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Updated 2024-11-23 11:00
Blue Origin New Shepard NS-23 Fails at Max Q During Payload Flight
New Shepard’s 23rd mission, a dedicated payloads flight, was to fly 36 payloads from academia, research institutions, and students across the globe. The booster rocket failed about 1 minute into the flight as it reached MaxQ. The unmanned crew capsule did seperate and land safely. There were no passengers but if there were passengers they ... Read more
Soon Three Fully Finished SpaceX Starship Super Heavies
SpaceX has one super heavy booster and Starship prepared for an orbital test flight. The next booster and Starship are also nearly completed and a third set is nearing completion. Starbase Production Diagram – 7th September 2022 pic.twitter.com/moxg3CZ81q — Brendan (@_brendan_lewis) September 7, 2022 Here's an animated gif of your awesome #SpacexStarship Build Diagrams from ... Read more
What Happens After Russia Loses in Ukraine?
Russia does not seem like they will be able to quickly fix the problems that resulted in Ukraine breaking through Russian lines and take over 8000 square kilometers of land. US satellites and intelligence have been able to precisely identify ammo depots and command centers. Russia has no response to precision long-range HIMARS artillery. Why ... Read more
What
Russia Retreats to South Side of Oskil River
Ukrainian arm forces appears to have forced Russia’s military to retreat to the south side of the Oskil River. This means all of the area around Kupyansk and Izium have been retaken. The collapse of Russian lines seems to show the effectiveness of new Ukrainian tactics and US intelligence. Ukraine used Himars precision long-range artillery ... Read more
Russian Forces Have Retreated from Izium in Ukraine
Ukrainian forces have forced Russian soldiers to withdraw from Izium, the city’s mayor has announced. Russia’s forces sieged Izium nearly six months ago, and now the country has confirmed that all forces have now been pulled from the northeastern Ukrainian city. The new Ukrainian stronghold marks more rapid expansion into the northeast, a foray into ... Read more
SpaceX Starlink Talking to Apple for IPhone Satellite Texting
Apple’s SOS feature would work better wiyh SpaceX’s Starlink satellites. Just last month, SpaceX and T-Mobile announced a plan called Coverage Above & Beyond that would provide text coverage to users in dead zones. Coverage Above & Beyond will take a slice of T-Mobile’s mid-band PCS Spectrum and integrate it into Starlink satellites set to ... Read more
Ukraine Could Take Izyum and Kherson this Month
Ukrainian forces advanced 50km (30 miles) deep into Russian defensive positions north of Izyum on September 8 and took control of Balakliya city. In the Kharkiv Oblast counteroffensives advanced to within 20 kilometers of Russia’s key logistical node in Kupyansk on September 8. Ukraine has already recaptured 1000 square kilometers of territory. Ukrainian forces will ... Read more
DARPA Vertical Takeoff and Landing X-Plane
DARPA’s AdvaNced airCraft Infrastructure-Less Launch And RecoverY X-Plane program, nicknamed ANCILLARY, aims to develop and flight demonstrate critical technologies required for a leap ahead in vertical takeoff and landing (VTOL), low-weight, high-payload, and long-endurance capabilities. The goal is to build a plane that can launch from ship flight decks and small austere land locations in ... Read more
DARPA Studies Blockchain Vulnerabilities
DARPA engaged cybersecurity research and consulting firm Trail of Bits to examine the fundamental properties of blockchains and the cybersecurity risks associated with them. Trail of bits investigated the extent to which blockchains are truly decentralized. They focused primarily on the two most popular blockchains: Bitcoin and Ethereum. They also investigated proof-of-stake (PoS) blockchains and ... Read more
The Rise and Stall of China
Long time readers of Nextbigfuture know that I have been optimistic about China’s economy for well over two decades. Those were correct and accurate tracking and forecasts. There would be complaints that tracking the situation every few months was boosterism for China. Well the change has happened. China’s economy has basically stalled out. China’s economy ... Read more
Energy Infrastructure for All Electric Cars
Assuming each EV travels 12,000 miles annually, consuming approximately 300 Wh/mi of AC energy and assuming 4.9 % system losses for transmission and distribution, then each EV will require 3.8 MWh/year of energy generation. If there were 10 million EVs in California then they would need 28 TWh/year. The US has added up to 100 ... Read more
These Criteria are Important when Choosing a Binary Options Broker
Binary options trading and its leverage make the investment method tempting for many traders. If you are interested in the strategy, it can, however, be challenging to find a suitable broker. Many nations have banned binary trading thanks to high risks and many scam providers on the market. Still, the trading method is popular, and ... Read more
Europe NCAP Tests Prove Tesla Model Y is the Safest Car $TSLA
Euro NCAP has tested the Tesla Model Y as its safest car. They created the five-star safety rating system to help consumers, their families and businesses compare vehicles more easily and to help them identify the safest choice for their needs. The Euro NCAP tests matches other third party safety information and testing that Nextbigfuture ... Read more
Will Artemis SLS Blow Up on the Pad or During the Launch?
