NextBigFuture.com

Palo Alto, Calif., USA, 30th December 2024, CyberNewsWire

OpenAI o3 achieved an 88.5% score on the ARC-AGI benchmark using high computing equipment which is beyond most humans at 77% scores. OpenAI used up to $10,000 worth of compute for each AGI answer. At a rate of around $1.45 to $1.49 per hour, $10,000 would cover approximately 6,711 to 6,897 GPU hours in Nvidia ... Read more

China DeepSeek AI matches the performance of AI while using only 9% of the AI training compute. The continued improvement in AI while using resources more efficiently shows we will reach AGI at affordable costs for training and inference. AI will reach higher levels of intelligence and energy and computation will get more efficient. DeepSeek ... Read more

I, Brian Wang, shared my 2025 Tesla share price predictions and analysis with Herbert Ong. My bear case is $700 at the end of the year. The base case is $1000 and the bull case is $1500. The bear case is where there is just 500,000 more cars to 2.3 million and megapack energy ramps ... Read more

The scaling of the data centers and progress with AI will continue to surprise people and change the world. Tesla and xAI are at the center of the AI changes. IF the training compute scaling and the inference compute scaling continue to show massive benefits, then this will ensure AI models will have improved capabilities ... Read more

The most important things that happened in 2024 was the progress in AI, robotics and space capability. We are on the verge of AGI (Artificial general intelligence), robotaxi and fully reusable rockets. The most shocking images of the imminent future was the mechazilla catch of the SpaceX booster. As of 23 December 2024 the Starlink ... Read more

NANO Nuclear Space (NNS) will focus on optimizing ZEUS", a solid core battery reactor, and ODIN", a low-pressure coolant reactor, for applications such as power systems for extraterrestrial projects and human sustaining environments, and potentially propulsion technology for long haul space missions. NNS' initial focus will be on cis-lunar applications, referring to uses in the ... Read more

NANO Nuclear Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: NNE) developing small nuclear fission reactors that can be moved with trucks announced that it has executed a definitive agreement to acquire select nuclear energy technology assets from Ultra Safe Nuclear Corporation and certain of its subsidiaries (collectively, USNC"). The acquired assets include USNC's patented Micro Modular Reactor (MMR) system, ... Read more

xAI finished raising $6 billion in new funding and has begun receiving Nvidia GB200 chips. The chips are arriving about a month earlier than expected in a prior chart. I have adjusted by a month for xAI releases. I have also added the Google Gemini models. Google appears able to not have as much issue ... Read more

SpaceX continues to improve the design of the Starship heat shield and has added small tanks to help with the engine restart. The new designs were covered by Felix Schlang at What About It?

The lower box is one the earliest spacecraft ion thrusters (from EOS circa 1962), and on top is a new arrival, a modern marvel from the SpaceX Starlink satellites used for on orbit maneuvering. SpaceX has mastered Argon SpaceX has mastered Argon Hall Effect thrusters, something no one else has been able to do. This ... Read more

OpenAI O3 crushes benchmark tests and puzzles but is it intelligence ? There is some substantial costs of $5000 to $500,000 of compute to solve the hard problems. The AI compute costs will become vastly more efficient and lower cost. The problems have correct answers but there can be more issues around more compromises and ... Read more

The U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission's top recommendation to Congress is an AGI Manhattan project. It is recommended Congress establish and fund a Manhattan Project-like program dedicated to racing to and acquiring an Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) capability. AGI is generally defined as systems that are as good as or better than human capabilities ... Read more

xAI is completing a 200,000 GPU data center in Memphis. They completed 100,000 GPUs two months ago and were adding another 100,000 GPUs. 300 Megawatts of power is supplied by natural gas powered turbines. Water cooling needs about one million gallons per day. xAI and Tesla are planning to build a one million GPU data ... Read more

OpenAI O3 is scoring great on all of the coding and AGI tests. It is saturating many of the tests. OpenAI O3 seems to have solved a lot of advanced reasoning and math. OpenAI O3 needed to use about $1 million worth of compute to answer the AGI test questions. Dr Alan Thompson increased his ... Read more

OpenaI o3 sets new records in several key areas, particularly in reasoning, coding and mathematical problem-solving. It scores 75.7% on the semi-private eval in low-compute mode (for $20 per task in compute ) and 87.5% in high-compute mode (thousands of $ per task). It's very expensive. It is not just brute force. These capabilities are ... Read more

Google's Veo 2 and OpenAI's Sora are both leaders in AI video generation. Here are some screenshots from Google Veo 2 generated video. Google Veo 2 Has More Resolution and Video Quality Google Veo 2 is capable of generating videos in up to 4K resolution, which is a significant advantage over OpenAI's Sora, which is ... Read more

