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Updated 2024-11-21 17:16
Tesla FSD 12.3.3 Supervised First Drive Videos
Longtime Tesla FSD tester, Chuck Cook, provided a video of his first drives Tesla FSD 3.3 Supervised. He had no interventions. The one drive he had would have been good enough to have been a backseat robotaxi ride. However, Chuck is not ready to sit in the back seat with Tesla FSD as he knows ... Read more
Biggest Tesla FSD Catalyst in 2024 and 2025 Will Be Other Carmakers Licensing
If Tesla achieves fully operational FSD with robotaxi capability (before robotaxi regulatory approval) will be like dragons in Game of Thrones. Other carmakers will have no choice but to license it. This will be one of several huge catalysts for Tesla valuation (not financial advice.) Here are the developments that should positively impact Tesla valuation. ... Read more
Third FSD Update in One Week – FSD 12.3.3
Tesla has had its third FSD update in one week. The latest update is Tesla FSD 12.3.3. The previous versions were FSD 12.3.2 and 12.3.2.1. Those were reported to be better than FSD 12.3.1. FSD 12.3.1 had crowdsourced data that it was getting 384 miles before a critical disengagement. This would be about 3 times ... Read more
Hyundai and Motional Made a Robotaxi
Motional, a global leader in driverless technology, and Hyundai Motor Group launched IONIQ 5-based robotaxi Motional's next-generation robotaxi. They added LIDAR and other sensors to all-electric Hyundai IONIQ 5. The IONIQ 5 robotaxi is an SAE Level 4 autonomous vehicle that can safely operate without a driver. It's a zero tailpipe-emissions robotaxi and represents the ... Read more
XAI and X Will Release Grok 2 Next Week and It is Claimed to Surpass GPT4 and Claude 3
Elon says Grok 2 should exceed current AI on all metrics. Grok 2 is in training now. Should be available on next week. Grok 2 should exceed current AI on all metrics. In training now. https://t.co/s7rVxvK8mZ - Elon Musk (@elonmusk) March 29, 2024 Here are the specs for Claude 3 from Anthropic and GPT4 ... Read more
What Driving Capabilities Can We Expect from Tesla FSD 12.4 if it Releases in April?
Tesla FSD 12.3.2 is now releasing wide in the US and Canada. Elon Musk tweeted: V12.4 is another big jump in capabilities. Our constraint in training compute is much improved. Three significant improvements to FSD will roll out roughly every two weeks. Should be really shining bright by late April or early May. In this ... Read more
Double Quartz Tubes Make More Energy Efficient Industrial Plasma
Japanese researchers have used a single-mode microwave generator to produce their metal plasmas. This creates more controlled and highly focused microwaves. Hot gases composed of metal ions and electrons, called plasmas, are widely used in many manufacturing processes, chemical synthesis, and metal extraction from ores and welding. A collaborative research group from Tohoku University and ... Read more
AI Bubble?
Nvidia and other AI related companies have had a surge in profits and share prices. Are we in an AI Bubble or the early stages of the AI transformation? My video has a broader perspective on this. Below is a start at looking at the current details. There is additional information from the Stanford AI ... Read more
Starting the Era of 1-bit LLMs – With Microsoft Research
BitNet is paving the way for a new era of 1-bit Large Language Models (LLMs). In this work, we introduce a 1-bit LLM variant, namely BitNet b1.58, in which every single parameter (or weight) of the LLM is ternary {-1, 0, 1}. It matches the full-precision (i.e., FP16 or BF16) Transformer LLM with the same ... Read more
Tesla Cybertruck Is the Top Selling Electric Truck Starting This Week
Tesla will start its inevitable reign as the top selling electric truck in the world starting this week. Joe Tegtmeyer, Gigatexas watcher, reports that Tesla is now making 900-1000 per week. The figure of 1000 per week (aka 4100 per month) is enough to outsell both the Ford F-150 Lightning and the Rivian R1T. The ... Read more
GoPlus’s Latest Report Highlights How Blockchain Communities Are Leveraging Critical API Security Data To Mitigate Web3 Threats
Singapore, Singapore, March 28th, 2024, Cyberwire GoPlus Labs, the leading Web3 security infrastructure provider, has unveiled a groundbreaking report that highlights the growing, widespread use and potential of Web3 user security data to aid in risk management. The findings of the report reveal a clear and growing demand for more advanced security tools that can ... Read more
