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Updated 2025-04-04 02:00
"Something to do with breakfast?" – New Yorkers on the UK #brexit
On 23 June, the UK will vote on whether to leave the European Union. The campaign to leave has been dubbed ‘Brexit’ – a pithy portmanteau derived from the words ‘Britain’ and ‘exit’ – and is dominating the news in Europe. But what do New Yorkers make of the debate? And can they even decipher what the Brexit is? The Guardian’s Adam Gabbatt finds out
Brexit could spread shockwaves through global economy, says OECD
Paris-based thinktank compares consequences of UK leaving EU to effects of China’s high-tempo economy grinding to a haltBritain’s departure from the EU poses as big a threat to the global economy as a “hard landing” in China, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development has said.
Oil prices can provide a slippery picture
Despite a rise in prices, using oil as a signal for wider global economy may be short-sighted, as often it will fluctuate simply according to textbook economicsFor the first time since last October, the price of a barrel of oil has broken through $50. So it seems a good time to update the analysis I presented in January 2015. Back then, I argued that $50 or thereabouts would turn out to be a long-term ceiling for the oil price.At the time, with crude prices still above $60, almost everyone believed that $50 would be the rock-bottom floor. After all, futures markets predicted prices of $75 or higher; the Saudi and Russian governments needed $100 to balance their budgets; and any price much below $50 was considered unsustainable, because it would put the US shale-oil industry out of business.Related: Is Opec relevant in an oil market of falling prices and overproduction? Continue reading...
Vitol: world's biggest energy trader emerges from the shadows
Company’s CEO Ian Taylor has kept a low profile but is finally breaking cover to lobby against EU plans to tighten regulation of commodity trading“The biggest company you’ve never heard of” is a label regularly bandied around but is well-deserved by the global trading firm with a name more suited to a household cleaning product: Vitol.You will not hear its name at this week’s Opec meeting in Vienna or have heard it quoted on the subject of the significant rise in oil prices over the past four months, but a Saudi oil minister would know the name Vitol as they would Shell or BP. Continue reading...
Economic growth failing to deliver prosperity for many Africans, study says
Legatum Institute index says Nigeria – Africa’s biggest economy – is only the 26 most prosperous African country, as fuel shortages hamper growthDecades of economic growth across Africa have failed to improve the lives of millions of people, according to a report (pdf).The Legatum Institute’s Africa prosperity index, published on Wednesday, rates countries by opportunity, freedom, education and security, as well as social bonds.Related: It's naira or never: Nigeria needs decisive action on its currency | Oluseun OnigbindeRelated: Finish line far out of sight in Nigeria's race to beat corruption | Oluseun Onigbinde Continue reading...
George Osborne misses the point over his northern powerhouse
Comparisons with German and Dutch regions where productivity is already high do not stand up to scrutinyThe idea behind George Osborne’s northern powerhouse is a simple one. Improving transport links between the big cities of the north will create economies of scale and greater dynamism. Britain, it is said, can learn lessons from the Rhine-Ruhr region of Germany and the Randstad region of the Netherlands, both of which have a number of cities clustered together. The chancellor has pledged Treasury support for a number of key infrastructure projects, including high-speed rail links.Related: Osborne's budget builds on 'northern powerhouse' ambitions Continue reading...
Brexit 'would leave British workers £38 a week worse off'
Leaving the EU would be a disaster for wages, jobs and employment rights, the TUC saysA decision to leave the EU would be a “disaster” for British workers who would be £38 a week worse off outside the EU by 2030, according to the TUC.The trade union federation, which is campaigning to persuade voters to remain part of the EU, said Brexit would hit wages, jobs and workers’ rights and warned of a “devastating” blow to Britain’s manufacturing sector, where highly skilled jobs would be lost. Continue reading...
'Northern powerhouse' depends on productivity not rail links: thinktank
Centre for Cities says plan is too focused on intercity transport rather than improving performance of individual citiesCities in the north of England must become more productive if the chancellor is to realise his vision of a so-called “northern powerhouse”, a thinktank has said.The Centre for Cities said George Osborne’s plan to bridge the economic gap between the wealthier south and the poorer north was too heavily focused on intercity transport links, and not enough on improving the performance of individual cities. Continue reading...
