NextBigFuture.com

It is commonly known that the recent Inflation Reduction Act bill” will provide $7500 tax credits for buyer of EVs in the United States. This will enable EV makers who mostly make their EVs in the US to get billions in increased profits if they were to make and sell a lot of EVs. Tesla ... Read more

BIG Technology is emerging now and ramping this decade. Early innovators and adopters will win. Those who invest in the winners will also win. Late adopters will lose badly. Just as those who were earliest on the internet and electric cars were winners. Early adopting countries won past technological shifts. The ranking of countries is ... Read more

SpaceX and T-Mobile will put cellphone antenna emulators into the Starlink Gen 2 satellites. T-Mobile will give SpaceX Starlink part of their cellphone spectrum. On Thursday, August 25 at Starbase, SpaceX Chief Engineer Elon and T-Mobile CEO and President Mike Sievert said T-Mobile and SpaceX will work together to increase connectivity. Starlink will amplify and ... Read more

Tesla Dojo team presented at the Hot Chip 34 conference. Tesla has made sure that the IO (input output), memory, software, power, cooling and all other aspects of the system are perfectly scalable. This will enable them to just build and add tiles to scale to the Exaflop level and beyond. About 120 compute tiles ... Read more

South Korea has about 2% of the developed world population but individual retail investors have 6 times the global developed world average invested in Tesla. Non-Korean private retail investors own about 12.6% of all Tesla shares and the Koreans have 1.6%.

I found some comments from Brett in the Trash. I have restored and approved them. I do not know what caused those to be trashed immediately. Let mw know if you have comments that you believed were blocked by the system. I will go through the trash to find them. NOTE: the trash was cleared ... Read more

Shanghai Institute of Applied Physics (SINAP) has been given approval by the Ministry of Ecology and Environment to commission an experimental thorium-powered molten-salt reactor. This is the first molten salt nuclear reactor since the US shutdown a test reactor in 1969. The TMSR-LF1 will use fuel enriched to under 20% U-235, have a thorium inventory ... Read more

Japan will restart nuclear reactors and develop new plants using next-generation nuclear technologies. Japan wants to restart seven more nuclear reactors from next summer onward, Japan PM Kishida said at a government meeting on “green transformation.” That would bring the number of reactors brought back online after the 2011 Fukushima catastrophe to 17 out of ... Read more

A cover letter from lawyers representing Peiter “Mudge” Zatko, Twitter’s former head of security, disclosed evidence of alleged legal violations and fraud made by the company in recent years. Twitter’s former head of cybersecurity accused the social media company of committing fraud and numerous “egregious” security violations in an explosive whistleblower complaint revealed Tuesday, shaking ... Read more

D-Wave Systems was trying to raise about $300 million from a SPAC. D-Wave was hoping the completion of the merger with DPCM Capital would grant it access to a trust account worth $300 million, assuming that there were no redemptions by shareholders, but the company disclosed in a recent filing with US regulators that the ... Read more

In 2006, I publicly predicted that solar energy would be the cheapest form of energy by 2020. Among 150 predictions I made in 2006 on the site nanotech-now were Solar power becomes cheapest form of enery by 2015-2020 Massive solar energy deployments, over one third of the new energy generators by 2015-2025 IRENA’s report, Renewable ... Read more

In 2006, I made a list of 152 public future predictions. I made a prediction that there would be 20 million millionaires by 2018-2020. This was triple the number of millionaires in the world in 2004. The 2004 numbers were and what were available and known in 2006. A new study from Capgemini published in ... Read more

Talk given at the Workshop on Autonomous Driving at CVPR 2022. It discussed Occupancy Networks and other technical aspects of Tesla Autopilot and Full Self Driving. Eshok provided info of accidents prevented and lives saved by Autopilot. I had a video that covers Tesla leading in safety based upon third party and regulator statistics.

There is an income limit on the new US Inflation Reduction Act EV $7500 tax credit for new Electric cars in the USA. There is a congressional report that details all of the items in the bill. On page 14, the credit would be disallowed for certain higher-income taxpayers. Specifically, no credit would be allowed ... Read more

Munro Associates analyzes Tesla 4680 battery pack. The Tesla 4680 battery pack uses only 16 threaded fasteners in the entire pack that were not penthouse area (the front part of the pack). Threaded fasteners is something that wears out increases costs. Tesla has designed with snap fit that last forever. It takes more time and ... Read more

The Orion spacecraft and the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket lift off for the first time from NASA’s modernized Kennedy Space Center in Florida. NASA is targeting an SLS launch for August 29, 2022. It has cost over $40 billion to get to this point and many years of delays. Hopefully it will be a ... Read more

Compute, data, and algorithmic advances are the three fundamental factors that guide the progress of modern Machine Learning (ML). Researchers studied trends in the most readily quantified factor – compute. They show : before 2010 training compute grew in line with Moore’s law, doubling roughly every 20 months. Deep Learning started in the early 2010s ... Read more

