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Updated 2024-11-23 07:31
Panel Discussion of the Nuclear Fusion Net Gain of Energy In and Out of the Target
LLNL’s experiment surpassed the fusion threshold by delivering 2.05 megajoules (MJ) of energy to the target, resulting in 3.15 MJ of fusion energy output, demonstrating for the first time a most fundamental science basis for inertial fusion energy (IFE). Many advanced science and technology developments are still needed to achieve simple, affordable IFE to power ... Read more
Twitter Space Starting at 10:30 PST
I will have a Twitter Space at 10:30 AM PST. Hopefully no technical issues like yesterday. I can have a dedicated Nextbigfuture Twitter space if readers are interested. Topics can be suggested. Set a reminder for my upcoming Space! https://t.co/KwMHqxwMPj. Sorry twitter technical issues today. $TSLA @ValueAnalyst1 @DrKnowItAll16 @TeslaBest @SawyerMerritt — nextbigfuture (@nextbigfuture) December 12, ... Read more
Busting Thunderfoot Attack on Tesla Semi
Thunderfoot, Phil Mason, is a popular youtuber despite putting out wrong information. He likes to try to “bust” Elon Musk for Tesla, Boring Company and SpaceX. This is obviously because Elon Musk is the most successful businessman in the world who has the largest following on Twitter. Attack videos against Elon Musk can get 250,000 ... Read more
Tesla Semi and Torque Technology is Killer for Entire $2 Trillion Truck Industry
The Tesla Semi is a category killer for the entire trucking category. Tesla has exclusively solved the issue of efficient torque when towing heavy leads. Large pickup trucks like the diesel F150 drop from 20 mpg down to 9 mpg when they are towing over 3 tons. The diesel Semi weighs about 24000 pounds and ... Read more
Sorry This Net Energy Gain Does NOT Mean Fusion is Close
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Researchers were able to produce 2.5 megajoules of energy, 120 per cent of the 2.1 megajoules used to power the experiment. This means more energy out versus the energy deposited on the fuel pellet. The laboratory recently conducted a “successful” experiment at the National Ignition Facility. The National Ignition Facility is ... Read more
State of the Art Quantum Chemistry in 2022
Quantum chemistry is very hard. The best quantum computing chemistry seems to be at the level of 12 qubits / 12 atoms. Supercomputer simulations can handle 20 qubits and 20 atoms simulation. There are early papers that suggest classical supercomputers can get to 100 atoms and 1000 qubit for some types of simulation. Quantum computers ... Read more
What is Really Happening with Quantum Computers?
I have been following quantum computers closely for over two decades and I spent the last few days meeting with many of the major quantum computer companies, listening to talks and presentations and hearing from representatives of several governmental agencies and groups at the Q2B conference (Quantum to Business) . UPDATE : This article has ... Read more
Everyday Astronaut Will Become a Real Astronaut
Tim Dodd, the Everyday Astronaut, will really go to the moon. He will be on the Dear Moon SpaceX mission to go around the moon. The Dear Moon mission is a SpaceX Superheavy Starship flight purchased by billionaire, Yusaku Maezawa(MZ). The mission profile will be similar to the Apollo 8 mission. I am beyond excited ... Read more
Interview With Quantum Machines CTO
Yonatan Cohen is the CTO of Quantum Machines. I, Brian Wang of Nextbigfuture, interviewed Yonatan at the Q2B quantum computer conference yesterday, December 6, 2022. Quantum Machines makes a comprehensive hardware and software platform for performing the most complex quantum algorithms and experiments and advancing the world of quantum computing. The heart of their technology ... Read more
Twitter Space – Semi Most Important Tesla Product After Bot and Robotaxi
A Twitter Space with Brian Wang, Bradford Fergeson, Randy Kirk, Gary Carson, Larry Goldberg, Lars Strandridder (Best in Tesla), John Gibb (Dr Know it All). Key insights – Tesla Semi could match the Tesla Car business in revenue if there is an accelerated shift to electric trucks by China and other nations in Asia. The ... Read more
CATL will Mix Cheaper Sodium Ion Batteries With Lithium for Acceptable Range EVs
CATL has achieved a mix of sodium ion and lithium ion which allows them to complement each other and thus increase the energy density of the battery system. This will help the transition to sodium ion batteries by using them at scale for suitable range electric cars and energy storage. Sodium-ion batteries will definitely become ... Read more
Tesla Semi Will Drive Tesla Energy to Terawatt Scale By 2030
As I watched the delivery of the Tesla Semi to Pepsico, there was a critical moment. The critical moment was when Elon said that Tesla could charge a one-megawatt-hour battery in 30 minutes. This would take nearly a week using a regular charger installed at your house. By deduction, this meant that Tesla megachargers will have ... Read more