EU jobless rate hits seven-year low; US data mixed – as it happened
The European Union’s jobless rate has dipped to 8.7%, as the slow recovery continues
Relax, Britain – you can hate the eurozone and still vote remain | Guy Verhofstadt
I was there during David Cameron’s renegotiation, and it’s clear to me that Britain has secured binding guarantees on bailing out the eurozoneHaving lost the economic arguments for leaving the European Union, Britain’s increasingly desperate leave campaign seems set on peddling a number of apocalyptic myths about the consequences of a vote to remain. It is more risky to stay in the European Union than it would be to leave, claim the Brexiters. But what are the likely risks of staying in the EU for Britain and how seriously should British voters take them?One of the central arguments used by Ukip and some Conservatives is that Britain should leave because of the economic risks of being “chained to the corpse of the eurozone”. I find this disingenuous, given that four of the most advanced global economies represented in the G7, including the UK, are EU member states.Related: Osborne attacks Vote Leave 'fantasy economics' after call to axe fuel VAT Continue reading...
Do major transport projects only benefit wealthy commuters?
HS2, Crossrail and other infrastructure projects are hailed for delivering economic growth, but critics say they don’t do enough for poor communitiesMajor UK transport projects, such as HS2, Crossrail, or the trans-Pennine tunnel, are announced to much fanfare – but also criticism. Their champions say infrastructure projects of this scale can deliver widespread regeneration, boost the economy and offer mass employment opportunities. But others have reservations about whether such infrastructure benefits everybody, particularly local people with lower paid and lower skilled jobs.“There is a tendency for governments to only want to fund transport projects you can see from space,” says Stephen Joseph, executive director of Campaign for Better Transport. “But we have long argued that it is local infrastructure that actually matters to most people, but gets the least funding.”If the UK wants to compete for jobs and investment, world class infrastructure will be absolutely essentialRelated: Lord Adonis: HS3 could be the rail revolution of the 21st centuryRelated: Roads and railways: where south-east Asia leads, Britain trails behind Continue reading...
UK business confidence dips as EU referendum approaches, survey finds
Lloyds Bank’s barometer finds confidence about trading prospects at three-year low and overall confidence also downUK companies have become gloomier about their trading prospects and the economic outlook as the EU referendum approaches, according to a survey.Related: Labour voters in the dark about party's stance on Brexit, research saysRelated: Education and the arts are right to stand up for European ideals | Editorial Continue reading...
For sale: Greek islands, hotels and historic sites
As privatisation agency chairman, Stergios Pitsiorlas is seen as the right man to expedite disposal of a growing list of assetsIn Greece today, government power comes with few trappings. Unable to tap capital markets and dependent wholly on international aid, the debt-stricken country’s senior officials are acrobats in a tightrope act. They are placating creditors, whose demands at times seem insatiable, and citizens, whose shock is never far away.Few know this better than Stergios Pitsiorlas, the head of Greece’s privatisation agency. The agency’s asset portfolio – readily available online – goes some way to explaining why. A catalogue of beaches, islands, boutique hotels, golf courses, Olympic venues and historic properties in Plaka on the slopes beneath the ancient Acropolis, it could be a shopping list for the scenery in a movie – rather than a list of possessions that Athens is under immense pressure to offload.The Germans are going to take everything. I hear that even beaches are up for saleRelated: IMF tells EU it must give Greece unconditional debt reliefWe have to run fast and make the changes that need to be made quickly Continue reading...
Shinzo Abe postpones Japan tax rise after warning of economic slump
PM moves to stave off potential drag on consumer spending as doubts rise over ‘Abenomics’ programmeJapan’s prime minister, Shinzo Abe, is to postpone an unpopular tax rise in a last-ditch attempt to breathe life into the economy, reports said on Monday, days after he told fellow G7 leaders that the world was on the brink of a crisis comparable to the Lehman shock.
It's time to expose the myths of the neo-liberal economic model | Greg Jericho
As developed economies such as Australia’s struggle to encourage growth, even the disciples of austerity are admitting that they might have it wrongFor Malcolm Turnbull the election is all about jobs and growth and a belief that a company tax cut and reducing government spending is the way to achieve both. But in light of the failures of such standard economic thinking after the GFC to provide economic growth, new research is finding that policies that fail to consider other aspects such as inequality are actually undermining long-term economic performance.By pretty much any measure economic growth in Australia and around the world since the GFC has been sluggish.Related: Morrison and Bowen produce a lively treasurers' debate, but costings are no clearer Continue reading...
