|
by Brian Wang on (#76B31)
The valuation conversion from SpaceX to Echostar is being suppressed with the $5 billion short position and the fears from missing the June 1, 2026 debt payment of $183 million. This missed payment triggered a 30 day grace period. A few days ago, I had said that SpaceX was going to over $200 per share. ... Read more
|
NextBigFuture.com
| Link | https://www.nextbigfuture.com/ |
| Feed | http://feeds.feedburner.com/blogspot/advancednano |
| Updated | 2026-10-23 22:00 |
by Brian Wang on (#76ASZ)
The Echostar spectrum continues to go fine adding about $130 million six times per day. SPCX becomes marginable on July 13th. Does that become a catalyst date for SATS as people unwind their short position (to short SPCX directly if they are trying to hedge their SPCX exposure)? SpaceX price updated from $160.95 $173.7 ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#76AT0)
There could be a deal between the USA and Iran. This would restore oil traffic over the next 30-60 days. The US has a southern route through Hormuz that has about 3-7 million barrels per day which is two to four large oil supertankers per day. US Energy Secretary Chris Wright said vessels under US ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#76AFB)
Elon Says $1 Trillion Revenue for SpaceX in 2030 , this is like I have been projecting. SpaceX can get to $200 billion each for high speed internet. 400 million customers up from 12 million today. Adding at 1 million per month and in 2-4 months reach 1.5 million per month. They will need to ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#76ACF)
SPACEXAI has five data center locations. Three sites for terrestrial data centers and the fourth is distributed AI with Tesla and the fifth is AI data centers in Space. Ground / Terrestrial: 3-5 GWThis is the bulk of the near-to-medium term capacity.Core Colossus Cluster (Memphis, TN + Southaven, MS) - ~2 GW near-term foundation Colossus ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#76A9J)
Gustavo Ripa channel (a legitimate Uruguayan musician/guitarist with older albums like Calma from ~2010 and ~12K subscribers) is currently (June 14 2026) being used to host live streams about Elon Musk's First Trillion-Dollar Interview: SpaceX IPO & SPCX Target Price." This guy has never had any live streams before and his first live stream is ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#769QT)
I have worked with Cern Basher to analyze Echostar. Full disclosure I own Echostar and SpaceX. Based upon this analysis, the value of SpaceX within Echostar works out to an implied price of $80-113 per share depending upon how the parts of Echostar are valued. Echostar has 266 million shares of SpaceX spread over 288 ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#769BW)
My, Brian Wang, analysis from weeks ago matches what Sequoia and Brad Gerstner, Altimeter Capital and Gavin Baker have said yesterday and today Sequoia capital Shaun Maguire says that, in his opinion, if you add the Anthropic and Google deals + Starlink growth, SpaceX could reach a ~$50B revenue run rate in Q4. BG2, Brad ... Read more
|
by Brian Wang on (#76932)
SpaceX is at $2.2 trillion in valuation after IPO at $135 ($1.75 trillion). Elon Musk has over $1.1 trillion in net worth.
|
|
by Brian Wang on (#76933)
Alongside the launch of our H100 1-Click Rental Index, we wrote up what the GPU rental market actually looks like in early 2026, and the headline is that the spot market for compute has gone from "finally cooling off" in October to a hard squeeze again, in roughly five months.... pic.twitter.com/XayxYXWcZ6 - SemiAnalysis (@SemiAnalysis_) June ... Read more
|
by Brian Wang on (#768NM)
SpaceX IPO is hours away. They will open up trading about about 11pm-noon EST. What else will be happening to SpaceX trading, unlock of share, index buying. What will matter more? The technology unlocks. SpaceX Starship working in as little as two months and delivering live V3 satellites. Sign up to talk to Brian Wang ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#768FF)
Why Analysts Are Getting SpaceX Wrong - Most analysts are feeling one part of the elephant understand space but not AI or understand neither - S1 (300-page F1) only covers through Q1 last year, predates the AI revenue pivot - Many still exclude the new AI contract revenue from 2026 projections - JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#7688G)
What must you know before the SpaceX IPO? What many supposed analysts do not understand? They do not understand the AI business. What businesses is SpaceX in and where are they leading? How valuable are those things and how quickly can they make more money? How much money is and can SpaceX make renting out ... Read more
|
by cybernewswire on (#7685B)
Torrance, United States / California, 11th June 2026, CyberNewswire
|
by Brian Wang on (#767S2)
SpaceX was going to launch about 5,000 to 8,000 Version 3 communications satellites in 2027 and then another 20,000 Version 3 communication satellites in 2028. This was the old plan until it was confirmed that AI data centers in space would work and would be easier to build. They are raising $75 billion or may ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#767RD)