31 minutes into Tesla Herbert interview, Robert Scoble says Tesla has the largest sample of human walking data to train Teslabots. All Tesla cars have video of people walking around parked and moving cars. There are over 3 million Tesla cars and each driven car sends 2-4 gigabytes of data every day to the Tesla ... Read more

Those with Tesla Solar Power and Tesla Powerwalls who have opted into Tesla’s Virtual Power Plant program get $2 per kwh when their power utility uses the Tesla Virtual Power plant. CORRECTION: Matt Smith has indicating that these VPP power emergencies will not be that frequent and Tesla does not take a cut of the ... Read more

This coming decade will be seen as THE decade of CHANGE that defines and shapes the next 100 and even next thousand years. This new decade will be even more important than any developments in the past 2000 years. It will transition us from the world similar to the 20th century to a science fiction ... Read more

Arrays of lasers can be used to push light weight solar sails to other stars. This has been funded with over $100 millon and it builds upon the technology of the $600 billion laser and photonics industry. A recent paper looks at how different technological improvements will make it more feasible and improve the costs. ... Read more

Record conversion efficiencies have been reached with thin film photovoltaic cells by the AMOLF Group. AMOLF group leader Esther Alarcon Llado says: “based on the strong light trapping performance of our patterns, we estimate that PV efficiencies above 20% could be achieved for a 1 μm-thick c-Si cell, which would represent an absolute breakthrough toward ... Read more

The way technology has currently shaped the automotive industry is huge. Technological advancements have changed the way cars are built, the features within vehicles have changed and the competitiveness of the market has increased. Where there used to be a number of manufacturers who supply cars, vans and trucks, that list has increased a lot ... Read more

There were two Teslabot videos. The first has a discussion with James Douma. James describes his perspective of the advances in neural nets. He described how GPT-3 created a foundational capability by cracking language. He believes the Teslabot will leverage neural nets to crack robotic methods for bipedal movement and mastering identifying and picking up ... Read more

The coming decade will likely see the biggest changes of our lives. These will be bigger than the internet and the smartphone. Brian Wang gave a talk on the future to the Technology Universe Conference. All of the biggest developments for the future will be mostly arriving in a major way over the next decade. ... Read more

Dr. Scott Walter, factory and robotics expert, and Dr. Know-it-all Knows it all break down the picture Elon Musk showed promoting Tesla’s AI Day Part 2. There’s a lot that we can see in the image–and a ton that’s still unknown. The belief is that the new picture for Tesla AI Day 2 is the ... Read more

The USC Buzzcraft concept was presented at the recent Lunar Development Conference. The case for Buzzcraft is that it would ensure higher reliability transportation and communication from Earth orbit to the area of the moon. If things go wrong with moon missions then having Buzzcraft means resources and help can be closer and could be ... Read more

BYD is supplying iron LFP blade batteries for Tesla Model Y’s made in Tesla’s Berlin factory. It is reported that the batteries are already being supplied and the first Model Ys with those batteries will be produced this month. There were earlier reports that BYD would supply about 10 GWh per year. This would be ... Read more

The U.S. Defense Department estimates 80,000 Russian troops have been killed or wounded since the Kremlin’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine less than six months ago according to a top Pentagon official. The Russia-Ukraine War is the most intense conventional conflict in Europe since World War II. “The Russians are taking a tremendous number of casualties ... Read more

A Cislunar Cycler, called Buzzcraft, would continually cycle in an orbit between the Earth and Moon, passing close to both Moon & Earth at regular intervals. Cyclers are among the most efficient cislunar transportation methods. The Buzzcraft concept was developed by Brad Manucha for the USC ASTE 527 course taught by Madhu Thangevalu. Buzz Aldrin, ... Read more

Twitter likely has 25% bots and not 5%. There might even be as many as 50% bots. Twitter had reported nearly flat daily active user counts from 2014 to 2022. If there were growing Twitterbots, then fake users and fake activity hid a drop in real users and real activity. I also cover how Elon ... Read more

The Government of France is offering to buyout minority shareholders in the heavily indebted EDF (France’s) nuclear company. The offer to minority shareholders will be priced at 12 euros per share, meaning the operation to fully nationalize the group will cost 9.7 billion euros ($9.9 billion). The electricity provider is currently 84-percent owned by the ... Read more

California and Germany could both act to save their remaining nuclear power plants. California could save one nuclear reactor that provides 15% of its clean power and Germany could save reactors that would prevent adding about 60% more natural gas. Germany has been short natural gas that it imports from Russia. The California Diablo Canyon ... Read more