EU referendum – when to buy your holiday money
It is not only a Brexit vote which would mean far fewer euros or dollars for your holiday currencyFor some it is the sound of the first cuckoo. For others it is the chock of leather on willow. But for those who write about the economy the first sign of spring is when colleagues start asking for advice on when to buy their foreign currency for a holiday abroad.This year, inevitably, the decision has been made more difficult by the EU referendum on 23 June. Is it better to buy euros or dollars now or wait to see which way the vote goes? Admit it, lots of you have been weighing up the risks in the past few weeks, haven’t you?Related: Foreign currency: top tips for buying your holiday moneyRelated: The smartphone app revolutionising foreign currency exchange Continue reading...
Whoever wins, the EU vote has been a disastrous diversion
The economic challenges facing Britain will not go away, whether we stay or leave after 23 JuneThis is all absurd; yet it is also very important, with serious implications for the future of the UK and the rest of Europe. Yes: in or out, we shall still belong to the continent of Europe. Moreover, given that the rest of the world also seems to be taking an interest, the outcome of the 23 June referendum can hardly be invested with too much importance.Apart from anything else, a Brexit vote would almost certainly add to the growing dissatisfaction with the EU in many continental countries. There are even fears of a domino effect. Continue reading...
Economists overwhelmingly reject Brexit in boost for Cameron
Poll shows 88% of 600 experts fear long-term fall in GDP if UK leaves single market, and 82% are alarmed over impact on household incomeNine out of 10 of the country’s top economists working across academia, the City, industry, small businesses and the public sector believe the British economy will be harmed by Brexit, according to the biggest survey of its kind ever conducted.Related: Ukip’s use of Great Escape theme tune grates with composer’s sonsRelated: Brexit would jeopardise peace in Europe, warn religious leaders Continue reading...
Low sales even in healthy economy signal 'complete shift in shopping'
Neither consumers nor brands are getting much of what they want, and the unpredictability has caused chaos for retailers whose power has slipped awayMonday is Memorial Day, the official start of summer and another celebration traditionally marked by sales and a shopping bonanza. But the sun isn’t shining for US retailers.
Alexi Kaye Campbell: ‘I knew I had to write a play about Greece’
Campbell’s new National Theatre play was inspired by the despair, rage and determination of Greek anti-austerity protesters, but also by the discovery that the history of his family echoed that of his troubled countryI was just a year old when the tanks rolled ominously down the streets of Athens one morning, announcing the beginning of one of Greece’s darkest chapters. At dawn on 21 April 1967, after a period of political and economic uncertainty, the colonels seized power in an intimidating but bloodless coup, and remained in government for seven years. For most of that period I was too busy learning to walk, talk and read to concern myself with what was going on in the big world beyond our front door. I have snatches of memories of the dictatorship: the national anthem being played on the black and white TV every evening before the news; the hectoring tones and frowning facial expressions of the leader, George Papadopoulos; the long and impressive military parades that often marched through the capital. It was only later that I came to learn what lay beyond the quiet safety of our house in the suburbs: a world of people being taken away in the middle of the night because of their politics and their convictions; a world of intimidation, oppression and torture.And then came the day that heralded the regime’s demise – 17 November 1973. Of this I have a much clearer recollection. My siblings and I were at our grandmother’s apartment in the centre of Athens having lunch: probably spinach pie, lamb with macaroni and mosaiko, her chocolate biscuit cake. As we sat down to eat we heard explosions, gunfire and a loud roar that resembled a huge tidal wave but was in fact the sound of human beings in revolt. A few blocks away, at the Athens Polytechnic, the fight against totalitarianism had begun: the birth pangs of democracy echoed across the city and into my grandmother’s apartment.Related: The Pride – review Continue reading...
Fed chief Janet Yellen says interest rates will rise 'in coming months'
Federal Reserve is expected to announce two to three interest rate hikes this year after it increased rates in December for the first time in nearly a decadeFederal Reserve chair Janet Yellen had a message for Wall Streeters anxiously wanting to depart for the long weekend on Friday: interest rate hikes are coming.Analysts have been scrutinizing remarks by all Federal Reserve officials over the past few months for a hunt of when the next interest rate hike might occur. The US central bank is expected to announce two to three interest rate hikes this year after it increased rates in December for the first time in nearly a decade.Related: Interest rates could rise as soon as June, Federal Reserve suggests Continue reading...
