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Updated 2025-01-12 01:45
The PFI contracts that keep costing the taxpayer | Letters
Readers respond to shadow chancellor John McDonnell’s pledge to bring billions of pounds’ worth of PFI projects and their staff back under government controlIn your editorial (26 September) on John McDonnell’s proposal that PFI contracts be bought back by a future Labour government you suggest that any such action might be constrained by the need to persuade the financial markets to continue to lend the government money. This was an error on your part: this constraint does not exist.Firstly that is because no government has to borrow. Quantitative easing proved that. In the UK the government (via the Bank of England) has done £435bn of QE, with the result that the government owns nearly a quarter of its own debt now, effectively cancelling it and all the interest payments due on it in the process. What this means is that another £58bn of QE could be used to cover capital costs of PFI without any difficulty. The remaining cost of buying out the service element may be little more and since QE debt carries no interest cost, there may be precisely no cost at all to buying these PFI contracts back into government control as a result. This was precisely the basis of People’s QE, which I created in 2010 and which was one of the platforms on which Jeremy Corbyn was elected Labour leader two years ago. In that case the idea that we are beholden to the bond market “confidence fairy” (as Paul Krugman so aptly named it) when proposing such a move is just nonsense. The fact is that if bond markets are truculent any government can just work around them. Continue reading...
Pound hits 10-week high against the euro, but slips against dollar on Yellen rate hints - as it happened
Sterling has risen to €1.14 for the first time since early July
Yorkshire Dales' Craven district is happiest in UK, ONS survey finds
Annual study of the nation’s wellbeing also finds residents of Hertsmere in Hertfordshire are Britain’s unhappiestThe inhabitants of Craven, a district in the southern Yorkshire Dales, are the happiest in the country, according to official statistics.At the other end of the scale, the Office for National Statistics’ (ONS) annual study of the nation’s happiness and wellbeing found that residents of Hertsmere borough council, on the northern edge of London’s suburban sprawl, were the unhappiest in Britain in the 12 months to the end of March.Related: Business Today: sign up for a morning shot of financial newsRelated: Step aside Denmark. Norway takes world’s happiest nation crown Continue reading...
Bank warned not to raise interest rates amid squeeze on households
Ex-MPC member David Blanchflower says there is ‘absolutely no basis’ for Bank of England to raise rates as early as NovemberThe Bank of England has been warned against raising interest rates from as early as November, as a monthly Guardian analysis of the economy indicates pressure growing on households following the Brexit vote.One year since Threadneedle Street’s emergency rate cut to 0.25% from 0.5% to avert a post-Brexit vote recession, the Guardian’s tracker of economic news paints a tougher picture for consumers. As the Bank prepares to reverse the cut with the first rate hike in a decade, senior economists have warned against raising the cost of borrowing for consumers pinched by low wage growth.Related: Should interest rates go up as Brexit approaches? Experts debate the dataRelated: How has the Brexit vote affected the UK economy? September verdict Continue reading...
How has the Brexit vote affected the UK economy? September verdict
How has the economy reacted to the vote to leave the EU? Each month we look at key indicators to see what effect the Brexit process has on growth, prosperity and trade in the UK Continue reading...
Should interest rates go up as Brexit approaches? Experts debate the data
Two former MPC members differ on what recent indicators mean for the economy, and whether it is time for dearer borrowingProfessor of economics at Dartmouth College, New Hampshire, and member of the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee from June 2006 to May 2009Related: How has the Brexit vote affected the UK economy? September verdict Continue reading...
UK personal bank deposits growing at slowest rate since 2009
British consumers are dipping further into their savings amid a squeeze from rising prices and falling real wages, figures showBritish consumers have been dipping further into their savings amid a squeeze from rising prices and falling real wages, figures show, as growth in personal bank deposits fell to the slowest annual rate since the height of the financial crisis.Annual growth in personal deposits with high street banks fell to 2.2% in August, in the weakest month since May 2009, according to figures published by banking trade body UK Finance. There was also about £1bn withdrawn from cash Isa accounts, with tax changes allowing up to £1,000 of interest to be earned tax free.Related: Oil hits 26-month high on supply fears – business live Continue reading...