Ford Cutting Most of Its Ford F150 Lightning Workers
Ford is cutting two thirds of the 2,100 workers at its Rouge electric Vehicle Center next week. Ford will cut 1,400 of those workers in various ways. 700 will move to the Michigan Assembly Plant and the other 700 being given the option of accepting a reassignment somewhere in Southeast Michigan or taking the $50,000 ... Read more
Tesla Cybertruck Will Start Outselling the Ford F-150 Lightning in April 2024
Joe Tegtmeyer performs drone flyovers of the Tesla Gigatexas factory and he reports that Tesla Cybertruck production is nearing 900-1000 per week. This is after launching deliveries five months ago in November, 2023. Tesla will likely outproduce and outsell both the Ford F150 Lightning and the combined Rivian SUV and Rivian Truck starting in April ... Read more
BREAKTHROUGH CMOS N-Type Diamond Transistors
Diamond CMOS needs symmetrical doping control like we have for semiconductor silicon and diamond n-MOS is needed. The n-channel diamond MOSFETs are demonstrated. This work will enable the development of energy-efficient and high-reliability CMOS integrated circuits for high-power electronics, integrated spintronics, and extreme sensors under harsh environments. Currently, p-channel diamond MOSFETs have been extensively developed ... Read more
Understanding Why Mole Rats Live Five Times Longer Than Expected
The mole rat lives about 37 years which is about five times longer than expected for an animal of its size and type. Researchers at the Queen Mary University of London have learned more about why the mole rat lives so long. The mole rat have fewer heart attacks. The mole rat adaptions to low ... Read more
Vera Rubin Telescope Could Detect Mars, Mercury And Pluto Sized Planets from 2025-2035
Researchers estimate that the number of captured free-floating planets in the outer solar system with mass strictly greater than that of Mars is 1.2 and that the number of such planets with a strict cutoff at the mass of Mercury is 2.4. When they instead adopt logarithmic bins centered at the Mars mass and the ... Read more
2027 Space Telescope Could Find 400 Rogue Planets
Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope will be sensitive to even lower-mass rogue planets since it will observe from space. It will have wide field of view and sharp vision which will allow us to study the objects it finds in more detail than we can do using only ground-based telescopes. In 2023, researchers estimate it ... Read more
Ultraviolet Metalenses Mass Produced. Will Enable Future AI Chips
Extreme Ultraviolet lithography for computer chips have been critical to letting us efficiently get better than 14 nanometer computer chips. Metalenses are 10,000 times thinner than regular lenses. Metalenses control light properties through nanometer-scale patterns or structures on lens surfaces. With the ability to reduce the thickness of conventional lenses by a factor of 10,000, ... Read more
Blackrock Will Suggest Working Til You Nearly Drop Instead of 65
Blackrock CEO Larry Fink pushes getting rid of 65 year old retirement age as part of Social Security Reform. The retirement funding problem is also related to depopulation. Social Security started in the US in 1935 and there werew 9 working age people for every one retired person. This is dropping to one working age ... Read more
Superconducting Magnet Reduces the Cost for a Fusion Reactor by a Factor of 40
A new 20 Tesla Superconducting magnet reduces the cost per watt of a fusion reactor by a factor of almost 40. MIT worked with Commonwealth Fusion Systems, a startup with over $2 billion in funding. The funders of CFS include Temasek Holdings (Singpore), the U.S. Department of Energy, Tiger Global Management, Bill Gates, Google and ... Read more
AI Can Now Forget Copyrighted and Other Material
Researchers at The University of Texas at Austin have developed what they believe is the first machine unlearning method applied to image-based generative AI. This method offers the ability to look under the hood and actively block and remove any violent images or copyrighted works without losing the rest of the information in the model. ... Read more
Static Fire Shows SpaceX Tracking to Flight 4 Launch in About 5 Weeks
SpaceX has a full duration static fire of six Raptor engines. Flight 4 Starship is on track for another orbital launch in about 5 weeks. Full-duration static fire of all six Raptor engines on Flight 4 Starship pic.twitter.com/HzS4SeaoEV - SpaceX (@SpaceX) March 25, 2024
What is More Valuable Than Tesla FSD Robotaxi? Robotrucks.
