NextBigFuture.com

SpaceX and Elon Musk will need to get to about $200 billion per year in profits to sustain spending $40-50 billion per year for the major Mars colonization goals. SpaceX and Elon need to make $5-8+ trillion to spend $1-2 Trillion for the Mars City Program. NASA and others cannot be counted on for more ... Read more

Canada is about ten weeks from passing 42 million. Nextbigfuture predicted that Canada would pass 42 million in February 12, 2024 when Canada was within 3 weeks of passing 41 million. The US has about 337 million people. On June 16, 2023, Statistics Canada announced that Canada's population had reached 40 million people. In 17 ... Read more

Regulators such as the FDA do not consider aging to be a disease, and they only approve treatments for specific diseases, largely using the World Health Organization's International Classification of Diseases as the basis for what is and is not a disease. The TAME (Targeting Aging with Metformin) trial came into being as a way ... Read more

Cary, North Carolina, 10th September 2024, CyberNewsWire

Singapore, SG, 10th September 2024, CyberNewsWire

Facebook has ~10x the proprietary language data on database as was used to train the LLaMa models. In images Facebook have 20x more than that. Instagram and Youtube have 2x more that in uploaded video. Tesla's data capture-ability dwarfs all (at 20x more again) than Youtube. Size matters Facebook has ~10x the proprietary language data ... Read more

Nearly an hour into the All in Summit talk, Elon Musk discussed the Teslabot. Elon says that three major iterations into Teslabot will see the Teslabot majorly perfected. This should be in 4 to 6 years. The bots will be $10,000 to $20,000 cost. Humans are humanoid meatbots. There should be at least a three ... Read more

Elon says Dojo 2 (AI training chip and systems) out late in 2025 in high volume and it will be competitive with the Nvidia B200. Elon says we will need to see Tesla Dojo 3 (in late 2026) to see if Dojo will be really good and an ongoing success. Elon Musk LIVE at ... Read more

Elon Musk said the government is the DMV (Department of Motor Vehicles) at scale. Elon talks about the Mars goals. Elon says Starship will be able to launch repeatedly at scale. The key development for multi-planetary humanity is for a reliably, rapidly, reusable rocket. Elon Musk LIVE at the All-In Summit https://t.co/i5A70kvWElhttps://t.co/i5A70kvWEl - Tesla ... Read more

SpaceX financial strength and success is as critical as a working Super Heavy Starship. There is a lot of valid and competent talk about the technical milestones on the critical path to meeting Musk goals for Mars. SpaceX will need to get to about $200 billion per year in profits to sustain spending $40-50 billion ... Read more

James Earl Jones was the voice of Darth Vader and also acted in Field of Dreams, Red October and other Jack Ryan Movies. He was also the villain Thulsa Doom in Conan, opposite Arnold Schwarzenegger. His was the deep voice of Star Wars villain Darth Vader and Mufasa, the benevolent leader in The Lion King. ... Read more

Billionaire Venture Investors BG2 (Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley) have dug deep into nuclear fission energy. They had their most recent podcast at Diablo Canyon. The California Diablo Canyon facility has two nuclear plants with a total 2.5 Gigawatts of clean baseload power. The California Diablo Canyon facility was designed for six nuclear plants. If ... Read more

There have been many technological improvements and upgrades made to the Crew Dragon Resilience to be used for the Polaris Dawn first commercial EVA. They have been big improvements for the EVA suits. These efforts will also be useful for eventual manned missions to the Moon and Mars. A key improvement is developing EVA suits ... Read more

This is a link to the SpaceX website where they will broadcast live feeds from the Polaris Dawn mission. Weather is currently 40% favorable for liftoff, and conditions at the possible splashdown sites for Dragon's return to Earth remain a watch item. Tuesday launch is the earliest Targeting no earlier than Tuesday, September 10 for ... Read more

Neil Degrasse Tyson has a poor grasp of business and finance. He also made statements that he knew were not accurate. He knows there was refurbishment and there is reusable. He is also just wrong when he says that SpaceX only has made engineering advances on what was unrealistic in terms of cost. This clip ... Read more

The NASA New Glenn Escapade Mars launch, previously scheduled for Oct. 13, 2024, will now take place in spring of 2025 at the earliest. The NASA escapade spacecraft are small, so they can be launched outside of the optimal Earth-Mars window with a more powerful rocket. Blue Origin's huge New Glenn rocket won't debut next ... Read more