The Artemis Space Launch System was built to be expendable. The rocket has had more fuel loading and unloading from tests and from scrubbed launches than planned. Fuel loading and unloading cycles the rocket between extreme cold and normal temperatures. This can increase cracks and leaks which are already a problem. Winter launch schedules in ... Read more
Road to Teslabot and Last Mile Delivery Robots
The last mile of a package delivery is the most difficult due to dynamic, uncertain environments both inside and outside of the vehicle. A delivery truck can start completely organized and packed with boxes. As packages are individually delivered, however, the neat stacks can slide or fall over as the vehicle moves. Outside of the ... Read more
Multi-Fingered Active Grasp Learning
This is a review of a 2020 academic paper about using learning systems to train robotics arms and hands to grasp objects. Learning-based approaches to grasp planning are preferred over analytical methods due to their ability to better generalize to new, partially observed objects. However, data collection remains one of the biggest bottlenecks for grasp ... Read more
DARPA Robots Learn to Grasp Objects and Carry Loads Over Rough Terrain
Researchers with DARPA’s Machine Common Sense (MCS) program demonstrated a series of improvements to robotic system performance over multiple experiments. Just as infants must learn from experience, MCS seeks to construct computational models that mimic the core domains of child cognition for objects (intuitive physics), agents (intentional actors), and places (spatial navigation). Using only simulated ... Read more
Drought Reveals Fifth Mob Body Near Vegas
Five skeletons have now been found in the receding waters of Lake Mead near Las Vegas. The water level at Lake Mead is lower than any time since the 1930s. The first body was found in a barrel in the spring. The person inside was dead of a gunshot wound decades ago, according to authorities. ... Read more
Solar Power, Battery and EV Safety $TSLA
Energy Parks on Twitter was trying to push unsubstantiated fears of battery fires in response to my coverage of my positive experience with Tesla solar power and Powerwall batteries. My positive experience is that I have ample solar power to run my air conditioning in recent hot weather 95-117F (35-47C). I sell power back to ... Read more
DARPA Muon Scanner to Search for Tunnels or Monitor Volcanoes
The Defense Department and other federal agencies have sought advanced sources that generate gamma rays, X-rays, neutrons, protons, and electrons to enable a variety of scientific, commercial, and defense applications – from medical diagnostics, to scans of cargo containers for dangerous materials, to non-destructive testing of aircraft and their parts to see internal defects. But ... Read more
DARPA AI Contest to Assess Critical Minerals
DARPA has partnered with the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) to explore the potential for machine learning and artificial intelligence tools and techniques to accelerate critical mineral assessments. The goal is to significantly speed up the assessment of the nation’s critical mineral resources by automating key steps in the process. Assessments can quantify potential mineral sources ... Read more
DARPA Progress to Robotic Navy Ships
DARPA is moving into Phase 2 of the No Manning Required Ship (NOMARS) program to develop a 210 ton robotic naval ship. In Phase 2, Serco will finalize ship design, build the ship, and work through a series of rigorous testing activities before taking it to sea for a three-month demonstration event. The first robotic ... Read more
Stringent Tesla FSD Tester Says FSD 10.69.1.1 Feels Ready $TSLA
Chuck Cook performs some of the most stringent testing of Tesla’s Full Self Driving software. He has performed many tests on unprotected left turns and roundabouts. Based upon his latest batch of tests for version FSD 10.69.1.1 he feels FSD feels ready for wide release. He says it is still early to jump up and ... Read more
Those Who Say They Can’t Are Usually Right
In the MIT Technology Review Celine Halioua, CEO and founder of Loyal a company working on dog longevity said the antiagig field has “suffered from a branding issue” owing to outlandish claims made in the 1990s and 2000s. “Big names [Aubrey de Grey] in the field were yelling about 1,000-year life spans and immortality,” she ... Read more
NASA Artemis Space Launch System Will Roll Back to Assembly
NASA will roll the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket back to the VAB (Vehicle Assembly Building) before the next launch attempt to reset the system’s batteries. The flight termination system is required on all rockets to protect public safety. Engineers could not overcome a hydrogen leak in a quick disconnect, an interface between the liquid ... Read more