Fed chair Yellen hints at summer US rate rise but urges caution – as it happened
Austerity policies do more harm than good, IMF study concludes
Economists give strong critique of neoliberal doctrine ushered in by Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher in the 1980sA strong warning that austerity policies can do more harm than good has been delivered by economists from the International Monetary Fund, in a critique of the neoliberal doctrine that has dominated economics for the past three decades. In an article seized on by the shadow chancellor, John McDonnell, the IMF economists said rising inequality was bad for growth and that governments should use controls to cope with destabilising capital flows.The IMF team praised some aspects of the liberalising agenda that was ushered in by Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher in the 1980s, such as the expansion of trade and the increase in foreign direct investment. But it said other aspects of the programme had not delivered the expected improvements in economic performance. Looking specifically at removing barriers to flows of capital and plans to strengthen the public finances, the three IMF economists came up with conclusions that contradicted neoliberal theory. Continue reading...
MPs' report condemns 'misleading' EU referendum campaigns
Cross-party committee attacks both sides but is particularly scathing about assertion that Brexit would save £350m a weekVote Leave, Britain Stronger in Europe and the Treasury have all been accused of misleading voters in the EU referendum campaign in a report by a cross-party House of Commons committee.The Treasury committee was particularly scathing about the leave camp’s flagship assertion that exiting the EU would save £350m a week that could be spent on the NHS, saying that the public should discount the claim and that Vote Leave’s decision to persist with it was “deeply problematic”.Related: ‘I don’t want to go back with nothing’: the Brexit threat to Spain’s little BritainRelated: Vote Leave launches £50m football prediction competition Continue reading...
Leaving EU 'could cause catastrophic worker shortages'
Thinktank report finds that most EU workers in Britain would not qualify for a work visa under current rulesLeaving the EU could cause catastrophic staff shortages in some sectors, as 88% of EU workers in Britain would not qualify for a visa under the current rules, remain campaigners have warned.A report from the Social Market Foundation thinktank has found that the majority of the 1.6 million EU workers in the UK do not meet the skills and earnings criteria that those from outside the bloc need in order to qualify for a work visa.Related: Boris Johnson as PM is 'horror scenario', says Juncker EU aide Continue reading...
Brexit could cost pensioners £32,000, chancellor says
George Osborne targets older voters with claim that leaving the EU would drive up inflation, hitting pensions and house pricesLeaving the European Union could wipe up to £32,000 off the average pensioner’s wealth, George Osborne claims, as the remain campaign seeks to woo older voters deemed more likely to turn out on 23 June.Treasury analysis suggests the uncertainty unleashed by a Brexit vote would rattle stock markets and undermine the value of pensioners’ homes. A sell off of the pound on the foreign exchanges could also drive up inflation, eroding the value of pension savings. Continue reading...
The Guardian view on the new Greek bailout: more extend, but – please – no more pretend | Editorial
Even Athens’ creditors are now divided on whether it is worth carrying on with the farcical pretence that a bankrupt country is ever going to repay in fullAn agreement this week to release €10.3bn of bailout money to Greece was, in comparison with past negotiations, straightforward. That does not reflect well on the European officials and international creditors involved. It is a measure of how long the crisis has gone on and how low expectations have fallen.The achievement is in postponing a dispute between eurozone disciplinarians and pragmatists at the International Monetary Fund. Hawkish Europeans, chiefly Germany, take the view that softening conditions imposed on Athens undermines the financial credibility of the currency union. The IMF calculates that Greece cannot service its debts on the current trajectory; that even heroic efforts of fiscal tightening would not yield sufficient revenue and might suffocate the economy instead. The current bailout terms envisage Greece reaching a budget surplus of 3.5% of GDP. The IMF thinks 1.5% is a more plausible figure and wants “reprofiling” of Greek debts – easing the overall burden and softening the interest rate. Continue reading...