Forbes ranks Elon Musk as the first trillionaire ever. He is over triple the net worth of Larry Page who is second place. It is rare for whoever is richest to triple second place. IF SpaceX runs during the IPO on Friday and after then Elon will race to $1.5 trillion or even $2 trillion ... Read more
by cybernewswire on (#767AB)
Washington D.C., USA, 10th June 2026, CyberNewswire
by Brian Wang on (#766VK)
Anthropoic released Claude Fable 5 - A Mythos Class Model. It is a step up in many ways. It seens to be stepping up innovative science improvement. It still feels like very solid incremental improvements but not breaking away yet. But feeling like we are getting closer. It is expensive to run it. Introducing Claude ... Read more
by TechnologyWire on (#766J7)
New York, United States, 9th June 2026, TechnologyWire
by Brian Wang on (#7662E)
Elon and SpaceX are targeting 1000 starship launches in 2028 and 3000 in 2029 and 8000 in 2030. Elon talked about rough general goals for AI data center in space 1 GW next year, 10 GW in 2028, 100 GW in 2029 the plan and rough goals they are working towards. This is aggressive because ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#7660H)
SpaceX and XAI have what all of the hyperscalers and AI giants need. They have ai data centers that have been built with the energy, chips and memory that others are bidding up to get so they can have data centers in 2-4 years. Paying SpaceX lets them make money now. SpaceX also is able ... Read more
|
by Brian Wang on (#76558)
SpaceX has more annualized cloud revenue than Google and is will run ahead of Amazon AI for AI cloud revenue. SpaceXAI has 20% of all active and completed AI data centers in the past two years. The lead in AI Cloud revenue is a $26 billion runrate from the Anthropic and Google deals. This is ... Read more
|
by Brian Wang on (#762S1)
CEO Blue Origin Dave Limp gives LC-36 updates. Now that they've had access to the pad and integration facility they can share a bit of good news. The propellant farm, oxygen, liquid hydrogen and LNG tanks are all in good shape. This is good luck because these are very long lead items. The water tower ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#7624D)
Morningstar ignores SpaceX largest current business and vastly underestimates all of its future businesses. They come up with a valuation only half of the IPO and even achieving AI data centers in space is not worth the full IPO valuation. They value an AI data center in space scenario as only worth $1.3 trillion. The ... Read more
by cybernewswire on (#761J2)
Miami Beach, FL, USA, 2nd June 2026, CyberNewswire
by cybernewswire on (#760XM)
Rome, Italy, 1st June 2026, CyberNewswire
by Brian Wang on (#760FS)
The Trump administration has most pegged the near term price tag for Golden Dome's objective architecture at approximately $185 billion. 60% of this will be in space for about 1200 satellites and then scaling to 7500 interceptors and then replacements every five years. Last year, President Trump put forward a $175 billion figure, which he ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#75ZPW)
The AI-Driven Valuation Explosion will go beyond Nvidia $5 Trillion. In May 2026, we have multiple companies valued at $3-6 trillion. We will have $10 trillion companies by the end of 2026 and $50 trillion companies by 2028. NVIDIA (~$5.2T), Alphabet (~$4.6T), Apple (~$4.5T), and Microsoft (~$3.3T), with Amazon close behind at ~$2.9T. This is ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#75Z6A)
Theo is an AI practitioner. He and his team use the AI to code for their own startup. He personally uses over $500/month of API compute and members of his team use $2000/month. He indicates the shift for Anthropic was Claude 4.5 becoming really useful. The pricing then shifted and they bumped everyone up by ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#75YH8)
How much of a gamechanger is the Anthropic deal with SpaceX? What is the income statement impact ? What is likely to happen for the SpaceX IPO pricing and trading on the day and for the rest of the year. As a disclaimer and disclosure, Brian is an investor with stakes in Tesla, SpaceX, and ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#75YDE)
Anthropic is likely at 75-90% profit margin most of the time on user subscriptions. Most users are likely in the 10-50% usage levels and some don't use it all just like stored balance credit cards. This means that AI data center operators at 60-80% profit margin or chip and memory makers in the same range ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#75YDF)
Anthropic has introduced Claude Opus 4.8. It builds on Opus 4.7 with improvements across benchmarks, and is a more effective collaborator. It's available today for the same price. Opus 4.8 launches alongside several new features. Users on claude.ai now have control over the amount of effort Claude puts into a task. Claude Code has a ... Read more
by cybernewswire on (#75YDG)
New York, USA, 28th May 2026, CyberNewswire
by Brian Wang on (#75XXF)
Elon is saying SpaceX built its own super-optimized AI training software from scratch in the C programming language. It is 10 times faster than Google JAX framework. It's designed to run on a massive cluster of 220,000 cutting-edge NVIDIA GB300 GPUs connected by ultra-fast 800G networks. They use pipeline parallelism and get as close to ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#75XKP)