Cuts to social services and increased tax revenue deliver reduced budget deficit
Treasurer Scott Morrison says ‘cautious and wise’ approach to finances is helping Australia maintain its credit ratingA multibillion-dollar cut to spending on social services and higher-than-expected tax revenue have helped the government deliver a smaller budget deficit than forecast for 2016-17.The treasurer, Scott Morrison, said the smaller deficit illustrated the Coalition had been taking a “cautious and wise” approach to the nation’s finances, helping Australia maintain its credit rating.Related: NDIS rollout targets in doubt because of lack of resourcing, Allan Fels saysRelated: Federal budget 2017: the 10 graphs you need to see | Greg Jericho Continue reading...
City firms urge free trade agreement for financial services after Brexit
London and Frankfurt will lose out to New York and Singapore if UK and EU do not agree deal, says reportLondon and Frankfurt will lose out to New York and Singapore unless a free trade deal on financial services after Brexit is agreed, according to leading City businesses.The report from key banks, law firms and fund managers in the UK proposes a “bespoke” free trade agreement once Britain leaves the EU.Related: New Brexit rules ‘could lead to unskilled workforce crisis’ Continue reading...
Oil prices soar to highest for more than two years after output cuts
Analysts say prices could rise further, in a move that would put upward pressure on UK inflationOil prices jumped to their highest for more than two years on Monday after major producers said output cuts were squeezing supplies.Brent crude leapt by 2.7% to $58.39 (£43.35) a barrel as analysts said prices could rise to levels not seen since 2014, in a move that would put further upward pressure on inflation in the UK. The oil price squeeze has been orchestrated by the Opec oil producers’ group but could be exacerbated if Turkey follows through on threats to block supplies from Kurdistan.Related: Bank of England warns a consumer debt crisis could cost banks £30bn Continue reading...
The Guardian view on Labour’s economic plans: pricey | Editorial
John McDonnell is right to call for the end of PFIs but, like the rest of his agenda, it won’t be easyIn a conference speech stuffed with more crowd-titillating plums than the proverbial pudding, John McDonnell betrayed a confidence in the Labour party’s prospects of power that he may come to regret. But however much Conservatives make hay with the cost implications of what even his friends would regard as a wildly ambitious economic agenda, the shadow chancellor put one new and important policy on the table: the huge and continuing cost of private finance initiatives (PFIs).For more than 20 years, successive administrations have depended on what are essentially hire purchase deals to buy new schools, hospitals and prisons. In 2006, the peak year, contracts were signed for more than 70 projects worth more than £7bn. The deals allowed long-overdue renewal of the public infrastructure, but at a cost that is now eating into the sustainability of the services they were built to provide. Mr McDonnell was – it soon emerged – exaggerating when he told an ecstatic conference that Labour would take them all back in house (a project with an incalculable price tag), but the party is right to pledge to try to find ways of cutting the cost. Continue reading...
More detail needed in racial minorities data | Letters
Meghnad Desai says greater analysis is required and David Reed says black and minority ethnic groups in Britain seem to be doing pretty well. Plus letters from Peter Cave and Ian WatsonThe raw truth of the Guardian report on minorities (Minorities report: it’s still snowy white at the pinnacle, 25 September) is undeniable. But to make progress we need much more grainy detail than we have. What are “the positions of most power”? Are they all in the public sector or large corporations rather than in corner grocery shops or small or medium sized enterprises (chemist shops)?We also need a breakdown of black and minority ethnic groups by their constituent groups. South Asians are reputed to prefer private sector jobs or self-employment rather than public sector or private corporate sector jobs. Are these positions of power? Continue reading...
Bank of England warns of 'pocket of risk' from consumer credit - as it happened
UK central bank warns that £30bn of loans could turn sour if Britain’s economy falls into recession
Bank of England warns a consumer debt crisis could cost banks £30bn
Stress tests reveal lenders are underestimating exposure to bad debt in face of an economic downturn
Brexit isn’t a new Black Wednesday. It’s far darker than that
This autumn marks the anniversaries of two notable economic humiliations. But they are as nothing to what might happen if we leave the EUThis is quite an anniversary year for great British economic disasters. Last weekend saw the 25th anniversary of the ignominious exit of the pound from the European exchange rate mechanism – “the first Brexit”, and, I still hope, the only one.Then this November will see the 50th anniversary of the dramatic 14% devaluation of the pound – an episode from which the Labour government of Harold Wilson never quite recovered, not least because Wilson made the mistake of proclaiming that “the pound in your pocket has not been devalued” – based on a brief by Treasury officials which was aimed at explaining that, from the point of view of the pocket or purse, it was only the price of imports that were going up, and spending on imports was only a small fraction of total household spending. Continue reading...
