Can a company outgrow Earth's economy? The claim is not crazy on long timescales. Saudi Aramco already approximates a whole nation's economy, tech megacaps now dwarf the entire stock market of 15 years ago, and history shows step-changes in growth (0.3% agrarian 2-3% industrial). North America's economy became larger than the economy of Europe. ... Read more
Shor's algorithm for factoring RSA-2048 (and related problems like elliptic-curve discrete logs) has seen dramatic reductions in estimated resources over the past 18 months. Theoretically breaking RSA-2048 would still require multi-day runtimes and billions of non-Clifford logical operations (primarily Toffoli gates) under realistic error rates (~0.1%) and cycle times. This remains far beyond near-term machines. ... Read more
Reports indicate Tesla suppliers were issued specific Optimus Gen 3 parts procurement guidelines, requiring them to increase production capacity to 1,000 units per week by September of this year and increase to 2,000 to 2,500 units per week by end of year. They are stating Elon reviewed and approved the latest version of Optimus during ... Read more
SpaceX have filed for a 100,000 satellite Gen3 NGSO system. The satellites will be 2000-2500 kg, area 300 to 400 sq m. Orbits 320-480 km at various inclinations. The FCC application says the Gen3 constellation will deliver extremely low-latency, multi-gigabit symmetrical throughput. And the sheer number of satellites will ensure multiple satellites are always visible ... Read more
Financial Firm Raymond James Analyst Brian Gesuale gave a SpaceX price target of $800. He told investors that industrialized access to orbit and AI are driving the most significant infrastructure convergence since the advent of the Internet with SpaceX building the foundational platform for the next generation of industrial capacity across transportation, communications, compute, manufacturing ... Read more
AI developers and architects are indicating that Grok 4.5 is the best value for workflow execution and code generation. The basic coding tasks are about 60% of AI spend. There is significant traction being shown on Openrouter but it will some days to a few weeks to see the adoption of Grok 4.5 for those ... Read more
Yipit estimates that Anthropic's ARR has increased to $69 billion. It also noted that the pace of month-over-month ARR growth accelerated compared with May, with the average daily increase rising from approximately $400 million to $550 million. Yipit estimates that Anthropic's ARR has increased to $69 billion. It also noted that the pace of month-over-month ... Read more
Ix Tech Neo has a breakthrough 25 Degree of Freedom (DOF), tendon-driven hands for the NEO humanoid platform- achieving near human-level dexterity, strength, safety, and reliability. They will mass produce them. These hands are designed to do something fundamental: remove the hardware ceiling on what humanoid robots can actually do, and make data the only ... Read more
SpaceX can own both the world's largest satellite constellation and they could buy a ready-made network of 24,000 cell towers covering 80% of the American population. That combination would create something no mobile carrier has ever has which is high-speed 5G in cities plus continuous 5G coverage everywhere else from space. This is not science ... Read more
Theo spent six figures in tokens testing OpenAI's 5.6 Sol model to see whether if its better than Fable and what OpenAI have done to make it even better than 5.5. They breakdown why they both moved their agents to Linux boxes, how to actually burn $65k on a single loop, and the Codex vs ... Read more
Bottom Line from Theo, he calls Grok 4.5 an outstanding value default coding model - fast, cheap, capable on real engineering work, and a huge step up for xAI. It's not quite dethroning the absolute latest orchestration kings," but for most practical coding/agent use cases it punches way above its price. He's excited about xAI's ... Read more
Theo's Take Theo tested Grok 4.5 extensively the day before launch and called it pretty damn good and REALLY well priced." He said it's good enough that he has to make a video on it. He also noted the crowded frontier (GLM-5.2 is close to Opus, Grok 4.5 allegedly beats Opus and GPT-5.5... Feels like ... Read more
Wes Roth opens the video by announcing that Grok 4.5 has officially gone live to the public after strong internal beta testing at SpaceX and Tesla. He explains that the model is positioned as an Opus-class system but stands out for being significantly faster, more token-efficient, and cheaper to run. The introduction highlights how Grok ... Read more