Tesla Semi Delivery Event
Tesla drove its Semi truck with a 81,000 pound payload up a 6% incline. They drove 500 miles with a full load. The Tesla Semi has a 1000 volt powertrain versus the 400 volt powertrain in other vehicles. Tesla will use the 1000 volt powertrain in other vehicles. They will have version 4 superchargers that ... Read more
Solar Sail First Stage and Then Impact Fusion to Get Towards Lightspeed
The Bussard Ramjet drive has been proven not to work, but laying out a runway of fuel could work. This has been examined in more detail. Fuel is deliberately emplaced in the path of the spacecraft before the flight. Kare proposed that, at the velocities proposed for interstellar flight, nuclear fusion can be accomplished at ... Read more
Plasma Magnets Using Dynamic Soaring to Go 2% of Speed of Light
A number of concepts exist for exploiting the solar wind as a means of propulsion: the MagSail, the e-sail, and the plasma magnet. All of these concepts work predominately as drag devices and thus are limited to velocities equal to the solar wind (~700 km/s), with only limited ability to generate force transverse to the ... Read more
Tesla Goes Next Level in Profits in 2023
In 2023, it will be a big mistake to ignore profits from Tesla energy, new tax credits and full self-driving software. Analysts could safely ignore energy because while it was 10% in revenue it had almost no profits. Similarly, full self driving made a lot of headlines but was only used bought by less than ... Read more
Neuralink Day Highlights a Brain Implant With Over 4000 Channels
Neuralink showed off its implantable device which is slightly larger than a quarter. They showed the device working in several monkeys and they showed the surgical robot that will be used to implant the device. They are working to repair spinal damage. The current experiments are to monitor and activate spinal activity in a pig. ... Read more
Lengthy Academic Talk on Quantum Computing Reality and Hype
Here is a three-hour talk on quantum computing and quantum theory reality and hype. Scott Aaronson is a professor of computer science at University of Texas at Austin and director of its Quantum Information Center. Previously he received his PhD at UC Berkeley and was a faculty member at MIT in Electrical Engineering and Computer ... Read more
Dawning of the Quantum Computer Age
Huge announcements in Quantum Computer Technology have been recently made and there is a clear and active path to 4000 by 2025 and 16000+ qubits by 2027. 70 error-mitigated qubits with over 50 step layers of algorithmic capability is believed to be the point where quantum computers will surpass exaflop supercomputers for cracking big problems. ... Read more
Recording of My Twitter Space on Tesla for 2023
Here is a link to my Twitter space on Tesla for 2023. The main presentation and discussion starts 10 minutes after the Twitter space starts. Yes, Tesla and markets are way down but Tesla is setting up for a very strong 2023. There are large boosts to Tesla profits from full self driving sofware, inflation ... Read more
Orion Flying Over the Moon
An uncrewed Orion spacecraft on a six-week mission around the Moon and back to Earth. It is currently orbiting the mon and there is live feeds from it.
IBMs 433 Qubit Quantum Processor and Beyond
IBM has a 433 qubit quantum processor called Osprey and has a roadmap for 4000 qubits in 2025 and 100,000 qubits by 2030. These are more powerful qubits than the 5000+ adiabatic qubits from DWave Systems. Most other quantum computer companies are at about 50-100 qubits. The number of usable error-mitigated qubits is being improved. ... Read more
New World Order
China has been the factory for the world for the past two to three decades but President Xi has made China too risky for business. There is potential for societal unrest in China with mass protests over Covid Zero and other policies. If you are maintaining a factory in China, you would want that factory ... Read more
VFR CEO Helps Monetize Channels on Roku, Samsung and Smart TVs
How do you start and monetize a channel on Roku, Samsung and Apple TV? Eldar Buchris, CEO of VFR, describes how VFR helps content creators to monetize on Roku and other connected TV systems. Your Youtube content can be reused. The CPM (payment per thousand views) can be higher on connected television like Roku, Samsung, ... Read more
Easier and Safer to Use Carbon Nanotubes in Polymer Nanocomposite
A research team from Skoltech, Aalto University, and Kurnakov Institute has recently developed a new, versatile and simple approach to using carbon nanotubes for manufacturing carbon nanotube-polymer nanocomposites. The method is reported in Carbon and involves making briquettes — dense packages of carbon nanotube powders. Nanocomposites made with briquettes perform equally well as those made ... Read more