Treasury criticises Moody's after UK credit rating is downgraded
Credit ratings agency warns hard Brexit would damage economy’s long-term health hours after Theresa May’s Florence speechThe Treasury has hit back at warnings by the credit ratings agency Moody’s that the likelihood of a hard Brexit and a squeeze on the public finances would damage the UK economy’s long-term health.Announcing its decision just hours after Theresa May gave her speech in Florence on the government’s Brexit strategy, the ratings agency said it had cut the UK’s credit rating to Aa2 from Aa1 partly in response to the looming prospect of the UK’s access to the European Union’s single market and customs union being reduced. Continue reading...
UK draws record overseas tourists after pound's Brexit plunge
European and North American visitors lead the way in July, with spending also increasing, ONS figures showOverseas visitors flocked to Britain in record numbers in July and spent more than ever in response to the improved spending power offered by the low pound.Non-UK residents made 4m visits to Britain in July, an increase of 6% on last year and spent £2.7bn, up 3% on July 2016, according to the Office for National Statistics.Related: Pound slips against euro ahead of Theresa May's Brexit speech - business live Continue reading...
UK debt crisis and the onward march of neoliberalism | Letters
Quantitative easing allowed the wealthy to get out of cash and into assets, writes Martin London; the provisionally passed Ceta deal is TTIP by the back door, says John Airs. Plus letters by David Dodd and Paul NicolsonThe debt crisis Larry Elliott predicts (Borrowed time: Threadneedle Street is right to fear a bubble, 19 September), is the result of our failure to resolve the financial crisis of 2008. The credit crunch demonstrated that western economies were living beyond their means and that there was too much money and too much debt in the system. The required solution was for creditors to give up a considerable portion of their wealth, and return living space to debtors. Significant austerity was unavoidable.Governments chose quantitative easing instead, which allowed the wealthy to get out of cash and into assets, retaining or regaining any loss caused by the crash. The rest of us had to bear the brunt of austerity: cuts in benefits, the erosion of full-time jobs, the rise of the gig economy and increases in rents. Additional debt, funded by the liquidity of quantitative easing, enabled millions temporarily to retain a semblance of normal living: but the unequal distribution of wealth has not gone away. Continue reading...
UK public finances beat forecasts, as Ryanair boss apologises over cancellations –as it happened
Boost for government as Britain’s borrowing fell in August, as Ryanair faces critics at its AGM
UK budget deficit narrows as shoppers boost VAT receipts
Public finances still rising as a proportion of GDP despite unexpectedly strong figures for AugustBritain’s public sector spending deficit dropped to its lowest August total since 2007 after an increase in VAT revenues and a squeeze on local authority borrowing.The deficit in August stood at £5.7bn, down 18% compared with the same month last year, beating forecasts of £7.1bn in a Reuters poll of economists.Related: UK public finances beat forecasts, as Ryanair boss apologises over cancellations – business live Continue reading...
US Federal Reserve begins unwinding stimulus and leaves interest rates on hold - as it happened
America’s central bank will begin unwinding its huge stimulus programme next month, as it leaves borrowing costs on hold
The great unwinding: Fed begins slow demise of its post-crash stimulus
The sell-off of its $4.5tn portfolio, bought to keep interest rates down after the financial crash, is as unprecedented as the stimulus programme that came before
UK shoppers continue to spend despite rising prices
Retail sales rise by more than expected, particularly clothing and footwear, despite squeeze on household budgetsBritain’s consumers continued spending after the summer sales, despite the steepest annual growth in non-food store prices in almost three decades.Growth in retail sales volumes rose by 1% in August after the Office for National Statistics revised the figure for July up to 0.6%, beating analysts’ expectations for an increase of 0.2%. The pound leapt against the dollar on the figures, which add weight to a potential rate hike by the Bank of England for the first time in a decade.Related: UK growth will trail Italy, France and Germany next year, says OECD Continue reading...