Tesla FSD is making huge progress on a weekly basis. Like all AI products like Open ChatGPT and the chess and Go AI programs this will continue. Those looking at the nearterm are looking at take rates or percentage of Tesla buyers who buy Tesla FSD. Those looking out are looking at Robotaxi but I ... Read more
How does AI make Tesla FSD 12.3 human like? Deep Dive Analysis
Tesla released FSD 12.3 to its employees and 100,000 select drivers and yesterday announced it is going wide to all 400,000+ FSD US customers. Michael Dell, CEO of Dell, tweeted Super-impressive, Like a human driver it is. Amazed I am " Is it really human-like? What is the technology behind that makes it human-like. I ... Read more
Free One Month Free Trial of Tesla FSD 12.3.1 For ~1.8 Million Tesla Owners
Tesla FSD seems to be finally happening. Nextbigfuture has had the steady coverage that you see below. Here is the link to the FSD tagged articles. Six days ago, I reported the prediction of a wide release of Tesla FSD 12.3. IF Tesla 12.3.1 is as good as all the reports then it could be ... Read more
James Webb Telescope Detects Signs of Oceans and Organics on Dwarf Planets
Dwarf planets Eris and Makemake (out by Pluto) have surfaces bearing methane ice of unknown origin. This ice can provide important insights into the origin and evolution of volatiles in the outer solar system. We probably need to send new probes to the Dwarf planets to conclusively determine if liquid oceans have microbial life. Because ... Read more
Elon Makes FSD Demo Mandatory for All New North American Buyers
Elon has made it a mandatory requirement for all new North American buyers to get a FSD (full self driving) demo. This shows the confidence that Elon and Tesla have with the quality and safety of FSD 12.3.1.
UN 2050 Forecasts for China and India’s Populations Overestimate by Hundreds of Millions
The UN reports that Asia has a total population of 4.78 billion but the UN overestimates China's population by 16 million people. Asia is about 60% of global population. India and China make up about 60% of Asia's population. The UN Population division has forecasted far high populations and fertility for India and China than ... Read more
Canada’s Population Passes 41 Million Later This Week
Canada's population will reach 41.0 million by the end of this week [about March 31, 2024]. Statistics Canada's real-time tracker has the population at 40.98 million. Poland's national statistics agency reports 37.7 million people. The UN numbers for Canada and Poland are off by 2-3 million for each country. The UN overestimates Poland and underestimates ... Read more
How to Optimize the Structure and Quality of Thin Film Nobium for Superconducting Circuits
The performance of superconducting microwave circuits is strongly influenced by the material properties of the superconducting film and substrate. While progress has been made in understanding the importance of surface preparation and the effect of surface oxides, the complex effect of superconductor film structure on microwave losses is not yet fully understood. In this study, ... Read more
Would Artificial Wombs Solve the Depopulation Crisis?
Nextbigfuture reader, Scott Baker, has gathered excellent information about the state of artificial womb development. Scott did this in response to my articles describing the massive global depopulation crisis. Scott has found videos and information about were tests over one year ago of biobags to help premature sheep. These are early forms of devices which ... Read more
Dead Whistleblower Testimony About Boeing’s Corrupt Quality Processes
Joe Rogan reviewed the video statement of the now dead Boeing Whistleblower. Thew whistleblower was continuing to testify and report on Boeing's corrupt quality process. He and a team had found 300 defects on a Boeing plane. His boss then went out with two inspectors and found only 50 defects. The whistleblower asked one of ... Read more
Diet Control of Isoleucine Increases Healthspan and Lifespan By Up to 33% in Mice
Low-protein diets promote health and longevity in diverse species. Restriction of the branched-chain amino acids (BCAAs) leucine, isoleucine, and valine recapitulates many of these benefits in young C57BL/6J mice. Restriction of dietary isoleucine (IleR) is sufficient to promote metabolic health and is required for many benefits of a low-protein diet in C57BL/6J males. Here, we ... Read more
GoatGuy’s Comment on the Global Depopulation Crisis
Nextbigfuture has tried to simplify the reason why global population decline is not something to be ignored. While the world was fine when we had 4 billion people in 1974, we will be deep into disaster if the world population declines to 4 billion in 2080-2120. Fertile women would drop to 5% of the population ... Read more
Rocketstar Aneutronic Fusion-enhanced Electric Pulsed Plasma Propulsion Will Be Tested in Orbit
RocketStar, a US based startup, has successfully demonstrated an electric propulsion unit for spacecraft that uses nuclear fusion-enhanced pulsed plasma. During ground tests the process did create ionizing radiation and improved the base propulsion unit's thrust by 50%. FireStar Drive markedly improves performance, utilizing high-speed protons from ionized water vapor. When protons interact with boron ... Read more
Tesla Not Compute Limited for FSD AI Means 100+ Exaflops and 1+ Exabyte of Cache Memory
Tesla indicated in August, 2023 they were activating 10,000 Nvidia H100 cluster and over 200 Petabytes of hot cache (NVMe) storage. This memory is used to train the FSD AI on the massive amount of video driving data. Elon Musk posted yesterday that Tesla FSD training is no longer compute constrained. Tesla has likely activated ... Read more
Alternative AI Approach to AGI
Here is an example of a better system for talking with humans and having a real memory. They are showing used in text chat mode but adding a voice system is just a matter of system cost. NOTE: I have seen the AIGO hyperfast language parsing and hyperfast knowledge graph in action in DEBUG mode. ... Read more
Sam Altman of OpenAI says Real AGI Must be Totally World Changing
AI is quickly changing everything. Sam Altman , CEO of OpenAI and creator of ChatGPT, just told us what to expect with AI and AGI. Here we look at the most important things that Sam Altman says in his own words during his second two hour interview with Lex Fridman. Sam defines his goals for ... Read more
Tesla Is No Longer Training Compute Constrained So AI Will Accelerate
Get ready for major progress. Tesla FSD and Teslabot will accelerate. Tesla is no long AI compute constrained. Now we will see what unrestricted progress looks like. Yeah, 99% of people have no idea. And improvement will accelerate dramatically now that we are no longer AI training compute constrained. - Elon Musk (@elonmusk) March 22, ... Read more
What Does Millions of Drones in the Ukraine War Mean for the Future of War?