Tesla FSD Version 11 Available to All
Elon Musk confirmed that Tesla FSD Beta version 11 is available to all FSD customers. About 200,000 people who purchased FSD can activate FSD version 11 if they request it. UPDATE: Tesla Full Self-Driving Beta is now available to anyone in North America who requests it from the car screen, assuming you have bought this ... Read more
13 Wafer Scale Chips for an Exaflop AI Supercomputer
Cerebras Systems, the pioneer in accelerating artificial intelligence (AI) compute, today unveiled Andromeda, a 13.5 million core AI supercomputer, now available and being used for commercial and academic work. Built with a cluster of 16 Cerebras CS-2 systems and leveraging Cerebras MemoryX and SwarmX technologies, Andromeda delivers more than 1 Exaflop of AI compute and ... Read more
Tesla FSD Version 11 For Anyone Who Purchased FSD
Elon Musk indicates that Tesla FSD Version 11 will go to wide release in December, 2022 for anyone who purchased FSD in the US. This would likely mean that at the Jan 20th, 2023 earnings call they should recognize all of the deferred revenue. 50% of the FSD price was deferred until all features were ... Read more
The Future of Self-driving Cars
I have researched the major self driving car companies. We know Argo AI failed. They were ranked 5th in California based upon disengagement miles. Disengagement miles is a misleading statistic. It is only somewhat predictive. Argo had $4 billion or so of funding and 2100 employees. Ford after pulling the plug said Argo was over ... Read more
Zeihan Predicts EV Revolution Fails and High Global Inflation for Five Years
Peter Zeihan is a geopolitical forecaster who uses simplified analysis and makes broad generalized predictions. He has predicted financial doom for China for over a decade. He does correctly identify things like demographic challenges which in some cases can cause a -1% drag on GDP growth for a country. However, he broadly assumes that no ... Read more
NASA Orders Second SpaceX Crewed Lunar Landing
NASA is awarding SpaceX $1.15 billion for SpaceX to provide a second crewed landing demonstration mission in 2027 as part of NASA’s Artemis IV mission. “Returning astronauts to the Moon to learn, live, and work is a bold endeavor. With multiple planned landers, from SpaceX and future partners, NASA will be better positioned to accomplish ... Read more
Real Robotaxi Competition Won’t Be Coming After Tesla – BestinTesla $TSLA
I was interviewed by Lars at BestinTesla. I talked about why robotaxi at scale competition won’t be coming once Tesla solves robotaxi at scale. Tesla has over 160,000 people currently using FSD and driving 10 million miles per quarter on surface roads with it. The new version 11 is being deployed and switches navigate on ... Read more
Nextbigfuture on the NBF Community and the Future of the World
Thanks to all Nextbigfuture community for your support. This is just an FYI that I have to shutdown comments to articles related to FTX, Binance and Crypto. The level of spam on those articles is insane. There has been a general increase in comment spam. This is causing me to shut comments on various older ... Read more
99 Second Summary of FTX
Cryptocurrency exchange FTX may have misused customer funds in violation of its own terms of service. Although, there is legalize needed to use uncertainty in the statement that crimes might have been committed. It is very apparent that financial crimes and theft and misuse of client funds did happen. FTX placed billions of dollars worth ... Read more
Tesla Will Get Robotaxi at Scale 5-10 Years Before Competitors $TSLA
Self-driving car company Argo AI failure when Ford and VW pulled the plug after spending over $3 billion. It is big evidence that Lidar-dependent self-driving has a long way to go. All of the self-driving car companies except Tesla and Comma were using Lidar. Ford said removing the driver is over 5 years away. Most ... Read more
Talking Tesla with Author Randy Kirk
A talk with Tesla author Randy Kirk discusses several catalysts that will help share prices recover or to better weather the financial storms. Randy Kirk, Lars Strandridder, John (Dr Know it all) Gibb, and Brian Wang have just published a book. Randy and I sat down to discuss Tesla news and catalysts. Get The Elon ... Read more
Snapshot of Crypto Exchanges and Distributed Exchanges
Here is a snapshot of the top 13 or so crypto exchanges for cryptocurrency, crypto exchanges for derivatives and distributed exchanges. Various exchanges already had problems before the recent collapse of FTX. Voyager went under. Now Genesis has frozen withdrawals. Crypto.com is in danger. Crypto.com’s Cronos token (CRO), fell 55% in a week before getting ... Read more
Is Collapse of FTX a Faster Version of Fiat Currency Collapse?