Google Gemini 2 AI model (just released) were trained with over 100,000 Trillium chips have been deployed in a single network fabric, enabling massive-scale AI operations. xAI has already trained Grok 3 with 100,000 Nvidia H100s but has not released it yet. xAI has added 100,000 chips and will train Grok 4 with 200,000 Nvidia ... Read more

AI capabilities made progress in 2024 but there was a temporary slowdown in massive compute scaling for AI training or test time compute. 2025 will see massive AI training scaling. Dr. Alan Thompson is a trusted thought leader in AI, frequently cited by institutions like Microsoft, RAND Corporation, and the University of Oxford. He publishes ... Read more

Google Gemini 2 is now the top ranked large language model. Gemini 2.0 Experimental Advanced: Complex Task Handling: This version shows significantly improved performance on complex tasks such as coding, math, reasoning, and following instructions, positioning it as Google's best AI model yet in terms of these capabilities. Benchmark Performance: In benchmarks like Chatbot Arena, ... Read more

TrendForce projects that Nvidia GB200 Rack mass production and peak shipments are unlikely to occur until between Q2 and Q3 of 2025. This is largely due to the higher design specifications of the GB200 rack, including its requirements for high-speed interconnect interfaces and thermal design power (TDP), which significantly exceed market norms. The NVIDIA GB ... Read more

Science Youtuber Sabine Hossenfelder and Neil deGrasse Tyson, Science communicator and astrophysicist claim there is no business case or economic reasons to go to Mars. They also claim there are technological reasons why it cannot happen. They claim Mars cannot be Terraformed for 100s of Years and this would be a show stopper. They claim ... Read more

Elon Musk received assurances from TSMC Chairman CC Wei that they would be able to supply the volume of chips needed for the Teslabot. If this this is accurate then it is to ensure AI5 chips in quantities for Teslabot that are beyond the 5-10 million chips needed for new cars in the 2026-2028 timeframe. ... Read more

Tesla continues its epic run. Tesla China released another good weekly of insurance registrations. This is mainly an indication that the fourth quarter volume production and delivery numbers on January 2, 2025 will be solid. The main driver to the end of the year is the need for institutions to get to equal weight or ... Read more

All indications are that the Tesla FSD (Full self driving) software stack is running on chinese cars to provide actually smart summon and dispatch. This feature needs the FSD software. Full activation of FSD in China will occur with regulatory approval. This approval seems very near. Tao Lin, Tesla's global vice president, said: All models ... Read more

Broadcom predicts serviceable market for AI XPU and networking could reach $60 billion to $90 billion by 2027 and company is a market leader. During Broadcom's Q4 2024 earnings call, CEO Hock Tan revealed that three major hyperscale clients are planning multi-generational AI XPU deployments, aiming for 1 million XPU clusters by 2027. Broadcom collaborates ... Read more

Five weeks ago, I, Brian Wang, said that Tesla would reach $450 within 90 days. It is now at $455. Five days ago, I said it was not too late to buy Tesla and it increased another 10%. I have a two new video with new analysis and price targets. Old Videos Showing Accurate Analysis ... Read more

Image generation for xAI is vastly improved. The objects are good . A cybercab looks like a Tesla cybercab. I can get it to modify by adjusting the prompt and it pretty much works. I said make Zuck and Elon look sweaty and tired and in a clinch in an MMA Octagon. Grok has a ... Read more

Elon Musk's net worth of $455 billion, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. This wealth is about $180 billion for SpaceX, $182 billion from Tesla, $60 billion for some form of option package, $30 billion Neuralink, xAI, X and Boring Company and $10 billion in other assets. Elon's SpaceX holding went down from 54% to ... Read more

The church of Notre Dame has been repaired after a fire in 2019. It has also been cleaned and restored. The art and murals inside had not been touched since 1850. The restoration has restored vibrant colors. Notre Dame re-opens this weekend after the April 2019 fire that almost destroyed the cathedral. In past 5 ... Read more

Five weeks ago, I, Brian Wang, said that Tesla would reach $450 within 90 days. It is now at $436. Five days ago, I said it was not too late to buy Tesla and it increased another 10%. I have a two new video with new analysis and price targets. Old Videos Showing Accurate Analysis ... Read more

Tesla and xAI have been to scale coherent GPU AI clusters beyond the 33,000 GPU limit by NOT synchronize all nodes simultaneously. Synchronizing all nodes becomes increasingly challenging at scale - the system implements a partition-based architecture with coordinated timing offsets. They communicate with an ethernet based network using a transport layer without software control ... Read more