My First Days as a Micro-Power Company $TSLA
A heat wave will last until the end of this week in the San Francisco Bay Area. Temperatures 100F (38C) or so all week. Today is the fourth day out of the last five days with a Virtual Power Plant event. Tesla has created the software so that the utility PGE (Pacific Gas Electric) can ... Read more
Poland Will Have a Large and Modern Tank Army
A Foreign Military Sales order from the U.S. Army worth up to $1.148 billion will deliver 250 M1A2 SEPv3 Abrams main battle tanks to Poland by 2025. Poland has ordered 980 South Korean K2 Black Panther tanks, 648 K-9 Krab self-propelled howitzers, and 48 FA-50 advanced trainer/light fighter aircraft. Poland will import the first batch ... Read more
BYD and Tesla in Real Battle for Top Electric Car Company
BYD is aiming for 280,000 monthly deliveries of battery electric (BEV) and hybrid electric cars (PHEV) by the end of the year. BYD sold and delivered 174,915 hybrids and BEV in August. In August, BYD had 82,678 BEVs which was nearly triple the 30,382 units in the same month in 2021. Plug-in hybrid vehicles were ... Read more
Ukraine Needs to Take Kherson by end of October
If Ukraine can recapture Kherson city up to the Dnipro river then they will be able to shutoff water used for irrigation and for the population and Russian troops in Crimea. Ukraine was able to cut off the water to the North Crimean Canal from spring 2014 to the start of the 2022 Russian offensive. ... Read more
France Restarting All 32 Nuclear Reactors by Winter
32 out of 56 French Nuclear Reactors have been shut down for months because of either stress corrosion or routine maintenance. The stress corrosion problem was because of sloppy maintenance. The French government will step in and absorb some of the sky high cost of electricity. This will partially shield consumers from the excess cost ... Read more
Fourth Tesla Virtual Power Plant Events in 17 Days $TSLA
Today will be the fourth Tesla-PGE Virtual Power Plant (VPP) event in 17 days. VPP today. This will be for about 2 hours. A solar power blog reported that earlier Tesla-PFE were targeting or estimating 20-60 hours per year. The VPP only operates from May to October. 60 days at 10 hours every 20 days ... Read more
James Webb Space Telescope Direct Exoplanet Image
For the first time, astronomers have used NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope to take a direct image of a planet outside our solar system. The exoplanet is a gas giant, meaning it has no rocky surface and could not be habitable. The above NASA James Webb Space Telescope image shows the exoplanet HIP 65426 b ... Read more
NASA Scrubs Second Artemis Launch Attempt
NASA encountered a liquid hydrogen leak while loading the propellant into the core stage of the Space Launch System rocket. Multiple troubleshooting efforts to address the area of the leak by reseating a seal in the quick disconnect where liquid hydrogen is fed into the rocket did not fix the issue. Engineers are continuing to ... Read more
Unknown Cause of 1 Million Excess Deaths per Year
Many countries saw 18% excess deaths during the two years of the pandemic. There should have been a drop in excess deaths as we got COVID under control. More people who would have died this year from old age and natural causes died in the past 2 years from covid. Therefore, this year’s excess deaths ... Read more
Three Virtual Power Plant Day in 15 Days
This is the third PGE Virtual Power plant day in 15 days. I am in the VPP program in Northern California. This is the second day in a row with a VPP and the third since the first 15 days ago. Tesla set up the software to allow people with stationary storage power walls and ... Read more
SpaceX Will Fly Crew Dragon to Space Station Until 2030
NASA has awarded five additional missions to SpaceX for crew transportation services to the International Space Station as part of the agency’s Commercial Crew Transportation Capability (CCtCap) contract. The CCtCap modification brings the total missions for SpaceX to 14 and allows NASA to maintain an uninterrupted U.S. capability for human access to the space station ... Read more
Taking Rapamycin as a Young Adult Provides Antiaging Benefits
A research group at the Max Planck Institute for Biology of Aging in Cologne, Germany, has now shown in laboratory animals that brief exposure to rapamycin has the same positive effects as lifelong treatment opening new doors for a potential application in humans. Rapamycin, known for its positive effects on life and health span in ... Read more
Second Tesla VPP Event in Two Weeks $TSLA