Millions of drones are being used in the Russian and Ukraine war. How is this changing the fighting? What will be the counter-measures? There are also millions of artillery shells being used. However, drones and artillery shells are expended every day. It is tens of thousands of each that are being used each day.
Recovered SpaceX Starship Heat Tiles
Many SpaceX Starship heat tiles fell off during the last orbital launch. The number of heat tiles that fell off were so high that one group of people have found some that washed up from the ocean after a storm. The heat tiles are light and fragile. SpaceX must determine improved ways to prevent the ... Read more
Supply Chain Reasons for the Slow Ramp
Hinrichs Zanegler, Tesla Semi advocate, predicts Tesla will produce and deliver between 500 and 1,000 semi's before the high-volume line begins ramping up. He has investigated the supply chain of the Tesla Semi. Tesla is mostly getting supplier parts for the Tesla Semi. Tesla makes the battery packs, plaid motors, invertors and some other mainly ... Read more
Tesla and XAI Buying Many H100 and B200 Chips from Nvidia
Last August, former Tesla AI engineer Tim Zaman posted on X that a Tesla AI cluster, built using 10,000 of Nvidia's H100 chips, was ready to go live. Musk said a post on X in January that while a Dojo supercomputer cost $500 million to build, Tesla will spend more than that on Nvidia hardware ... Read more
Tesla New FSD Update With Automatic Parking
Tesla has started rolling out a new FSD software update which is version 2024.2.11. Tesla releases Tap to Park' in update 2024.2.11: Uses FSD Beta v12 Currently employee-only Public rollout expected soon Teslas have had Autopark capability for several years. However, autopark would only work on Tesla with ultrasonic sensors (USS). Tesla ... Read more
Why 4 Billion On the Way Up is Different on the Way Down
There is a difference a world population that is 4 billion and strongly growing versus 4 billion and shrinking. When I write about global population collapse there are many people who will say that they lived in a world with 4 billion people and it was fine. This like saying they were in an airplane ... Read more
Neuralink Patient Plays Chess With Brain Computer Communication
The first human Neuralink patient controlling a computer and playing chess just by thinking. He is paralyzed.
OpenAI Q* Reasoning Rumor is Similar to Meta AI Planning Approach
Meta is working on adding latent space planning/search to large language model AI. 1H-GAP (https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.02682) 2Diffusion World Model (https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.03570) 3TAP (https://arxiv.org/abs/2208.10291) 4LaMCTS (https://arxiv.org/abs/2007.00708) 5LaP3 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2106.10544) 6LaSynth (https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.00101) 7LaMOO (https://arxiv.org/abs/2110.03173) Rumored OpenAI Q* Is Optimization in Abstract Representation Space The innovation in Q* lies in its optimization process, conducted not within the space of possible text ... Read more
Lancet Forecasts Failure of Pro-Baby Policies and Global Population Collapse
Here are the key points of a Lancet study on global fertility. Global Fertility rates will continue to collapse even if all countries adopt the current best pro-baby policies (childcare subsidies, extended parental leave, insurance coverage expansion for infertility treatment). Future fertility rates were would drop to a global TFR (total fertility rate) of 183 ... Read more
Optimus Teslabot is Ready
Optimus Teslabot is ready for field trials in multiple factories according a job posting. New Job Posting: To drive the deployment of robots for trial applications ... execute pilot applications of humanoid robots in various manufacturing environments ... cover multiple job sites and may require frequent travel. Optimus is ready for field trials in the ... Read more
Tesla Smart Summon Demonstration
Tesla is adding smart summon to the Tesla FSD. You will use an app and position an X on a map to tell the car where to drive by itself.
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