Here is analysis that makes that case that collapse of the FTX exchange and the FTT token ponzi is a faster version of what will happen to the japanese Yen and the UK Pound. Here is some data about external debt. The foreign debt (not in domestic currency) is what can be greater than the ... Read more
Winners in Robotaxi Tech Can 100X? Who Wins? By How Much?
I have looked at all of the dozens of self-driving car companies. I looked at many of the 80 LIDAR (laser radar) companies. I cut through all of the noise, complexity and confusion. Robotaxis will change the world and are a multi-trillion opportunity. Companies have spent over a hundred billion dollars already and even more ... Read more
Space Launch System Successfully Launched
NASA has successfully launched an uncrewed Orion spacecraft on a 26-day mission around the Moon and back to Earth. During #Artemis I, Orion will lift off aboard the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket, and travel 280,000 miles (450,000 km) from Earth and 40,000 miles (64,000 km) beyond the far side of the Moon, carrying science ... Read more
Are Social NFTs the Next Big Trend?
Almost as soon as they burst onto the scene with CryptoKitties back in 2017, non-fungible tokens (NFTs) have been hailed as the future of digital collectibles. With their innate scarcity and the ability to represent just about anything digitally, NFTs have a lot of potential for a wide variety of applications. Unsurprisingly, this has led ... Read more
Would Elon Buy Shift4 to Get Jared Isaacman as CEO for Twitter ? $TWTR $TSLA $FOUR
Alexandra Merz proposed that Elon Musk is raising more cash to buy Shift4 to accelerate the move of Twitter into payments processing. Jared Isaacman is the founder and CEO of the payment processing firm Shift4 Payments ($FOUR). He started the firm in 1999, at age 16, in his parents’ basement in Far Hills, New Jersey ... Read more
Tom Brady and Gisele Big FTX Losers
Tom Brady and his x-wife Gisele Bundchen are at risk of losing $650 million if crypto exchange FTX goes completely bankrupt. Tom and Gisele apparently invested $650 million in the FTX company. Tom Brady still has a three-year contract. Tom is getting paid $75 million this year which includes $45 million in endorsements. Brady makes ... Read more
Binance Won’t Bailout FTX – FTX Founder on the Run
Crypto exchange Binance is walking away from bailing out FTX. FTX has a shortfall of up to $8 billion. The Wall Street Journal reports that FTX Chairman and founder Sam Bankman-Fried is missing and may be on the run. As a result of corporate due diligence, as well as the latest news reports regarding mishandled ... Read more
Cryptocurrency: Securing Your Wallets in 2022
It’s becoming increasingly important to focus on keeping your wallets safe. There are plenty of hackers and other cybercriminals looking to get their hands on your crypto investment. Check out five essential tips on how to make that doesn’t happen. One of the major topics in the world of crypto is security. The threat of ... Read more
4 data you must know to understand the purchase of Twitter
There has perhaps never been a corporate takeover as controversial as Elon Musk’s acquisition of Twitter recently. The self-proclaimed “meme-lord” began by secretly buying up Twitter stock before making an offer in April 2022. Musk tried to back out of the deal before being faced with a court battle to force the purchase. Key to ... Read more
Twitter Processing Payments Will Fulfill Musk Vision for Paypal
Twitter has filed with a financial regulatory agency to process payments. This is the start of Elon Musk going back to his Paypal plans. Elon Musk had visions for reinventing finance with Paypal. Elon Musk will now use Twitter to realize those previously abandoned plans. Elon wants to integrate all financial data into one database, ... Read more
Will FTX Collapse Cause a Crypto Winter ?
The FTX crypto exchange, was second largest in the world, has collapsed. Binance, the largest crypto exchange, was considering buying FTX but is now unlikely to follow through. Bitcoin (BTC) is under $17000. Ether (ETH) is below its post-Merge low of $1,160. As of June 30, 2022, Alameda Research (sister company of FTX, both headed ... Read more
Twitter Transformation in the next 15 Months
Tesla Herbert has a list of his expected changes and features to Twitter. Elon is laying off about 3500 employees which reduce the cash burn by almost half. Adding new features like creator monetization and videos could rapidly transform the financials at Twitter. Getting the cloud infrastructure more efficient could provide stop the cash burn ... Read more
Status of Quantum Computing
There has been many billions of dollars invested into quantum computing. The picture above is partial view of the companies and institutions working toward quantum computing. William Oliver of MIT gave an overview of the status of Quantum Computing as of late 2021. There had been experimental indications that the 1 and 2 qubit systems ... Read more
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