I am part of the Tesla VPP program in Northern California. There are now about 2800 households that are part of the VPP. PGE is having its second VPP event in about two weeks. Those with Tesla Solar Power and Tesla Powerwalls who have opted into Tesla’s Virtual Power Plant program get $2 per kwh ... Read more
SpaceX is Aiming for 100 Flights in 2023
Elon says SpaceX is aiming for 100 Falcon 9 flights in 2023. Elon also shared a photo of the Mechazilla lifting the Super Heavy booster. If SpaceX finishes the year with another 15 launches then they will have total 187 Falcon 9 launches at the end of 2022. One hundred launches in 2023 would put ... Read more
Over 2900 SpaceX Starlink Satellites
Starlink 3-4, SpaceX now has more than 2900 working Starlink satellites in orbit, representing about 66% of the full 4408-satellite constellation. Astrophysicist Jonathan McDowell estimates that almost 2400 – more than half of the final constellation – have reached operational orbits and are serving customers back on Earth. SpaceX began operational Starlink launches less than ... Read more
Quantum Heat Pump Made From Particles of Light
Physicists from TU Delft, ETH Zürich and the University of Tübingen have built a quantum scale heat pump made from particles of light. This device brings scientists closer to the quantum limit of measuring radio frequency signals, useful in for example the hunt for dark matter. Above-An illustration of the device, which consists of two ... Read more
NASA Plans Saturday Artemis Launch Attempt
NASA will target Saturday, Sept. 3 at 2:17 p.m. EDT, the beginning of a two-hour window, for the launch of Artemis I, the first integrated test of NASA’s Orion spacecraft, Space Launch System (SLS) rocket, and the ground systems at the agency’s Kennedy Space Center in Florida. Mission managers met Tuesday to discuss data and ... Read more
Elon’s Real World AI is the Real World Technological Singularity
Ray Kurzweil predicted Technological Singularity nearly 20 years ago. Elon Musk could enable a world of economic abundance with real-world AI. Robotaxi and Teslabot will transform the world more than car and the first industrial revolution. The Technological Singularity is a predicted point when technological growth becomes radically faster. Real World AI would be general ... Read more
Terrestrial Energy and Alberta Commercializing SMR Reactor
Invest Alberta supports commercialization of Terrestrial Energy’s Integral Molten Salt Reactor with a focus on reducing emissions in the oil and gas, and petrochemical industries. Alberta, along with the provinces of Ontario, New Brunswick and Saskatchewan, is working to advance small modular reactor (SMR) technologies through an interprovincial memorandum of understanding it joined in April ... Read more
Korea Invests in Bill Gates TerraPower
Korea’s SK Group will invest USD250 million in TerraPower to develop small modular nuclear reactors. The round was co-led by SK Inc and SK Innovation and TerraPower’s founder Bill Gates. Additional funding will come from other investors. The US Department of Energy is giving TerraPower cost-shared funding through the Advanced Reactor Demonstration Program (ARDP) to ... Read more
Texas Applies to Build Molten Salt Nuclear by 2025
Abilene Christian University (ACU) has applied to the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) for a construction licence for a molten salt research reactor (MSRR), to be built on its campus in Abilene, Texas, as part of the Nuclear Energy eXperimental Testing (NEXT) laboratory. ​ACU plans for the MSRR to achieve criticality by December 2025. The ... Read more
NASA Scrubs Artemis Launch Because of Engine Bleed
NASA scrubbed the Monday Artemis launch because of fuel leaks. SLS has a stress crack. UPDATE:NASA says the problem was due to an “engine bleed” issue. One of the four main engines could not be properly chilled ahead of its ignition. If they do not have to send the SLS rocket back to the Vehicle ... Read more
The USA Did NOT Evacuate Iraq Embassy
The US is using had a helicopters on the Iraq embassy but did not evactuate. Hundreds of Al-Sadr protestors did storme the presidential palace in Baghdad. Reports indicate twelve people were killed in Iraq Green zone violence and protests. The US still has about 12 military bases in Iraq. War is Boring reports – Violence ... Read more
100 Trillion Parameter AI Training Models
Recommender AI systems are an important component of Internet services today: billion dollar revenue businesses like Amazon and Netflix are directly driven by recommendation services. AI recommenders get better as they get bigger. Several models have been previously released with billion parameters up to even trillion very recently. Every jump in the model capacity has ... Read more
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