UK growth will trail Italy, France and Germany next year, says OECD
Pound’s Brexit slide has pushed up inflation and dampened purchasing power, says forecastItaly, France and Germany will grow faster than Britain next year as Brexit uncertainty continues to weigh on consumer confidence and deter much-needed business investment, according to the latest economic forecasts by the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development.The UK’s GDP growth will drop from 1.6% this year to 1% next year, in line with the OECD’s previous forecast, but Italy’s national income will grow by 1.2% in 2018, up 0.4 percentage points from the forecast in the June.
IMF and World Bank members must stop rise of economic non-order | Mohamed El-Erian
Forthcoming meetings offer critical opportunity to start serious discussion on rebuilding global consensusNext month, when finance ministers and central bank governors from more than 180 countries gather in Washington DC for the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, they will confront a global economic order under increasing strain. Having failed to deliver the inclusive economic prosperity of which it is capable, that order is subject to growing doubts – and mounting challenges. Barring a course correction, the risks that today’s order will yield to a world economic non-order will only intensify.The current international economic order, spearheaded by the United States and its allies after the second world war, is underpinned by multilateral institutions, including the IMF and the World Bank. These institutions were designed to crystallise member countries’ obligations, and they embodied a set of best economic-policy practices that evolved into what became known as the “Washington consensus.”Related: Five reasons why global stock markets are surging | Nick Fletcher Continue reading...
World markets at new highs; UK zero-hours contracts fall - as it happened
All the day’s economic and financial news, as global markets touch new record levels ahead of Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting
Why central banks are not hitting their 2% inflation target | Nouriel Roubini
Growth and inflation are out of sync in most developed nations, causing bubbles and crisesSince the summer of 2016, the global economy has been in a period of moderate expansion, with the growth rate accelerating gradually. What has not picked up, at least in the advanced economies, is inflation. The question is why.In the United States, Europe, Japan, and other developed economies, the recent growth acceleration has been driven by an increase in aggregate demand, a result of continued expansionary monetary and fiscal policies, as well as higher business and consumer confidence. That confidence has been driven by a decline in financial and economic risk, together with the containment of geopolitical risks, which, as a result, have so far had little impact on economies and markets. Continue reading...
Fall in migration after Brexit could push up inflation, says Carney
Bank of England governor says labour shortages could also raise wages in short term, but Brexit would have only modest impact on pricesA sharp fall in migrant workers coming to Britain as a consequence of Brexit could push up wages and cause a spike in inflation in the short term, according to the governor of the Bank of England.Mark Carney was setting out his view on inflation days after the Bank’s rate-setting panel indicated it could raise interest rates for the first time in a decade.Related: UK interest rates stay at 0.25% but Bank of England hints rise is looming Continue reading...
Carney warns fall in migrant workers could push up wages and inflation - as it happened
All the day’s economic and financial news, as world share prices touch new record levels
Five reasons why global stock markets are surging | Nick Fletcher
Investors are picking up on positive signals coming from US, China and Europe, and easing tensions over North KoreaGlobal stock markets are at record highs, with the MSCI All Country World Index reaching a new peak on Monday and both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 heading for uncharted territory once more. European and UK markets are also attracting investors again, although they are below their best levels owing to the strength of the euro and the pound making exports pricier. Here are five reasons why investors are buying into shares.
Growing risk of 'debt trap' if interest rates stay low, say central bankers
Near-zero rates have spurred borrowing and left consumers, businesses and governments at risk, says Basel institutionA new warning has been issued about the growing risk of a “debt trap” if interest rates around the world stay near zero, which has encouraged borrowing by households, businesses and governments.The Bank for International Settlements – known as the central bankers’ bank – highlighted the vulnerability of consumer, business and government finances to interest rate increases in its 174-page quarterly report. Claudio Borio, the head of the monetary and economic department, described this as “a defining question for the global economy”.The increase in the percentage of firms unable to cover their interest payments with their earnings does not bode well Continue reading...
