire Venture Investors BG2 (Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley) have dug deep into nuclear fission energy. They had their most recent podcast at Diablo Canyon. The California Diablo Canyon facility has two nuclear plants with a total 2.5 Gigawatts of clean baseload power. The California Diablo Canyon facility was designed for six nuclear plants. If ... Read more

There have been many technological improvements and upgrades made to the Crew Dragon Resilience to be used for the Polaris Dawn first commercial EVA. They have been big improvements for the EVA suits. These efforts will also be useful for eventual manned missions to the Moon and Mars. A key improvement is developing EVA suits ... Read more

This is a link to the SpaceX website where they will broadcast live feeds from the Polaris Dawn mission. Weather is currently 40% favorable for liftoff, and conditions at the possible splashdown sites for Dragon's return to Earth remain a watch item. Tuesday launch is the earliest Targeting no earlier than Tuesday, September 10 for ... Read more

Neil Degrasse Tyson has a poor grasp of business and finance. He also made statements that he knew were not accurate. He knows there was refurbishment and there is reusable. He is also just wrong when he says that SpaceX only has made engineering advances on what was unrealistic in terms of cost. This clip ... Read more

The NASA New Glenn Escapade Mars launch, previously scheduled for Oct. 13, 2024, will now take place in spring of 2025 at the earliest. The NASA escapade spacecraft are small, so they can be launched outside of the optimal Earth-Mars window with a more powerful rocket. Blue Origin's huge New Glenn rocket won't debut next ... Read more

Elon Musk says that uncrewed Starships will be launched to Mars in the Earth-Mars transfer window. The transfer window is about November through December 2026. A mission launched in November would arrive July 2027. SpaceX will likely launch about 4-8 missions in 2026. If they were separated by 1-2 weeks, then any problems the first ... Read more

The problematic Boeing Starliner should be leaving the Space Station in about 24 minutes. UPDATE: It left the station and landed safely. It will try to return to Earth in about 6 hours and Starliner will contain no astronauts. They had thruster problems and helium leaks. They had to fix the software over a month ... Read more

Tesla uses robotaxi sensors at training time but then the AI is trained and they remove the training wheels for vision only deployment. Karpathy believes Tesla is ahead of Waymo. Waymo has a hardware problem while Tesla has a software problem. I believe Waymo also has business model and scaling problems.

Anthropic CEO talks about AI scaling laws which is a discussion about how good AI gets with more compute training. Dario Amodei, CEO and Co-founder of Anthropic. Dario talks about the economics of AI development, the comparative advantage of AI companies like Anthropic, AI safety, and his stance on California's SB 1047 bill. They also ... Read more

Tesla AI team released the FSD roadmap. Each FSD sale is the profit of a car. some of my FSD catalysts from a few months ago were late. 12.5 happened late in July. One month late on this roadmap is ok. But the team is driving and testing FSD V13 for over a month. They ... Read more

Boston, MA, 5th September 2024, CyberNewsWire

Nextbigfuture at substack has all of the big AI news for the week. There was big news this week in AI, AI startups, AI research and AI funding. 1. OpenAI's Japan CEO reveals GPT-Next will be released this year, and its effective computational load is 100x greater than GPT-4 2. Two $125 Billion AI Training ... Read more

10 weeks ago X-Chief Scientist of OpenAI, Ilya Sutskever said Superintelligence is within reach and created a new startup, Safe Superintelligence Inc. Ilya announced that Safe Superintelligence has raised $1 billion at a $5 billion valuation. NFDG, a16z, Sequoia, DST Global, and SV Angel are the main funders. Building safe superintelligence (SSI) is the most ... Read more