Youtuber Felix Schlang at What About It? describes how the SpaceX Florida Starbase will triple in size. He also has aerial photos of all of the SpaceX facilities in Florida. SpaceX has submitted an application to expand the florida Starfactory area by 100 acres. It is currently 50 acres. The 150 acres would match the ... Read more

Lucid Group Inc. LCID, fell more than 11% in after-hours trading after they dropped 2022 production volume to be 6,000 vehicles or half of the 2022 expectation in May. “Our revised production guidance reflects the extraordinary supply chain and logistics challenges we encountered,” Chief Executive Peter Rawlinson said in a statement. “We’ve identified the primary ... Read more

The Toyota Corolla has been the best-selling car (nameplate) since 1974. There have been over 50 million sold in the past 48 years. The Tesla Model Y is already the best-selling car in terms of sales revenue in the first half of 2022. Here I go over the details of Corolla sales in 2021 and ... Read more

The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission will certify NuScale’s small modular nuclear reactor design for use in the United States. The NuScale is a smaller version of the approved pressure water reactor design which is the primary NRC design that has gotten new design variation approval over the 48-year existence of the NRC. The NRC (from ... Read more

The fictional Jetsons are in a world set in the 2060’s. The main character was born in our time of 2022. Any fiction set in the 2060’s with characters who are in their forties are starting to overlap our current time. Any fictional character in a world set in 2100, would be born this year ... Read more

George Jetson was a character created in the 1960s but is the family man of the future. He has robot servants, flying cars, and moving sidewalks. All the apartment buildings are set on giant poles In Jetsons: The Movie, they revealed that they live in the sky due to excess of smog. I don't mean ... Read more

There are many scientists who are pessmistic about how much life extension we can get from new antiaging medicine. The new treatments will be powerful enough to change what all of our DNA is doing. It will be powerful enough to clear out 90-99% of known aging damage. We should be to detect all disease ... Read more

Tesla 4680 structural packs has eliminated threaded fasteners which is the cause of 75% of failures in cars. Sandy Munro believe there are 816 or 828 battery cells in the pack. There is four sections of 204 battery cells (6X34) but there could be a section with 12 extra cells hidden under the foam. They ... Read more

Aubrey de Grey has been leading the charge to fix damage from aging for over twenty years. He has been interviewed on Joe Rogan, 60 Minutes and many other shows. He has developed and championed the concept of repairing the seven known categories of aging damage as the way to get to comprehensive aging reversal. ... Read more

Rejuvenate Bio CEO Daniel Oliver is interviewed on how he co-founded with Harvard Biotech Serial Entrepreneur and biotech giant George Church. They have over $30 million in funding. They have antiaging and disease treatments that they have testing with different dog breeds for the past two years. They have applied for initial human trials. The ... Read more

It was billed as the “Mona Lisa” of the emerging world of digital art and it came with a price tag to match that label – with the Iranian-born crypto entrepreneur Sina Estavi paying a stunning $2.9 million to acquire an NFT of the first tweet by Twitter co-founder Jack Dorsey. That was in March ... Read more

SpaceX has successfully launched six Falcon 9 over a 17 day period. SpaceX has launched 33 missions in 2022 and is almost on pace for nearly 60 Falcon 9 launches this year. This would nearly double the 31 Falcon 9 flights accomplished in 2021. If SpaceX could sustain a launch rate of one every three ... Read more

Increasingly, people are relying on tablets and e-readers for all their reading needs, populating them with books, magazines, comics, and everything in between. Does that mean that someday printed books will become obsolete? The short answer is: not necessarily. The Case for Indefinitely Printed Books There are some good arguments to make for the future ... Read more

There are three main types of nuclear fusion and PB11 (hydrogen-boron) is the most desired. PB11 nuclear fusion would have almost no neutron radiation but it takes 1 billion degree temperatures instead of 100 million for deuterium tritium or about 500 million for deuteriurm-deuterium. The PALS laser facility in Prague has reported a major advance ... Read more

Aubrey de Grey has a longevity, antiaging summit in Dublin, Ireland. There is still early bird registration. Speakers at the Dublin antiaging summit include: Aubrey de Grey George Church Maria Blasco Michael West Jim Mellon and many others. I will shortly be getting out two antiaging youtube videos. I spoke at length with Aubrey de ... Read more

Ukraine will soon cutoff Russian troops in Kherson on the Northern side of the Dnipro River from resupply. They are destroying bridges and have already rendered certain bridges mostly unusable. This will enable Ukraine’s larger number of troops to outnumber and overwhelm Russian troops without resupply. This retaking of significant territory currently held by Russian ... Read more

Ford’s late 2023 electric vehicles production runrate target is half of Tesla Q4 2021 production runrate. Tesla built 305,000 vehicles in Q4 of 2021. Annually at that rate of production Tesla would make 1.22 million cars. Ford hopes to be about three years behind Tesla in EV production. Tesla ended 2020 with 179,757 produced in ... Read more