What will justify an interest rate rise in November? | Richard Partington
As Bank of England hints about a hike, stimulus from the government – including removal of the pay cap – could lead it to push further ahead on ratesWe’ve heard it all before. The Bank of England is putting debt-laden consumers on notice of higher borrowing costs, yet again.But this time, just maybe, interest rates could finally be on the march from as early as November after more than 10 years without a hike. While the first rise may simply serve to reverse last year’s emergency rate cut, there are signals that the Bank may then push still further ahead.Related: The eurozone strikes back – why Europe is booming againRelated: UK interest rate rise – what it could mean for savers and mortgage holders Continue reading...
Don’t dismiss bankers' predictions of a bitcoin bubble – they should know
The virtual currency’s success reflects the continuing lack of trust in traditional banking following the credit crunchWhen the boss of Wall Street’s biggest bank calls a bubble, the world inevitably sits up and listens, albeit with a sense of historically weighted irony: of course an investment bank boss would spot disaster after his industry presided over the last one. Jamie Dimon, the chief executive of JP Morgan, said last week that the ascendancy of the virtual currency bitcoin – which has risen in price from just over $2 in 2011 to more than $4,000 at points this year – reminded him of tulip fever in 17th-century Holland. “It is worse than tulip bulbs,” he said. “It could be at $20,000 before this happens, but it will eventually blow up. I am just shocked that anyone can’t see it for what it is.”Dimon’s comments are an open invitation for derision from those who, rightly, point out that although JP Morgan may be top of the Wall Street heap, that heap is far from being the moral high ground. Under Dimon’s leadership, it has agreed a $13bn settlement with US regulators over selling dodgy mortgage securities – the instruments behind the credit crunch – and its run-ins with watchdogs include a $264m fine last year for hiring the children of Chinese officials in order to win lucrative business in return. Continue reading...
Chickens coming home to roost for Theresa May – cartoon
Chris Riddell on the squadron of woes currently afflicting the government Continue reading...
The eurozone strikes back – why Europe is booming again
Structural reforms since financial crisis are slowly but surely starting to bear fruit, with the lowest unemployment since 2009 and production ratcheted upIt was a story few predicted: the eurozone is growing faster than the United States. When Jean-Claude Juncker gave his annual state of the union speech on Wednesday last week, Europe’s booming economy was near the top of his list. Ten years since the crisis struck, “Europe’s economy is finally bouncing back,” the European commission president told MEPs. Detailing the economic resurgence, but also referring to the EU’s newfound unity after Britain’s vote to leave, Juncker declared: “the wind is back in Europe’s sails”.
Even German carmakers won’t save us from a hard Brexit
Some on both sides of the Channel believe that trade and prosperity will win the day. But in the EU just as in the UK, politics now trumps economicsThere is a shared belief among Leavers and Remainers to the effect that when the Brexit cliff-edge comes into view, London and Brussels will hatch a face-saving compromise.It’s not entirely clear what kind of gleaming alloy can be forged from the fire of claim and counterclaim on either side of the channel, but there should be a way, they think, to cut through the noise and make something solid and lasting that shows neither side is entirely inept. Continue reading...
The eurozone may be back on its feet. But is Greece?
Jean-Claude Juncker believes Europe is starting to recover at last. But the picture from the union’s most fallible economy is very mixedIs the eurozone on the mend? Jean-Claude Juncker certainly thinks so. The EU president was upbeat in Brussels last week as he gave his annual state-of-the-union address, proclaiming that “the wind is back in Europe’s sails”.Juncker’s optimism appeared to match the view from Greece, the currency bloc’s problem child. In Athens only the previous week, the visiting French president, Emmanuel Macron, had been even more enthusiastic, declaring against the backdrop of the Acropolis that Greece’s prolonged crisis was over, and that therefore Europe’s was too.Related: Weakest eurozone economies on long road to recoveryRelated: The eurozone strikes back - why Europe is booming again Continue reading...
Prospect of interest rate rise sends pound back to level of Brexit result day
Bank of England MPC member says rising inflation and stronger household spending merit increase ‘as early as coming months’The prospect of the first interest rate rise in a decade has sent the pound to its highest level since the day after the Brexit vote and put debt-laden consumers on notice of higher borrowing costs.The rally in the pound against the dollar provided some relief for Briton’s travelling abroad and comes amid heightened expectations that the Bank of England could increase rates as soon as November.Related: UK interest rates stay at 0.25% but Bank of England hints rise is looming Continue reading...