Elon Musk says that uncrewed Starships will be launched to Mars in the Earth-Mars transfer window. The transfer window is about November through December 2026. A mission launched in November would arrive July 2027. SpaceX will likely launch about 4-8 missions in 2026. If they were separated by 1-2 weeks, then any problems the first ... Read more

The problematic Boeing Starliner should be leaving the Space Station in about 24 minutes. UPDATE: It left the station and landed safely. It will try to return to Earth in about 6 hours and Starliner will contain no astronauts. They had thruster problems and helium leaks. They had to fix the software over a month ... Read more

Tesla uses robotaxi sensors at training time but then the AI is trained and they remove the training wheels for vision only deployment. Karpathy believes Tesla is ahead of Waymo. Waymo has a hardware problem while Tesla has a software problem. I believe Waymo also has business model and scaling problems.

Anthropic CEO talks about AI scaling laws which is a discussion about how good AI gets with more compute training. Dario Amodei, CEO and Co-founder of Anthropic. Dario talks about the economics of AI development, the comparative advantage of AI companies like Anthropic, AI safety, and his stance on California's SB 1047 bill. They also ... Read more

Tesla AI team released the FSD roadmap. Each FSD sale is the profit of a car. some of my FSD catalysts from a few months ago were late. 12.5 happened late in July. One month late on this roadmap is ok. But the team is driving and testing FSD V13 for over a month. They ... Read more

Boston, MA, 5th September 2024, CyberNewsWire

Nextbigfuture at substack has all of the big AI news for the week. There was big news this week in AI, AI startups, AI research and AI funding. 1. OpenAI's Japan CEO reveals GPT-Next will be released this year, and its effective computational load is 100x greater than GPT-4 2. Two $125 Billion AI Training ... Read more

10 weeks ago X-Chief Scientist of OpenAI, Ilya Sutskever said Superintelligence is within reach and created a new startup, Safe Superintelligence Inc. Ilya announced that Safe Superintelligence has raised $1 billion at a $5 billion valuation. NFDG, a16z, Sequoia, DST Global, and SV Angel are the main funders. Building safe superintelligence (SSI) is the most ... Read more

Destinus is a startup developing hydrogen powered hypersonic drones and planes. They are headquartered in Switzerland. Destinus has received $58+M funding from private and public sources. In 2026, they plan to test the supersonic hydrogen prototype, and by 2030, to build a hypersonic airplane. The design of Destinus E is set to make its first ... Read more

Exosonic is startup developing supersonic UAVs to support the aerial target, collaborative combat aircraft, and adversary air training missions for both government and commercial customers. Exosonic designed, manufactured, and brought the EX-3M to flight test in only nine months. They useed rapid iteration of the aircraft design, diversifying the supply chain, and maintaining the assembly ... Read more

Torrance, United States / California, 4th September 2024, CyberNewsWire

Silver Spring, USA / Maryland, 4th September 2024, CyberNewsWire

Cary, North Carolina, 4th September 2024, CyberNewsWire

There is a AI Infrastructure Summit in San Francisco, Union Square on September 27, 2024. It will bring together AI Developers, Tech Luminaries, AI Enterprises, AI Builders and Industry giants. This is convergence of the ecosystem at the AI INFRA SUMMIT. It is headlined by industry giants AMD and Supermicro, this groundbreaking summit unites pioneers ... Read more

Singapore, Singapore, 4th September 2024, CyberNewsWire

Eric Weinstein is a mathematician, economist, former Managing Director of Thiel Capital and a podcaster. Eric give his thoughts on the 2024 presidential election, whether we are being gaslit on a global scale by the media. Eric has many interesting ideas but this means people will not agree with all or possibly most of the ... Read more

xkcd's What If? Asks could you survive teleporting to the sun for a nanosecond. As always the video provides an entertaining answer based upon physics and calculation.