Anthropic added ~$11B ARR in one month which is more than the combined 10-year build of Palantir, Snowflake, and Databricks (which employed tens of thousands collectively). No precedent in capitalism history. SaaS/cloud created $5-10T value over decades, yet one model company matched the output of the top three recent SaaS giants instantly. Growth rates (500%+ ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#75XHM)
Elon Musk and SpaceX Have the High Ground. How much will that matter? SpaceX already has almost all of the satellites and launches. He will is making the satellites and the rockets ten to 100 times better in the year or two. Are the bears right when they say that SpaceX will only be a ... Read more
by cybernewswire on (#75X9P)
Frankfurt am Main, Germany, 27th May 2026, CyberNewswire
|
by Brian Wang on (#75WY6)
I have an article about replatforming and how business can become radically bigger, faster and more profitable with new technologies and processes. But here we focus on actual transformation and step changes to the world and industries. The Industrial revolution had 10-20X the annual GDP growth rate of the Agrarian or pre-industrial ages. The stone ... Read more
|
by Brian Wang on (#75WMD)
In order to understand the addressable market case for many of the AI and space markets you must understand replatforming. Replatforming is when a fundamentally better technology platform displaces or layers on top of the old infrastructure and business models. It wins because it offers lower costs, vastly better scalability, broader accessibility, and new capabilities ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#75W4G)
SpaceX will be able to more than double its revenue every year from 2026-2028 and beyond. Most of the revenue and profits will come from AI. AI infrastructure at the data centers they build 4 times faster than competitors and at thousands of Tesla energy locations and then in space. This will enable more revenue ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#75VEX)
XAI AI data center economics are even better when you can start a project and finish it in 12 months and get it rented and paid off while competitors are still building. An active AI Gigawatt of data center in the hand is worth $20 billion per year while an under construction Gigawatt data center ... Read more
by Brian Wang on (#75V31)
XAI Colossus 1 and part of 2 is leasing to Anthropic for $15 billion per year. This will mean SpaceXAI will be able to have more deals to build faster with huge profits. They can be renting of the new capacity to scale the earth based data centers to 100B+/year high-margin rental business by ... Read more
|
by Brian Wang on (#75TNA)
2034 Earth-Venus-Mars opportunity looks promising. 10-15 on-orbit refueling operations may be needed to make a crewed ship full. (A version 4 Starship could refuel with five tanker launches. Most refueling can be done at an altitude of 180-200 km, made possible by Starship's size. The final refueling may be performed at a higher altitude of ... Read more
|
|
by Brian Wang on (#75TJX)
Freda Duan estimates XAI Colossus 1 has ~$6B annual rent. Colossus 2 is leasing roughly one-third of its total compute capacity to $Anthropic. I am extending the analysis to renting out one third to one half of the new construction. This does not included distributed compute from Tesla cars, Tesla bots, new servers with Tesla ... Read more
|
|
by Brian Wang on (#75TJY)
The twelfth flight test of Starship is preparing to launch Friday, May 22. The 90-minute launch window will open at 5:30 p.m. CT. Yesterdays, attempt was cancelled because the launch tower had a pin that did not retract. A live webcast of the flight test will begin about 45 minutes before liftoff, which you can ... Read more
|
by cybernewswire on (#75QN6)
Torrance, United States / California, 19th May 2026, CyberNewswire
by cybernewswire on (#75QN7)
New York, United States, 19th May 2026, CyberNewswire
by Brian Wang on (#75NC6)
CATL will invest 5 billion yuan ($735 million) to significantly expand its sodium battery capacity by an added 40 GWh per year. According to a public document released on Thursday by environmental authorities in Ningde, Fujian province - CATL's headquarters city - the expansion project will add 40 GWh of annual production capacity for sodium-ion ... Read more
|
by Brian Wang on (#75KSE)
AI giant wafer chipmaker Cerebgas is raising its IPO price $185 per share instead of earlier $150-$160 price range. The order book was oversubscribed 20+ times. Bloomberg reports they are offering 30 million shares and will raise ~$5.55 billion. The order book is over 20x+ oversubscribed. Cerebras will try to challenge NVIDIA. Amazon plans to ... Read more
|
|
by Brian Wang on (#75KPZ)
Sonny White (Harold G. Sonny" White) has solid credentials as a NASA veteran but is viewed as a highly speculative researcher in the broader scientific community. His work on advanced propulsion (especially warp drive concepts) generates excitement in enthusiast and media circles. For people who freak out about me platforming Sonny White, they should know ... Read more
|