UK interest rate rise – what it could mean for savers and mortgage holders
The Bank of England has hinted the first rate rise in almost a decade is now likely, and soon. So how much will it cost?A member of the Bank of England’s rate-setting committee has fuelled speculation that interest rates could rise as soon as November. Gertjan Vlieghe put forward the arguments for a rise in rates “as early as in the coming months” in a speech to economists in London. Continue reading...
UN report attacks austerity budgets for growing inequality
Study says spending cuts have encouraged rise of robots and AI and heightened job insecurity, particularly for womenAusterity budgets adopted by governments across the world since the 2008 financial crash are to blame for undermining the job security of millions of workers and threatening the progress made by women in the workplace, according to a UN report.The threat to jobs from the growing use of robots and artificial intelligence has been exacerbated by a lack of government investment and lack of state support for skills training, the report also said.Related: Two million UK families face £50-a-week cut in incomeRelated: We have the power to create the economy we want – let’s use it | Tom Kibasi Continue reading...
UK interest rates stay at 0.25% but Bank of England hints rise is looming
Pounds jumps 1% as governor says Bank is ‘beginning to shift’ on when to raise rates, with a rise possible ‘in coming months’ to stem inflationThe Bank of England has raised the prospect of an interest rate rise as early as November, in an attempt to relieve the squeeze on living standards from surging prices and sluggish wage growth.On Thursday, Threadneedle Street left interest rates at their record low of 0.25% amid fears over Brexit, but dropped a heavy hint that the first increase in the cost of borrowing for a decade may come sooner than expected if the economy continues to strengthen.Related: Bank of England leaves rates on hold, but hints that hike is coming - business liveRelated: Northern Rock investors' compensation claim just doesn't stand up | Nils Pratley Continue reading...
Next softens doom and gloom forecasts despite fall in profits
Upbeat chairman says situation is less challenging than six months ago and that Brexit-fuelled fall in pound and resultant price rises will start to ebbNext said the outlook for sales was brighter than its previous gloomy predictions as it reported a near 10% fall in first half profits.At the start of 2017, the Next chief executive, Simon Wolfson, warned of a tough year ahead but on Thursday he softened his stance: “While the external environment looks set to remain difficult, from where we stand today our prospects appear somewhat less challenging that they did six months ago.”Related: John Lewis profits halve as chairman warns over Brexit uncertainty Continue reading...
Rita, Sue and Bob today: Andrea Dunbar's truths still haunt us
Dunbar’s bleakly funny tale of a menage a trois captured 80s austerity. What can her defiant heroines tell audiences today?
End austerity – and kickstart Martin Luther King’s revolution of values | Richard Kozul-Wright
Hyperglobalisation has concentrated massive wealth in a few hands, boosting the cult of materialism that the great civil rights campaigner warned us aboutFifty years ago, at New York’s Riverside Church, Martin Luther King made a passionate plea for a more equal, more just, more peaceful and more dignified world. Calling for “a radical revolution of values”, King concluded: “We must rapidly begin … the shift from a thing-oriented society to a person-oriented society. When machines and computers, profit motives and property rights are considered more important than people, the giant triplets of racism, extreme materialism and militarism are incapable of being conquered.”Related: No, wealth isn’t created at the top. It is merely devoured there | Rutger BregmanRelated: No alternative to austerity? That lie has now been nailed | Owen Jones Continue reading...
Northern Rock investors' compensation claim just doesn't stand up | Nils Pratley
Though it might be deserved, the chance of campaigners securing reparation through suasion is extremely lowOne sympathises, of course, with the former shareholders in Northern Rock who are still campaigning for compensation a decade after the bank’s nationalisation. They are not faceless City institutions. Many are small shareholders who had invested substantial sums, presumably in the belief the Rock was a solid north-east institution run by a competent board, and lost the lot.The problem with the compensation idea, however, is that it doesn’t stand up. Yes, it is probably true that the Rock was not insolvent, just suffering an extreme liquidity crisis. After all, the Treasury is set to make a clear profit from the run-off of the mortgage book. But those profits are not evidence of unfair confiscation. Taxpayers assumed a risk the Rock was unable to bear because it had been running a risky and reckless funding model that couldn’t withstand the crisis. For a bank, lack of liquidity can be a life-threatening event.Related: Darling: Brexit would not have happened without banking crisis Continue reading...