This weekend, the xAI team brought the Colossus 100k H100 training cluster online. From start to finish, it was done in 122 days. Colossus is the most powerful AI training system in the world. Moreover, it will double in size to 200k (50k H200s) in a few months. This weekend, the @xAI team brought our ... Read more

NASA and Boeing strongly disagreed about the safety of the Boeing Starliner. Boeing was convinced that the Starliner was in good enough condition to bring the astronauts home, and NASA strongly disagreed. NASA thought that Boeing was being wildly irresponsible. NASA decided to overrule Boeing and have Elon Musk's Space X Crew Dragon bring the ... Read more

Venus Aerospace, making hypersonic flight a reality for commercial and defense purposes, has achieved the first long-duration engine test of their Rotating Detonation Rocket Engine (RDRE) in partnership with DARPA (Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency). They have a detonation ramjet engine and a rotating detonation rocket engine. Venus Aerospace has raised over $48 million in ... Read more

Tesla will be showing the robotaxi on October 10, 2024 at the 110 acre Warner Brothers Studio (62 acres main studio and another 28 acres of backlot). This is about 17% of a square mile. Tesla is gathering extra information in the Warner Brothers Studio area. This is about 40 blocks. **If you are looking ... Read more

Nanqiang No. 1 is a small (500 kilogram) ground testing model for a Chinese hypersonic plane program. They have completed over two years of testing. In 2025, China will flight test a small drone. In 2025, construction of a 72 ton hypersonic plane will begin. They are targeting 2028 for flight tests of a hypersonic ... Read more

Tesla has always used lidar to calibrate autopilot and FSD. This is one valid use-case for lidar. Hinrichs Zanegler has published videos of the Tesla Semi starting robotrucking tests. The prototype production is scaling up as Zanegler shows pictures of 23 Tesla Semis parked together. Tesla is scaling up to a few hundred serial production ... Read more

A classified contract that involves a highly complex design and systems integration project fell $45 million deeper into losses at Lockheed. Based on Lockheed's quarterly filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, that places the total Lockheed losses associated with this single shadow program up to some $335 million since 2022. Between February 2018, ... Read more

Startup Hermeus is developing hypersonic propulsion system for their Quarterhorse and Darkhorse vehicles. This could be achieving mach 5 speeds in 2026 to 2027. Quarterhorse Development Timeline: Mk 1: The first flyable version of Quarterhorse, Mk 1, is set for flight tests later in 2024. These tests will focus on high-speed takeoffs and landings Mk ... Read more

We need to make bigger solar sails from materials that can take high temperatures. Taking high temperatures means the solar sails could fly closer to the sun. If we got four times closer to the sun than Mercury (9 million miles or so )then we could go 20AU per year which is about 3 times ... Read more

NASA plans to build larger solar sails that can generate more thrust. A new unique composite carbon fiber booms, the ACS3 system has the potential to support sails as large as 2,000 square meters, or about 21,500 square feet, or about half the area of a soccer field. The ACS3 system has been in low ... Read more

Cary, North Carolina, 30th August 2024, CyberNewsWire

There has been several updates on the numbers of Tesla Dojo systems that have been built. The main technical details are compared between the Tesla Dojo version 1 and the Nvidia H100 and chips from a startup Etched. These are some of the main AI chips that are competing for the future multi-trillion AI training ... Read more

Researchers at ETH Zurich have teamed up with the food industry to produce a whole-fruit variety of chocolate. * ETH researchers have developed a type of chocolate that is more sustainable and nutritious than conventional varieties. * Cocoa-fruit chocolate uses cocoa fruit jelly as a replacement for powdered sugar, reducing the sugar content and increasing ... Read more

Every business owner wants their business to succeed, but unfortunately, not all of them will. There are both objective and subjective factors that can influence the survivability of your company, and it pays to study both successful and unsuccessful examples of businesses so that you can put yours in a better position to succeed. Adaptable ... Read more

BYD's significant cash burn for the second consecutive quarter is a major concern. BYD will likely slash production in 3Q to release inventory capital, alleviating cash burn. BYD has about $15 billion in inventory (66 days). This is about tracking to 3 million sales for the year. 550k cars in inventory. BYD's growth will significantly ... Read more

Nvidia has released their quarterly results and they have beat on revenue with $30 billion versus expectations of $27 billion. Nvidia is guiding to $32.5 billion for revenue in the next quarter versus expectations of $31 billion. Record quarterly revenue of $30.0 billion, up 15% from Q1 and up 122% from a year ago Record ... Read more