Robots are only making lives easier for the few | Letters
Those of a certain age may remember a BBC TV programme called Tomorrow’s World that reported on technological, scientific and medical innovations (If robots are the future of work, where do humans fit in? 24 May). The way these were described suggested an end to drudgery – soul-destroying jobs like stacking supermarket shelves. We’d all have shorter working hours and longer holidays; the production of abundant food would abolish famine; medical advances would eradicate deadly diseases like malaria and cholera. Science and technology would be used for the benefit of all humanity. We would all have longer, healthier, happier lives. It sounds like a utopian pipe-dream now that several of the advances talked about in Tomorrow’s World have come to pass. The patents and rights to these scientific, medical and technological advances have been acquired by big business and big pharma and used solely to make huge profits for the shareholders. Too many of us are now slaves to technology, working longer hours for less pay, with no holidays because of zero-hours contracts, living in glorified rabbit hutches, eating unhealthy, mass produced convenience foods and, in what free time we have, kept docile by TV talent shows, soap operas, football and endless repeats of Friends – the modern day equivalent of bread and circuses, the Roman emperors’ means of pacifying the plebs. Yes, the future may be brighter. But only for the few.
MPs demand reassurances from Sajid Javid over British Steel pensions - as it happened
Full coverage as parliament discusses whether to cut the benefits due to Britain’s steel workers, to help Tata find a buyer
Oil price rises above $50 a barrel
Data suggests global glut is easing due to fall in US output and supply disruption in Canada, Libya and NigeriaOil prices have broken through the $50 per barrel mark for the first time in almost seven months after storage figures suggested that the glut in global crude supplies was easing. Many analysts have predicted that the recovery, which will help the North Sea oil industry and could steady the global economy but hurt motorists through higher petrol costs, could be short-lived.The price of Brent crude edged up 0.9% to $50.2 a barrel, boosted by data from the US government showing a sharper than expected fall in crude stocks last week, and it later fell back slightly.Related: Shell to cut 2,200 more jobs in reaction to low oil prices Continue reading...
The world is getting more religious, because the poor go for God | Giles Fraser: Loose canon
Religion itself thrives in places where liberal individualism fails. That’s the real clash of civilisationsThe so-called “masters of suspicion”, Nietzsche, Marx and Freud, all thought that religion would wither and die in the 20th century. Others enthusiastically backed the secularisation hypothesis. Intellectually, the enlightenment had punctured it below the waterline and it was sinking. Religion was dead. Except, of course, the reverse happened: it flourished. In 1900, the year that Nietzsche died, there were 8 million Christians in Africa. Now there are 335 million. And the growth rate continues to accelerate. God wasn’t dead. God was reborn. Indeed, far from being the century in which religion went away, for both Christianity and Islam, the 20th century was numerically the most successful century since Christ was crucified and Muhammad gave his farewell sermon on Mount Arafat. By 2010, there were 2.2 billion Christians in the world and 1.6 billion Muslims, 31% and 23% of the world population respectively. The secularisation hypothesis is a European myth, a piece of myopic parochialism that shows how narrow our worldview continues to be.But every now and then the secularisation thesis gets a shot in the arm by some little local news. This week, it emerged in a survey that people with no religion now outnumber Christians in England and Wales. And it’s true, of course. We are getting less religious in the UK. This is not exactly because atheism is having some hipsterish Hitchens-esque revival, but more because we in the west are less and less a society of joiners. And religion begins not with the metaphysics but with the taking part – belonging preceding believing. Which is why the communitarian spirit of religion is declining in places where liberal individualism thrives. And why religion itself thrives in places where liberal individualism fails. That’s the real clash of civilisations: the shopping centre (now moved online) versus the temple, a battle between those who are wealthy enough to think in terms of the first person singular and those forced to think in terms of the plural collective. There are only two globalisations: God and mammon. And they will never fully be reconciled. Imagine no religion, sang the man on a white Steinway with a net worth of $800m. Imagine no possessions he also sang. Though he obviously found that one a little harder. Continue reading...
Parents housing adult children: tell us about your nest that refuses to empty
Nearly a third of all Americans between age 18 and 34 currently live with parents – we want to hear about your experiences: the good, bad and expensiveWhat happens when your kids move home – or never move out? We want to hear from US parents whose nests have stayed full.For the first time in more than 130 years, young US adults are more likely to live with their parents than in any other housing situation.