Actual usage of SpaceXAI Grok 4.5. First person reports that there are programmers successfully replacing Opus and Sonnet in all of his systems today with Grok 4.5. Grok 4.5 worked great. Spending can drop 50-80%. $200-500 instead of $1000. Grok 4.5 is faster than Opus 4.8. Maybe 2 to 3 times faster. OpenAI GPT 5.6 ... Read more
SpaceXAI Grok 4.5 is built for real-world engineering. It excels in large codebases and handles long-running tasks that span multiple repositories, hundreds of skills, and a variety of tools. Grok 4.5 is efficient and fast. It uses half as many tokens per task, delivers higher tokens per second, and costs less than half as much ... Read more
Morgan Stanley has an interesting 142 page report on SpaceX that has several material inconsistencies between its high-level assumptions about orbital compute scale, mass/payload, capex, and monetization and the known technical specifications for Starship launches, satellite power density, and real-world AI compute deals. However, we can set aside agreeing about the AI data centers in ... Read more
SpaceXAI will make Grok 4.5 available to the public today. Elon says it is an Opus-class model, but faster, more token-efficient and lower cost. Based on strong positive feedback from customers in our beta test program, @SpaceXAI will make Grok 4.5 available to the public tomorrow. It is an Opus-class model, but faster, more token-efficient ... Read more
BREAKING: The Pentagon has awarded SpaceX two of its biggest satellite contracts worth ~$6.5B $4.16B for AMTI satellite constellation $2.29B for Space Data Network Builds military surveillance + space-based communications For next-gen missile defense, per SpaceNews pic.twitter.com/c9GhFegiWg - DogeDesigner (@cb_doge) July 7, 2026 BREAKING: SpaceXAI plans to launch a new model with Cursor as ... Read more
SpaceX has officially requested FCC approval to launch and operate a third-generation satellite constellation of 100,000 satellites, designed to power human connectivity and AI-fueled progress. SpaceX communication satellites will scale to a 100x increase in bandwidth. It will 50x cheaper $/Gbps when launched using starship. The buildout was accelerated by up to 2 years by ... Read more
SpaceX will be able to shape its valuation with key execution on building out and monetizing AI data centers and executing on Starship and V3 satellite deployment.
Tesla had its best-ever Q2 vehicle deliveries and there will be strong FSD sales. FSD V14-lite is rolling out to Hardware 3 vehicles and there will be more FSD sales in China and Europe. This is expected to significantly boost subscription revenue and improve used car resale values. The +34% QoQ delivery has fixedcost absorption ... Read more
Everyone knows SpaceX is making launching to space 100 to 1000 times lower cost with Starship. The volume will also go up by thousands of times. How can people and things get back at high volumes and low cost? SpaceX is solving that as well. SpaceX is making the return from space or from Starships ... Read more
AI data centers and compute represent a much bigger and faster-growing opportunity for Tesla than robotaxis. AI can generate $50-100 billion in annual revenue per gigawatt of power - dramatically outpacing typical robotaxi economics. Massive Untapped Grid Capacity The U.S. grid can unlock tens to ~100 GW of new AI data center load without building ... Read more
China cut oil imports hard - and why it is not and may never rush back. China cut crude imports from 11.7 million b/d in February to just under 9 million by late May, and by May imports hit 7.8 million b/d - the lowest since 2018 - with state refinery run rates at 66.3%, ... Read more
Kilpatrick of Google Deepmoind is claiming what we historically thought of as the model" is no longer just weights - it's a sprawling system of tool calling, hosted search, code execution, containers, and an agent harness. The harness is the quintessential current example of scaffolding that the model will eat" - within roughly 12 months, ... Read more
What if the AI revolution didn't just make a handful of companies insanely rich - but actually lifted up young workers, families, and small businesses across America? We need a pro-growth, pro-family, pro-entrepreneur tax plan that puts broad AI participation at the center of a sustainable economic boom. The 5 Pillars of the Plan Keep ... Read more