I, Brian Wang, interviewed Andrei Petrenko, Head of Product at Quantum Circuits and Neil Wu Becker, Head of Marketing for Quantum Circuits. Quantum Circuits presented at Q2B 2024 Silicon Valley at the Santa Clara Convention Center. Q2B was hosted by QCWare. This is the second interview and article on Quantum Circuits by Brian Wang of ... Read more

Tesla China has officially announced the launch of Actually Smart Summon (ASS) in China. The announcement says Actual Smart Summon is available with Enhanced Autopilot and FSD (Full Self Driving). Full Self Driving has not been authorized in China...yet. However, FSD will be available in China very soon. NEWS: Tesla China has officially announced the ... Read more

Today, Tesla has the V4 Cabinet which solves fast 500kW for cars and 1.2MW for Semi. This is HUGE. It solves getting Tesla Semi charging out to thousands of locations quickly. This is needed so that 50,000 Semi per year will be able charge and enable nationwide electric trucking. Tesla Supercharging first opening in 2012 ... Read more

The next NASA administrator Jared Isaacman talks about using Space to make the United States more economically competitive. Hiss vision and priorities for the space agency: Space Economy and Exploration: Isaacman emphasized the potential for a thriving space economy, suggesting that space holds significant potential for breakthroughs in manufacturing, biotechnology, mining, and new energy sources. ... Read more

IBM is using the largest quantum computers with the largest supercomputers. They have already use these hybrid systems to advance science like larger accurate quantum simulations. They are building even larger quantum systems and larger supercomputers.

IBM is using supercomputers together with quantum computers to advanced the frontier of science. They have pushed the quantum computers to beyond the level of chemistry simulation that supercomputers could do alone.

Preskill's has made major contributions to quantum computing including the concept of Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum" (NISQ) technology. This term describes the current state of quantum computers, which, despite not being fully error-corrected or fault-tolerant, can perform tasks beyond the capabilities of classical machines. The NISQ concept has revolutionized the approach to quantum computing, opening new ... Read more

Nvidia has a broad effort to use Artificial Intelligence for Quantum Computing. AI can play a role in everything from designing qubits, preparing efficient quantum algorithms, controlling and calibrating the device, correcting errors in realtime, and interpreting the output from QC. Most importantly, each aspect of QC needs to scale, and AI might be the ... Read more

Los Angeles, USA, 11th December 2024, CyberNewsWire

Vienna, Austria, 11th December 2024, CyberNewsWire

Panel discussion: Yuval Boger, QuEra Computing (Chief Commercial Officer) Michael Newman, google Quantum AI (Research Scientist) Jeremy Stevens, Alice and Bob (Tech Dev Lead) Pshemek Bienias AWS research Scientist Jin-Sung Kim, Nvidia. Nvidia and Infleqtion have announced new breakthrough. Infleqtion, a world leader in neutral atom quantum computing, used the NVIDIA CUDA-Q platform to first ... Read more

Quantinuum, $5 B quantum computer company, announced its latest hardware milestone: the largest ever GHZ state created with logical qubits with a greater than 98% fidelity. Quantinuum is the world's largest integrated quantum company ($5B valuation), Quantinuum is leading the development of the most powerful quantum computers and the most advanced quantum software solutions. With ... Read more

Quantinuum, a quantum computing company, was valued at $5 billion after a $300 million equity funding round in January 2024. They are considering a $10 billion IPO. They have the only commercial quantum computer system in the quantum advantage domain.

Google quantum Willow system (105 qubits superconducting chip with 100 ms coherence times) is error mitigation and improved coherence times. They improved coherence times by 5X. There is random sampling improvement but the random sampling is not a useful problem. This shows that quantum computing can clearly beat classical systems for this not useful problem. ... Read more

The Air Force Research Lab has more funding than DARPA (the Defense Advance Research Programs.) AFRL thinks quantum sensing and timing are applying now. Better quantum clocks are here today. We are very close to useful quantum networking. They have made 5-10 kilometer length fiber quantum networks.

Oliver Dial, IBM Fellow, is giving the keynote for Q2B 2024. He describes what is needed for practical quantum computers. IBM achieved the minimum of more accurate answers than classical (regular computers). However, they are not yet to the scale needed for practically useful problems. How much scaling? Things start getting useful with about 100 ... Read more

I, Brian Wang, am attending the quantum technologies conference at the Q2B 2024 conference at the Santa Clara convention. There is a lot of emerging quantum technologies. These are sensors and other devices. There is a list of featured speakers. The Agenda is here. Funding for quantum technologies has grown into the billions.

Jeremy Barton is creating an institute to create basic molecular machines. A primary focus is to create basic motors. We need design tools, motors and more. He previously created an group that combined chemistry, physics, surface science to work on positional chemistry. $150 million was not enough. Here are patents related to mechanosynthesis and direct ... Read more