Number of UK 'Neets' increases for second consecutive quarter
Proportion of young people not in education, employment or training jumps to 12%, but total is down over five yearsThe number of young people in Britain not in education, employment or training increased for a second consecutive quarter between January and March, to 865,000.The proportion of so-called Neets among 16- to 24-year-olds edged up 0.1 percentage points – or 2,000 people – to 12%, compared with the previous quarter, according to the Office for National Statistics.Related: More youngsters shut out of work or training, study finds Continue reading...
UK GDP growth – beware the march of the spenders
George Osborne once pledged a balanced economy, with growth based on a march of the makers but instead a shocking imbalance of payments loomsLet’s hear it for the British consumer. The trade figures are dire. Business investment is looking a bit wobbly. Manufacturing is in a slump. But out there in the high street or in the private world of online shopping, it is spend, spend, spend.That’s the inescapable message from the government’s second stab at estimating the growth rate of the economy in the first three months of 2016. The headline figure – gross domestic product was up 0.4% on the final three months of 2015 – was unchanged. But the breakdown was deeply troubling. Continue reading...
Bank of England rejects claim it has watered down ringfencing plans
Sir John Vickers accused Bank of stepping back from proposals on how much capital banks should hold to endure heavy lossesThe Bank of England has rejected criticisms from the architect of banking reforms that it has watered down its approach to ensuring the UK’s banking system is strong enough to withstand heavy losses.Sir John Vickers – appointed by the 2010 coalition government to design ways to avoid another taxpayer bailout of the system – has argued that Threadneedle Street is stepping back from his proposals for how much capital banks should hold.Related: The Guardian view on the big banks: shake them up, please | Editorial Continue reading...
UK economy grew at 0.4%, ONS confirms
Increases in business services and government spending propped up growth with worrying fall in business investment blamed on Brexit fearsBritain’s economy grew at 0.4% in the first three months of the year, despite a slump in manufacturing and construction output that has dragged down GDP growth over the last year.Tumbling business investment, which recorded its first annual fall in three years, also restricted growth and fuelled concerns that businesses are holding back on plans to expand ahead of the EU referendum.Related: UK economy dragged back by weak business investment and trade – live Continue reading...
EU officials hail deal to release billions in bailout loans for Greece
Agreement to issue €10.6bn in two tranches represents climbdown for IMF and comes as Greek unions threaten strikesEuropean officials have hailed a late night deal to unlock €10.3bn (£7.8bn) of much needed bailout cash for Greece as a major breakthrough.However, in Athens unions threatened further strikes in protest aagainst the contentious pension and tax reforms which paved the way for the agreement to be reached.Related: Eurozone unlocks €10.3bn bailout loan for Greece Continue reading...
Debt campaigners criticise IMF over Greek deal - as it happened
Greece’s creditors have finally agreed to unlock billions of bailout loans, but Jubilee Debt Campaign says IMF has backed down
George Osborne and Angela Eagle at PMQs - Politics live
Rolling coverage of all the day’s political developments as they happen, including George Osborne and Angela Eagle at PMQs
The IMF has not lived up to its own hype on social protection | Alexander Kentikelenis, Thomas Stubbs and Lawrence King
The International Monetary Fund claims to support health, education and welfare programmes. Yet our research shows enforcing fiscal austerity remains its real concernThe International Monetary Fund (IMF) seeks to promote growth and reduce poverty, but the social consequences of its reforms in the developing world have drawn much criticism.Yet, factsheets, discussion notes (pdf) and public statements tell us that the IMF is now a changed institution. Taking on board the many criticisms of its practices, the organisation reformed itself: social spending is protected, health and education are prioritised, and welfare programmes are supported.Related: IMF and World Bank are losing clout in developing countries | Mark Weisbrot Continue reading...
The IMF has not lived up to its own hype on social protection | Alexander Kentikelenis, Thomas Stubbs and Lawrence King
The International Monetary Fund claims to support health, education and welfare programmes. Yet our research shows enforcing fiscal austerity remains its real concernThe International Monetary Fund (IMF) seeks to promote growth and reduce poverty, but the social consequences of its reforms in the developing world have drawn much criticism.Yet, factsheets, discussion notes (pdf) and public statements tell us that the IMF is now a changed institution. Taking on board the many criticisms of its practices, the organisation reformed itself: social spending is protected, health and education are prioritised, and welfare programmes are supported.Related: IMF and World Bank are losing clout in developing countries | Mark Weisbrot Continue reading...