A pro-growth, pro-family, pro-entrepreneur tax plan that keeps the AI economy broadly owned - and therefore politically and socially sustainable. This is a Nextbigfuture, Brian Wang proposal for broadening AI participation. The strategic bet, you don't beat the appeal of confiscatory, anti-market politics by arguing against it. You beat it by giving the people most ... Read more
BYD regained the global lead in battery electric vehicle (BEV) sales in Q2 2026 (April-June) by selling 557,090 passenger BEVs compared to Tesla's 480,126 deliveries. BYD's Q2 performance was a solid sequential rebound (strong QoQ growth) after a weak start to 2026, but still slightly down YoY overall. The main forcus is overseas sales to ... Read more
This is what most Tesla shareholders are still missing. Tesla/SpaceX/xAI have a massive advantage in power (natural gas turbines + solar + batteries + Virtual Power Plants). They're turning AI data centers into modular Megapods" - factory-built Lego blocks that can be deployed extremely fast. xAI's Colossus is already scaling aggressively with behind-the-meter power. Tesla ... Read more
A new study by the European Southern Observatory warns that plans to launch more than 1.7 million satellites into orbit could have devastating consequences for astronomy," making the night sky brighter and reducing scientists' ability to observe the galaxy and the universe beyond. Ground Telescope astronomers on Earth can forget about issues looking through millions ... Read more
Sean from Sequoia introduces Dylan Patel and praises SemiAnalysis as the leading independent research firm in semiconductors, covering technical details, supply chains, and the big picture after semis had lost sex appeal in the West. He notes rumors of the firm recently passing $100 million in revenue and possible plans for a venture fund, while ... Read more
Tesla will have over 500,000 cars per quarter for Q3, Q4 2026 and every quarter there after. This is more than the predictions from analysts. I am predicting over 1.1 million vehicles delivered in Q3 and Q4, which is 200,000 over the analysts for the next two quarters and over 2.1 million cars for 2027 ... Read more
Tesla had a generational beat on Q2 deliveires with almost 20% over consensus with 74000 over 406,000. It shows that the analysts were only lucky last few times, where Tesla was low on production. Now an actual good quarter. China 240-260K, europe 90K, US 150K. Tesla can come in at 481K.
Duke Rethinking Load Growth" reports that having a flexible energy demand during 3 peak hours unlocks 20% more overall power. Curtailing just ~0.5-1% of annual energy could unlock on the order of 76-100 GW of new load on today's US grid. This is how Tesla, SpaceX and XAI can use virtual power plants, batteries to ... Read more
Anthropic AI Revenue I, Brian, describe the explosive revenue and usage growth of frontier AI companies. Anthropic's revenue reportedly jumped dramatically (from ~$1B to $10B ARR, then to a $50B annual run-rate) thanks to new models like Opus 4.5 and now Fable. Demand is massively outstripping supply (reportedly 5x more demand than available compute), which ... Read more
The IR-compiled delivery consensus is 406,024. This should get beaten by 60,000-80,000 cars. Tesla vehicle shipments - Part 2 Kalshi also moving much higher. My number is 490k plus for shipments, with an absolute minimum of 475k. Kalshi (directional "Above X" markets) Above 460k: ~65% (up sharply, e.g., +24 points in recent data).kalshi.com Above 470k: ... Read more
Tesla Cybercab production lines are already running. Actual manufacturing and scaling are underway (not just prototypes). There will be a significant announcement that is related to GigaTexas scaling on July 7th. One week from today. Tesla is super confident about dominating operational cost dominance with Cybercab. Tesla will crush others with the lowest cost per ... Read more
The six charts are daily load curves (duck-curve style) with a red horizontal line likely representing average/baseload demand or a target firm threshold. In the video, Tesla experts explain how batteries and the VPP can shape energy demand. The shaded area is the net load (demand minus variable generation). Dips at 4 AM and peaks ... Read more
AI is all about building Gigawatts on Earth or in Space faster and powering millions of AI chips with them to deliver more AI tokens and more powerful AI. Tesla and SpaceX are not just consumers of power - they are becoming active shapers of the grid through hardware scale, software intelligence (Autobidder), aggregation (VPP), ... Read more