The financial system is still blinking red. We need reform more than ever | Rana Foroohar
Fixing our financial system will be the key not only to stable growth, but also to stable politicsIt’s an amazing fact that a decade on from the financial crisis, Americans are still arguing about how to reform our financial system. Even as the Trump administration argues for a roll-back of the hard-won Dodd-Frank banking regulation, it’s worth noting that disenchantment with Wall Street is, paradoxically, one of the things that brought the president to office.
I worked for Vote Leave, but I now realise Britain must stay in the single market | Oliver Norgrove
The Tories claim to be the party of economic stability yet are driving the country to a cliff edge. A Labour push for a pragmatic Brexit could be pivotalWill Brexit become the Conservative party’s Iraq war? It is in many ways a poisoned chalice: its effects are incredibly complex and capable of causing bitter divides among ministers. It is being negotiated haphazardly and will demoralise the party for years to come.I don’t write this as an embittered “remoaner”. I used to be a hard Brexiteer – I even worked on comunications close to the heart of Vote Leave. But I’ve now converted to a soft Brexit position. My version of our departure from the European Union is largely based around the Flexcit pamphlet, comfortably the most useful and comprehensively researched body of work on Brexit yet produced. As a result I fall into what appears to be a niche category of leave campaigner: I try to be as pragmatic as possible about our departure.Related: Tory Brexit is doomed. Corbyn has a chance to build the Europe he wants | John Palmer Continue reading...
Out of the Wreckage by George Monbiot review – the thrill and danger of a new left politics
With neoliberalism in crisis, it’s time to emphasise the importance to people of belonging and co-operation, argues this optimistic call to actionThat which is dangerous can also be thrilling. Many liberal democracies are engaged in something dangerous, as questions of identity, community and nationhood are being asked with a fresh urgency, with some of the answers turning out to be deeply disturbing. But is there also something thrilling going on? The capacity for democracy to throw up surprises, such as Britain’s 2017 general election result, is mesmerising. Brexit may be a famous act of economic self-harm, but something new will be born one way or the other. Still the danger persists and may be growing.That this is happening now, as opposed to 10 or 20 years ago, is a direct consequence of the disintegration of the economic policy framework that has held sway in Britain, the US, the European commission and many multilateral institutions for much of the previous 40 years. That framework is often referred to as “neoliberalism”, even if the term irritates a certain class of pundit, for whom it is some sort of swearword without any clear referent. Its disintegration is producing conflicting sympathies, as many on the left come to realise the xenophobia that can be unleashed in the absence of stable market-based rules.Related: Neoliberalism: the idea that swallowed the world Continue reading...
Philip Hammond tells the City he will protect its global position
UK chancellor hints he won’t tolerate protectionist measures from EU aiming to lure business awayThe UK will not water down rules to protect its financial services sector in the wake of Brexit, the chancellor said on Wednesday as he sent a message to his counterparts in the EU that he would not tolerate protectionist measures being imposed to lure business way.Philip Hammond also told his audience of financiers in a set-piece speech in the City that his priority was to devise policies that would allow the UK to retain its place as a leading global financial centre. Continue reading...
The Guardian view on homelessness: do ministers care?
The rising tide of rough sleeping and families ending up in temporary accommodation should have alerted the government to the effects of its policies. It’s shocking that no one seemed curious about this hardshipThe National Audit Office report into homelessness lays bare the legacy of human waste caused by the callous indifference and intellectual vacuity of Compassionate Conservatism, a Tory creed – promoted by David Cameron – where responsibility shifted from the state to individuals, families and communities.Looking at the NAO’s assessment of the cack-handed way that the housing safety net was handled, this “philosophy” appears an empty political slogan designed to shield the Tory party from the charge it was balancing the budget on the backs of the poor. It’s no surprise that a mixture of high rents and welfare cuts put people out on the streets. Rough sleeping more than doubled since 2010. The numbers of households in temporary accommodation rose by 60%. Continue reading...
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