Vote Leave attacks IFS thinktank over Brexit austerity prediction
Campaigners slam Institute for Fiscal Studies as ‘paid-up propaganda arm’ of EU after it predicted hole in UK public financesThe Vote Leave campaign has dismissed the respected Institute for Fiscal Studies as a “paid-up propaganda arm” of the European Union after the thinktank said that leaving the EU would extend austerity by two years.In a report, the IFS, which has built a reputation for independence, said Brexit would result in lower GDP growth and extra borrowing costs that would knock a £20bn-£40bn hole in the government’s finances by 2020.Related: Vote to leave EU would 'condemn Britain to irrelevance', say historians Continue reading...
Vote Leave attacks IFS thinktank over Brexit austerity prediction
Campaigners slam Institute for Fiscal Studies as ‘paid-up propaganda arm’ of EU after it predicted hole in UK public financesThe Vote Leave campaign has dismissed the respected Institute for Fiscal Studies as a “paid-up propaganda arm” of the European Union after the thinktank said that leaving the EU would extend austerity by two years.In a report, the IFS, which has built a reputation for independence, said Brexit would result in lower GDP growth and extra borrowing costs that would knock a £20bn-£40bn hole in the government’s finances by 2020.Related: Vote to leave EU would 'condemn Britain to irrelevance', say historians Continue reading...
The case against negative interest rates
The only way to ensure that ‘new money’ is put into circulation is to have the government spend it on building houses and upgrading infrastructureAs a biographer and aficionado of John Maynard Keynes, I am sometimes asked: “What would Keynes think about negative interest rates?”It’s a good question, one that recalls a passage in Keynes’s General Theory in which he notes that if the government can’t think of anything more sensible to do to cure unemployment (say, building houses), burying bottles filled with bank notes and digging them up again would be better than nothing. He probably would have said the same about negative interest rates: a desperate measure by governments that can think of nothing else to do.Related: John Maynard Keynes died 70 years ago. We ignore his wisdom at our peril | Justin Talbot Zorn and Merle Lefkoff Continue reading...
The case against negative interest rates
The only way to ensure that ‘new money’ is put into circulation is to have the government spend it on building houses and upgrading infrastructureAs a biographer and aficionado of John Maynard Keynes, I am sometimes asked: “What would Keynes think about negative interest rates?”It’s a good question, one that recalls a passage in Keynes’s General Theory in which he notes that if the government can’t think of anything more sensible to do to cure unemployment (say, building houses), burying bottles filled with bank notes and digging them up again would be better than nothing. He probably would have said the same about negative interest rates: a desperate measure by governments that can think of nothing else to do.Related: John Maynard Keynes died 70 years ago. We ignore his wisdom at our peril | Justin Talbot Zorn and Merle Lefkoff Continue reading...
Eurozone unlocks €10.3bn bailout loan for Greece
Meeting in Brussels ends in agreement at 2am after IMF waters down its demands to placate Germany and payment is split into two tranchesGreece’s ‘breakthrough’ debt deal – business liveEuropean officials have agreed to unlock €10.3bn in bailout money for Greece as the International Monetary Fund made a significant climbdown in its demand for upfront debt relief for the recession-hit country.
Eurozone unlocks €10.3bn bailout loan for Greece
Meeting in Brussels ends in agreement at 2am after IMF waters down its demands to placate Germany and payment is split into two tranchesGreece’s ‘breakthrough’ debt deal – business liveEuropean officials have agreed to unlock €10.3bn in bailout money for Greece as the International Monetary Fund made a significant climbdown in its demand for upfront debt relief for the recession-hit country.
Eurozone reaches breakthrough on Greek bailout and debt relief - as it happened
After a marathon meeting, the Eurogroup has agreed to extend bailout loans to Greece... and the IMF are on board too.
Eurozone reaches breakthrough on Greek bailout and debt relief - as it happened
After a marathon meeting, the Eurogroup has agreed to extend bailout loans to Greece... and the IMF are on board too.
More youngsters shut out of work or training, study finds
Long-term analysis says official statistics underplay larger proportion of young people shut out of work, education and trainingOne in six young people in the UK are spending six months out of work, education or training, according to new research that suggests government figures are underplaying youth unemployment.Official figures have shown a drop in the proportion of Neets – young people not in education, employment or training – as the economy has recovered from recession since mid-2011. Continue reading...
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